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justin robinsonSubmitted by Dr. Justin Robinson

Head of Department of Management Studies
UWI, Cave Hill
Tel 417 4299

As one who makes the trek from deep in St. Philip to UWI five days a week, the government’s decision to reverse the policy of subsidizing the price of petroleum products is going to hit me hard in the pocket. However, with oil prices stuck above US$90 per barrel for the last six months and projected to remain there for the foreseeable, fiscal responsibility would almost certainly have required that the government review its policy on subsidizing petroleum products

If the price of oil is likely to remain in the $90 plus range for the foreseeable future ( as most experts suggest), then in my view, households, firms, the government and other organizations need to be weaned from subsidized prices and aggressively embrace energy efficiency. In the meantime, targeted subsidies should be designed for the more vulnerable groups in society.

Energy efficiency has now become a key competitive variable among countries, and there is a veritable arms race among countries for first mover advantages in development and adoption of alternative energy technologies. The range of alternatives being explored is wide and varied from wind, solar and bio-fuels to wave and thermal energy sources. I am no scientist so I have no sense as to which of these if any will succeed as viable alternatives to oil, but it is clear that the imperative to improve energy efficiency must now rise to the top of the agenda for our society.

The previous administration launched a “green budget” in 2007. The various initiatives must now be aggressively marketed and beefed up if necessary. How many households, firms and other organizations have had an energy audit? Are they aware there is a tax break for this? Is the tax break large enough? Have we been training an adequate number of energy auditors?

The new government has a clear and well articulated energy policy in its manifesto. The DLP’s manifesto speaks to tax subsidies for installing solar electric systems in homes and businesses. The DLP manifesto speaks to the establishment of a “Smart Energy Fund” to provide low interest loans to households, firms and organizations seeking to install alternative energy solutions. The DLP manifesto also speaks to solar powering of government buildings. A combination of these measures and net metering with the Barbados Light and Power has the potential to substantially reduce the oil import bill for electricity generation, as well as generate new jobs. I know the policy agenda is quite crowded and there are many competing priorities, but the government may wish to move the above mentioned items up the agenda.

The government also needs to be vigorous in the application of competition policy to prevent abuses in terms of price increases. If energy costs account for 50% of costs then a 50% increase in energy prices should lead to around a 25% increases in prices, if there is full pass through of the price increase. Some of the current discussion suggests a one to one relationship between energy prices and production costs. The relationship between energy prices and production costs varies widely across industries, and the increases in energy prices should be an occasion for price gouging or other exploitation of the consumer.

However, the government can and should only do so much. The rest of the society has to play its part. As a financial economist the developments in the financial sector are of particular interest to me. A recent publication by the United Nations Environment Program Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) highlights a number of products launched by retail financial institutions around the world as they seek to confront the energy efficiency challenge. Commercial banks in Europe and Australia have been at the forefront with a number of initiatives, which I now outline.

Green Mortgages: In general, green mortgages, or energy efficient mortgage (EEMs), provide retail customers with considerably lower interest rates than market rates for clients who purchase new energy efficient homes and/or invest in retrofits, energy efficient appliances or green power. Banks some times provide green mortgages by covering the cost of switching a house from conventional to green power.

Green Home Equity Loans: These are reduced rate home equity loans for homeowners who install renewable energy in their homes.

Green Commercial Building Loans: Attractive loan designs and arrangements have started to emerge for green commercial buildings, characterized by lower energy consumption (-15 to -25%), reduced waste and less pollution than traditional buildings

Green Car Loans: These loans offer below market rates for the purchase of cars with demonstrated high fuel efficiency. These products have grown rapidly in Australia and Europe. Interestingly, most green car loans are offered by credit unions. In 2003 Australia’s MECU took the offered car loans where the credit union considers a fuel efficiency rating associated with the vehicle type and provides a low interest rate accordingly. In addition, for the term of the loan the credit union commits to offsetting 100% of the car’s CO2 emissions. Since the launch of this product the firm has seen a 45% climb in car loans.

Green Cards: Most offer to make NGO donations equal to one-half percent of every purchase, balance transfer or cash advance made by the card owner.

Green Insurance: The premium is linked to the use and this environmental footprint of the vehicle, and green home insurance, where special rates are provided for energy efficient buildings.

Our retail financial services sector justifiably prides itself on being world class and very much in step with the latest trends. I am sure that these green initiatives are shortly going to be available locally. We need them if we are going to spur an aggressive thrust for greater energy efficiency.

Energy efficiency is now a major challenge for every society. It is one Barbados is well positioned to excel in. As a small nation, any programs can have nationwide impact in a short space of time. The government must do its part, and there is a major role for the private sector and the rest of civil society. However, don’t wait for them, let the process begin with you. Start a green committee at your work place and conserve energy at home. I am about to take over my proposal for a green committee at UWI to the principal.


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123 responses to “The Energy Efficiency Challenge”


  1. You go Justin.

    I am in no way qualified to speak about what we may be in a position to do about our energy issue but I am sure that there are engineers and other scientific brains out there who can assist in identifying viable options.

    I am also wondering if James Husbands of Solar Dynamics intends to get into any research with their particular brand of energy as to ways of getting into the national grid.

    Just wondering since I believe that it is every man on deck in these perilous times.


  2. Sam any discussion of a national grid must include the Barbados Light & Power and the government. Common sense required that alternative energy approaches be done as a collective.


  3. I understand that David. It is just that I have not heard anything from that particular company on anything other than hot water systems. Surely there has to be the potential for more.


  4. It is very good to see Dr. Justin Robinson – a so-called financial economist, whatever that is – communicating in the way he has done on this blog with fellow bloggers, and on a matter that is very critical to our future survival as a nation of people in Barbados, this matter being that of identifying and providing for efficient, viable and alternative sources of energy for our country, at such a time when we are faced with very astronomically high world oil prices and the very serious effects that such prices are having on our country, and, too, given the kind of increasing internationalization of the dominant systems of ideology, politics, production, finance, and other things that we have going in this world. Once again, very good, Dr. Robinson, and we hope you engage the blogging public more on many more critical issues affecting the people of Barbados.

    What is troubling to us, though, about your presentation, Dr. Robinson, is that you seek validation for your points about needing to be very energy efficient in alternative ways by making reference to the a publication from the United Nations Environment Program Finance Initiative that “highlights a number of financial products launched by retail financial institutions across the world as they seek to confront the energy efficient challenge”. And you have named some of them: Green Mortgages, Green Home Equity Loans, Green Commercial Building Loans, Green Cards, Gren Car Loans, and Green Insurance. Although you have pointed to such “developments” you, Dr. Robinson, have failed in your article to say how Barbados is going to start implementing such, and the peculiar environment within which such will be implemented, and the modalities that are needed to make such work. The truth is that, though, we are for environmental and ecological greening, we in PDC are totally opposed to anything that suggests so-called financial greening, which seems mainly to be just another brand or version of making the masses and middle classes of Barbados, who have been wickedly for all these years politically exploited by elitist systemic financial means, more vulnerable to another form of destructive economic and financial madness. If we have NOT seriously tackled the profound distresses and malaises brought on the masses and middle classes of people of Barbados by traditional financial poducts, why must we now entertain such madness cloaked in environmental language, Dr. Robinson?
    What mindless intellectual distortions we truly engage in, in the fight to be really accepted!!

    PDC

  5. politically incorrect Avatar
    politically incorrect

    Green or red; the facts to be dealt with more efficiently are how are Bajans to survive when things turn brown ???– which happens to be a mixture of green and red.

    Correctly said but not quite explicit enough does PDC say that these “retail financial institutions across the world, as they seek to confront the energy efficient challenge”………….
    are not in the business of “confronting” these challenges for no small personal gain. It might even be said that they are “exploiting” these challenges.

    “The borrower is in debt to the lender” how many Bajans who think they own a house or a car or whatever they have on mortgage will be able in a financial downturn to maintain their ownership of same or even worse not be enslaved just to put bread in their mouths?

    So” green” or whatever colour you may choose to call it, it is still a form of entrapment. A debt for consumables for a house and other fittings is still an entrapment it is not financial wisdom.

    Old time Bajans would have said “You hung your hat to high”.


  6. […] The Energy Efficiency Challenge Green Home Equity Loans: These are reduced rate home equity loans for homeowners who install renewable energy in their homes. […]


  7. politically correct if people have to accumulate debt would it not be better to use the debt to create a situation where the national economy benefits? If collectively we consume items which are energy savers the country benefits. It seems that your assumption is that the country of Barbados will collapse. Even Haiti has football stadia and other recreational facilities. Social development cannot be totally ignored, even in the hardest economic times.

    We find Dr. Robinson’s article interesting for another reason. It is currently the third most read in the last 48 hours. We would have thought that given the economic crisis which looms that we would all be reading and making suggestions. Even at this stage we are prepared to say that Barbadians continue to live in a fools paradise.

  8. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    PDC, so called Financial Economists are Economists who focus their teaching and research on financial institutions and markets.

    I do not believe there is any one magic bullet to solve the energy problems. So yes PDC I don have any grand solution of my own. However, I think the various elements of society have to do their little part.

    I am throwing out a challenge to the retail financial institutions to consider offering some products that might spur energy efficiency.

    I am throwing out a challenge to regular citizens to do what they can at home and at work to spur energy efficiency. A similar challenge goes out to businesses and NGOs.

  9. Knight of the Long Knives Avatar
    Knight of the Long Knives

    I have wondered for a while why low sulfur diesel which is available in the U.S has not reached the shores of Barbados as yet. This would allow us to import 1.4 & 1.6 diesel Corollas, Sentra Mazda 3’s etc. That should greatly reduce our fuel bill. Fuel consumption should literally drop by half and spoke to a civil servant in the ministry about 3 years ago and they said the were activiely trying to source it but it was not available in the U.S at that point so it would have to be imported from Europe (or Martinique?) it is now fully available in the U.S so it should be easy to get it here now so Why Not?

  10. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    It would certainly be useful to hear from those more knowledgeable about the details of importing such fuel.

  11. Trained Economist Avatar
    Trained Economist

    The credit union movement has been the most innovative in BIM. Maybe they might embrace some energy efficient financial products. I do not hold out any hope for the rest of the sector.

    The problem, Robinson, is that the subsidies from the last government has lulled the country into a false sense of security and prosperity. Instead of looking to adjust players in the economy are looking for more government relief.


  12. Knight of the Long Knives
    I have wondered for a while why low sulfur diesel which is available in the U.S has not reached the shores of Barbados as yet.
    _________________________________
    KLK
    I, too, am amazed that we have not yet sourced this fuel. Perhaps Simpson Oil can fill us in on why not. After all, Simpson Motors would benefit greatly if their brands could offer diesel-powered vehicles. Something tells me that we are stuck in some agreement to import the crap from Trinidad. I’d love to be wrong.


  13. We found it interesting while listening to Richard Cozier CEO of Banks Brewery on the afternoon call in to hear him say the following: Barbadians need to beef up exports to generate foreign exchange so that Barbadian can support their current lifestyles.

    This is why we agree with all those who feel Barbadians changing behaviours will be a tough nut to crack.


  14. Justin:
    Good to see the boys on the hill finally making a contribution in public.
    Unfortunately, what has been plaguing the entire Caribbean region (Barbados in particular), is our implementation deficit. There’s no shortage of ideas, policy papers, green papers, strategy documents, consultants’ reports or recommendations.
    In fact with all the studies that have been done, there’s enough to keep us busy for the next 20 years if we would just implement.
    I’m afraid however that the current administration has already fallen into the trap of “TALKING MORE THAN DOING!” … all they really need to do is to take the reports off the shelves and start to implement…
    It’s hardly about limited financial resources either…it’s about decision-making, will power, and testicular fortitude to implement and make things happen.
    Maybe oil hitting $120 a barrel will be a good thing…such an external squeeze will pressure everyone into changing their attitudes…
    All in all…this will be a one-term administration. That’s my agenda…


  15. Ian Walcott we are sure that Dr. Robinson can defend himself but we must chime in. It is regretable when our educated cannot critique based on value positions but instead expose the polarization which continue to exist in Barbados at a time when a bi-partisan approach is required. Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?


  16. David // April 30, 2008 at 7:09 pm

    Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?
    =================================
    ha ha ha ha, no way could it be. ๐Ÿ˜€ if it is has he returned to Barbados yet? Did he ever leave as promised? ๐Ÿ˜€


  17. I believe that Barbados has the creative intelligence, resolve and resources to respond to to the any energy crisis. History has shown that during adversity we may complain but we ultimately make the behavior changes that we resisted under times of progress. During the Sandiford period of adversity, a woman sold her big car, bought a peace of land and then purchased a second hand car with the remainder. Even though she was financially better off she still vented her anger on Sandiford. During that same period several road side food based business sprung up and still exist near After Dark and its environs.
    Besides alternative energy sources, the macro challenges include a 24 hour effective air – conditioned transportation system with parking bays; a limited form of staggered working hours; tax credits or impositions that signal energy saving as a priority; a thrust in non traditional areas like education and culture as sources of foreign exchange; and a public health campaign promoting the virtues of exercise.
    At the individual level Barbadians must not see slavery and colonialism as all bad and recognize adversity can be a friend in deed.
    We must remember that unlike other islands and someparts of the USA, if a family has to give one of three cars, or a child returns to their parents three bedroom house, or a family goes to Silver Sands instead of a cruise, or cook their meals instead ofeating out every weekend, in none of the afore mentioned situations, no one will hungry our on the street.


  18. Dr Robinson,

    I would like to challenge your suggestion that a rational response to the current crisis can be found in energy efficiency and conservation.

    I suggest to you that in fact, the last 60 years represented a most unusual ‘blip’ in history. During this period, a significant percentage of humanity was able to achieve levels of development which were so much above what can be reasonably expected (based on the earth’s resources and its population) that IT REPRESENTS A SITUATION WHICH IS UNSUSTAINABLE.

    It is somewhat like having all your ancestors saving their pennies for the last two centuries, accumulating a million dollar fund, and you then living a glamorous life at a rate which would exhaust the funds in 2 years.
    One month from the end of the 2 -year splurge, you consider improved efficiency as a tactic to allow you to maintain your lifestyle???

    I think not.

    What is needed is a crash course in learning how to live at a sustainable rate, based on the long term resources available to you.

    Anyone who really thinks that a typical Bajan worker could REALLY afford to pay the TRUE value of a complex engineering miracle like a Japanese Auto, a home that is better that that of almost any Royal palace of past generations, annual holidays in distant lands, etc …..needs to pinch themselves awake….

    We just happen to be in the right place and time to benefit from the splurging of earths resources during the last century or so.

    No way that the world’s 6.7 Billion people can maintain such lifestyles, and no way either, that small segments will be allowed to continue to do so to the exclusion of large population blocks.

    What conservation what?!?

    ….What we need to face is REALITY.

  19. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    Bush tea, is energy efficiency not part part of reality and a sustainable lifestyle?

    I agree with the implementation deficit argument. But it does seem a tad early to assess the ability of this administration to implement.

    A question I have is why have the financial institutions in other countries offered these green products but we have not seen similar initiatives here?


  20. During the last election period in Barbados, we did much campaigning concerning the fact that not only were we in PDC pressing voters to understand the real need for a serious rational alternative path of social, political, material and financial development for Barbados, given that there have for a long time too many dysfunctions and deficiencies related to existing social, political, material and financial systems in Barbados, but also we were responding to the fact that many, many citizens that we were interacting with were seeing the need for Barbados to evolve viable alternative modal paths of social, political, material and financial development.

    The truth was that at the time of the last election period, and still is, given that PDC has been continuing to canvass many of our citizenry on many burning national issues, many citizens of Barbados were craving for substantial social, political, material and financial change for the country and for the better, away from what presently continues to cause them to lose hope, satisfaction and valor in relationship to the mass stagnation and decline that are experienced by them in society, the polity, production and finance. Too, it did NOT take an election in which the PDC participated for us to know that so many Barbadians not only wish for change, but also wish to be fairly certain as to what kinds of changes we were proposing.

    With regard to the latter, ever since our emergence in January, 2005, we have been correctly sensing that many thousands of Barbadians wish to be further liberated and enriched away from the oppressed and decadent state in which they have been living for some while. Therefore, we have long come up with a plethora of very rational, people-centered, alternative, and developmentalist measures, many of which are found in our Pre-election Manifesto 2006, in our Election Manifesto 2008, and which were dealt with substantially before and during the election period, that are oriented around making life far better and brighter than for the masses and middle classes of people of Barbados. One of these measures that is so very important to our party relates to making sure that Goods and Services into Barbados are Zero-“priced” at ALL points of entry in Barbados.

    The point is that if we were at the helm of government today – and for that mate since the 15 Jan 2008 – we would have already started to implement such a policy with a view of making sure that whereas the volume of annual imports into this country would be remaining on an upward long-term growth path, that the cost of these imports to the country’s final local consumers would be being totally minimised in the long term. In that case then, citizens would not have had to be worrying – like is the case now – about whether the country’s food or fuel import bills are too high, and if they are too high, about the government seeking to make the masses and middle classes poorer because of particular measures that it would be unnecessarily and savagely imposing on them in order to help curb such imports.

    PDC

  21. politically incorrect Avatar
    politically incorrect

    There are none so blind as those that do not wish to see.

    All kinds of modalities for enslavement and impoverishment of former colonial countries have been proffered as being “socially responsible” “socially responsive” blah, blah, blah……..Gold Coast…………Ghana……….Nigeria…………….and the list goes on.

    How come Haiti, which was one of the first independent countries in this hemisphere is still rated as one of the poorest in the world? The social amenities had nothing to do with enriching the people, it was a distraction from the issues at hand.

    Queen Elizabeth the First was credited as saying to Sir Walter Raleigh “If you can’t feed them at least entertain them”.

    Generations from now if Barbados survives as a nation, historians will be talking about “squandermania” “irresponsible leadership” and “wrong choices”.

    Most of the cricketing stars that Barbados revels over didn’t start cricket in any stadium, they started in a road and the most revered learned to play cricket with a coconut bat and marbles. If his skills in the same game could be developed to that high standard from such rudimentary equipment and for all of the improvement in the facilities and equipment we have not been able to generate a comparable cricketer.

    Can’t some Block Head out there add and subtract? That we are investing our resources in the wrong avenues?

    Further, when my grandparents got married, they took their savings and bought a “chattel” house. When my children get married, I don’t even think they would have sufficient savings to outright buy a motor car.

    When my father started work, he and his father bought their first car out of one month’s pay. If you hear the sum of what they worked for you would suck your teeth on the numbers but the money had value, sufficient that a beginning employee and a seasoned employee could put together and buy a car.

    In other words the money we have in circulation in Barbados has lost value. It has lost purchasing power because we are spending more than we are earning and saving and we are spending it on concrete monoliths.

    If Barbados has a minor national disaster every Barbadian will either have to shut their mouth about it that it does not get into the international news or they will have to shut their mouth because they have nothing to eat. Tourism would die. It is a fickle business and we have taken the proceeds of generations and squandered it on extravagances that do not produce one cent — only promises.

    When Tom Adams won the Island Scholarship there were five scholarships. The last Island Scholarship awards were in excess of thirty something. Barbadians appear to be better educated but they are less frugal with their earnings, hurrying after temporary pleasures which must lead to energy wastage, resource wastage, environmental contamination and other negatives.

    The PDC had better recognize that there needs to be a grass roots movement towards a new social structure that the PDC can lead but the PDC nor any other political party will ever be able to impose upon the people a culture that is more frugal and self-sustaining. It can’t come from outside influences — The UN, and all the “Green” this and that. It must come from the “Heart” of the people.


  22. Justin:

    I congratulate you on your continuing attempts at bringing rigour and relevance to the discussion of important topics on the blogs. However, you are going to have a continuing battle with those whose grey matter has atrophied and whose agenda is to obfuscate.

    You said:

    “Energy efficiency is now a major challenge for every society. It is one Barbados is well positioned to excel in. As a small nation, any programs can have nationwide impact in a short space of time. The government must do its part, and there is a major role for the private sector and the rest of civil society. However, donโ€™t wait for them, let the process begin with you. Start a green committee at your work place and conserve energy at home. I am about to take over my proposal for a green committee at UWI to the principal.”

    My comment is that the only thing that motivates Bajans is the perception that there is easy money to be made. It is this “money illusion” that has got us into the troubles of the 1990s and beyond.

    I am willing to continue to work with you, as we have done to educate DE, to ensure that our political leaders properly understand the issues with which they have to deal. I don’t bother too much about the foolish talk that the current DLP administration is a “one-term” one. If the majority of Bajans want to revert to a situation where somebody like Owen Arthur subjects them to a further fourteen years of perverted policies, then so be it. I’m pretty sure that I will not be around, and my children have had the common sense to stay far from this benighted Rock.

    But for now, don’t give up the shi(t)p!


  23. Doc,
    The problem that I have with ‘energy efficiency’ concepts, is that they suggests mechanisms for sustaining current lifestyles, by being more efficient in consumption.
    The reality has been that, despite dramatic advances in engineered efficiency improvements, the end results have always been INCREASED CONSUMPTION.
    (for example, while car engines have increased significantly in efficiency over the past 20 years, we have moved to BIGGER cars and MORE powerful engines instead of better usage of resources.

    My point however, is that we are now BEYOND the point of sustaining current global consumption. While very productive societies may continue to enjoy relative success for a while, NON productive societies (those without unique desired products and services) will decline significantly in the global competition for scarce resources.

    We have two choices now.

    1 – Proactively reduce our consumption to sustainable levels that are justified by our levels of PRODUCTIVITY (which is dismal)… or

    2 – Wait and fool ourselves about our ‘right’ to this level of ‘development’ and allow the natural forces of competition and the current global business realities to play out and FORCE the change on us.

    … There are no other realistic options, and option number 2 has been played out many times across our world in recent times. I predict that in the next year there will be a frightening number of such national failures.

    Option 1 is ‘doable’.

    It is about being able to do basic things for ourselves;

    Like actually living within our means

    like producing our foods basic necessities ourselves.

    like reducing our energy consumption to what we can actually afford nationally.

    Like riding bicycles.

    Like abandoning our current BORROW and spend approach to living in Barbados.

    Personally, I would scrap the ‘free trade’ approach imposed by the World Bank and their allies over the past 2 decades and reinstall the trade levees and port taxes that encourage and protect local production and discouraged cheap imports…. but that is only foolish Bush tea…


  24. I wonder what yard stick the PDC strategist is using to measure the growth or otherwise of Barbados? Maybe PDC can explain how a party that could organize a campaign to win at least one seat be so confident that they would be able to push a button and solve the cost of living issue. Any comparison of the quality of life of Barbadians and many of some of the developed countries will be favorable. Other than size there is no difference between Cave Shepherd and major department stores in NewYork. Most secondary school students who transfer to the USA are usually ahead by two grade levels.
    There are sport bars in Barbados that will compete with any in the USA. It is time
    Barbadians recognize that there are somethings that we do well. By the way when is the last time one saw a really old car in Barbados?


  25. The greatest paradox Barbados faces appear to be having educated its citizens to a high level, and which has created a level of expectation which links a comfortable lifestyle and consumption expenditure, now we are telling these people who have this inbred behaviour they have to change almost overnight. it will never happen. Even as riots are happening in the world and some of the most developed economies are rolling out economic measures to buffer the economic shocks which are creating havoc in their economies, Barbadians still have not made the quantum leap into reality of awareness. Yet we call ourselves educated, paradoxical behaviour indeed!


  26. Dr. Justin Robinson,

    We contend that much of the push that we are right now observing by many people in Barbados towards becoming more energy efficient – primarily suggests that those same people and many others in different ways continue to be unfortunately manipulated into doing so by many greater external powers and forces.

    Such external powers and forces, Dr. Robinson, are currently seeking to create a massive global economic and financial depression so as to help restore for them much of the power, control, wealth and status they are losing to many others in different realms. The problem for them is that the world may be becoming too unmanageable and too far removed from their controlling axes (North Korea’s Nuclear Weapons Development, Zimbabwe, Venezuela, the Sudan/Darfur conflict), and thus such trends may altogether be causing them to lose the said much power, control, wealth and status to many other people – some of whom are from the so-called Far East – and some of whom they do not trust or who they think may wish to control and exploit them ultimately (the Chinese). For them, Dr. Robinson, the solution to this problem is to help create global chaos and misery, and uncertainty and fear among many millions of esp. poor people, and to get their proprietary or associated global media and communication empires and channels to help produce news and information to help produce such effects.

    But, the fact of the matter for these people, Sir, is that they may have waited to late to do what they are seeking to do – creating this massive global economic and financial depression, given they have been slow to react to the fact that the Chinese and the Indians have been for some time becoming more politically powerful, and have been for a fair time increasingly looking to invest in the resources rich African continent, and the fact that, in a mutual way, too, many countries on the African continent are increasingly looking to those two countries for improved trade and investment relations, nevermind what these people say or instruct otherwise (Negative talk from some US officials about cheap loans from China to African countries, Collapse of the plan to place the US Military African Command in Africa itself) – yet, must speak a lot to why these people are behaving in this way, and they will in the near to long term seek increasing use of global, hemispheric and regional councils like the WTO, OAS, NATO, to further push and impose their agendas on esp. weaker countries and regions, out of their frustration and bitterness of NOT having the huge amounts power, wealth, etc, like before, to force or persuade many other countries to conform to their own dreaded designs (The insurgents in Iraq and Afghanistan are indeed teaching these people lessons in resistance and non-conformity, and which are lessons that are costing them tremendously).

    Dr. Robinson, the fact that the said Chinese and Indians have NOT been made to suffer badly from much of the current global economic and financial turbulence, and are still therefore recording strong economic growth rates, does suggest too that these people will go as far as to seek to deliberately unconscionably increase the so-called prices of many internationally traded goods and services within their reaches, and thus help to create many balance of payments and foreign exchange problems for many developing countries, so that they can eventually flood many developing countries’ markets with many substitutive cheaper and inferior goods and services, and, too, will seek to depress many prices commodities and services markets across the world so that they can move in with their own ideas and programs as to how to they can help rebuild such markets and countries (UN Task Force to tackle the global food crisis, financial greening products) – must be seen by PDC as ways in which these people will still be thinking that they will be competing with relatively low costing Chinese and Indian industrial and manufacturing goods and services in a very indirect manner, notwithstanding that much of their countries’ debts are increasingly being held by the Chinese and others.

    In the end, Dr. Robinson, it is how the Chinese and Indians, to a greater extent, and many African countries, to a lesser extent, react to these power plays and wealth manipulating schemes, et al, by these people, with ones of their own that will help determine whether the balance of power will reside with the West or the East in the long term; whether this planned massive global economic and financial depression by these people will actually take place; whether oil and some other commodities will continue to skyrocket further in the long run; and whether we in Barbados will continue to suffer from serious leadership and governance problems that involve our being unable to withstand the nefarious manipulations and sinister designs of these external powers and forces.

    PDC


  27. Inadvertencies: paragraph 3, line 13/14 – yet, such must speak a lot as to why; paragraph 3, line 14 – “why” inserted between “and” and “they”; paragraph 4, line 11 – insert “go as far as to” between “will” and “seek”.

    PDC


  28. To the blogger, politically correct

    While we will agree with you that there is a need for a new political mass movement for Barbados – which we, along with so many others, are working so hard to help create – we are still of the the view that many of the masses and middle classes will ultimately determine which party or which ever other political group will lead it. What we will also say to you is that we the members and associates of PDC are about making sure that many, many people in Barbados get more educated about the benefits and costs associated with our brand of maximum sustainable growth and development for this country, which we obviously love so dearly.

    To the blogger, Birdpickmango

    Some of the same ones that top government and private sector officials in Barbaos use to help them measure the progress, or lack there of, that we as a country are making or not in whatever directions, and mainly such progress or not in regard of corresponding points in time (some times plausibly comparing “similar periods” with other “similar periods”, and NOT Barbados with other countries), and mainly to see whether or not we are maximising our potentialities at given periods of time, given whatever levels of human skills, resources, assets and money we have available in the country. Any yardsticks that we think are too Euro-centric, too laden with false assumptions and propositions, and that will therefore lead to false conclusions, we discard. E.g we refuse to deal with inflation figures presented from time to time in different ways and by different persons in Barbados, because of the reality of the fact of inflation being so totally non-existent, and, too, because of the ways how some so-called economists and statisticians in Barbados and elsewhere purport to go about defining and measuring for it, such ways being philosophically and logically flawed and untenable, indeed.

    Following on from a couple statements above, and with regard to the idea of using some yardsticks to measure how, say, Barbados progressively/regressively compares with other countries, we hardly like to make such comparisons between Barbados and other countries. Hence, only when it is absolutely valid and logical for us to do so, given the circumstances prevailing in those cases of the need to compare Barbados with other countries, will we seek to use such yard sticks. It is so hard to compare the so-called economic development of Barbados with that of Jamaica at any point in time if because, e.g, Barbados has so fewer people, natural resources, far less material access to the big USA, than Jamaica has got.

    Sir/Madam, on the question of the cost of living in Barbados, the cost of living can be seriously reduced in this country. But, there must be at least three factors involved at the national political level:

    1) there must be great amounts of positive political leadership will involved;

    2) a sense of ideological and political conviction being displayed by such leadership, and that knows that what it is doing is right, just and purposeful, and that such is being carried out in the interest of esp. the masses and middle classes of people of Barbados, and the country itself; and,

    3) a sense of methodological preciseness, coherence and clarity on the part of such leadership in regard of the use of those political, planning, research, statistical, and financial and material methods and results that will be used to help achieve the overarching political and social objective of reducing the cost of living.

    In addition to using those and some other apposite factors in order to assist in reducing the cost of living in Barbados, our party is definitely sure that by achieving the Abolition of TAXATION; that by the Abolition of Interest Rates; that by the Abolition of All Exchange RATES parities with the Barbados Dollar; that by the Abolition of Motor Vehicle Insurance; that by Making Imports of Goods and Services zero-“priced” at ALL points of entry; and that by instituting a national centralised “price” setting mechanism for many goods and services, et al, that the cost of living will, on the whole, be drastically reduced in the long term in Barbados.

    PDC


  29. David // April 30, 2008 at 11:54 pm

    The greatest paradox Barbados faces appear to be having educated its citizens to a high level, and which has created a level of expectation which links a comfortable lifestyle and consumption expenditure, now we are telling these people who have this inbred behaviour they have to change almost overnight. it will never happen. Even as riots are happening in the world and some of the most developed economies are rolling out economic measures to buffer the economic shocks which are creating havoc in their economies, Barbadians still have not made the quantum leap into reality of awareness. Yet we call ourselves educated, paradoxical behaviour indeed!

    ********************************************
    David, I think that the problem with your analysis (and many of the contributors to this post) is that it is at variance with generally accepted conclusions regarding what is the core motivation of economic behaviour. Granted, there may be other determinants of economic behaviour that vary in time and space, but the major objective of human beings ACTING AS ECONOMIC AGENTS is to maximise consumption. Saving is an activity in which persons engage with the objective reducing current consumption to maximise it later.

    One of the problems that persons who try to influence national behaviour is that people’s choices are heavily influenced by present value calculations – anything that is worth having is worth having NOW! Why do you think people contract HIV/AIDS even where condoms are freely available? (Ok, that one is below the belt!!) Worse yet, can you imagine that in the USA two of the Presidential contenders are proposing the suspension of the gasolene tax for the summer to allow people to drive around more??!! Tells us something about the craft of politics, doesn’t it?

  30. Green Monkey Avatar

    Exponential growth patterns have our backs against the wall. Most of today’s economists insists that we need to keep perpetual economic growth going to provide employment and the necessities of life for a country’s population. After all, if economic growth stops we run into recessions and depressions resulting in layoffs, bankruptcies, homelessness etc.

    Over the last 150 years economic growth had been easy to maintain as we had plenty of cheap and easily available oil to provide the energy to support that growth. As world economies industrialised and became more complex and economic activity increased, we just stuck straws into the ground at various locations and sucked out of the earth steadily increasing quantities of the energy (in the form of cheap oil) we needed to support all this activity.

    As world economies grew over the last 100 years or so, so did world oil consumption. Unfortunately most people don’t have a clue as to the impact that even small but constant increases in consumption can have in relatively short period of time on the quantity of a resource which might initially have appeared bountiful and in plentiful supply. As physics professor Albert Bartlett puts it in his talk on exponential growth and resource consumption: “The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.”

    I am going to snip below an example Professor Bartlett uses in his lecture on exponential growth to show how the limits to exponential growth patterns in a finite environment don’t clearly make themselves evident until it is almost too late to do anything about it, or a crisis is almost inevitable. Keep in mind when following this example that world oil consumption has been increasing on average around 2% per year for the last 15 years giving a consumption doubling time of 35 years. If due to the increased demand coming from China, India etc., the annual increase in world consumption went from 2% to 3%, then the doubling time would be down to 23.3 years. A 4% annual increase in world consumption would mean the doubling time would drop to 17.5 years. (To find the doubling time divide the number 70 by the annual percentage increase).

    Here is Professor Bartlett’s example:

    Bacteria grow by doubling. One bacterium divides to become two, the two divide to become 4, the 4 become 8, 16 and so on. Suppose we had bacteria that doubled in number this way every minute. Suppose we put one of these bacteria into an empty bottle at 11:00 in the morning, and then observe that the bottle is full at 12:00 noon. There’s our case of just ordinary steady growth: it has a doubling time of one minute, itโ€™s in the finite environment of one bottle.

    I want to ask you three questions. Number one: at what time was the bottle half full? Well, would you believe 11:59, one minute before 12:00? Because they double in number every minute.

    And the second question: if you were an average bacterium in that bottle, at what time would you first realise you were running of space? Well, letโ€™s just look at the last minutes in the bottle. At 12:00 noon, itโ€™s full; one minute before, itโ€™s half full; 2 minutes before, itโ€™s a quarter full; then an 1?8th; then a 1?16th. Let me ask you, at 5 minutes before 12:00, when the bottle is only 3% full and is 97% open space just yearning for development, how many of you would realise thereโ€™s a problem?

    SNIP

    Well, suppose that at 2 minutes before 12:00, some of the bacteria realise theyโ€™re running out of space, so they launch a great search for new bottles. They search offshore on the outer continental shelf and in the overthrust belt and in the Arctic, and they find three new bottles. Now thatโ€™s an incredible discovery, thatโ€™s three times the total amount of resource they ever knew about before. They now have four bottles, before their discovery, there was only one. Now surely this will give them a sustainable society, wonโ€™t it?

    You know what the third question is: how long can the growth continue as a result of this magnificent discovery? Well, look at the score: at 12:00 noon, one bottle is filled, there are three to go; 12:01, two bottles are filled, there are two to go; and at 12:02, all four are filled and thatโ€™s the end of the line.

    Now, you don’t need any more arithmetic than this to evaluate the absolutely contradictory statements that weโ€™ve all heard and read from experts who tell us in one breath we can go on increasing our rates of consumption of fossil fuels, in the next breath they say โ€œDon’t worry, we will always be able to make the discoveries of new resources that we need to meet the requirements of that growth.โ€

    http://globalpublicmedia.com/transcripts/645

    If you have a high speed connection and Real Player installed on your PC you can watch Professor Bartlett’s presentation here (downloadable audio MP3 also available):
    http://globalpublicmedia.com/dr_albert_bartlett_arithmetic_population_and_energy

    I also recommend people watch the DVD “Money As Debt” ) (http://www.moneyasdebt.net ), as it explains how our debt based/fractional reserve monetary systems force us into economic systems that need perpetual growth in order to stave off economic collapse. If you have a high speed connection you can also watch it on line at Google Video:

    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=5352106773770802849

    โ€œOne thing to realize about our fractional reserve banking system is that, like a childโ€™s game of musical chairs, as long as the music is playing, there are no losers.โ€

    Andrew Gause, Monetary Historian
    http://paulgrignon.netfirms.com/MoneyasDebt/references.htm

    Also people can take a look at the website http://www.steadystate.org which promotes the idea that we need to get off this perpetual growth pattern as it is not sustainable (in spite of what the economists tell us) in the finite world we happen to inhabit.

    Why is economic growth a threat to economic sustainability, national security, and international stability?

    To grow, an economy requires more natural capital, including soil, water, minerals, timber, other raw materials, and energy sources. When the economy grows too fast or gets too big, this natural capital is depleted, or “liquidated.” To function smoothly, the economy also requires an environment that can absorb and recycle pollutants. When natural capital stocks are depleted, and/or the capacity of the environment to absorb pollutants is exceeded, the economy is forced to shrink.

    National security, meanwhile, is a function of economic sustainability. The economic strife of a nation may result in insurrection or revolution, and eventually the nation-state may turn its agressions outward. From the Nazi doctrine of Lebensraum to the 21st century powder kegs, war invariably involves, and often revolves around, struggles for resources by nations that have exceeded their ecological capacities – or have had their capacities impacted by other states.

    Can’t technology alleviate the threat of economic growth?

    Some economists think that, because a particular production process can become more efficient (more output per unit of natural capital), there is no limit to economic growth. These economists and โ€œtechnological optimistsโ€ are disregarding the second law of thermodynamics, the entropy law, which tells us that we cannot achieve 100% efficiency in the economic production process. When the entropy law is applied across all economic sectors, or in other words when the limits to efficiency have been reached, the only remaining way to grow the economy is by using more natural capital (including energy).

    Remember: to think there is no limit to growth on a finite planet is precisely, mathematically equivalent to thinking that you may have a stabilized, steady state economy on a perpetually shrinking planet. Both claims are precisely, equally ludicrous! (my emphasis /GM)

    http://www.steadystate.org/CASSEFAQs.html#anchor_83

    Finally, to understand why the switch to alternative energy and alternative fuel sources as a replacement for high EROEI (energy returned on energy invested), energy dense, and versatile petroleum is not a simple matter, here are “Nine Critical Questions to Ask About Alternative Energy”:

    Nine Critical Questions to Ask About Alternative Energy

    May 27, 2003, 1400 PDT (FTW) — Before we instantly accept alternative energy lifeboats that will let us keep our current lifestyles, don’t you think it wise to see if they float?

    Here are nine questions that you must ask of yourself, and anyone who claims that they have found a perfect alternative to oil. After answering these questions, you may have a better idea about whether you want to jump (or throw your family) into something that might sink in short order.

    Deluding yourself that the energy problem has been solved only guarantees that the crisis will hit you and the planet much harder in the end.

    http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/052703_9_questions.html

    See also Why Hydrogen is no Solution at:
    http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/081803_hydrogen_answers.html

    And The Paradox of Production at:
    http://thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/2008/03/paradox-of-production.html

  31. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    Well bush tea, while I do not share your bleak assessment about future consumption possibilities, it is an argument with its own merits and should not be dismissed out of hand. A number of well respected commentators would agree with you.

    I would suggest a read of the article “Food Prices and Malthusian Economics–Posner’s Comment” on the Becker-Posner blog, for some different perspectives on your argument. http://www.becker-posner-blog.com/archives/2008/04/food_prices_and_1.html This is one of the most popular economics blogs.

    The basic point of my article is that the issues of energy efficiency and alternative energy have assumed a level of urgency around the world that I do not see in Bim.

    The financial services sector is not exactly known for “greenness’, but the fact that they have moved to offering green financial products as mentioned in the article is one example of the urgency attached to the issue.

    Germany, not exactly known for sunshine, began investing heavily in solar in the year 2000. By 2007 reports suggested that Germany’s photovoltaic systems were generating about 3,000 megawatts of power — 1,000 times more than in 1990. Solar power has also become a major industry generating over 25,000 jobs.

    http://www.boston.com/news/world/europe/articles/2007/07/30/cloudy_germany_unlikely_hotspot_for_solar_power/

    Just about every major university around the world has launched a green campus initiative in recent years. The Harvard university green initiative is one of the most extensive and well known.
    http://www.greencampus.harvard.edu/

    Major companies and NGOs around the world have established “green committees” to improve the energy efficiency and sustainability of their organizations.

    Despite our high level of development and sophistication, I do not see a similar level of urgency here in Bim.

    I guess I am being idealistic and hoping that in some tiny way I can kick start a larger discussion and hopefully some urgency on the issue.


  32. Linchh we agree with your submission 100%. In rebuttal maybe we need to clarify that when we talk of Barbadians we are doing so as a collective i.e.government, NGOs and other important organs in the country. Regretablely we are observing these organs behaving in a manner NOT to influence national behaviour.


  33. OK Doc, your perspective is taken. However after a read of the post by Green Monkey are you not concerned that we are in the last minute of that bottle analogy?

    I am not saying that the earth will explode, but certainly life as we knew it for the last 40 years IS NOT SUSTAINABLE.

    There has never been a time like this in history. Not on this scale. Such magnitude of change cannot but have repercussions of biblical proportions.

    The reason that Barbados has not made any serious moves to diversify out energy philosophy is simple…. There has been no kind of real leadership in Barbados since Errol Barrow.

    Our ‘leaders’ have been and continue to be jokers who cannot even successfully manage their own personal lives, far less a complex national infrastructure.

    Can you see anyone on Light & Power’s management standing for anything that represents the slightest risk? or that has not been done by everyone else already?

    There are many reasons for this, including a misdirected education system, a general lack of self confidence and no real guidance from our educated (thinking?) elite. (you and Profs Howard and Downes possibly excepted)

    Had we been WISE enough say 25 years ago after the first oil crisis, and taken serious steps to develop the kind of initiatives that you now espouse, we would now be in a much better position to survive the next few years.

    I seem to recall that Prof Headley single handedly attempted to demonstrate the viability of Solar energy as an option for Barbados… what assistance did he get from UWI? and what happened after he died?

    … but as you say, I am a pessimist (I think a realist who REALLY understand what is happening to our world).

    I certainly hope that I will be proved wrong in this case…. it would be a pleasant failing for Bush tea.

  34. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    One thing we can do is to take the democracy beyond voting in elections and calmly accepting changes of government.

    We can now take the democracy to the level of actively lobbying governments, ngos and the private sector to act on issues of importance.

    I have no doubt that the green financial products are largely a response to an active citizenry.

  35. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    Many now accept the view that industrialization, high consumption, wasteful production, population growth, and lack of regulatory controls on disposal all place extraordinary pressures on life supporting
    resources.

    If that is your point we do not really hold radically different positions. I fully agree that we may be at a point where it cannot be business as usual.

    My issue is what can we as a society do to respond to the challenges that have arisen. There is no magic bullet, but surely we must begin to build a coalition, consensus and energy to take the steps we can.

  36. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    The demands of sustainability require that we change all areas of production, consumption and organization.

    โ€ข Sustainability is a moving target
    Therefore we need to be skilled in the process of change itself
    โ€ข Develop individual change agent capacities
    โ€ข Establish learning organization capacities
    โ€ข Engage in continuous adaptation as individuals and organizations

    This is no easy task and I hope my language does not sound too academic

  37. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    Oh by the way, Green monkey and Bush tea, history has taught us not to be too dismissive of the role of technology and human ingenuity in solving our problems.


  38. If it is all I can say BU is that this thread is one of the best I have ever followed here, and you are way more reasonable/fair than the other one which shall remain nameless.
    I am hoping for the best and trying to make adjustments but this may also mean that I have to limit my time on the internet as well. After all it is all consumption.
    I believe that until we as a race are forced to stop or reduce our consumption, we will continue to consume, consume, consume regardles of the cost.
    Indeed, we tend to want to let people believe that we are better off than them hence the need for various types of cars, houses, divorces, private schools, private jets and the list could go on.
    I maintain that what makes us the same are unchangeable while what may make us diferent is just superficial.
    It is obviously not going to be an easy time in the next few years. Oil is not unlimited like air.

  39. Donald Duck, Esq Avatar
    Donald Duck, Esq

    We need the Electric company and the state oil company to let us know on a weekly basis what our energy consumption is. We should set targets for a reduction of say 10 to 20% and see if the country is achieving it.


  40. Dr Robinson,

    I am keen to come on board with you in the hope that strong action on greening and conservation can be instituted in Barbados. I will also play my part – honestly.

    But I happen to be aware that far from solving mankind’s problems, technology has in fact been the main catalyst of many of the major problems that we face as a civilization.

    …I will grant you that scientists have created some outstanding technologies that has positively impacted on our lives… as to whether or not they actually solved ‘problems’ is another matter. This would require clarification of exactly what the ‘problem’ that was being addressed was…

    However you package it Doc, it is extremely difficult to dismiss Green Monkeys analysis which suggest that we are sitting on the deck of the Titanic, speculating about the water rising below deck -while reassuring ourselves that the vessel was advertised as ‘unsinkable’…

    …what ever good intentions we now pursue, and however earnest our efforts, the die has been cast….

    …Now if only we had steered a different course 25 years ago – before we struck the iceberg….

  41. Birdpickmango Avatar

    RE:PDC BLOG
    History is replete of examples where the character of the society is tested by adversities of all types, some internal, others external. It is oil today. Tomorrow it may be the devastation of a hurricane. There is always a change in behavior since survival is instinctive. You may therefore find that being Euro centric, if that means to be thrifty, cheap and conservative could be one adjustment strategy. We may hopefully learn that it is wrong to respond to the post independence period by defining ourselves by the cars we drive or our houses. Worse yet, using the images of American TV as banners of achievement. The standard of living and quality of life of many Barbadians today are better than many in the USA and Canada. No amount of words can change that. The situation be comes and opportunity for maturity and growth if only we focus on the points made by David and Samgee. Between 1961 and 2000, changes and expansion of the educational plant, teacher training and curriculum etc have altered the rate and profile of young people entering the job market. Initially, as the school leaving age changed, few students enter the job market. Because of their higher qualifications their expectations are greater. There was no planned nexus between curriculum and job creation. The principle that drove this movement was the fact that there is positive link between economic growth and the level of education in the society.
    So here we now have the need for contraction intersecting with high expectations. This fact makes David point real. It also raises two other issues as we go forward. Shouldn’t the University of West Indies put in place programs that will in time of crises show governments why they should continue to fund them; and what if we convert six of our secondary schools to Apprentice Schools of Business skills so that graduates of these schools will be equipped with the type of skills that they could at worse start they own business.

  42. politically incorrect Avatar
    politically incorrect

    By the Way Folks: The handle is:

    Politically IN Correct NOT Politically correct.

    Thank you!

    “When big men talking, little boys should shut up and know their place”.

    PDC’s exhaustive analysis of the “global powerplays” and the ruthless machinations of the players is an expose. However, preaching to the converted and shouting at the wind is wasting your breath………..not obfuscating the facts.

    The big boys are struggling for control and the small boys in “Bim” have not secured their place so they will be knocked about as it suit the big boys. This is not the first time Barbados has been the ball in the cricket ground.

    Recent documentary put out by CBC Canada (not televised in Barbados but available on the internet) regarding sugar brought out the “obfuscated” point that Barbados was retained by the British Empire because of its sugar production and Quebec was traded to the French Government.

    Errol Barrow has been televized in Barbados as having said in the pre-independence discussions that at that time Barbados was more than self-sufficient. Between those days and today Barbados for all the concrete and international awards has been reduced to a state of mendicants.

    Where has the wealth gone? If not buying up, grabbing hold of all kinds of spurious technologies that have nothing to do with the people in The Orleans.

    Bush Tea:

    You speak of unsustainability. What are you personally doing in your private life to practise any of what you are pontificating about? Did you sell the SUV recently? How many bicycles are there in your house that you could ride?

    Many people willing to pontificate but I don’t see anybody riding bicyle into town that could afford an SUV. Circumstances will soon change that. Maybe you are a visionary.

    As to those people whose grey matter has not atrophied and are still able to add two and two. Answer me this: how many days will it take for every Barbadian to be hungry and all the concrete they have only be able to bury them? Beggars can’t be choosers. Whether you begging the IMF or you begging your partner in primary school. The last time it was the civil service that took an eight percent cut. Seems like the next time it will be more widespread but some people are “obfuscating” and ignoring the truth and some people are juxtapositioning to take advantage of those who are less fortunate. Promising them all kind of “Greens”. The fact is you cannot get blood from stone and all the more from concrete.

    I hear talk that you all selling the cement plant to build hotel rooms. For who?

  43. Micro-Mock Engineer Avatar
    Micro-Mock Engineer

    Bush Tea,

    What Iceberg What?!?

    Put back on your engineer hat for a minute or two…

    Technology is a two-edged sword and may have facilitated many of the โ€œmajor problemsโ€ we face today, but do you honestly believe that when weighed in the balance mankind is worse off today than in past centuries as a result of technological advances and innovation?

    Arguing that things are better today than in days gone by is an impossible task, as โ€œbetterโ€ is subjective and means different things to different people. So, rather than list facts like:
    ~ longer life-expectancy
    ~ lower child mortality
    ~ elimination of disease (..and donโ€™t come with โ€œwell we got AIDS and cancerโ€, caus these pale in comparison to bubonic plague, small pox, influenza… now dem was real diseases! …all of which technology conquered. Solutions to todayโ€™s and tomorrowโ€™s diseases, are on the way)
    ~ mass housing and transit systems etc. etc. etc.

    …I prefer to comment on the apocalyptic bent of our species. The doom-and-gloom theme doesn’t change, but the story varies depending on which side of the fence you sit. The left preaches global warming and collapse of our ecosystem if we donโ€™t act now to curb our โ€œevilโ€ consumerist ways. The right continue their โ€œfour horsemenโ€, โ€œfalse godsโ€, change-your-ways-or get-“left behind” rant.

    โ€œWhat die-has-been-cast, what?!?โ€

    At every turn in our history, whenever things have gotten hard, or our belief systems have been threatened, or a great deal of uncertainty abounded, we have have descended further into the apocalyptic well, only coming back up for brief periods when our worse fears did not materialize.

    My prediction… things will get rough as oil supplies diminish, and it may take a while for us to adapt, but adapt we will… identifying and implementing new and innovative solutions and enjoying, in general, even better health, life-expectancy and environmental conditions than exist today.

    But maybe I am wrong, and after thousands of false apocalyptic predictions, like Sandford used to say โ€œThis is the big one Elizabeth!โ€. If this is the case, I offer two possible causes for our imminent doom:

    ~ Adopting a defeatist attitude to problems that our engineers are perfectly capable of solving

    ~ Depending on preachers, lawyers and politicians to come up with the solutions

  44. Dr. Justin Robinson Avatar
    Dr. Justin Robinson

    I have often found that the Europeans and scandanivians in particular are way ahead on these issues and provide better models that say the US or the UK, where we often seem to look for models.

    Yale university publishes and environmental protection index which shows how different countries are doing.

    epi.yale.edu/

    Unfortunately we are not ranked.

  45. Adrian Hinds Avatar

    Do we not believe the Money as Debt video that GM gave us? It shows where the massive use of energy and consumption is coming from. Do we not believe Dr.Elizabeth Warren in yet another GM supplied video, …..A demonstration of where we are spending most of our money and why we use so much credit? I do as i also believe that those Bajans who live in homes paid for a long time ago like my sisters and brothers, will have much more leeway in weathering these current economic uncertainties than those of us who have mortgages, two car notes, higher taxes, higher health care cost etc. have.

    Money as Debt.
    http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=5352106773770802849

    Middleclass spending is not what you think

    http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph

    Energy conservation is good, although i believe the current approach “green” is more about profit than conservation.


  46. “It is regretable when our educated cannot critique based on value positions but instead expose the polarization which continue to exist in Barbados at a time when a bi-partisan approach is required. Are you the same Ian Walcott who was fired from the NCF?”

    Actually, my position was very much a value-laden position and had nothing to do with partisanship…a careful read would show that I spoke of the implementation deficit in the whole Caribbean as we so aptly discussed at the recent SALISES conferences in Chaguaramas 2007 and Mona 2008. This implementation deficit not only affects the energy sector but all areas of productivity and social policy within the region.
    A further reading between the lines would also show that it was more than subtle…that should the present administration address such an implementation deficit…they’d stand a chance of more than one term…(Which I doubt they will, less we forget the horrors of the early 90s).
    And for those who are bent on getting personal and hiding behind pseudonyms…yes this is Ian Walcott who worked at the NCF…and let’s go on record that he was not fired…but resigned…AFTER ALL…CAN U IMAGINE WAKING UP ONE MORNING AND STEVE BLACKETT IS THE MINISTER OF CULTURE…
    IPSO FACTO…some of us have choices…and living under this bunch of jokers is not my choice…

  47. Janice Griffith Avatar
    Janice Griffith

    I would like some one to tell me if some one or some organization is working on bringing in solar powered air-conditioned units
    in Barbados. If there is I would like to know how soon this will happen.


  48. Ian Walcott we are not sure you identified the failings of Minister Blackett. So far your comments suggest some pre-judgement at play. Of course this is your prerogative but we must tell you it conflicts with how an intelligent person should dispassionately approach decision making.

  49. Straight talk Avatar
    Straight talk

    Janice:

    Just google “solar powered air comditioning”
    and pick the system to suit.

  50. Straight talk Avatar
    Straight talk

    Sorry Carl, obviously that should have been “conditioning” to which I have an aversion.

    Freudian slips apart, we need to check out solar ovens to give the most disadvantaged in our society the gift of a free energy hot meal per day.

    The last time I checked they cost US$29 each, less than a gas bottle.

    That is something positive for our engineers and government to throw their weight behind for the common good.

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