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justin robinsonSubmitted by Dr. Justin Robinson

Head of Department of Management Studies
UWI, Cave Hill
Tel 417 4299

As one who makes the trek from deep in St. Philip to UWI five days a week, the government’s decision to reverse the policy of subsidizing the price of petroleum products is going to hit me hard in the pocket. However, with oil prices stuck above US$90 per barrel for the last six months and projected to remain there for the foreseeable, fiscal responsibility would almost certainly have required that the government review its policy on subsidizing petroleum products

If the price of oil is likely to remain in the $90 plus range for the foreseeable future ( as most experts suggest), then in my view, households, firms, the government and other organizations need to be weaned from subsidized prices and aggressively embrace energy efficiency. In the meantime, targeted subsidies should be designed for the more vulnerable groups in society.

Energy efficiency has now become a key competitive variable among countries, and there is a veritable arms race among countries for first mover advantages in development and adoption of alternative energy technologies. The range of alternatives being explored is wide and varied from wind, solar and bio-fuels to wave and thermal energy sources. I am no scientist so I have no sense as to which of these if any will succeed as viable alternatives to oil, but it is clear that the imperative to improve energy efficiency must now rise to the top of the agenda for our society.

The previous administration launched a “green budget” in 2007. The various initiatives must now be aggressively marketed and beefed up if necessary. How many households, firms and other organizations have had an energy audit? Are they aware there is a tax break for this? Is the tax break large enough? Have we been training an adequate number of energy auditors?

The new government has a clear and well articulated energy policy in its manifesto. The DLP’s manifesto speaks to tax subsidies for installing solar electric systems in homes and businesses. The DLP manifesto speaks to the establishment of a “Smart Energy Fund” to provide low interest loans to households, firms and organizations seeking to install alternative energy solutions. The DLP manifesto also speaks to solar powering of government buildings. A combination of these measures and net metering with the Barbados Light and Power has the potential to substantially reduce the oil import bill for electricity generation, as well as generate new jobs. I know the policy agenda is quite crowded and there are many competing priorities, but the government may wish to move the above mentioned items up the agenda.

The government also needs to be vigorous in the application of competition policy to prevent abuses in terms of price increases. If energy costs account for 50% of costs then a 50% increase in energy prices should lead to around a 25% increases in prices, if there is full pass through of the price increase. Some of the current discussion suggests a one to one relationship between energy prices and production costs. The relationship between energy prices and production costs varies widely across industries, and the increases in energy prices should be an occasion for price gouging or other exploitation of the consumer.

However, the government can and should only do so much. The rest of the society has to play its part. As a financial economist the developments in the financial sector are of particular interest to me. A recent publication by the United Nations Environment Program Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) highlights a number of products launched by retail financial institutions around the world as they seek to confront the energy efficiency challenge. Commercial banks in Europe and Australia have been at the forefront with a number of initiatives, which I now outline.

Green Mortgages: In general, green mortgages, or energy efficient mortgage (EEMs), provide retail customers with considerably lower interest rates than market rates for clients who purchase new energy efficient homes and/or invest in retrofits, energy efficient appliances or green power. Banks some times provide green mortgages by covering the cost of switching a house from conventional to green power.

Green Home Equity Loans: These are reduced rate home equity loans for homeowners who install renewable energy in their homes.

Green Commercial Building Loans: Attractive loan designs and arrangements have started to emerge for green commercial buildings, characterized by lower energy consumption (-15 to -25%), reduced waste and less pollution than traditional buildings

Green Car Loans: These loans offer below market rates for the purchase of cars with demonstrated high fuel efficiency. These products have grown rapidly in Australia and Europe. Interestingly, most green car loans are offered by credit unions. In 2003 Australia’s MECU took the offered car loans where the credit union considers a fuel efficiency rating associated with the vehicle type and provides a low interest rate accordingly. In addition, for the term of the loan the credit union commits to offsetting 100% of the car’s CO2 emissions. Since the launch of this product the firm has seen a 45% climb in car loans.

Green Cards: Most offer to make NGO donations equal to one-half percent of every purchase, balance transfer or cash advance made by the card owner.

Green Insurance: The premium is linked to the use and this environmental footprint of the vehicle, and green home insurance, where special rates are provided for energy efficient buildings.

Our retail financial services sector justifiably prides itself on being world class and very much in step with the latest trends. I am sure that these green initiatives are shortly going to be available locally. We need them if we are going to spur an aggressive thrust for greater energy efficiency.

Energy efficiency is now a major challenge for every society. It is one Barbados is well positioned to excel in. As a small nation, any programs can have nationwide impact in a short space of time. The government must do its part, and there is a major role for the private sector and the rest of civil society. However, don’t wait for them, let the process begin with you. Start a green committee at your work place and conserve energy at home. I am about to take over my proposal for a green committee at UWI to the principal.


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123 responses to “The Energy Efficiency Challenge”

  1. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    Ian Walcott // May 2, 2008 at 4:26 pm

    “It is regretable when our educated cannot critique based on value positions but instead expose the polarization which continue to exist in Barbados at a time when a bi-partisan approach is required. Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?”

    Actually, my position was very much a value-laden position and had nothing to do with partisanship…a careful read would show that I spoke of the implementation deficit in the whole Caribbean as we so aptly discussed at the recent SALISES conferences in Chaguaramas 2007 and Mona 2008. This implementation deficit not only affects the energy sector but all areas of productivity and social policy within the region.
    A further reading between the lines would also show that it was more than subtle…that should the present administration address such an implementation deficit…they’d stand a chance of more than one term…(Which I doubt they will, less we forget the horrors of the early 90s).
    And for those who are bent on getting personal and hiding behind pseudonyms…yes this is Ian Walcott who worked at the NCF…and let’s go on record that he was not fired…but resigned…AFTER ALL…CAN U IMAGINE WAKING UP ONE MORNING AND STEVE BLACKETT IS THE MINISTER OF CULTURE…
    IPSO FACTO…some of us have choices…and living under this bunch of jokers is not my choice…
    =================================

    HA HA HA HA HA. David can’t you understand that it is not about being partisan? It is now about not working in a GOVERNMENT run organization that is under the Ministerial oversight of Steve Blackett. Before that, it was about leaving Barbados if David Thompson became the PM. One wonders why it took the coming into office of a bunch of “Jokers” for him to exercise his choice. 😀 Well uh ain’t really wondering. The silliness uh some uh dese “Ivy league high school scholars”……..
    …but David!…what for you determines or defines an intelligent person? Is it on attaining a paper trophy only? or do you vet their continued entitlement to such a label by their ongoing actions and statements? 😀


  2. Adrian we would have thought that all educated Barbadians whether B or D would unite to pool resources to help Barbados stave off some of the challenges which loom. In fact we thought that one is a Barbadian first and any other label can follow. After reading Mr. Walcott’s comment we can only question if our people have failed education. But the truth is as he stated it is his prerogative.


  3. Well, well, Micro Mock Engineer….

    You really hit Bush tea for six there. I am at a loss for words.

    You got me real vex, but I like I agree with the things that you are saying…. so I concede….

    … about the impact of technology though, there is a subtile difference between the plague or black death and the current global issues which threaten the very VIABILITY of life on our planet.

    The all-out exploitation of the limited stock of fossil fuels in a selfish thrust for the kind of development that we have seen, has not been in the best long term interests of humanity.

    It would have been far better to have used those assets to develop and establish a long term sustainable strategy and settling for a more conservative development path.

    Politically Incorrect,

    … All I will tell you is that Bush tea has been personally concerned about the direction that we have been traveling for decades now.
    Suffice it to say that I am more than satisfied with the preparations that I have put in place.

    HOWEVER, it is clear that we are all on a big boat together, so….
    What preparations what?!?
    What steps can a lone passenger take? Do you think that it will be tolerable to have things in place while watching family, friends, neighbors, and even enemies suffer?

    …. at the very best we may have some ‘survivors’ but there will be no winners.

    The REAL issue for Bush tea though, is that the question of surviving this difficult period is neither here or there.

    As I was explaining to Straight talk some time ago, there is a VERY specific purpose for the whole experience called ‘life on earth’.

    The conclusion of this ‘Earth’ project is imminent and, much like the pains of pregnancy heralds a beautiful new baby, the coming difficulties can be see by those who understand the work of the BIG BOSS ENGINEER as a new beginning to look forward to…
    … seen from this perspective, the term ‘survival’ takes on a completely different meaning….


  4. Bush tea what BIG BOSS ENGINEER theory what!?!

    Despite you best communication on this matter how many people have bought in to it? You like you need Sir Carl ‘too much noise’ Moore to give you some tips!

  5. Green Monkey Avatar

    Dr. Justin Robinson // May 1, 2008 at 12:13 pm:

    Oh by the way, Green monkey and Bush tea, history has taught us not to be too dismissive of the role of technology and human ingenuity in solving our problems.

    And history has also taught us that the established pattern is for civilizations to rise and fall in cycles. Before our present time there have been many civilizations which have risen from humble beginnings to reach a peak in complexity, prosperity and technological ability (for their time) while at the same time carelessly or unknowingly destroying the very resources that made their advancement possible, thereby ensuring and making inevitable their subsequent collapse.

    The Last Americans
    Environmental Collapse and the End of Civilization

    JARED DIAMOND / Harper’s Magazine Jun03

    One of the disturbing facts of history is that so many civilizations collapse. Few people, however, least of all our politicians, realize that a primary cause of the collapse of those societies has been the destruction of the environmental resources on which they depended. Fewer still appreciate that many of those civilizations share a sharp curve of decline. Indeed, a society’s demise may begin only a decade or two after it reaches its peak population, wealth, and power.

    Recent archaeological discoveries have revealed similar courses of collapse in such otherwise dissimilar ancient societies as the Maya in the Yucatán, the Anasazi in the American Southwest, the Cahokia mound builders outside St. Louis, the Greenland Norse, the statue builders of Easter Island, ancient Mesopotamia in the Fertile Crescent, Great Zimbabwe in Africa, and Angkor Wat in Cambodia. These civilizations, and many others, succumbed to various combinations of environmental degradation and climate change, aggression from enemies taking advantage of their resulting weakness, and declining trade with neighbors who faced their own environmental problems. Because peak population, wealth, resource consumption, and waste production are accompanied by peak environmental impact—approaching the limit at which impact outstrips resources—we can now understand why declines of societies tend to follow swiftly on their peaks.

    These combinations of undermining factors were compounded by cultural attitudes preventing those in power from perceiving or resolving the crisis. That’s a familiar problem today. Some of us are inclined to dismiss the importance of a healthy environment, or at least to suggest that it’s just one of many problems facing us—an “issue.” That dismissal is based on three dangerous misconceptions.

    SNIP

    Another popular misconception is that we can trust in technology to solve our problems. Whatever environmental problem you name, you can also name some hoped-for technological solution under discussion. Some of us have faith that we shall solve our dependence on fossil fuels by developing new technologies for hydrogen engines, wind energy, or solar energy. Some of us have faith that we shall solve our food problems with new or soon-to-be-developed genetically modified crops. Some of us have faith that new technologies will succeed in cleaning up the toxic materials in our air, water, soil, and foods without the horrendous cleanup expenses that we now incur.

    Those with such faith assume that the new technologies will ultimately succeed, but in fact some of them may succeed and others may not. They assume that the new technologies will succeed quickly enough to make a big difference soon, but all of these major technological changes will actually take five to thirty years to develop and implement—if they catch on at all. Most of all, those with faith assume that new technology won’t cause any new problems. In fact, technology merely constitutes increased power, which produces changes that can be either for the better or for the worse. All of our current environmental problems are unanticipated harmful consequences of our existing technology. There is no basis for believing that technology will miraculously stop causing new and unanticipated problems while it is solving the problems that it previously produced.

    http://www.mindfully.org/Heritage/2003/Civilization-Collapse-EndJun03.htm

    Note for Adrian Hinds. Adrian, the link you gave in a post above to a thread or article at Democraticunderground.com is broken. I think it might be because the DU board truncates the links as they are displayed on a page to keep them short and from running off the page, so If you just copy and paste the link as shown it will be truncated. However, if you right click on the link as shown on the DU page and select “Copy link location” (in Firefox) or “Copy shortcut” in (Internet Explorer) then you can get the full link to paste somewhere else.


  6. Justin:
    Back to the energy issue! In 2002 when I was lecturing on the Masters program in Project Management at Cave Hill, my students of the day devised an excellent strategy for traffic management that took our energy consumption into consideration.
    The approach was a three pronged one that looked at addressing the legislative, normative and infrastructural frameworks in an effort to tackle the issue.
    It would have meant examining working hours, legislating car pooling, the use of the ABC highway, rationing of cars per household, public campaigns and of course, a reexamination of our infrastructure.
    This was obviously done against a backdrop of Strategic Project Planning and Interventions using the Logframe Exercise.
    Though this was very much an academic exercise, it showed me that our students/citizens are very capable of finding solutions…
    Again, I am arguing that the issue therefore is not one of finding solutions…rather one of implementing them.
    Let me give you a real example from my days in Foreign Affairs and as a student in Brazil.
    After the 1970s oil crisis, Brazil successfully developed ethanol to run a significant portion of their automobile fleet. Today, all of the intial engineering kinks have been ironed out and this is a very successful program.
    Follow me. The Brazilian government has been friendly with African and Caribbean nations since the early 1970s in its quest to gain regional hegemonic power…
    Since 1990, I’ve personally known every single Brazilian Ambassador to Barbados, including the dynamic Ambassador Orlando Galveas who is the current one…
    For close to 20 years, Brazil has been willing and bending over backwards to work with us at developing our ethanol industry as a means to reduce our reliance on petroleum…THE TECHNOLOGY EXISTS, WE HAVE A WILLING PARTNER…but nothing has happened.
    This is the implementation deficit that I speak of…
    It’s useless criticizing the elected officials because they’re as fast and efficient as the Civil Service will allow them to be.
    I’ve sat through meetings with Owen Arthur, both as a Foreign Service Officer and official of NCF and listened to him literally beg civil servants to “make it happen.” Day after day he implored them to “lose their fear and make decisions.”
    Instead we continue to drag our feet.
    Emelia Selezar, the former Ambassador to Barbados from Costa Rica, lamented the fact that proposals for cooperation sent from her government were largely ignored and nothing happened to implement the agreements on paper…
    We seem satisfied to quote statistics that speak of “X” amount of agreements and treaties…when they’re not being operationalized…
    Here are the six guiding principles of the regional Science & Technology Policy:
    1.Environmental protection
    2.Develop skilled human resources
    3.Focus on Caribbean agriculture and industry to enable rapid adjustment to technological changes
    4. Enable environment for development, exchange and effective use of technology
    5. Ensure most cost-effective methods of acquiring and using technology developed and available within and outside the region
    6. Preserve and enrich the cultural heritage of regions’ peoples.

    Within these broad principles there is sufficient scope for sectoral linkages between Science and Technology and an overarching Energy Policy…
    Justin, this was done since 1994…and the list goes on…
    We need to urgently address the ‘disconnect’ between policy, implementation and HR capacity.
    It’s perhaps most unfortunate that successive governments have not used the resources of UWI more strategically…but this is another discussion for another day.


  7. My dear David,

    re Big Boss Engineer theory

    The correctness, relevance or veracity of a theory is in no way proportional to the number of persons who understand or ‘buy into’ that theory.
    (in fact, in a world where Liz can win an international environmental award, the opposite may be true)

    ….but what is important is “he who laughs last…”

  8. Janice Griffith Avatar
    Janice Griffith

    Dear STRAIGHT TALK –
    Re Solar powered Air-Condition Units
    Purchasing is only one side of the coin – there must also be some one to service the systems after you purchase them.


  9. Ian Walcott we compliment you on your suggestion which has some merit. The problem we find though with some of the action items you have articulated is the extent the cultural aspects of the Barbados landscape is being factored. For example: Any forward thinking government who is desirous of moving to the beat of the global drum needs to respond outside of the civil service structure. The civil service is a bureaucracy by its design and with good reason. Perhaps it might explain why the former Prime Minister attempted to navigate outside of th civil service by using ‘consultants’.

    BTW can you get your friend Kim Young to contribute. Barbados must have their bright sparks on board.

  10. Straight talk Avatar
    Straight talk

    Janice:

    Servicing Air Con units.

    There is nothing magical about solar technology.
    The basics of the system are the same whatever the power source, if anything solar AC should be simpler to maintain, especially some of the new models designed in Australia.

  11. Birdpickmango Avatar
    Birdpickmango

    David and Ian,
    There are several good reasons why good ideas are left undone. Foremost, part of our culture is the blame game – when things work out well it is I who did it, and when things go wrong it is always dem. It is not natural for us to first seek agreement or acknowledged achievement. Consequently we often do it better than others only when we have seen it done or like the current situation, when our backs are against the wall.
    Organization development or the act of creating is a deliberate skill that can be taught. Whydid the nation grow while other attempts failed?
    As far back as 1977 I argued publicly that making strategic adjustments to the sources that generate traffic would be more cost effective than simply widening the roads even though such activity has economic benefits.
    The roadblock was the political will be it oppositon,Trade Union or business community. While we have several examples of successive governments continuing projects of each other, we don’t seem to have the climate that exist in Bermuda or Japan where some things are done in the national interest. In the late seventies Japan adopted a ” quality approach” that was championed by public sector, private sector and trade unions with a view to getting their products into the international market. The japanese worker who came to the Caribbean to install equipment argued that the more money his country recieved the more money he will get. He didn’t consider himself a slave. In Bermuda, a place where many of our politicians have surely visited, the number of cars per family is limited. Furthermore the speeding by taxi drivers in order to get another job is prohibited and there is a collective effort by all to get visitors to leave with empty pockets.
    If tomorrow a 24hour high quality air conditioned bus service is introduced together with a seven ‘o, clock start by service workers,
    8.30 start by schools and a 9.30 start by others, the flow of traffic and energy saving would be tremendous. But who will be willing to bell the cat? We will complain and blame government but will not be willing to put our Mercedes and travel on the same bus as the gardener. It is kind of bad taste that slavery has left in our mouth. However it does have to remain so. Perhaps this is why living in a big society is the greatest leveller.
    Justin and Ian. Maybe you can explain why there is reluctance by UWI to examine and for public education sake,publish our successfull local models like the Nation, COWWilliams, Solar Dynamics, CreditUnions, the rum shop, the fish sellers at Oistins to name a few.
    Lest we forget in the past the worker reaped the crop and others enjoyed fruits of their labor. It is time that we all recognize that we have a vested interest if only for our childrens sake.

  12. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    David // May 3, 2008 at 3:42 pm

    Ian Walcott we compliment you on your suggestion which has some merit. The problem we find though with some of the action items you have articulated is the extent the cultural aspects of the Barbados landscape is being factored. For example: Any forward thinking government who is desirous of moving to the beat of the global drum needs to respond outside of the civil service structure. The civil service is a bureaucracy by its design and with good reason. Perhaps it might explain why the former Prime Minister attempted to navigate outside of th civil service by using ‘consultants’.

    =================================

    David what is being suggested here has been in the public space for some time and most likely has it’s origins from ordinary Barbadians base on their travels abroad, but never the less, it is good to hear that our University students can realize potential solutions to our problems, even if they are best practices elsewhere. What i gathered from Walcott’s comments, is that he thinks that Barbados is far advance in realizing the ideas it need to resolve several issues it faces, and that the problem is with implementation, specifically with those repsonsible for getting it done (civil service.) This is a view that i can agree with. You seem to agree as well and appears willing, to suggest that there may be merit, in the Arthur strategy, of consultant hiring. I am not ready to make that leap with you, as i have not yet seen the evidence, to persuade me away from the view, that these consultant hires, by the last government where political, and personal in nature, and some instances acts of welfare.

  13. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    This guy Ian Walcott continues to confuse me. Now at the risk of being accuse, yet again, of “getting or being personal” I am seeking clarity on a number of comments emanating from him, here and else where.

    …..It is known that sometime before the Jan 15th election, that he said, he had no intentions of living in Barbados if Thompson became the PM and would probably leave if he did. It seems he have made good on that, and is justified in his actions, with statements like:

    “All in all…this will be a one-term administration. That’s my agenda…”

    “Actually, my position was very much a value-laden position and had nothing to do with partisanship”

    “AFTER ALL…CAN U IMAGINE WAKING UP ONE MORNING AND STEVE BLACKETT IS THE MINISTER OF CULTURE…”

    “It’s useless criticizing the elected officials because they’re as fast and efficient as the Civil Service will allow them to be.”

    In all fairness i am also aware that he has question the practice of “nepotism” that he says, is evident in Government (under the BLP) and that Government and Barbados should move towards a meritocratic approach to governance.

    ….I detect some independence from both parties but also an arrogance and a condescending attitude towards Thompson and the DLP. If it is not simple partisanship, would he care to explain this?

  14. Green Monkey Avatar

    It’s the oil crisis of the Seventies back to haunt us

    By Eddie Hobbs, The Independent (Ireland)

    THERE’S been a lot of bull talked about a temporary little problem with oil. That’s why the OPEC president’s prediction last week that oil prices will rise to $200 a barrel especially if the dollar stays weak, will stun the Department of Finance. The piston in the National Development Plan is the assumption that oil would be $100 per barrel (42 gallons) by 2020. The Government’s big strategy, so clearly priced on pre-peak oil economics is already bog-roll, but, officially, the Government is sticking to the daft idea that our energy input costs will remain a constant for the next 12 years and plans to build an infrastructure for the oil age.

    Think of home heating and petrol prices doubling and consider the effects on your own net take-home pay when energy and motoring costs rise to absorb a chunk somewhere between 15 per cent and 20 per cent of average wages. Now consider the effects on the world’s fourth most dependent economy on imported oil and gas which already has a lousy record in integrated planning on everything from its health service, to decentralisation, to transport and tell me that the risk of the mother of all cock-ups isn’t on the cards.

    SNIP

    The evidence that we are at the foot of a prolonged period of undulating high inflation and which will last until dense and scalable alternatives to oil and gas become widespread ( unlikely to be any time soon /GM) is staring us in the face. At the time of Julius Caesar 400 million people lived on the planet. It took the next 17 centuries for the population to double. The injection of cheap energy 150 years ago from the exploitation of coal, oil and gas resources, fuelled industry, trade, transport and agriculture but also drove the population to over six billion. In more recent years the advent of globalisation, the internet, free trade and the collapse of communism, have created vast new markets and demand for natural resources from three billion new consumers who’ve emerged from fast-growing middle income economies, to claim their share of the pie.

    The most basic ingredient in economic growth is energy — without it nothing happens. Global demand for energy is set to double over the next 20 years but already in the oil market, where 86 million barrels of oil a day are produced there is a growing problem in matching burgeoning demand with limited supply. Demand from non-members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development is growing at 4 per cent yearly, dwarfing OECD demand growth some eightfold. In a few years the biggest users will be the oil-producing nations themselves who, as a block, will replace the USA as the world’s largest oil consumer.

    Continued at:
    http://www.independent.ie/opinion/analysis/its-the-oil-crisis-of-the-seventies-back-to-haunt-us-1366551.html


  15. 1973 oil crisis
    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    Jump to: navigation, search

    Long-Term Oil Prices, 1861-2006 (orange line adjusted for inflation, black not adjusted).The 1973 oil crisis began on October 17, 1973, when the members of Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC, consisting of the Arab members of OPEC plus Egypt and Syria) announced, as a result of the ongoing Yom Kippur War, that they would no longer ship oil to nations that had supported Israel in its conflict with Syria and Egypt (the United States, its allies in Western Europe, and Japan).

    About the same time, OPEC members agreed to use their leverage over the world price-setting mechanism for oil in order to raise world oil prices, after the failure of negotiations with the “Seven Sisters” earlier in the month. Because of the dependence of the industrialized world on crude oil and the predominant role of OPEC as a global supplier, these price increases were dramatically inflationary to the economies of the targeted countries, while at the same time suppressive of economic activity. The targeted countries responded with a wide variety of new, and mostly permanent, initiatives to contain their further dependency.

    ===============================

    It seems to me that a return to the seventies oil crisis may not be so bad a thing. Yet somehow i don’t think this is occurring. But would admit that any more pressure on individuals take home pay where fix cost such as Mortgages, taxes, and credit card debt account for more than 60% , will decimate the middle class in many countries.

  16. Micro-Mock Engineer Avatar
    Micro-Mock Engineer

    David,

    What does the popularity of a theory have to do with its validity? I am amazed at how often people try to judge right or wrong on the basis of public opinion. We ponder and analyze the results from poll after poll as though these somehow hold answers to the issues being polled. Public opinion is only relevant if you trying to win votes or sell somebody something. “One should respect public opinion in so far as it is necessary to avoid starvation and keep out of prison, but anything that goes beyond this is voluntary submission to an unnecessary tyranny – Bertrand Russel”.
    As far as BT’s Big Boss Engineer theory goes, lemme tell yuh, it mek far more sense than most of the other “meaning of life” theories being peddled today. Despite their tendency to romanticize the past, BT and Hoad remain two of my favorite local commentators.
    My main disagreement with BT is that he believes the “project” is now winding down when the reality is we still have lots of milestones to accomplish before BBE ready for us… new energy sources to harness, the convergence of biotechnology, nanotechnology and information technology, reverse engineering of the brain, interstellar travel… stay tuned, you aint seen nuttin yet, as we head for Singularity or that near vertical face on the exponential growth curve.
    The current energy crisis is the making of politicians and economists… two simple solutions to the high demand and price of oil, provided we can get past emotional public opinion: nuclear power and electric vehicles – so simple it aint funny. Save the oil (what remains) for special industry and niche applications.

  17. Micro-Mock Engineer Avatar
    Micro-Mock Engineer

    Green Monkey

    Your comment re civilizations rising and falling and the Jared Diamond article ignore one important point… Succession. It is quite natural to interpret the collapse of complex sociocultural systems as tragic… after all, in the past this has OFTEN been associated with widespread loss of life and cultural stock… but, it has ALWAYS paved the way for more advanced and prosperous models of civilization. As indicated in an earlier post, I am well aware that words like “advanced” and “prosperous” are subjective, but by these I mean healthier, longer more peaceful lives with improved knowledge of ourselves and our universe. Nothing lasts forever, our sun is scheduled to retire in about another 5 billion years. On that note, I have another question for Bush tea: Why would our Project Manager design and build such a long-life power plant if the project only requires a few more years?


  18. MME

    You are beginning to scare me….

    Bush tea is much more comfortable with critics than with supporters. All my experience has been with countering critics. You innovative tactical approach is confusing and off-putting.

    Am I to understand that you not only see sense in Bust tea’s theory of life on earth, but that you are going beyond that to speculate about the possibilities afterwards???

    Are you CRAZY?
    Do you want to run people from David’s blog? you want a riot?

    ….micro mock, that draft is to high. You ever heard of feeding pearls to swine?

    For the record, your “main disagreement” with me is no disagreement at all. What BT claims to be winding down is ‘project life on earth’ (as we know it). You think that I could even begin to hint at phase 2?

    What phase 2 what?!?

    David would give up my IP and you can bet that the same Task Force that cannot find the persons that threaten Adrian L will be at my door in 15 minutes…to haul my behind down Black Rock.

    …not me boo, … not till Tennyson Springer sort out them problems down there.


  19. To BirdpickMango:

    On the issue of publishing about some of our best practices in Management…I’m happy to inform you that a lot of that is being done.
    As far back as 2002 while lecturing at UWI I had a weekly article in the Advocate’s Business Monday, called Management: Keep it real…
    One of the earlier articles dealt with the Oistins fish fry and why it was successful…in comparison to the demise of Baxter’s Road…
    Dr. Punnett has also been doing lots of research and is producing case studies…
    Dr. Paul Pounder and Ayanna Young just formed a research group on Entrepreneurship…
    so lots of stuff is happening as UWI is become more and more dynamic…
    Justin and Dr. Belle were in Brazil last year at the Caribbean Studies Association Conference in Bahia…some excellent research was presented…and they’re working quite diligently to sign exchange agreements with Brazil…at long last…
    To Adrian Hinds….
    I’m very much an independent and have only voted once in Barbados…I was too young in 86 and was in Bdos for the first election since then in January this year…and I placed my X for David Gill because of the kind of hands-on work he does in his constituency where my grandfather’s family and land have been for the last 200 years…Gill is one o’ we…
    However, in spite of where I place my “X”, I became very disenchanted with the last administration for a number or reasons publicly stated…and it was good that the people of Barbados fired Owen and the party…
    Now does this mean that we will retreat? No…it means that “we” will learn from our mistakes and come back stronger and better prepared…
    My nagging concern..and my personal academic research question is “why hasnt Barbados developed at a faster rate?”
    I’m still researching it…so dont ask me to give you the answers yet…because this will be subject to the highest level of academic rigor under the supervision of Dr. Don Marshall and Dr. Jonathan Lashley…
    What I can tell you is that having lived in Japan…and observed certain behaviors there…I know that we can achieve much more…
    To this question, I asked a Singaporean colleague of mine who resides in Barbados…”what is it that they did right?”
    Her answer was quite simple…she stated that when Lee Kuan Yew came to power…he made two promises and stuck to them…
    1. He will pay his politicians very well…
    2. He will put a meritocracy inn place….

    No mek sense outta dat…and tell me wha u tink….
    On the question of my attitude towards the DLP…here’s a response…
    Ask the new minister of culture to articulate our country’s cultural policy or creative economy policy…or ask him to define our country’s culture…
    Owen Arthur and Mia Mottley long recognized that Barbados cannot continue to run on a credit card, kiting checks or even a bounce chech (hahahahahaha)…somehow, we’ve manage that brand of small island economics successfully for the last few decades…
    But reform is necessary (and this is where I became disenchanted…because the Arthur Administration should have been an era of reform and it failed miserably)…
    Anyhow…so they turn to culture as the third pillar next to tourism and financial services…
    This is great on paper and has a lot of potential…
    The big quesiton is…will this new administration continue the drive or dismiss it…?
    Unfortunately, when we examine post independence policies and regimes…the facts are daunting against the DLP in terms of its track record on cultural development….
    There’s a lot more rhetoric…but successive BLP administrations have done more in culture in terms of expenditure and infrastructure…(I’m willing to stand up to any challenge on this point.)
    In terms of sectoral linkages…unfortunately both sides continue to miss this opportunity…
    SO AGAIN I SAY…the current oil crisis is a good test of wills…let’s see how they’ll manage.


  20. Justin:

    Are yor going to the CSA Conference in Colombia? Let me know…

    Ian

  21. Wishing in Vain Avatar
    Wishing in Vain

    Ian Walcott Your comment on this site and your blogs on the blp site seem to vary vastly.

    Ian Walcott // May 3, 2008 at 5:11 pm

    We must see to it that this bunch of jokers are held accountable.
    Time to call in the troops for this will be a one-term government…
    So we’ve moved from close to full employment at the end of 2007 to the brink of recession after 100 days of a DLP government.


  22. U dont understand that I is a BEE…and dat aint changing…I does still criticize dum…
    I stand by my anti-DLP comments and sentiments…


  23. That us BEES have failed in many areas…yes we have…that I remain critical of the failure…yes I do…does this make me less of a BEE…no it does not…

  24. Wishing in Vain Avatar
    Wishing in Vain

    They sure did a lot of ill advised things such as stated below, it must take a very special guts to support a group that is as clearly dishonest as this bunch were proven to be.

    It seems the opposition and its leaders problems will just no go away, as taken from the blp blog today.

    ENJOY THE OPPOSITION AS THIS IS WHERE YOU DESERVE. // May 5, 2008 at 12:40 am

    Get used to the opposition, you have been put there by your own actions, remember the Prison , the 3S road works, the transfer of the Holders land, TIME IS LONGER THAN TWINE people, ARROGANCE AND COORUPTION WAS YOUR FAILURE LIKE IT OR LUMP IT.

    You and your party were under the feeling that you were untouchable and you acted in that manner, but your day of decision came before you were able to fully raid us any further.

    Thank god for the sensible thinking Barbadians that came out and voted you out of office.

    Let us remember those statements made by mottley to some of the biggest names in the building business here that they would tow the line with regard to the illegal Chinese workers and if they did not TOW THE LINE THEY COULD EXPECT A VAT AND TAX AUDIT, this is just not how business is done in this island and it is a disgusting act by a Deputy P M to threaten our business leaders in such a manner for her own selfish reasons.

    Is this the method of a Deputy P M or a DICTATOR in action?????

    While at it can you please explain why a Mr Pooler of Equity Ins was transferred 20 acres of prime land in Kent formerly owned by the NHC for the meager sum of $ 4 million this was done during the dying days of the last gov’t this land on the open market has a value of about $ 20 million but it was rushed thru to a party loyal at a peppercorn figure, this 20 acres of land that could have been used to locate low cost homes for our people on as I was property owned by the crown already?????


  25. Wishing in Vain…it’s obvious where you alliance lies…
    I believe that in a democracy we have freedom of association and freedom of speech…
    Let’s agree to be on the opposite sides of the fence and move on…


  26. Ok, thanks Ian Walcott. It is good when persons are willing to declare their associations even if grudgingly. It helps in placing their comments in the correct perspective. ….But in every hive there can only be one INDEPENDENT BEE, and you are not HER. 😀

    Ballad: The Independent Bee

    A hive of bees, as I’ve heard say,
    Said to their Queen one sultry day,
    “Please your Majesty’s high position,
    The hive is full and the weather is warm,
    We rather think, with a due submission,
    The Time has come when we ought to swarm.”
    Buzz, buzz, buzz, buzz.
    Up spake their Queen and thus spake she—
    “This is a matter that rest with me,
    Who dares opinions thus to form?
    I’ll tell you when it is time to swarm!”
    Buzz, buzz, buzz, buzz.

    Her Majesty wore an angry frown,
    In fact, her Majesty’s foot was down—
    Her Majesty sulked —declined to sup—
    In short, her Majesty’s back was up.
    Buzz, buzz, buzz, buzz.
    Her foot was down and her back was up!

    That hive contained one Obstinate bee.


  27. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! WE LIKE IT SO…

  28. Wishing in Vain Avatar
    Wishing in Vain

    But I really would love to hear your comments on the corruption that your party cast the country into, as above and thisis nothing in relation to the real extent that was done to us the citizens.
    It would be worthy of comment from someone like yourself who saw the corruption who lived the corruption but chose not to speak out about the corruption with your leader and your your party.

    I would suggest to you really this is not very flattering to your name or what you do not stand for, when you choose to defend a gov’t that was as morally corrupt as your party is and still try to hoist them onto the honest people of Barbados is totally wicked and dishonest to put it mildly.


  29. Ah, that Time could touch a form
    That could show what Homer’s age
    Bred to be a hero’s wage.
    ‘Were not all her life but storm,
    Would not painters paint a form
    Of such noble lines,’ I said,
    ‘Such a delicate high head,
    All that sternness amid charm,
    All that sweetness amid strength?’
    Ah, but peace that comes at length,
    Came when Time had touched her form.


  30. Oh but alas ye speaketh strong words and utterances without support…
    I believe the BEES were punished for the arrogance of their cronies…who walked around with high heads in the typical hubris of the powerful and the untouchable…and like you…I thank God that their reign has ended…for they too disgust me…
    The real question is how much will the status quo change…we are already hearing the new kingsmen making statements like “it’s we time now…”
    It’s we time to do what?
    I will not sit here and defend corruption in any form or fashion…
    What I support is free market economics with mimimal government internvention…the laws of supply and demand.
    However, in his exuberance to level the playing field and create a new class of black wealth, it appears that the king fell victim to his own good intentions which were skewed by the courtiers…
    But it takes a real man to say, “the buck stops here.”
    So let the die be cast and may the chips fall where they may…
    Barbados continues to be a sugar cane republic ruled by the TRIAD…the masonic lodge, the white economic elite, and their black political pawns…
    Sometimes the price we pay for disrupting such an arrangement is CORRUPTION…but two wrongs cant mek a right…

  31. Wishing in Vain Avatar
    Wishing in Vain

    You must be the die hard blp supporter to confirm that there was wholesale corruption and dishonesty in your party for this I have congratulate you for coming to grips with the reality.

    If you try to clean up the face of mottley and stop her from abusing and accosting her own sex with brutal beatings she will be ok in opposition for 15 years by that time the party would have groomed a leader with some moral substance to replace her and to make a new start as I am sure that you will agree she has neither the moral fibre nor ability to perform the task of PM, for that we need a SatesMAN and mottley as much as she may like to suggest that she can fill the role of a SatesMAN she is lacking in certain departments for this position.

  32. Wishing in Vain Avatar
    Wishing in Vain

    You must be the first die hard blp supporter to confirm that there was wholesale corruption and dishonesty in your party for this I have congratulate you for coming to grips with the reality.

  33. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    Ah, that Time could touch a form
    That could show what Homer’s age
    Bred to be a hero’s wage.
    ‘Were not all her life but storm,
    Would not painters paint a form
    Of such noble lines,’ I said,
    ‘Such a delicate high head,
    All that sternness amid charm,
    All that sweetness amid strength?’
    Ah, but peace that comes at length,
    Came when Time had touched her form.
    =================================

    Ah the expectations of youth and age, at last peace is all one can get. The time and realization that she is getting old have not drawn her to Barbadians, and Barbadians to her, and neither have they driven her away.

  34. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    Where Americans are spending their money.

    Note the large areas are as Elizabeth Warren stated ‘fixed expenses” totals 66% . Taxes another fixed expense is not included

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/05/03/business/20080403_SPENDING_GRAPHIC.html

    …..Those Barbadians who don’t have a mortgage or do not pay rent can truly reduce spending the rest must cut-out and contrive, and that may not be enough.


  35. We have had our fun but we should all remember that the creativity of Barbadians will be tested shortly. Although we can’t tell people what to comment on it would be useful to use Dr. Robinson’s contribution to move some ideas forward.

  36. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    I have embrace those green initiatives that i have determine, can save me some money in the long run. I compose, i have rain barrels, I have all energy saving bulbs, as a habit i turn off all non essential appliances and devices at night. I take the commuter rail rather than drive, I walk home (1.6 miles) rather than drive, I will be restarting my kitchen garden next summer. I no longer make purchases at work. I am in the final stages of building a wind-charger to power my garage.

    Saving money and navigating the rising cost of almost everything.

    one must start with a financial picture of where they are. One should be able to determine their net wealth ( wealth-liabilities). One should have a sense of their expenses, where they spend their money, how much money they bring in etc. Only after you know these things can you make changes that can have the intended effect you desire.

    Record everything you buy for 30 days. This will give you an idea of where you can make cuts. Take your earnings slip and determine what percentage of it is paid in taxes, find out if you have the right exemptions or if they are things you can do to reduce your tax load. Please note that you can now access NIS online to see if you will qualify for non-contributory or old age pension and how much contributions are credited to your account. Next take your fixed expenses i.e. mortgage/rent, car note, etc and see what percentage of your net pay goes toward these cost. pay yourself first, by committing your first dollar to savings before anything else. Be realistic with this and don’t try to save a substantial amount overnight. I can go on but will stop here for now.


  37. I will really feel like a BU member when we drop the formality of Dr. Robinson, so I am blogging as JR from now.

    An article on a blog is definitely a different experience for us academics.


  38. Is CSA in colombia this year ian?


  39. There was a caller to the call-in show today who made the point passionately that she has a problem with the lack of a road map or strategy which is being supported at a national level to generate significant savings and changes. She indicated that she could contrive to the nth degree but in her view the challenge at hand calls for a bigger and more all encompassing effort.


  40. Individual effort is important but I agree its inadequate.

    The Ministry of the environment recently held a breakfast consultation on the issue and i argued strongly that the government and big business have a crucial role to play.

    In my view we do not really have the time for the effects of individual efforts to build up and have a dramatic impact. The crisis is upon us and we need some sort of crisis response.


  41. For example, I think we need to hear a bit more from Sagicor in terms of their successes in alternative energy. They with a successful program would be far more credible than any academic talking about an issue.

  42. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    I am compose when i am composting. 😀

    JR what esactly is the crisis that is upon Barbados as you see it? How am i to view your dire comments with the record number of patrons attending reggea on the hill, and other events?

  43. Birdpickmango Avatar
    Birdpickmango

    Dr Justin
    Thanks for you info on UWI. While that makes good reading, the intrinsic belief systems and values that make for entrepreneur appear to be exception rather than the rule. I know for example Harold Hoyte, James Husbands, The Haloutes of Cheffette, Richard Stoute, Madd Comedians and Cow Williams all had very clear visions, a willingness to succeed and above all took risks. Within that context they created a tension that would generate success once values like cooperation, adding value etc. were added. I am talking about the things that we would be found in books if the above wrote about their success. This quite different from the formal classroom teaching. I speak of the process that artistes use over an over again to create their work. If we step back a little we will notice that Crop Over passed through distinct stages starting way back as carnival with the Jaycees. It grew because of the vision of different people and a change in structure each time. It will continue to oscillate( efficient or inefficient) until its mission is redefined and different structures are put in place. The name Crop over has outlived its usefulness – the festival should not be linked to a dead end. The festival should be renamed Barbados Summer Festival with the following goals: to entertain, create employment, foreign exchange, build relationships, document and archive culture experiences, and develop entrepreneurship. The greatest challenge is to create a model that places the what above the who. Our history could lead us to a model and path similar to the Insurance Corporation or Barbados National Bank with a Board of directors including some of the aforementioned name, perhaps two or three product designers/marketers from overseas and a neutral body like UWI. The entity would promote culture instead of insurance and money. If we have learnt anything from sports development is that business skills and sports skills does not necessary overlap.
    In the short term Cohobopot should be reorganized to promote music for export and primarily entertain visitors. Secondly the internet should be central to every thing. Remember how TV now drives International hockey? The Brand should remain Najan but indeed packaged for export.
    David what saith thou?

  44. Birdpickmango Avatar
    Birdpickmango

    correction – how TV drives International golf


  45. birdpickmango we maybe singing from the same song sheet albeit a different vocal part. Our problem when we start to talk about vision is when placed in the context of Barbados, a small island state, the success of our country will always be hindered by the ‘silo’ approach. Just imagine if we could have a Think Tank in Barbados correctly facilitated (we don’t mean the Sherbourne Affairs) which creates the opportunity for ideas and strategies to cross-pollinate to the national benefit.

    We are too small to be using national resources which may not be working to reposition Barbados in the new global economy.


  46. The oil price stuck above $100 for the foreseeable future constitutes a crisis in my opinion. Such a crisis calls for an urgent national response. As I point out in the article there is a veritable arms race among countries in terms of alternative energy and conservation.

    I want a conversation on solutions where many ideas can contend and possibly be tried and hopefully some useful solutions emerge.

    I just do not think the conversation is animated enough in BIM given the gravity of the situation.

    Where is energy towards the offering of green mortgages and green home and car insurance policies? Where is the drive towards net metering with the power company for firms and households that embrace alternative energy? Where are the green committees at our major firms and institutions?

  47. Micro-Mock Engineer Avatar
    Micro-Mock Engineer

    David & JR,

    The Energy Efficiency focus is important in the short term, but not for the reasons being touted – it will make us more productive and competitive but it will NOT reduce consumption. Improved efficiency (by this I mean extrinsic efficiency in the use of external resources, which is what people usually mean in discussions like this) ALWAYS results in increased overall consumption. For a good “real-life” example of this in action, Google Jevon’s Paradox. There are countless examples… electricity, agriculture, automobiles… Increased Efficiency = Increased Overall Consumption. It surprises me that so many economists don’t recognize this… higher efficiency means lower per unit cost and lower per unit cost means higher demand.

    Intrinsic efficiency is a different story… we could actually learn alot by simply contrasting BBE’s designs with ours… take photosynthesis for example… 2% extrinsic efficiency in converting sunlight reaching earth into living matter, but at an intrinsic efficiency of 95%.

    So let’s do the energy efficiency thing to improve our competitiveness, but don’t lose sight of the bigger problem at hand (i.e. competition over a currently scarce natural resource) which requires an entirely different focus.

    Now… a problem still exists… high intrinsic efficiency (GOOD) could result in high extrinsic efficiency (BAD) unless rigid rules are introduced… in the case of BBE these are rules are the laws of nature… in the case of MMEs these are traditionally regulatory frameworks, duties and taxes aimed at protecting resources. So do we maintain and improve on these regulations as our scientists and engineers unlock natures secrets? Noooooooo… our economists who for the most part treat the consumption of natural capital as income, preach free trade, single economic spaces and deregulation.

    The free trade, liberalization and deregulation movements over the past couple decades has been terribly misguided and partly responsible for many of the problems we are experiencing today – I hate to dwell on the point, but it comes back to politicians pandering to 1. public opinion, 2. special interests with deep pockets and 3. flawed economic theories. We need MORE leaders and LESS politicians… here’s an idea… in addition to energy conservation, lets have a national politician conservation campaign. We could start by cutting the number of seats in parliament in half, and introduce an alternative method of selecting and appointing LEADERS… conventional elections clearly don’t cut it in the twenty-first century… more on this another time.

  48. Gabriel the Horn Blower Avatar
    Gabriel the Horn Blower

    Following the post of Micro-Mock Engineer, I am encouraged to propose that we institute a ‘divinely inspired’ monachy say along the lines of the Tibetans or the ancient Mayas!

    Such a leadership would not have to pander to 1. public opinion (L’Estate c’est moi, let them eat cake…) , 2. special interests with deep pockets (well only those with big guns) nor 3. flawed economic theories (double, double toil and trouble..).

    I plan to blow my horn any day now (or at least some more hot air)!


  49. I fear we might be behind the curve in the adjustment game.

    Recent figures for the US show that sales of domestic light trucks, which includes the SUV category, fell 20.6% in April, even more dramatic than the 18.3% drop between March 2007 and March 2008.

    Reports suggest that combined sales of domestic and imported cars now outnumber light trucks by a significant margin for the first time since 2003.

    Are we going to continue on our current trajectory or will we begin to adjust to a new reality?

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