COVID 19 UPDATES

The following comment inspired the blogmaster to expand the focus on data collection and discussion about the COVID 19 pandemic. Thanks to @Lyall@Amit

Blogmaster


David; re. your 4:41 am post;

You are correct but I have indeed considered that cohort of the population.

The reason that the US experts are beating the drum for testing, testing and more testing is to get a handle on what proportion of the general public has been compromised by the virus in any way and has left its signatures in body fluids including blood in the population. The virus is shed from the infected body as the disease is brought under control. When it is controlled it has been found that it takes around 7 days for all particles to be shed from the body. Infected persons are released back into the community when they test negative twice over a period of 2 days.

Barbados, like all of our island neighbours, did or does not have access to large numbers of tests and had to use what we had very sparingly. Thus, the only measure that we had for gauging the incidence of the virus in the population (and a very imperfect one, at that) might be by comparing the evidence of infection levels hinted at by a comparison of the graphs of the progress of the various Covid-19 outbreaks in our Islands.

Most of the world was in the same position as the Caribbean and used the data obtained by the minimal testing of infected people and their contacts and their contacts to produce the graphs we see on such sites as WHO and Worldometer etc. All these graphs give an imperfect picture and significant underestimation of infection levels in the county or country in which the tests are carried out, but, since they are carried out in the same way in each country they might provide some rationale for guesstimating the comparative levels of the infection in various groups of countries.

The data shows that, starting out at essentially the same levels, there was some divergence in relation to the rate of infection and therefore progress of the various outbreaks in various countries. The graphs for Barbados showed low and declining levels of infection from the beginning, peaking at the level of 13 positive cases per day and thereafter showing a slowly declining trend. The individuals who would have contributed to the declining trend would have been primarily from the contact testing but should also have included other individuals referred by Health professionals or who presented themselves to Government institutions because of concern that their symptoms might point to untimely death due to the dread Covid-19.

Amit, in an earlier post on this blog, reported on his initiative of graphing Covid-19 incidence over weekly periods throughout the epidemic, in several Caribbean Islands. If David thinks it is appropriate and Amit agrees I can post a subset of graphs clipped from his data for 6 Caribbean territories which I think could illustrate some of what I have presented above.


Covid 19

There was 1 more positive case announced today as well as 1 death. A slight uptick of the daily cases line is indicated in the graph by the blue line. The total cumulative number of positive cases from the tests carried out yesterday is 76 – Llyall Small

COVID 19

Attached is the updated C-19 graph for 2020-04-23. There were no additional positive cases from yesterday’s tests and therefore cumulative positive cases remain at 76 – Lyall Small

covid10

covid12

Two new positive cases were identified from yesterday’s tests. There are now 5 cases of contacts with a previously identified individual. The 5 cases are workers from a Government Institution. Tests are ongoing today (25 April 2020)Lyall Small

Covid11

Updated graph for 26 April 2020. No new +ve cases were found. Cumulative count is still 79 – Lyall Small

covid13

There was one additional +ve case identified today (27 April 2020) from the last tranche of NAB workers moving the cumulative total cases to 80. The graph is still essentially trending downwards – Lyallsmall

Covid-Cumulative 1

Graphing Covid-19 incidence in several Caribbean Islands – Source data: caribbeansignal.com

655 comments

  • As for the USA alert not surprising
    Look at the source from which govt keeps referring as getting advice
    None other than WHO
    Trump.has already shown his distrust of WHO after WHO failed to put out fast and relevant info about China
    So his distrust might have travelled to other small island nations who depends on WHO for COVID information
    Last week govt also had a PR display of receiving supplies from WHO
    All this might now add up as too close for comfort in the eyes of Trump

    Like

  • Also the optics coming from govt handling of COVID came across as weak and misleading
    Numbers which did not give comprehensive data which should have applied to at least more than half of the pop.tested
    Numbers that reflect a some what feel good experience relating to govt doing a good job

    Like

  • Now if I were a conspiracy theorist, I would say that the US advisory is an attempt to put doubts in the minds of those Americans thinking about welcome stamps and living in paradise for 12 months.

    Liked by 1 person

  • If you are reading this, please read to the end.

    We have discussed a number of issues. We may have our own ranking system but to me the most important issues we touche on was the US advisory to its citizens.

    Why?

    Tourism is a fickle mistress. One moment it is nothing blue skies and the next moment it is COVID-19. We struggled, survived and tried to restart our tourism dependent economy, but quickly saw that different governments can issue alerts and warnings that will hurt our revival.

    There are too many factors that are out of our control for us to be so heavily dependent on tourism. If US/Europe/Canada sneeze, then we in the Caribbean will catch a cold. With our sea, sand and sunshine, tourism was a low hanging fruit.

    Our limited resources and size make it extremely difficult to replace tourism, but can we continue with the haphazard possibilities of feast or famine? Our governments must do better.

    Liked by 1 person

  • David; re your 11:10 am comment
    Why is Grenada still a flat line?

    I suspect that this is a function of numbers of returning citizens, size of economy, size of tourist product, extent and amount of Covid 19 particle loads; efficiency and funding of testing and contact tracing operations, luck; etc.

    One of the other factors is how the incidence of covid-19 or indeed other pandemic diseases are reported. There is no effort made globally to segregate positive cases based on their origins. For example Barbados may have 32 active cases under official quarantine control. If the quarantine is run efficiently there is very little likelihood of spread into the Bajan community. There should be a distinct globally agreed and recognizable statistic of community spread cases as disctinct from cases where the infections originated from outside the country. The stats, as they are developed and circulated at present, does not separate those cohorts. The separation is not particularly important for large countries but is immensely important for all of the Caribbean countries whose economies are largely dependent on tourism. This is because if Barbados’ current number of infected C19 cases are 28, for example, these cases are all under official control and there are therefore 0 cases in the community that can theoretically affect the random citizen or tourist here. A similar argument is probably relevant for most of the other Eastern Caribbean Countries,

    I think the Authorities should recognize this fact and seek to gather the relevant data and get the WHO on board to accept such data as being acceptable for small island states dependent on tourism.

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  • Comment was re. David’s of 8th August 8th.

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  • @Lyall

    Thanks, makes sense. It does not make sense that our COVID-19 infections have come about because of proactive screening and we have some white people in the USA issuing a silly advisory which equally sill Bajans are postinall ive social media.

    >

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  • Once again, you have missed the point.
    Some are trying to start a discussion of how the advisory of the US or any of the source countries will affect our economy.
    If you don’t have it today, you will have it tomorrow.
    But I guess, one idea at a time is the best we can hope for.
    ——————xx————————————-
    There was a time when Trinidad was blaming ‘arrivals’ for new cases of COVID. Then along came cases, they could not explain away. I will end there.

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  • It is shocking how many Redlegs from the USA and UK disregard Barbadian Corona rules. No masks at all. Wow. No wonder London, NYC and Florida are in a mess!

    Government should advise all white, mask-wearing foreigners in Barbados from the Netherlands, Switzerland, Norway or Germany to wear an armband with their national flag so that Barbadians do not confuse them with Americans and British and run away screaming.

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  • de pedantic Dribbler

    Well cue the victory parade 🙂 POTUS via his acolyte Putin has found his cov19 vaccine prior to election day!

    Let’s get some tests in US for review and if this thing works then the political spin is a sure winner like: …

    After these years of this woeful political hoax the Dems talk of evil Russia has been shattered. Due to the wondrous relationship between the Presidents of the US and Russia, Pres Trump has negotiated a special patent to produce the successful vaccine in US by a US company and begin mass deliveries by Election Day. This is a stupendous example of draining the swamp of negativity and working closely with so called adversaries… Trump is the Leader we need now and until 2024. Hail America … hail our friends Russia. Onward to life, liberty and great friendships.

    Drum roll….Maybe!!!! We laugh at our peril.

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  • They are willing to distribute a vaccine that the results of the trials are not known or was made available for peer review?

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  • @TheOgazerts August 9, 2020 12:52 PM “But with the “reopening” of the country we seem to be hurtling towards numbers that we never imagined.”

    My response: Not hurtling. We are managing the risk because we have to. WE HAVE TO EAT. We know that we will all die eventually, but we don’t want to die just now. So we are managing the risk between widespread COVID19 and widespread hunger. The devil and the deep blue sea. A tightrope. If you are a praying man, pray that we continue to act wisely.

    @TheOgazerts August 9, 2020 12:52 PM “The track record that we established has been demolished to the extent that the USA is now publishing warnings against visiting Barbados.”

    Not really as the U.S. Embassy at Bridgetown has clarified. The U.S. routinely issues travel warnings in an attempt to protect their own citizens living or traveling abroad. But the U.S. State Department is well aware that at present U.S. citizens are also at risk at home. But since the State Department is essentially the U.S. government’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, they will only issue a travel warnings for countries outside of the U.S. because that is what Ministries of Foreign Affairs do. Within the U.S. various local and state governments are responsible for warning U.S. citizens about problems at home, and they have mostly been doing so but the messaging has been spotty, but that is not the State Department’s fault or responsibility.

    Is the US warning a a blessing of a curse?

    My response: Neither (See above)

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  • @DPD
    Russia attaches so much importance to this development that they named it Sputnik V a reference to the Space race when the Russians beat the Americans at getting the first man into Space. If the POTUS has embraced this, the man as we used to say back in the village “he got more guts than sense” because this is the same individual who said the US drug companies were working at “warp speed” to get a vaccine ready for the public so is he now conceding that Russia is superior to the US when it comes to development of world changing medicine.

    The man is grabbing at everything including hydroxychloroquine and bleach, perhaps he is hoping that this latest elixir is the cure for his reelection malady.

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  • @Mariposa August 9, 2020 1:19 PM “As for the USA alert not surprising Look at the source from which govt keeps referring as getting advice None other than WHO Trump.has already shown his distrust of WHO after WHO failed to put out fast and relevant info about China”

    On 20 January 2020, the first known case of COVID-19 was confirmed in the Pacific Northwest state of Washington in a man who had returned from Wuhan on 15 January.

    On 30 January 2020, the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak of COVID-19 to be a PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY OF INTERNATIONAL CONCERN and issued a set of Temporary Recommendations.

    WHO announced COVID-19 outbreak as a pandemic on 11 March 2020.

    According to the Guardian [a British newspaper] of April 7 “Donald Trump was warned at the end of January by one of his top White House advisers that coronavirus had the potential to kill hundreds of thousands of Americans and derail the US economy, unless tough action were taken immediately, new memos have revealed. The memos were written by Trump’s economic adviser, Peter Navarro, and circulated via the National Security Council widely around the White House and federal agencies.They show that even within the Trump administration ALARM BELLS WERE RINGING BY LATE JANUARY AT A TIME WHEN THE PRESIDENT WAS CONSISTENTLY DOWNPLAYING THE THREAT OF COVID19.

    It is my honest belief that the U.S. President did not understand the science, and that furthermore he refused to be guided by the scientists. It would be interesting to see what science the president studied in high school and university and to see what his grades were.

    He lobbied for the world to see Obama’s birth certificate. He should insist now that his own high school and university transcripts be released. It may well be that the U.S. President knows less science that the average bright 4th former [9th grader]

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  • I know how young people, busy being full time students and part time workers, busy with their social lives, so on January 26, four days BEFORE the World Health Organization declared COVID19 a public health emergency of international concern I warned my youngsters in the north as follows “wash your hands regularly and carefully these days, especially before eating. Soap and water is best, but hand sanitizer will work if no soap and water is available.” And I followed up with phone calls to reinforce the message.

    I am only a simpleton.

    What was the U.S. president saying to his people on January 26, 2020?

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  • re It is my honest belief that the U.S. President did not understand the science
    HOW MANY OF WUNNA UNDERSTAND THE SCIENCE?
    EVEN FALSY AND BURP DONT UNDERSTAND THE SCIENCE
    WE STILL HAVE PHARMACOLOGY ILLITERATES ON BU DENIGRATING HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE WHICH HAS BEEN SHOWN TO BE EFFICACIOUS ALL ABOUT THE PLACE!

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  • I do understand the science. Was instructed in science by some of the best.

    Putting all politics aside do you honestly think that Trump understands the science?

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  • President Trump twice received intelligence briefings on the coronavirus in January, according to a White House official. The official tells NPR the briefings occurred on Jan. 23 and Jan. 28.

    “The president was told that the coronavirus was potentially going to ‘spread globally,’ ” the official said of the first briefing, which came two days after the first case of the virus was reported in the United States. “But the ‘good news’ was that it was not deadly for most people,” the official said the president was told.

    Five days after that initial briefing, the president was briefed again, according to the official. This time, he was told the virus “was spreading outside of China, but that deaths from the disease were happening only in China,” the official said. “He was also told that China was withholding data.”

    Source: National Public Radio 2 May, 2020

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  • de pedantic Dribbler

    @David, you know full well that Putin will CERTAINLY distribute the vaccines regardless of the peer review standard process… as for POTUS, who the hell knows what that man will do to be reelected.

    You know, as all political gadflies do, that citizen Trump will be PROSECUTED in NY for his financial infelicities prior to the WH; we all ALSO know that any Dem victory will expose the awful level of perfidy by the current admin re 1.Inspectator Generals firings, 2 the rampant politicization at the National Intel office and across its agencies, 3.the surely corrupt evisceration and likely illegal acts at EPA, Dept of Ed (re student loan forgiveness and more), Dept of Housing (re suburban house ownership and more)…

    In sum an election loss could be serious pain for the Trump brand…. thus, he will do ANYTHING TO WIN.

    @Sargent re he hopes that this “latest elixir is the cure for his reelection malady”….

    This Putin vaccine is a freaking amazing point of note… Putin absolutely wants props for being first…. Trump did too but POTUS will find a way to share glory if it gets him to victory .

    When we consider that this man is almost demanding that colleges play football in order to create a sense of normalcy when several colleges have had athlete positives during their training startups and that the professional baseballers are also suffering infections in their revised season, its clear he is focused on his election not his nation’s well being.

    He would easily bend to Russia if it benefits him.

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  • Ghana has recorded a total of 54 malaria deaths between January and March 2020, the Ghana Health Service has said.

    Dr Patrick Kuma-Aboagye, the Director General of the Ghana Health Service, has called on the public to take charge of their health and that of their families by observing the precautionary protocols of malaria just as they do for COVID

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  • COVID19 in Donald Trump’s OWN words

    Dec. 31: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention learn of a cluster of cases in China.

    Jan. 22: Trump makes his first comments about the coronavirus, saying he is not concerned about a pandemic: “No. Not at all. And we have it totally under control. … It’s going to be just fine.”

    Jan. 30: Trump says of the threat: “We think it’s going to have a very good ending for it. So that I can assure you.”

    Feb. 10: Trump says, “I think the virus is going to be — it’s going to be fine.”

    Feb. 19: Trump says: “I think it’s going to work out fine. I think when we get into April, in the warmer weather, that has a very negative effect on that and that type of a virus. So let’s see what happens, but I think it’s going to work out fine.”

    Feb. 24: Trump says: “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. … Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”

    Feb. 26: Trump says, “When you have 15 people — and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero — that’s a pretty good job we’ve done.”

    Feb. 28: Trump says: “It’s going to disappear. One day, it’s like a miracle, it will disappear.”

    March 10: Trump says: “Just stay calm. It will go away.”

    March 11: Trump says, “I think we’re going to get through it very well.”

    March 16: Trump for the first time publicly reflects on the gravity of he situation. Asked about his repeated comments saying the situation was “under control,” he says: “If you’re talking about the virus, no, that’s not under control for any place in the world. … I was talking about what we’re doing is under control, but I’m not talking about the virus.”

    Source: Washington Post, April 21, 2020

    As of today, 5,125,050 American residents infected with COVID19
    As of today 164,329 American residents dead of COVID19.

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  • RE I do understand the science. Was instructed in science by some of the best.

    WELL EXPLAIN THE CELL BIOLOGY THE BIOCHEMISTRY THE VIROLOGY THE PHYSIOLOGY AND THE PATHOLOGY INVOLVED
    I AM LISTENING

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  • Q are THEY willing to distribute a vaccine that the results of the trials are not known or was made available for peer review?

    A SINCE WHEN ARE THE CLINICAL TRIALS OF VACCINES OR ANY THERAPEUTIC AGENT MADE KNOWN TO THE VIROLOGICAL ILLITERATES IN THE PUBLIC? WHAT DOES PEER REVIEW REALLY MEAN? WHO ARE THE PEERS? HOW RELIABLE OR HONEST AND UNBIASED ARE THEY?

    THE PUBLIC KNOWS LITTLE UNTIL DRUGS ARE RECALLED………OFTEN FOR STUPID REASONS

    WHAT DOES THE PUBLIC KNOW ABOUT THE CLINICAL TRIALS CONCERNING MANY OF THE EFFECTIVE VACCINES AND THERAPEUTICS ON THE MARKET?

    IT IS NICE TO CITE THE JARGON WHAT DOES IT MEAN.

    EVERYONE KNOWS THAT THE CDC, WHO, FDA ARE UNRELIABLE AND CORRUPT., AND VERY SUBJECT TO GRAFT

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  • And everybody knows that if the CDC, WHO and FDA would give Trump a cut of the graft money he would be all in!

    Cuhdear Bajan,

    Trump said his uncle was a major scientist. That is the only qualification in science he is willing to expose to scrutiny.

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  • @GP August 11, 2020 5:29 PM “EVERYONE KNOWS THAT THE CDC, WHO, FDA ARE UNRELIABLE AND CORRUPT., AND VERY SUBJECT TO GRAFT.”

    Really?

    Wow!

    I certainly didn’t know this.

    So you meant billions of people, except me?

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  • How long can we allow flights from the UK and America to continue? This is unsustainable.

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  • EVERYONE THAT MATTERS KNOWS THAT THE CDC, WHO, FDA ARE UNRELIABLE AND CORRUPT., AND VERY SUBJECT TO GRAFT.”

    I certainly didn’t know this. NOW YOU KNOW

    So you meant billions of people, except me? IT DOES NOT MATTER IF YOU KNOW OR NOT. BUT THIS HAS BEEN WELL KNOWN FOR DECADES- NOT JUST NOW

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  • In other words to break it down ABC, has Russia shared the data regarding the vaccine (reported) with US authorities.

    Concerns over Russia’s okay of virus vaccine
    MOSCOW – President Vladimir Putin said yesterday that Russia had become the first country to grant regulatory approval to a COVID-19 vaccine after less than two months of human testing, a move Moscow likened to its success in the Cold War-era space race.
    The World Health Organisation (WHO), said, however, it has not received enough information on the Russian COVID-19 vaccine to evaluate it.
    Asked about plans to produce the potential vaccine in Brazil, WHO’s assistant director of its regional branch, the Pan American Health Organisation, Jarbas Barbosa, said that should not be done until Phase 2 and 3 trials were completed to guarantee its safety and effectiveness.
    “Any vaccine producer has to follow this procedure that guarantees it is safe and has the WHO’s recommendation,” he said in a virtual briefing from Washington. The vaccine, which will be called “Sputnik V” in homage to the world’s first satellite launched by the Soviet Union, has however not yet completed its final trials. Moscow’s decision to grant approval before then has raised concerns among some experts. Only about ten per cent of clinical trials are successful and some scientists fear Moscow may be putting national prestige before safety.
    Putin and other officials have said it is completely safe. The president said one of his daughters had taken it as a volunteer and felt good afterwards.
    “I know that it works quite effectively, forms strong immunity, and I repeat, it has passed all the necessary checks,” Putin told a government meeting.
    The Russian business conglomerate Sistema has said it expects to put the vaccine, developed by Moscow’s Gamaleya Institute, into mass production by the end of the year.
    Government officials have said it will be administered to medical personnel, and then to teachers, on a voluntary basis at the end of this month or in early September. Mass roll-out in Russia
    is expected to start in October.
    The vaccine is administered in two doses and consists of two serotypes of a human adenovirus, each carrying an S-antigen of the new coronavirus, which enter human cells and produce an immune response.
    The platform used for the vaccine was developed by Russian scientists over two decades and had formed the basis for several vaccines in the past, including those against Ebola.
    (Reuters)

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  • Driver heard Aluko’s frustration

    THE DRIVER of ZR 72, on which former Juventus women’s footballer Eniola Aluko was a passenger, says he believes it was frustration that made the English visitor leave quarantine at the Courtyard by Marriott.

    “I don’t know if other people get back their results before her or not, but she was kinda frustrated and she say she can’t let nobody ruin her holiday because she was waiting on the call, she ask and nobody was replying to her,” the driver said.

    The 33-year-old British broadcaster shot to public fame on Friday night after Jason King posted on Facebookthat a British woman got off in Keizer Hill, Christ Church, to go to a hotel but had been overheard complaining that her COVID-19 test results had been taking too long and she was not going to ruin her holiday waiting on results. The driver, who only gave his name as “Scrucial”, and who declined to have his photograph taken, said Aluko had been in another van, but got off at the wrong stop.

    ‘Another van’

    “I only picked her up from below Welches [Christ Church] by the window to the sea, but is another van she tell she was going to Little Arches. I drive past her, but a gentleman in the van tell me a woman put out her hand,” he explained.

    But it was only as the ZR approached Massy Oistins, that he became aware of the issue.

    “If she didn’t talk, nobody wouldn’t know nothing. She say that she was waiting on her results, nobody ain’t call and tell her nothing. She say she was there waiting and her 24 hours up and she ain’t hear no results or nothing. I put on some speed cuz I say ‘Wait, she brek quarantine’ so I start to drive lil’ faster,” he said.

    Scrucial said he was not eavesdropping on her conversation, but Aluko, who sat behind him, and another man she recognised from the airport were engaged in conversation.

    “She ask the gentleman if he do quarantine too because they meet at the airport or something like that. I tell myself that very strange, though, but even when she said so he was still talking with her and wasn’t frighten nor nothing so,” he said.

    He added that she alighted in Keizer Hill, and later that afternoon he got a call. But he made it clear that she was only in the van for about ten minutes and wore her mask the entire time.

    “I wasn’t scared. I can’t be frighten. When she got out, I use my hand sanitiser. I didn’t know who was upset from who wasn’t. People didn’t quarrel, they didn’t say nothing. And when they got out, I sanitise the

    van. If she didn’t say anything, nobody would know,” Scrucial said.

    Aluko appeared before Magistrate Douglas Frederick in the District “A” Magistrates’ Court on Saturday, where she was reprimanded and discharged with a warning.

    She has since taken to Twitter where she said it was all a misunderstanding.

    While she noted it was her second trip to the island, she said it would be her last, and she only wanted to be left in peace to enjoy the rest of her vacation.

    Aluko leaves the island today.

    Source: Nation Newspaper

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  • @Hants

    Imported- the screening is working so far.

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  • What Is The Ideal COVID-19 Response? These 3 Countries Got It Right

    Research by Michael Barber, a former adviser to UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, and Idris Jala, who did a similar job for Malaysia’s Najib Razak, has looked at how different countries have handled the global pandemic in an effort to help others to learn from the most successful.

    World(c) 2020 BloombergRobert Hutton, BloombergUpdated: August 07, 2020 2:24 pm IST
    What Is The Ideal COVID-19 Response? These 3 Countries Got It Right

    South Korea’s contact-tracing program is far more invasive than many populations would accept.

    The ideal governmental response to Covid-19 would combine the testing policy of New Zealand, the schools policy of Denmark, and the communications strategy of Uganda, according to a study of different countries’ responses.

    Research by Michael Barber, a former adviser to U.K. Prime Minister Tony Blair, and Idris Jala, who did a similar job for Malaysia’s Najib Razak, has looked at how different countries have handled the global pandemic in an effort to help others to learn from the most successful.

    Among the examples they pick out are New Zealand’s extensive testing, which has seen more than 7,000 tests for each confirmed case, and South Korea’s contact-tracing, which uses data from security cameras and credit card transactions to follow people’s movements. Uganda’s use of radio call-in shows to engage the public in a country with poor internet access is praised, along with Denmark’s successful reopening of schools.

    But they note that coordination between countries has been poor, especially when compared with the global financial crisis of 2008, when leaders including Britain’s Gordon Brown helped pull together an international response.

    ‘Homework Assignment’

    “For the first time in history, every government on the planet has been set the same homework assignment at the same time,” Barber said in an interview. “That should be a great opportunity for global learning, but there’s surprisingly little going on.”

    This should be addressed as the world prepares to face the next set of challenges around vaccine distribution and economic rescue packages, he said.

    And not every solution works everywhere. South Korea’s contact-tracing program is far more invasive than many populations would accept, for example. Though Barber pointed to a successful workaround in Australia, which passed privacy laws to reassure people their data would not be misused.

    The pair have also attempted to rank every country on how badly it has been affected by Covid-19 and how well it is recovering. Top of the recovery league on Wednesday were Thailand and South Korea. At the bottom were Honduras and the Bahamas. The U.K. was ranked 28th out of 184 countries. The U.S. was at number 131.

    (Except for the headline, this story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is published from a syndicated feed.)

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  • @ David,

    More testing opportunities and a huge gamble.

    Barbados’ tourism sector is set for a big boost with the return of a daily flight from Heathrow Airport in the UK.

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  • @Hants

    We have to try to support some level of economic activity to ensure people can eat.

    >

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  • The people have to eat. Most of us are not independently wealthy. Most of us have little or no inherited wealth, except maybe Quaker John.

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  • @ David,

    I guess the risk is worth the economic activity that will primarily benefit the Hotel owners.

    Hopefully some of PLT’s ” invitees ” with their 12 month welcome stamp are on the daily BA flights.

    Liked by 1 person

  • @Hants

    In everything we do in life it is about managing the risk reward. As we go along decisions will be made whether to accept or reduce risk take up.

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  • @ David ?

    Czar gone ? Carter says government to make a statement

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  • @Hants

    It appears he was seconded from the British Embassy.

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  • Another victory for the business elite of Barbados. Mia has abandoned the popular and competent Covid-19 Czar after been pressured by the minority business community. They have been stung by threats that they could be forced to close down their operations if they continue to disregard reasonable Covid-19 protocol working practises.

    I have been impressed with Czar Richard Carter. Prepare for a steep rise in the Covid-19 figures.

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  • @TLSN

    Has he been sacked? It has not been reported in the Nation of Barbados Today, which means it must be true. I agree with what you say above. The president has no original ideas, she does not like details, and her only idea of a successful government is getting from A to B without any social crisis.
    The Social Partnership is an enemy of the state. It must be got rid of.

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  • Nonsense, it was reported and in reply to Hants explained.

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  • Always at the ready with your vituperatives.

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  • @ Hal,
    I would say he has been sacked or walked – probably the latter. He is a man of principle. The writing was on the wall once the Minister, Lisa Cummins, disregarded the Covid-19 protocol and returned to parliament prematurely. I’m leaving the house now. No doubt we will find out later today the outcome of this speculation.

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  • @Hal Austin August 14, 2020 12:33 PM “@TLSN. Has he been sacked? It has not been reported in the Nation of Barbados Today, which means it must be true.”

    For a former newsman you bias astounds me.

    I got up at 6:15 Barbados time today and read in the Nation a big bold front page headline “Czar Gone?” and “more on page 3”

    I haven’t checked Barbados Today yet, but i would bet anything that they have carried the czar news as well.

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  • https://barbadostoday.bb/2020/08/14/us-travel-advisory-not-meant-to-penalise-barbados/

    That’s not pee your leg, it’s raining.
    Pollution is why it is yellow.

    Like

  • BBCovid15082020Carcovid15082020

    See the two COVID 19 graphs for the week ending August 14th. Jamaica, Guyana and T&T’s active cases graphs show indications of significant community spread. The data from Barbados and Grenada do not. However, the indications are that the testing and contract tracing teams will have to be very vigilant if we are to maintain that status both here and in Grenada – Lyall Small

    Like

  • Regardless of your place on the political spectrum, one is forced to admit that the government is performing an excellent job in managing COVID-19.

    It is also obvious that one can close borders (Trinidad), but if the disease is already on the island additional measures are needed to fight community spread.

    Barbados appears to be getting it right on all fronts👍👍👍👍. Sadly, the unknown in this whole equation is the incoming tourist. Bad luck can wipe out the best planning.

    Like

  • Two more people tested positive for COVID-19 yesterday after being tested a second time.

    The two, a 41-year-old female visitor and a 55-year-old Barbadian woman, arrived on a Virgin Atlantic flight on August 8. They are both asymptomatic.

    Like

  • Interesting to observe Guyana, Trinidad and a few other countries in the region have had to pull back on covid protocols.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    As far as I am concerned, court is still in session on our COVID19 response. I think our success thus far might have slightly more to do with our luck rather than our skill.

    One area in need of definite improvement is our reporting of the active cases statistics in our official statistics graphic (https://gisbarbados.gov.bb/blog/covid-19-update-two-new-cases-two-recoveries/). As we open up more, our active cases will continue to increase and due to our small population, will quickly have us looking like we are not in control.
    A more detailed breakdown on the origin of the active cases stats is required by
    – Port of Entry
    – While under Quarantine
    – Via Contact Tracing
    – Locally

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @David August 16, 2020 8:40 AM
    “Interesting to observe Guyana, Trinidad and a few other countries in the region have had to pull back on covid protocols.”

    We are only delaying the inevitable as tt is only a matter of time before we are like them too. Our current strategy cannot be sustained long term. Unless we go the route of requiring all persons coming into the country that have not already had it go through a mandatory 2 week quarantine in designated facilities, we will get local transmission within the next 6 months by my guess.

    I don’t know what our early medical treatment intervention is (really hope it is not wait and see) but the only way to stay ahead of this thing is to publicize far and wide a simple procedure people can follow if they start to come down with the symptoms that does not include isolation at a government facility.

    Like

  • Is the rapid test available in the quantities and cost to permit wide scale testing?

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    I really don’t expect rapid tests to be available too soon because the profits are to be made in mass vaccinations and if rapid tests are widely available and as simple to administer as a home pregnancy test, we will be able to quickly stop transmission in a month or two tops.

    After watching this video and others on rapid tests that have been developed, some as far back as February, I realise we have the wrong idea by sticking to the very sensitive gold standard PCR Test as the one and only test we should be using. We have forgotten the primary goal with testing should be to identify if one’s viral load is high enough to be contagious so we can keep them at home, treat and monitor their progression.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    When this whole thing is over, our medical practitioners in the Caribbean and UWI have to focus on getting together to see after our own health and medical needs and engage in research for our own research and stop waiting and depending on the big drug companies and countries to do research.

    There is significant money to be made and benefits to be had for our people when we prioritize and research what we need for ourselves.

    Like

  • What is the story about the Czar?

    Like

  • If we cannot rapid test, how are we to manage the lag applied to those tested from low risk countries as an example to mitigate community spread?

    Like

  • https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/247261/virus-recovery
    One new virus case, one recovery

    What happens to the other passengers and crew on the flight ?

    Like

  • The number of confirmed cases of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) increased by one today with the arrival yesterday of an asymptomatic visitor aboard Caribbean Airways from Jamaica.

    Like

  • @Hal Austin August 16, 2020 10:30 AM “What is the story about the Czar?”

    We all know where the czar works, Why don’t you call him?

    Very likely hiis home number is listed too. He doesn’t strike me as the sort of guy who would have an unlisted number.

    Let the renowned journalist call the czar.

    Like

  • COVID19 deaths per 100,000 population:

    United Kingdom: 70.37 deaths per 100,000 population
    United States: 51.98
    Canada: 24.49
    Guyana: 2.95
    Barbados 2.44
    Antigua:3.2
    Trinidad: 0.79

    J

    Like

  • “A visitor tested positive for novel coronavirus (COVID-19) after a second test for the viral illness yesterday.”

    https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/247292/virus-153

    Like

  • Where is the Czar?

    Like

  • Received in BU inbox:

    FINALLY SOME ENCOURAGING NEWS ON THE FIGHT AGAINST COVID 19

    A professor of a pharmacy at U of Toronto sent this clearly worded update to his family.

    For this pandemic there’s a greater chance of survival for those getting infected 3 months later, like June 2020, than those who got infected 3 months earlier, say February 2020. The reason for this is that Doctors and scientists know more about COVID-19 now than 3 months ago, and hence are able to treat patients better. I will list *5 important things* that we know now that we didn’t know in February 2020 for your understanding.

    1. COVID-19 was initially thought to cause deaths due to *pneumonia- a lung infection*- and so Ventilators were thought to be the best way to treat sick patients who couldn’t breathe. *Now we are realizing that the virus causes blood clots in the blood vessels of the lungs* and other parts of the body; and this causes the reduced oxygenation. Now we know that just providing oxygen by ventilators will not help, but we have to prevent and dissolve the micro clots in the lungs. This is why we are using drugs like *Aspirin and Heparin (blood thinners that prevent clotting) as protocol in treatment regimens in June 2020.

    2. Previously patients used to drop dead on the road, or even before reaching a hospital, due to reduced oxygen in their blood – OXYGEN SATURATION. This was because of *HAPPY HYPOXIA*- where even though the oxygen saturation was gradually reducing the COVID-19, patients did not have symptoms until it became critically less, like sometimes even 70%. **Normally we become breathless if oxygen saturation reduces below 90%. **This breathlessness is not triggered in Covid patients, and so we were getting the sick patients very late to the hospitals, in February 2020. Now, since knowing about happy hypoxia, we are monitoring oxygen saturation of all covid patients *with a simple home use pulse oximeter and getting them to hospital if their oxygen saturation drops to 93% or less*. This gives more time for doctors to correct the oxygen deficiency in the blood and a better survival chance in June 2020.

    3. We did not have drugs to fight the corona virus in February 2020. We were only treating the complications caused by it… hypoxia. Hence most patients became severely infected. “`**Now we have 2 important medicines: FAVIPIRAVIR & REMDESIVIR**“` These are ANTIVIRALS that can kill the corona virus.
    By using these two medicines we can prevent patients from becoming severely infected and therefore cure them BEFORE THEY GO TO HYPOXIA. This knowledge we have in JUNE 2020… not in February 2020.

    4. Many Covid-19 patients die not just because of the virus, but also due the patient’s own immune system responding In an exaggerated manner called *CYTOKINE STORM*.
    This stormy strong immune response not only kills the virus but also kills the patients.
    In February 2020, we didn’t know how to prevent it from happening. Now in June 2020, we know that *easily available medicines called Steroids,* that doctors around the world have been using for almost 80 years, *can be used to prevent the cytokine storm in some patients*.

    5. Now we also know that people with hypoxia became better just by making them lie down on their belly – known as prone position.
    Apart from this, a few days ago, Israeli scientists have discovered that a chemical known as Alpha Defensin, produced by the patients White blood cells, can cause the micro clots in blood vessels of the lungs; and this could possibly be prevented by a drug called Colchicine, used over many decades in the treatment of Gout. So now we know for sure that patients have a better chance at surviving the COVID-19 infection, in June 2020, than in February 2020, for sure. Going forward, there’s nothing to panic about Covid-19 – if we remember that a person who gets infected later, has a better chance at survival, than one who got infected early.
    Let’s continue to follow precautions, wear masks and practise social distancing.
    Please distribute this message, as we all need some positive news…

    Like

  • “Barbados has recorded two more cases of COVID-19, out of the 205 tests conducted yesterday.

    There are a 37-year-old male visitor, who arrived on a British Airways flight on August 11, and tested positive after his second test, and a 25-year-old Barbadian male, who also arrived on a British Airways flight on August 18. Both males are asymptomatic.”

    Like

  • A 27-year-old visitor, who arrived on British Airways on Thursday, was the only positive case of COVID-19 among the 304 tests done by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.

    The British woman, who is asymptomatic, is now in isolation at Harrison Point, St Lucy.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    You forgot the intransit passenger yesterday.

    Will somebody tell me why we are testing in-transit passengers instead of letting them continue to their final destination and get tested there or is this test that country’s entry requirement before allowing that passenger to board the plane to reach their final destination?

    Like

  • Would testing the intransit passenger be useful in the contact tracing exercise?

    >

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    The person is in-transit so nothing to contact trace since we already have their flight information. All persons staying in Barbados must already either come with a negative test or get tested on entry or go into quarantine.

    If they test positive at the final destination, we can inform the persons that came on that flight but that would just be a extra precaution since those passengers would already have been screened.

    I don’t see why we are testing in-transits to expense ourselves for the costs of the test and subsequent isolation if they are positive alongwith artificially inflating our numbers.

    Like

  • It is important because a negative passenger on the flight may have been exposed to the intransit passenger- thevirus needs a few days to ‘show’.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    I understand wanting to know but our protocol already covers that scenario without having to test the in-transit passenger.

    My concern is that testing of in-transit passengers is a lose-lose situation for us. It gives us extra cases we should not have to spend our taxpayer’s money on in the first place and will make our numbers look worse in the long run. This COVID fight is a marathon not a sprint and at the end of the day the only thing that will matter to our tourism-based economy is the statistics.

    They passengers should only be tested at their final destination and if they can’t board the plane to their final destination, we should require they have a negative test before being allowed to enter Barbados.

    Like

  • How does our protocol cover ‘that’ scenario?

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    My understanding of our protocol is we test on entry if they don’t come with a negative test and a follow-up test 7 days later.

    If the passenger is positive on entry with no prior test, it should be caught by the entry test. If they are unlucky to catch it on the plane from said in-transit or another passenger or be in the incubation period when they land here, it should be picked up by the 7-day follow-up test.

    A positive test from the in-transit passenger does not require any changes to how we are already treating the other passengers on the same flight so all we are doing is giving ourselves one more person to treat and add to our statistics.

    It may sound harsh but I don’t see the need to test anybody that is not staying in Barbados since that does not compromise our protocol and lets their final destination pay for their test and treatment.

    Like

  • It depends on the risk category of the country where the passenger embarked. If it is a low risk country passengers are not subjected to the 7 day follow up covid 19 test?

    Like

  • “It may sound harsh but I don’t see the need to test anybody that is not staying in Barbados since that does not compromise our protocol and lets their final destination pay for their test and treatment.”

    It is airborne. An in-transit infected patient could have passed it on to fellow passengers.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    By our own risk category, we would also not have tested the in-transit passenger from the low risk country unless their next destination forces us to test if they required a negative test before boarding the plane to that country.

    That reinforces my point, no testing of in-transit passengers. If the final destination requires a negative test before boarding the plane to their country, we should also require a negative test before that passenger boards the plane to our country. It does not benefit us to to be shielding the final destination. All passengers should be tested and receive treatment in either their source country or final destination country, not any countries in between.

    Like

  • In a perfect scenario. The local authorities have a moral responsibility to test the intransit passenger who may have been affected by disembarking passenger or passengers.

    >

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @TheOGazerts August 21, 2020 7:10 PM
    Someone who catches it on the plane is never going to test positive so quickly. It will take at least a few days at best for the virus to incubate and register which is why twe have the second test later.

    Knowing whether the in-transit person has it or not does not prevent from identifying who they pass it onto on the plane. All it does is give us one more person to treat. If the final destination does the test, we will still know but that is one less person we have to treat and the person will not be stuck in a possibly unfamiliar country.

    Like

  • You are zeroing in on the smaller point.

    Knowing the person has it will allow us to quarantine those who could be considered as in close contact with him. We can then employ a protocol that minimizes the reduction of community spread. This is even more important than treating him.

    BTW, we identified a few cases that got off a plane.
    _——–xx——-

    The protocols put in place by the government has worked so far,; let us resist the urge to fix what is working.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    We must zero in on all these smaller points since each additional unnecessary case we have to deal with increases our risk and the first thing about managing risk is to avoid it in the first place if you can.

    Our mandatory 7 day quarantine/monitoring protocol for high/medium risk countries protects people already in Barbados but untested in-transit passengers pose an avoidable risk to other passengers on the flight.

    If the country a passenger is in-transit to requires a negative test before entering that country, we should also apply their rule and require that same passenger to have a negative test to enter our country. If they are not willing to take the risk for their passenger, why should we.

    In general, the only persons from high/medium risk countries we should really be accepting without a pre-flight test is our own residents. All other travelers should be required to have a negative test before getting on the plane. I would be extremely angry to know that I booked a vacation, went to all the trouble to ensure I was negative before I got on the plane only to risk a infection and or longer quarantine because the tourist next to me didn’t follow the same procedure.

    Like

  • The prime minister stated the quality of our test kit is better than many countries. It is better to test.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    I just re-read the entire 13-page travel protocols (updated Aug 3rd) on https://gisbarbados.gov.bb/covid-19-protocols/ and realise there is already a requirement for in-transit passengers to come with a prior test for all risk classes. What now needs to be stated by the authorities is if this protocol (page 8) was breached, an exception was made or the person was unlucky and turned positive after their test or had a false negative.

    Since these travel protocols are our first and most important line of defense this 13-page needs to be tightened up and simplified as there are too many conditions to confuse passengers to follow. I propose they tighten the travel protocols document to one primary page with something like.

    Rules for Travel to Barbados
    1) To protect your fellow passengers and flight crew to the best of our ability, we require ALL persons present with a negative test before being allowed to board any flight to Barbados. Exemptions will only be allowed for people from the Bubble countries (countries with zero active cases) and on a case by case request basis.
    2) All arrivals will be subject to a mandatory test after 7 days on the island and additionally any of the following based on risk assessment at port of entry: a test on entry, 7-day quarantine or 7-day monitoring.
    3) If the mandatory 7-day test is negative, you will not be subject to any further quarantine, monitoring or restrictions for the remainder of your stay. However, if that test is positive, you will be immediately required to undergo isolation at a designated facility until you test negative and undergo the contact tracing process.

    Something like this will demonstrate to future tourists, we are serious about ensuring everyone’s safety in a simple and transparent manner.

    Like

  • Passengers have been coming to Barbados without the required negative test document from first opening of the airport. There is a report in today’s Nation from the CMO entry protocol will be revised on avoid overwhelming the local system.

    Like

  • CMO: Move to boost protocols
    By Barry Alleyne barryalleyne@nationnews.com
    Public health authorities will be reviewing the protocols for visitors.
    This, after a fifth visitor (three from Britain and two from the United States) tested positive for the COVID-19 virus this week.
    In an interview with the Saturday Sun yesterday, Acting Chief Medical Officer Dr Kenneth George said authorities were still satisfied the protocols were working, but that a review was needed so their system was not overwhelmed with coronavirus cases in the coming months.
    Yesterday, a 27-year-old visitor from the United Kingdom was sent into isolation after arriving on Thursday.
    “We are again looking at the protocols, and we have made some more changes which I’m not at liberty to speak to yet. We understand this situation poses a potential risk,” George said.
    “There is no population spread within Barbados and we continue to have a safety net and gatekeeping arrangement at the airport. However, we need to be moving towards having all persons come to Barbados with a test result for COVID-19. We have reached a stage where that should be strongly considered.”
    Earlier this week, the Barbados Hotel & Tourism Association (BHTA) argued that all airline passengers should arrive here with a test result.
    Need PCR test
    As the protocols stand now, people from high-risk countries such as the United States entering Barbados must have a PCR test result upon arrival and are subject to a one-week quarantine and a retest before being allowed into the community.
    Those arriving from medium-risk countries such as the United Kingdom must have a PCR test result conducted within 72 hours of arrival, while passengers from a special bubble within CARICOM region require a PCR test result done within a week.
    “If you have more passengers, about 60 per cent, who have come with a negative test, but you still have 20 to 30 per cent of them who either don’t have a test or one which is outside the required period, they are putting the rest of the persons on that aircraft in danger,” George said. “So, we are re-looking the protocols to strengthen them. This a dynamic issue with things changing all the time, and countries are also changing different categories with some moving more countries up to high-risk or down to medium. So we have to monitor that situation too.”
    Not a surprise
    He said public health authorities continued to work closely with their partners in the aviation and tourism sectors so the commercial airlines that come here do not “overwhelm our public health’s ability to respond”.
    George said the recent uptick in cases was not a surprise and showed the country was not ready to return to normality as it related to multiple flights arriving daily.
    “We knew that once we opened up our borders and are having flights from our key source markets, we were going to have cases coming to Barbados. If you have persons from the United Kingdom, which has cases going up, and if you have persons from the United States, whether it be Florida or New York, it was always a calculated risk.”
    He said Barbadians must remember they were in an active pandemic, and they should continue to wear masks in public, practise physical distancing whenever possible, stay away from negativity on social media and work along with the COVID-19 Monitoring Unit.

    Source: Nation News

    Like

  • British woman with virus in isolation
    Barbados has placed another visitor with the coronavirus into isolation.
    The 27-year-old, who arrived on a British Airways flight on Thursday, was the only positive case of COVID-19 among the 304 tests done by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
    The British woman, who is asymptomatic, is now at Harrison Point, St Lucy.
    Discharged
    Meanwhile, one person was to be discharged from the isolation facility yesterday.
    Twenty-six people remain in isolation and 124 have recovered.
    Confirmed cases now stand at 157, comprising 82 females and 75 males. The laboratory has completed 15 332 tests.
    (BA/PR)

    Like

  • “He said Barbadians must remember they were in an active pandemic, and they should continue to wear masks in public, practise physical distancing whenever possible, stay away from negativity on social media and work along with the COVID-19 Monitoring Unit.”

    I get his point… Here is the updated list:
    Social distancing
    Cover your nose and your mouth
    Washing hands and face when you come indoors
    Temperature checks (I don’t do this)
    Cover cough and sneezes

    😦 Avoid negative social media 😦 Stick to the core winning message. Don’t tweak it.

    And for those in authority
    Testing and
    Contact tracing

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    As I have said before, we are mistaking luck for skill. There are too many holes and exceptions in the protocols that are not following the science and we have to decide if we are going to properly follow the latest science and not play politics and optics or play politics and optics. We can’t do both.

    Thankfully the lapses since that major lapse back in March have not had a major impact and we have been able to learn, adjust and recover.

    Granted, I think we are blowing this virus out of proportion and overreacting but since we decided on overreacting, at least, we should overreact and keep our risk as close to zero as we can possibly get.

    Like

  • There will be holes given the nature of the pandemic. It is a moving target. It is not a binary issue to solve. So far so good.

    Like

  • @Critical,
    You are making some good points.

    Allow me to share two sayings that are worth a second thought..
    1) Perfection is the enemy of good.
    Given our experience with this pandemic
    2) I would rather be lucky than good (skilled).

    Let me add that the length of the lucky streak informs me that some good skills are present.

    Like

  • We may share a similar opinion, but not fully agree with each other. I too believe that we have been lucky and I hope this good ‘luck’ continues.

    There may be a few things that could be done differently, but I am convinced that they would not drastically change the landscape as we are currently experiencing a very good outcome.

    Let’s hope ‘good luck’ continued.
    Have a great day, all.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    I also hope our luck continues as well but i would also like our authorities to eliminate luck from the equation as much as possible and not constantly push our luck because we decided to play favourites or not follow the science and weaken our protocols for no good reason.

    Like

  • How is testing everyone weakening the science which is the concern you brought last night?

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    How our testing methodology is weakening the science is by where and when we have been allowing people to have that first test. No one should be allowed to get on a plane without a test having been done. Untested persons getting on a plane goes against the science and exposes passengers to a risk scenario that could and should have been avoided or better mitigated.

    That is why they now have to re-look at the protocols because we finally realise we don’t have infinite money and resources after choosing to go the complete isolate all positive people route and the flights are still low. I suspect the outcome of this review will be some sort of test before each passenger gets on the plane, whether the gold standard PCR or some other less accurate rapid test. An imperfect test in the source country is better than no test at all.

    That is what I mean by following the science to reduce our risk of exposure as much as possible.

    Like

  • There is truth in this position. Could be why the CMO has hinted the protocol for incoming will be changed.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    Ultimately we will end up implementing a protocol where we will have to embrace the early outpatient treatments other doctors and countries are using the WHO are refusing to properly vet and sanction because they are so focused on a rushed vaccine.

    Until such time as we wise up, stop being terrified of this virus and make that decision to treat suspected cases, people exposed to know positive cases with those early cheap outpatient treatments negating the need for isolation, we have to continue taking every single possible measure we can to identify positive persons before they come to our shores.

    Like

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