Banner promoting anonymous crime reporting with a phone and contact number 1 800 TIPS (8477), featuring the Crime Stoppers logo and a QR code for submitting tips.

← Back

Your message to the BLOGMASTER was sent

Prime Minister Freundel Stuart
Prime Minister Freundel Stuart

JORDAN: So the 11 MPs were eager to meet with the Prime Minister simply to have a discussion?

SINCKLER: Well, you say eager; I think some of us wanted to meet.

A question posed to Minister Chris Sinckler in the Big Interview  by former Editor in Chief Kaymar Jordan (18.12.2012)

BU is reluctant to ‘sully’ its blog offering during the Yuletide season with content of a political flavour. However, we have been enticed to compromise our position as a result of Prime Minister Stuart’s weekend pronouncement. He stated that he saw no evidence of a coup and therefore his promise to ‘chop’ off’ the head or heads of those in the vanguard of the Eager 11 (E11) assault is not required. In the minds of many Barbadians Stuart’s inaction to deal with the E11 affair agrees with a widely held view that he is not a leader.

Some who read the tea leaves maybe intrigued that Prime Minister Stuart waited almost one year to the day to make a decisive statement about the E11 affair. Perhaps the Prime Minister is readying the party for election battle by seeking to deflate this issue which is sure to raise its head on the election platform. Was he advised by Hartley Henry to be so bold as to address the issue? Perhaps Stuart appreciates the sandy political turf he will have to trod shortly and the appearance of a cohesive and united team more favourable weighs the scale then giving political fodder to the Opposition which ‘chopping of a head or heads” may cause. It is accepted that Prime Minister Stuart CANNOT ‘touch’ Minister Sinckler who CADRES has fingered as the most popular political personage in Barbados after Owen Arthur and Mia Mottley.

If Stuart has delayed disciplinary action because he believes it will disadvantage the Democratic Labour Party (DLP) with a general election on the horizon – political pundits have revised the election date to 12 February 2013 –  can one say Stuart has compromised on the leadership position necessary to grow his stature as a fearless leader? Our history shows that Barbadians have an affinity for Prime Ministers who are not afraid to figuratively crush some political heads.

Stuart’s defenders may hasten to suggest that to project an image of DLP togetherness on the eve of a general election is a commonsense strategy. To speak to the issue now, Stuart has allowed the longest possible period to elapse to benefit from the 9-day memory of Barbadians to fully set.

There will also be the reference to the Mia Owen conflict to balance the argument. Arthur kicked Mia to the political curb but she has obviously retreated and decided to line up behind the party cause to ensure her political relevance. In the post Mia Arthur conflict he gets a few points for effectively stomping on the head of a strong challenger. Although the BLP platform cannot speak directly to this Arthur win, on every occasion Mia and Owen shares political space it will subliminally register in the minds of a politically savvy public that Arthur is the undisputed leader of the BLP.

Yes Mr. Prime Minister, it is the Yuletide Season but we are watching you!


Discover more from Barbados Underground

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.


  1. Here is something which the largest Cabinet in Barbados had the opportunity to do and which now gives an opportunity to the Opposition: a new BLP government will cut emoluments to ministers and parliamentary secretaries by 15% in the first 3 years of gaining office.

    The new Cabinet in the Bermuda will take a 10 per cent pay cut. This example we feel is apt given how some political hacks on BU like to refer to what is happening in Bermuda.

    http://www.royalgazette.com/article/20121220/NEWS01/712209875


  2. comparing the salaries of the bermudian govt and that of barbados is like comparing apples and oranges the ministris and like receives astronomical salaries plus percs. sometimes we do get lost in hype and translation


  3. @ac

    The statement you made without any comparative analysis is like spitting in the wind. Why should government ministers/government not consider a 10-30% cut when people are losing their damn jobs?


  4. David

    You should have mentioned to AC that prior to the last election, most of the Cabinet were either unemployed or under-employed and in one case the bailiffs had his vehicle. Some went from $0.00 per month to $17,000 per month: they can afford a little cut.

    Sent from my iPad


  5. Full time Cabinet Ministers in Bermuda receive between $142,000 and $168,000 and the Prime Minister $224,094 . This is of course before any pay cuts and presumably in Bermuda Dollars.

    http://www.royalgazette.com/article/20110222/NEWS09/702229951


  6. Note that Grenada government recently took a 10% pay cut.

    http://www.caribbeannewsnow.com/headline-No-new-taxes,-ministers'-pay-cut-in-Grenada-budget-10122.html

    The issue here is not about arguing numbers. It is about our leaders showing they are willing to make a sacrifice by leading from in front.

    With political sheep no wonder politicians from both sides do as they like. Let us make it clear, they shape up or the consequences of their selfish and myopic actions will force them to do it anyway but by then it will be far too late.


  7. @david
    Don’t worry with ac. Symbolism and principle aren’t in her dictionary!

    Such a move would instantly gain a 1- 2 hundred swing votes. Hope somebody reading 🙂

  8. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    By Ayo Johnson

    Marc Bean has been selected as the new leader of the Progressive Labour Party.

    Mr Bean, 38, won the leadership contest with 111 votes against Terry Lister who gained 35 votes in a special delegates conference called in the wake of Monday’s general election.

    Now lets see how long he remains leader or if Paula Cox will return at a later date to take control away from him just like what happen here in the Barbados Labour Party.

  9. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    Adrian Loveridge why dont you go back to England and help up there, your countrymen are struggling.

    But I guess it is better for you to try to be a big fish in a little pond than to be a little fish in a big pond!


  10. @Observing (…)

    Many underestimate the symbolism of certain actions by the leader or those who lead.

    The influence relevant acts of symbolism can have to motivate people is well documented, Winston Churchill etc

    BU recommends the following movie:

  11. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    An article I read recently.

    YOUR PEOPLE NEED YOU

    ARIAN LOVERIDGE
    Bank of England Cuts UK Growth Outlook, And Sees Tough Times Ahead

    Scott Hamilton, Bloomberg|Nov. 14, 2012, 6:25 AM|573|3

    Nov. 14 (Bloomberg) — The Bank of England said the U.K. economy may shrink in the current quarter as it cut its outlook and said growth may be “weaker for longer” due to a bigger impact from the financial crisis.

    “The weaker gross domestic product profile reflects the judgment that the broader causes and repercussions of the financial crisis may bear down more forcefully on demand and productivity than assumed” previously, the central bank said in its quarterly Inflation Report published in London today. “There seems a greater risk that the U.K. economy may be in a period of persistent low growth.”

    The Monetary Policy Committee halted expansion of its bond- purchase program last week after some officials raised doubts about the effectiveness of the program and others highlighted inflation risks. A day later, the central bank said it will transfer income from gilts it holds under that program to the Treasury in a move that Governor Mervyn King equates to an easing of monetary conditions.

    Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/bank-of-england-cuts-uk-growth-outlook-and-sees-tough-times-ahead-2012-11#ixzz2FnSr0xdG


  12. What is interesting about the Bermudan government website, something Barbados can learn, is the access to information.

    Refreshing!!!

  13. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    ADRIAN LOVERIDGE

    How is the Tourism industry doing these days in England?

    I guess they can do without your”expertise”, only us “stupid peasants” down here need your advice.


  14. David,

    I thought so too. Clear, concise, TRANSPARENT and for everybody to see it. Open Government, what a wonderful thing.


  15. @Adrian

    There is good reason, Bermuda is a colony which has to operate under weight of UK laws. Barbados and many others have been handed Independence because we have convinced ourselves we can do better. The ball is in our court.


  16. Moodys help Just Asking to find his keyboard the humbug disappear after Owen said he go privatise the Transport Board ,Sanitation Authority, CBC and the rest. Owen has a lot of explaining to do because chaos facing the society if his privatise manifesto comes into force. In the meantime Wikileaks Wickham a person they allege is of uncertain gender exhibits unrelenting hate for the PM. Some say he dont like men that black, Thompson more his plexion.

    Moody’s or Standard the Dems doing the best they can in turbulent economic circumstances, even the unemployment rate dropping. This election go be an inferno if Owen emerges Barbados sunk.

  17. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    DAVID

    So what you and ADRIAN are saying is that it better for us Black Peasants to be ruled by England.

    You would prefer us to return to the slave masters.

  18. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    DAVID

    I would also encourage you and ADRIAN to stop cherry picking news from Bermuda.

    99% of the homeless in Bermuda are Black.

    99% of the unemployed in bermuda are Black

    99% of those seeking charity in Bermuda are Black.

    99% of the prison population in Bermuda is Black.

    Pick a few more salient facts and highlight them as well.


  19. Here is the dreaded Moody’s Report:

    New York, December 20, 2012 — Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the Government of Barbados’ foreign and local currency bond ratings to

    Ba1 from Baa3. The outlook remains negative. Today’s rating action was driven by two key factors:

    1) The country’s continuing lackluster economic performance

    2) ongoing deterioration in the government’s debt metrics.

    Barbados’s economy grew by just 0.6% in 2011 and 0.2% in the first nine months of 2012, well below expectations. Over the past ten years, Barbados has grown at a compound average annual rate of just 1.2%, among the slowest rates for countries rated by Moody’s. While tourism arrivals rebounded strongly in 2011, returning to 2008 levels (and just 1% shy of their 2007 peak), this was driven in part by heavy discounting and tourism expenditures continued to decline to just 80% of 2007 levels.

    Furthermore, arrivals have started to decline again in 2012, falling 5% in the first ten months of the year. Unemployment now exceeds 12%.

    Moody’s believes that the country’s growth prospects remain very limited due to its deteriorating competitiveness and declining productivity coupled with heavy dependence on tourism, particularly from the United Kingdom and the United States. Given the prospects for continued low economic growth in those countries, discretionary spending on travel is likely to remain subdued. In addition, Barbados’ off-shore business sector, its second most important industry, also faces greater competition and is coming under increasing pressure from changes in tax laws in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K.

    In response to the country’s poor economic performance, the government loosened its fiscal consolidation targets last November, pushing back the deadline for achieving a balanced budget by two years to the fiscal year ending March 31 2017. While the fiscal deficit of 4.7% was smaller than expected for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2012, it remained quite large and it widened in the first six months of the current fiscal year to 5.9% (annualized). Debt/GDP equaled 80% as of March 31 this year (net of holdings of government paper by Barbados’ National Insurance Scheme totaling an additional 30% of GDP), a ratio generally reached only by much wealthier countries with considerably larger economies, and it is projected to reach 83% by next March, up from 56% in 2009. Interest expense now consumes more than 20% of the government’s revenues, significantly limiting its budgetary flexibility.

    As a result, the government strategy of gradual fiscal consolidation relies upon optimistic growth forecasts, very tight control over expenditures that will be difficult to achieve, and continued high inflation — which does not bode well for the country’s competitiveness.

    While the worst appears to be behind Barbados both in terms of fiscal deficits and economic deterioration, Moody’s anticipates that the government’s deficits will remain large for the next few years and its debt levels will continue to rise, albeit at a slowing pace. Even if the country is able to consolidate its finances and stabilize its debt metrics, they are unlikely to improve meaningfully for the foreseeable future given its poor economic prospects. Consequently, Barbados will have considerably less flexibility to respond to economic shocks in the future than it did in the past, particularly given its fixed exchange rate which significantly constrains the government’s capacity to pursue a counter-cyclical monetary policy.

    Notwithstanding today’s rating action, Barbados continues to demonstrate certain key strengths that support its rating at the Ba1 level. It has one of the highest levels of GDP/capita relative to Ba peers and it continues to benefit from a strong reputation as a tourist destination.

    It also boasts strong public institutions and a stable political system supported by significant policy consensus. In addition, the government’s debt structure is characterized by a well-termed out maturity profile and a high proportion of domestic currency debt – the government benefits from a dependable local creditor base. This limits refinancing and market access risk, though the capacity of the domestic market to absorb additional issuance is limited in our view. Finally, the banking system remains sound thanks in large part to the strong presence of Canadian-owned banks.

    Moody’s has also revised Barbados’ local currency bond and deposit ceilings to Baa1, its long-term foreign currency bond and deposit ceilings to Baa2 and Ba2 respectively, and its short-term foreign currency deposit ceiling to NP.

    The negative outlook considers that economic performance is likely to remain weak; that it will be progressively more difficult for the government to consolidate its finances given an increasingly rigid budget structure; and that debt metrics will continue to rise and financial flexibility to decline as a result. While access to a stable source of funding reduces roll-over risk, it does not ensure debt sustainability and it therefore remains crucial that the sovereign bring down its debt ratios in order to preserve creditworthiness. However, the government faces difficult choices in terms of stewardship of the economy: in the absence of significant corrective measures, debt metrics will continue to rise, and if the government does take such measures, it risks putting the economy back into recession. On the other hand, many of the proposals to boost economic growth carry the risk of continued deterioration of the government’s financial position, at least in the near term. The outlook also reflects rising pressure on the country’s foreign currency reserves, which continue to decline despite a reduction in the current account deficit, though Moody’s believes they remain adequate for the time being.

    The rating will face further downward pressure unless the government is able to successfully navigate the current situation such that a clearly visible and easily achievable path to stabilizing debt metrics is established within the next 12-18 months, in which case the outlook could be revised to stable. The rating could also be downgraded if pressures on the currency peg mount significantly.

    RATINGS RATIONALE

    The principal methodology used in this rating was Sovereign Bond Methodology published in September 2008. Please see the Credit Policy page on http://www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

    REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

    The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody’s affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody’s Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No

    1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody’s office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on http://www.moodys.com.

    For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody’s rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider’s credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on http://www.moodys.com.

    Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following:

    parties involved in the ratings, parties not involved in the ratings, and public information.

    Moody’s considers the quality of information available on the rated entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.

    Moody’s adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody’s considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody’s is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.

    Please see the ratings disclosure page on http://www.moodys.com for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.

    Please see the ratings disclosure page on http://www.moodys.com for information on (A) MCO’s major shareholders (above 5%) and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody’s Corporation; however, Moody’s has not independently verified this matter.

    Please see Moody’s Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on http://www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.

    Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on http://www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.

    The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody’s ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody’s provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website http://www.moodys.com for further information.

    Please see http://www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody’s legal entity that has issued the rating.

    Releasing Office:

    Moody’s Investors Service, Inc.

    250 Greenwich Street

    New York, NY 10007

    U.S.A.

    JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376

    SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653

    © 2012 Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

    CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC.

    (“MIS”) AND ITS AFFILIATES ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (“MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES.

    MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

    ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED,DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

    All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY’S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY’S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process. Under no circumstances shall MOODY’S have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error negligent or otherwise or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication, publication or delivery of any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, compensatory or incidental damages whatsoever (including without limitation, lost profits), even if MOODY’S is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information.

    The ratings, financial reporting analysis, projections, and other observations, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. Each user of the information contained herein must make its own study and evaluation of each security it may consider purchasing, holding or selling.

  20. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    BIU leader: Low voter turnout led to PLP defeat

    By Elizabeth Roberts

    Bermuda Industrial Union president Chris Furbert lambasted those who failed to vote on Monday — accusing them of handing victory to the One Bermuda Alliance.

    “We asked everyone to exercise their right to vote. If you go back 40, 50 or 60 years ago everybody didn’t have a right to vote.

    “People fought for people to have the right to vote, there was blood sweat and tears that went into making sure people got a chance to vote,” he said yesterday.

    “Whilst I understand the OBA is the new Government, I honestly think they didn’t win the Government; the people of this Country who didn’t vote gave the Government to the OBA. That’s my opinion.”

    Mr Furbert said the turnout for the general election — which was 70.7 percent — was one of the lowest in Bermuda’s history.

    It is second only to the 66.2 percent turnout in October 1985. That election took place after Progressive Labour Party internal fighting led to six members being expelled, with four of them forming the National Liberal Party


  21. So you want to hear this everyday CHILLING

    BLP = 29 SEATS
    DLP = 0 SEATS
    INDEPENDENT= 1 SEAT

    WOULD I have to come here everyday and repeat the above ?

    YOU think I aint got nothing else to do ??

    JUST ASKING
    The BLP DONT PAY ME , neither am I a member of any party. I am going to join one soon though ! Maybe the DLP and wrest the leadership from the laid-back –

    PS –wanna hear something else
    The DLP WILL SOON IMPLODE
    The Eager 11 plus 1 are at a again !

    (that 1 could be yours truly)


  22. Moodys got Carson Cadogan disoriented……..lmao

  23. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar

    If only: How the PLP narrowly lost election

    Don Burgess
    Deputy Editor

    TUESDAY, DEC. 18: A fistful of votes could have turned this election.

    While the PLP are pointing to the economy as the deciding factor in them losing this election, if they could have persuaded nine people in two constituencies to have changed their minds and voted the other way, they would still be in power today.

    Nandi Davis (OBA) beat Renee Anderson-Ming by just four votes in St George’s West and Wayne Scott beat David Burch by just 10 votes.

  24. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    ADRIAN, HERE IS THE DREADED NEWS FOR YOUR HOME, ENGLAND

    UK data points to meagre growth, public finances worsen
    By David Milliken and Olesya Dmitracova

    LONDON | Fri Dec 21, 2012 10:33am GMT

    (Reuters) – Britain’s dominant services sector posted meagre growth in October, which may be just enough for the economy as a whole to avoid contraction in the last three months of 2012.

    However, public borrowing figures also released on Friday showed that Chancellor George Osborne has a lot of catching up to do to meet updated forecasts published earlier this month given the poor economic outlook.

    The Office for National Statistics said services output grew 0.1 percent on the month in October, recovering from a 0.6 percent drop in September.

    However, this is far behind the 1.2 percent growth that the sector enjoyed in the third quarter, which helped drive an overall 0.9 percent expansion in the economy as a whole in the three months to the end of September.

    “It’s not a great number but it is positive and it is better than the decline that had been expected,” Ross Walker, an economist at Royal Bank of Scotland, said about October’s services number.

    “On the basis of all the published data it looks like the fourth quarter will be broadly flat, rather than negative.”

    Revised ONS figures published on Friday confirmed that third-quarter gross domestic product growth was the strongest since the third quarter of 2007. But much of that reflected a one-off boost from the London Olympics and a rebound from the second quarter when an extra public holiday dented output.

    GDP in the third quarter was unchanged on the year, a small revision from the fall that the ONS had previously estimated.

    The Bank of England and the government’s forecasting body, the Office for Budget Responsibility, have both said a small quarterly contraction in the fourth quarter is likely.

    Britain suffered its second recession since the financial crisis between late 2011 and mid-2012, and overall has recovered much more slowly since 2009 than most other big economies.

    The BoE and other forecasters expect little in the way of a pick-up in the immediate future, given the weak global economy, government spending cuts and relatively high inflation.

    “The economy faces a difficult-looking 2013 and we suspect it will only manage to eke out growth of 1.1 percent,” said Howard Archer, economist at IHS Global Insight.

    Recent ONS data has shown contraction in the retail and industrial sectors in the first part of the fourth quarter, though construction – which has been a major drag on GDP – appears to be stabilising.

    A GfK consumer confidence survey released earlier on Friday showed an unexpectedly sharp fall in morale.

    Friday’s GDP figures showed that the household savings ratio rose to 7.7 percent, its highest since the third quarter of 2009, suggesting an unwillingness to spend and a desire to pay down debts.

    TRADE GAP NARROWS

    One bright spot was third-quarter current account data, which showed Britain’s deficit with the rest of the world narrowed more than expected to 12.8 billion pounds, equivalent to 3.3 percent of GDP, from 17.4 billion in the second quarter.

    But Britain’s government borrowed more than expected in November as government spending rose while a weak economy meant tax receipts fell compared to a year earlier.

    Public sector net borrowing excluding financial sector interventions – the government’s preferred measure – rose last month to 17.5 billion pounds from 16.3 billion in November 2011.

    This was above economists’ average forecast for 16.0 billion pounds and took borrowing in the fiscal year to date to 92.7 billion pounds, excluding the transfer of Royal Mail pension assets, up from 84.4 billion at the same point in 2011.

    The OBR forecast earlier this month that the borrowing measure would reach 108.5 billion pounds this financial year, equivalent to 6.9 percent of GDP.

    To meet this forecast, the deficit would have to fall 10.8 percent on the year, but so far in 2012, it is 9.9 percent higher than last year.

    When the government came to power in 2010, it planned to largely eliminate the budget deficit by 2015 with spending cuts and tax rises. But a weak economy has since forced it to extend austerity until 2018.

    (Reporting by David Milliken and Olesya Dmitracova

  25. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    WOW, DAVID AND ADRIAN

    It would appear that not only Barbados facing tough times.

    That can not be very comfortable reading for the both of you.

  26. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    Quick ADRIAN, CATCH THE NEXT FLIGHT HOME.Your “brilliance” is need at home.

    “UK data points to meagre growth, public finances worsen”


  27. @david
    I wait with bated breath to see if and where the doctors can spin any semblance of reasonably good news in this report.


  28. @Observing (…)

    The MoF is on record to state that it is not unexpected i.e. the two major credit rating agencies aligning.

  29. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    There is nothing to spin.

    All the rating agencies are showing is the fact that the World’s economy is in a tail spin.

    The last time I checked Barbados was a part of the World’s economy.

  30. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    Juliana O’Connor-Connolly is new premier

    Posted date: December 21, 2012In: Lead Stories, Local News| comment : 1

    Hon Juliana O’Connor-Connolly has become the Premier of the Cayman Islands. Ms O’Connor-Connolly represents Cayman Brac as MLA.

    Former Deputy Premier Hon Juliana O’Connor-Connolly has become the second premier of the Cayman Islands and has achieved the distinction of being the first woman to do so.

    On Wednesday, 18 December, His Excellency the Governor Mr Duncan Taylor revoked the appointment of Hon McKeeva Bush as Premier, following a lack of confidence motion on Tuesday, in which legislators voted 11-3 to remove him as premier. The action followed Mr Bush’s arrest on Tuesday, 11 December for various allegations of misconduct and his refusal to step down from the country’s highest office, while under investigation by the police.

    Education Minister Hon Rolston Anglin is the Deputy Premier.

    The Governor, satisfied that the five United Democratic Party members who sided with the opposition to oust Mr Bush could form a government, albeit a minority one, opted not to dissolve the house and call elections. The general elections are due in May 2013 and the reconstituted government, in effect, has only a few months to go until then.

    The Governor was bound by the constitution to consult with Mr Bush on the matter. In doing so, he rejected Mr Bush’s request to dissolve the house and call fresh elections

  31. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    If only SEETHRU had left MIA alone, then the Barbados Labour Party would have been in with a chance.


  32. Observing there is nothing to spin given the economic turmoil barbados does not stand alone. even the Great USA was subjected to the same fate. SPIN WHAT.


  33. Blpites, Wick-ham and David BU erupt in celebration whenever the rating agencies give Barbados a negative outlook. Question to voters do we want these type of anti Barbados traitors running our blessed island? We must say an emphatic NO to the BLP.


  34. BLP = 29 SEATS
    DLP = 0 SEATS
    INDEPENDENT= 1 SEAT

    CARSON YOU ARE SOMETHING ELSE
    LOL

    WHO ARE YOU TRYING CONVINCE

    YUHSELF ??

    JUST ASKING


  35. @ac and carson
    “We will reduce cost of living”
    “We expect 1% growth”
    “The economy is stable (or was it stagnant)”
    “The MTFS is working as expected”
    “Hold strain and let us keep on the path chosen”
    “Zero public sector layoffs”
    “Prudent management of expenditure”
    “Foreign reserves are holding”
    “We expect a robust winter season and growth in tourism”
    “Barack will be paid”
    “A CLICO resolution is coming soon”
    “We will review the VAT rate”

    Now, if we are part of the “world economy” and the “turmoil” affects us as you two say , then all of the above statements are pure hogwash at best, outright lies and fanciful wishes at worst.

    Nuff said.

    Just observing


  36. Observing what is fanciful is the ignorance which the Blp displays in ignoring the golbal economic turmoil and its affect on all countries especially small developing countries..like you say “hogwash”


  37. @ac

    You have deliberately ignored the questions observing posed to you. If one uses your argument then the utterances of the MoF et al in government is all hogwash. Some have asked the government to level with the people. Tell us what is happening with CLICO, BARRACK, FOUR SEASONS, NIS SCHEME and many other issues of concern to Bajans. Instead we have to beg our government to tell us taxpayers what is happening. Not good enough. The DLP promised to be the most transparent government of all and it has failed.

    A taciturn Prime Minister Stuart may impress some by his propensity to think and the cultivated image that he is a man of integrity but what has that got to do with it when the same bullshit occurs under his stuartship? Five years tpo bring IL on the books which means it will not get operationalized in this term, no FOI, no defamation Act (amendment), has the New Immigration Act been read a third time? What about the CIB? Total BS and nothing to do with the economy.

  38. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    My, my, an armchair politician is getting hot under the collar!!!

  39. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    ac

    you appear to be “mashing some bunions”.

  40. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    DAVID

    The armchair politician with all the answers, I look forward to seeing you on the political platform as a candidate in the next election.

    But then again that wont be possible unless you place a hood over your head, as you are more confident attacking anonomously.


  41. @ac
    So we agree. both parties are hogwash. A few more quotes for ya…

    “Furthermore, arrivals have started to decline again in 2012, ”
    “Barbados’s economy grew…well below expectations”
    “While tourism arrivals rebounded strongly…tourism expenditures continued to decline to just 80% of 2007 levels.”
    “Barbados’ off-shore business sector,…is coming under increasing pressure”
    “In response to the country’s poor economic performance, the government…pushing back the deadline for achieving a balanced budget”
    ” Interest expense now consumes more than 20% of the government’s revenues, significantly limiting its budgetary flexibility.”
    “Debt/GDP equaled 80%…a ratio generally reached only by much wealthier countries ”
    “The outlook also reflects rising pressure on the country’s foreign currency reserves, which continue to decline despite a reduction in the current account deficit”
    “the government strategy… relies upon optimistic growth forecasts, very tight control over expenditures that will be difficult to achieve, and continued high inflation — which does not bode well for the country’s competitiveness.”

    While I hold no brief or Mr. Arthur, and do not place blame fully at the GoB’s feet for where we are at, the above is striking and cannot be missed nor fluffed over. A level, blunt conversation is the least we as a people deserve. Not “hold the course” and “everything will be ok” or “the strategy is working.”

    Clearly it is not working as expressed. We ain’t stoopid.

    I done for now.

    Observing.


  42. @Carson
    Given your politically rabid nature I never thought you could become irrelevant, but you are sliding down that slope (one friendly blogger to a next).

    I actually miss the “backstabbing, stomach curdling, insulting, talking pure foolishness that made no sense, distract a thread with completely off topics” guy. This attempt at actual commentary doesn’t suit you…:)

    Just Observing.


  43. *Popcorn in hand and feet up*

  44. Carson C. Cadogan Avatar
    Carson C. Cadogan

    Observing

    Have you ever played cricket?

    You know that they are some balls you just let go by?


  45. so david what ‘s your beef . that the five year govt had enough time to do all of the above and then some . never mind the legalities involved with some of them and some of which were the broughtn about by a past administration.leave it to you david everything would be done in a magical way to appease all .your are definetely “apoltician” politician just give the people what they want and worry about consequences later. that is why the country is having such difficulties because the politicians that ran the country in the past never worry about the future it was allways about the next election.stuart maybe be different and it for that reason i see his politics in a different light..


  46. Observing you want blunt. Here it is.

    BLP,DLP or PIMP. Barbados is funked unless the world economy changes dramatically.

    All the b e being spewed in this silly political season will not change the short term consequences of 20 years living off of a structurally fragile economy that depends on Tourists and Offshore Tax shelters.

    Barbados depends on the success of other countries that right now are on the brink of going back into recession.


  47. Carson go do Accra work before befor e Jon or Isola drag you over the coals again. Maybe you will catch the people stealing from the storerooms instead of here talking shite


  48. Fooled by David | December 22, 2012 at 9:45 PM | Carson go do Accra work before befor e Jon or Isola drag you over the coals again. Maybe you will catch the people stealing from the storerooms instead of here talking shite
    ————————
    YES CARSON
    GO AND DO ACCRA’S WORK
    JON WILL GET YOU
    YUH KNOW HOW IT IS WITH YOU


  49. New Year Resolution: SAY No to vindictive Owen Arthur , Muscle Mary, Wuk fa Wuk and that arrogant self serving crew who lust for political power and access to the nation’s treasury. There is no need to bring back the BLP.


  50. @hants
    Man you do better at basic communication than the ministers of finance, tourism, international business, the prime minister and the governor of the central bank all in one! Well done

    @!
    Was there a “need” for the DLP I n 2008? If so could you point out why?

    Just observing

The blogmaster invites you to join the discussion.

Trending

Discover more from Barbados Underground

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading