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111 responses to “Latest CADRES Poll Shows DLP Trailing the BLP”

  1. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    hahahahaha

  2. Vincent Haynes Avatar
    Vincent Haynes

    BU knew this ever long time since………now the people are telling us in no uncertain terms……….So what do we intend to do about it or more to the point what do the UNIONs intend to do about as they are the only ones that can do…..we can only follow.

  3. Armando Rodriguez Avatar
    Armando Rodriguez

    Very interesting indeed. It would be good to know the size of the swing which the poll is predicting. It is likely to be 10+ points. A washout in the making.


  4. @ Vincent

    Expect a barrage of comments from the two resident yard-fowls who are paid by the DLP to troll BU.


  5. The political pundits will be on the talk show today, no doubt Wickham will answer all the questions then.

  6. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    Who is it that conducted the poll?

    I hope that this is not another PETER WICKHAM “scientific” poll?

    I would advise all and sundry to print this out and then use it as toilet paper.

  7. Armando Rodriguez Avatar
    Armando Rodriguez

    Even the Independent Owen Seymore Arthur is more popular for leadership than ANYONE in the DLP.


  8. Where does Byer-Suckoo get her leadership support?

  9. Armando Rodriguez Avatar
    Armando Rodriguez

    Ester Byer-Suckoo is challenging Stuart as the most appealing for PM leadership in the DLP. Stuart is 8% support for leadership and Ester Byer-Suckoo is at 7%.


  10. The graph that BU has featured says it all. Even if you apply a margin of error of 20% the result is the same. One has to assume a quality sample of course.

  11. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    ““We will go into political battle and we are going to speak the political gospel according to the Democratic Labour Party, and we will leave the public of Barbados to make their decision,” Sinckler said, adding: “I am confident that they will make the decision to return the Democratic Labour Party to office.””


  12. @Artax

    In the pre 2008 period when the political rhetoric posted was being done in reverse on BU one has to agree that Henderson Bovell and Sylvan Greenidge were a better quality of yardfowl.

  13. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    David June 25, 2017 at 10:06 AM

    DAVID, this sounds just like you in 2012 just before elections time.

    You are back with the same message again. You are operating on the basis that a broken clock is right twice a day

  14. Armando Rodriguez Avatar
    Armando Rodriguez

    Carson

    Why quote Sinckler? He can’t even make 1% as a potential leader and is in a ding dong battle with Kellman for the bottom of the leadership board.

  15. Vincent Haynes Avatar

    Artax

    Yuh got dat rite,wun suh fah….ah waitin fuh de nexx nudder wun tuh cum fuh scratch grain…………lololol.

    What a life to live when perjury is the order of the day…….sad.


  16. @ Vincent

    Yuh see one come out of the coop running already? The “nex nedder wun” en too far behind.

    @ David

    The names of the yard-fowls change according to which party is in “power” or in Opposition.

    However, the political rhetoric remains similar.

  17. Well Well & Consequences Observing Blogger Avatar
    Well Well & Consequences Observing Blogger

    Good…this government will be kicked out.


  18. Interesting to note the poll does not register the 3rd parties.


  19. Will Wickham run to do another poll or does this poll gives the results he wants to see.


  20. Not a yard fowl.
    But it would be good to have some raw counts.
    Of the numbers polled how many (or what percentage) is uncertain?
    Without these raw/hard counts no meaningful projections can be made,,,


  21. @ David who wrote “…. Sylvan Greenidge were a better quality of yardfowl.”

    Remember this from Royal Rumble……….

    “Owen Seymour Arthur father of first world Barbados and Prime Minister for life.”

    Where is Sylly G now. Still working for the BLP ? He was an intensely loyal supporter.


  22. This is the first of three parts of the Poll according to Wickham.


  23. Hants

    Well it seems as though Sylvan Greendige knew something given the past 9 years.


  24. Wick-ham tried the same brassbowl in 2013, did a poll which show DLP leading after BLP yardfowls cuss he stink he redo the poll to show BLP winning. Smiles were on the faces of Owen and BLP pimps like BU. In the real poll election day the BLP’s ass get cut. Wick-ham flew away it was thought the CIA informer went to Foggy Bottom. It was reported he went to Paris ring the changes and return with proper status. In a year’s time citizens will know if the CIA snitch got it right. For now nothing Wick-Ham say or do is believable.

  25. Well Well & Consequences Observing Blogger Avatar
    Well Well & Consequences Observing Blogger

    Read and weep Carson…yall are down and I am positioning myself to give you that final kick.

    https://www.barbadostoday.bb/2017/06/25/its-either-mia-or-owen-suggests-poll/

    “Former Prime Minister Owen Arthur is now more popular than the current Prime Minister Freundel Stuart.

    And if elections were held today, the Mia Mottley-led Barbados Labour Party (BLP) would more than likely win by a landslide.

    This is based on the latest public opinion poll conducted by the Caribbean Development Research Services (CADRES) on behalf of the Nation Newspaper.

    The poll, which was published in today’s Sunday Sun, suggests that support for both Stuart and his ruling Democratic Labour Party (DLP) was at an all-time low with 11 per cent of respondents indicating that they would support the DLP, compared to 51 per cent for the BLP. The remainder was undecided.

    The poll, which was conducted last weekend in all 30 constituencies, sampled the views of 1,060 Barbadians.

    It further indicated that satisfaction with the DLP Government was at 3.3 out of ten compared to 5.3 for the BLP.”


  26. Commentator is aka waiting and well known DLP yardfowl who adopts several meaningless nomikers.

    James Paul declined to attend the Poll discussion on VoB this morning.

  27. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    Thanks but No Thanks: Belize Prime Minister Rejects IMF Recommendations

    “Belize, Saturday June 24, 2017 – Belize Prime Minister Dean Barrow has turned his back on International Monetary Fund (IMF) recommendations to fix his country’s nagging economic woes, insisting that his Government will stick to its own programme.”


  28. 1,060 people were polled. The sample should have been must higher.


  29. @Mr Blogmaster re at 9:54 AM “The political pundits will be on the talk show today, no doubt Wickham will answer all the questions then.”

    Polls are always an interesting dynamic but remember they are still only a snapshot at a given moment and based on the very dynamic nature of modern democracy with major shifts being possible due to the prevalence of social media these snapshots are even more transient.

    After a bombastic, rude speaking pol won handily after lurking around a 40% threshold for an entire campaign the DLP may yet have reason to feel emboldened that their own bombastic behavior is ‘passable’ and will not lead to a terrible wipe-out.

    Particularly as we have another less than desired female candidate leading this battle as well!

    Let’s see how things progress with future polls..so far out this snapshot is like that digital pic in the series which has the lopsided, wry smile and will eventually be discarded for later pics!


  30. Carson C Cadogan

    One day coming soon you will wake up to find Barbados in a constitutional crisis.

    There would have been an election and there would be not a single DLP member.

    Not that the result would make any real difference. The people would have merely masterbated.


  31. @Dee Word

    You have stated the obvious. We are discussing the findings of the LATEST Poll, that is all.


  32. David, indeed and understood.

    But already folks are hyperventilating …this far out in the campaign. That’s not rational….thus my ‘obvious’ remarks.

    The other thing I would add is that political yard-fowls ALWAYS attack the pollster when the data points don’t support their party. (That too is obvious, LOL)

    CADRES has always been seen as a a professional outfit that operates well above the prostrate position as a partisan poll masseuse.

    Wickham and his team for whatever his political leanings and past peccadilloes (the CIA stuff) offer credible snapshots of voter preference and we will surely enjoy discussing the continuing poll numbers from them and others.

    And incidentally I do hope the DLP believe they can troll around the 39 percentile in polls and still win…it would be lovely to see them get wiped out…especially with some third party newbies in the HofA.

  33. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    If the COW Williams group and Sagicor would stop putting so many millions of dollars into the BLP election campaigns and instead fund some Independents or third parties in Barbados, the deference would astonishing.


  34. Today’s discussion has finally gotten around to discussion why would the DLP follow Stuart into a general election.

  35. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    Our Hon. Prime Minister Freundel Stuart has said, “the only poll that matters is POLLING DAY”.


  36. Carson Cadogan

    Both Sagicor and COW and the other money people give to both the D and the B in equal proportions.

    Whoever wins. they win!

  37. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    PETER WICKHAM, the man who came one day with a “poll” showing that the DLP would win the 2013 elections and then came the next day with a “poll” showing that the BLP would win the 2013 elections.

    PETER WICKHAM, the man who came with “polls” showing that various political parties in the Caribbean would win elections only to be made a fool of by the voting public in the various Caribbean countries.

    This man never gets tired being wrong.


  38. Elections are won not by the popular vote but at the Constituency level. With that said, I predict the BLP as in recent prior campaigns will be Mia this Mia that, just like how it was with Owen now than ever, We goin wid Owen etc. Whilst the DLP will be Team DLP.


  39. This is a commentary takn from BT comment section:

    joan Worrell

    June 25, 2017 at 12:29 pm

    The below poll result was published in 2012 by CADRES . Please tell me how it differs from the above poll result published today. As far as I can see the caption is different , the Co-Leader is now Leader and the former Leader was deposed in a coup. The text is the same.

    The story pusblished Sunday 20th May is as follows

    Quote

    A controversial new survey, indicating strong dissatisfaction with the performance of the ruling Democratic Labour Party (DLP), has provoked mixed reactions from the public.

    Findings of the Caribbean Development Research Services (CADRES) public opinion poll suggest that the Freundel Stuart-led DLP, which came to power in January 2008, could well be a one-term government. General elections are constitutionally due in less than a year.

    Aired in last weekend’s Sunday Sun by the Nation Publishing Company, and conducted by CADRES Director Peter Wickham, the poll results indicate a marked shift toward former three-term prime minister and present leader of the opposition Barbados Labour Party (BLP) Owen Arthur.

    Out of some 1,080 respondents to the survey, which was conducted across the existing 30 parliamentary constituencies, just 29 percent gave a favourable approval rating to Prime Minister Stuart for his performance as head of government. A solid 43 percent recorded a negative vote.

    When asked to identify the “preferred prime minister”, the winning nod went to opposition leader and economist Arthur. He received almost 30 percent of the votes (29.8) compared with Stuart’s scant 10 percent (9.9), which represented the lowest ranking ever for a sitting Barbados prime minister.

    Bridging the gap between the two were Mia Mottley, a former deputy prime minister and attorney-general in a past BLP administration, who copped the second preferential spot; and Minister of Finance Chris Sinckler who ranked third in the CADRES poll.

    Stuart, a lawyer by profession, succeeded the late Prime Minister and DLP leader David Thompson who died in October 2010 from cancer at age 48.

    The CADRES poll results, dominating the front page of the newspaper under the headline “It’s Owen”, came on the eve of Stuart hosting his first-ever regional summit of CARICOM leaders gathered in Barbados for the Second Mexico-CARICOM Summit.

    Coming out slugging in defence of the ruling party was Minister of Housing Michael Lashley.

    “When you examine our work, Barbadians cannot fault our performance, given the constraints and the environment in which we had to act. So you have to go out there in your numbers and fight for this great party. Polls don’t vote,” he told a meeting of the party faithful.

    The poll comes against the backdrop of three Caribbean governments being restricted to one-term governance since November last year: the United Workers Party in St Lucia, the Jamaica Labour Party, and earlier this month the Free National Movement in the Bahamas.

    The focus now falls on the possibility of similar electoral incidents in Barbados and Grenada, the latter for the incumbent National Democratic Congress of embattled Prime Minister Tillman Thomas who recently survived a no-confidence motion in parliament and is grappling with a series of resignations from his cabinet.


  40. Ok blp yardfowls enjoy uh few minutes of fake news. The last poll Wickham did left a trail of fowl shite


  41. According to Peter Wickham’s latest Nation newspaper poll with the “unprecendented findings” , after the next election Barbados will be A ONE PARTY STATE with Mottley at the head.
    God help us all.

    Time will reveal if the poll on election day agrees.


  42. It is good that Wickham has revealed his true colors which makes for good reason Dlp supporters mobilise more


  43. Dear DLP supporters

    If the poll is a waste, why waste your time trying so hard to convince BU that it is?

    Sincerely
    BU regular


  44. Check the uncertainty number

    Somewhat surprised at this graphic i.e. the unity number in the BLP. Also the fact the PEP has registered in this survey if Adamson is now consumed by the CAP

    What this graphic does is to get DLP members to ask if Stuart is the man to lead the party into the next general election.


  45. It is no secret that BU is not a fan of polling. However, what cannot be refuted is that of the many polls done going back to the 90s by CADRES across the Caribbean they have been close to the mark. There is one poll the DDLPites will continue to point too and even that one was not that far wrong if we accept that the DLP won by a slim margin. Has the prevailing climate in Barbados improved since 2013?


  46. Lots can happen in the next 11 months.This poll should alert all contenders that it would be foolhardy to dismiss the results.Meanwhile the Governor General gave adequate notice of his intention to demit office at the end of June.When will the citizenry be told of the replacement.It seems a well guarded secret.Any guesses?

  47. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    The next Poll I would like Peter Wickham to conduct:

    Ask the voting public what they think of the opposition leader not having a Law Certificate and has not produce her LLB for all to see, yet she is a QC.


  48. Now hope the dlp ministers would refrain from getting caught up in any discussion having to do with the Wickham poll
    Those who have seen or heard of the the laat twisted poll Wickham conducted are highly aware of his trickery.


  49. @David, re your post “What this graphic does is to get DLP members to ask if Stuart is the man to lead the party into the next general election.”

    The same poll also asks the very same hard question about the BLP leadership.

    Stuart is considered ABYSMALLY bad but for all practical purposes his disapproval’s moved the same negative 4-5 points as MAM’s did…is she the right person to lead the BLP????

    As said here often the duopoly of worst and bad!


  50. This Government is use to not respecting members of the public by not engaging in discussion with the about most things. In fact the modus operandi of this government can be compared to that of the Trump administration who has started a ban on rolling cameras at press conferences. At least his administration sees the need in a democracy to engage with the media albeit in a questionable manner. Here is what a cabinet member had to say recently. What an embarrassment!

    Lashley ready to listen to the people

    Added by Davandra Babb on June 11, 2017.

    Saved under Local News

     

    Minster of Youth Sports and Culture Stephen Lashley says the time has come for the Government of Barbados to listen to the concerns of citizens.

    In fact, he believes that it would be “very foolhardy as a Government not to recognize that persons are concerned”.

    So strong is Lashley’s conviction, he said the Government needs to take the concerns of the Barbadian people seriously and listen to them.

    “I’m of the view that as the concerns are made known we as a Government have to be able to respond to those concerns in a manner that is reasonable and respectful to Barbadians,” he said on the sidelines of a CPR training exercise yesterday.

    https://www.barbadostoday.bb/2017/06/11/lashley-ready-to-listen-to-the-people/

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