COVID 19 UPDATES

The following comment inspired the blogmaster to expand the focus on data collection and discussion about the COVID 19 pandemic. Thanks to @Lyall@Amit

Blogmaster


David; re. your 4:41 am post;

You are correct but I have indeed considered that cohort of the population.

The reason that the US experts are beating the drum for testing, testing and more testing is to get a handle on what proportion of the general public has been compromised by the virus in any way and has left its signatures in body fluids including blood in the population. The virus is shed from the infected body as the disease is brought under control. When it is controlled it has been found that it takes around 7 days for all particles to be shed from the body. Infected persons are released back into the community when they test negative twice over a period of 2 days.

Barbados, like all of our island neighbours, did or does not have access to large numbers of tests and had to use what we had very sparingly. Thus, the only measure that we had for gauging the incidence of the virus in the population (and a very imperfect one, at that) might be by comparing the evidence of infection levels hinted at by a comparison of the graphs of the progress of the various Covid-19 outbreaks in our Islands.

Most of the world was in the same position as the Caribbean and used the data obtained by the minimal testing of infected people and their contacts and their contacts to produce the graphs we see on such sites as WHO and Worldometer etc. All these graphs give an imperfect picture and significant underestimation of infection levels in the county or country in which the tests are carried out, but, since they are carried out in the same way in each country they might provide some rationale for guesstimating the comparative levels of the infection in various groups of countries.

The data shows that, starting out at essentially the same levels, there was some divergence in relation to the rate of infection and therefore progress of the various outbreaks in various countries. The graphs for Barbados showed low and declining levels of infection from the beginning, peaking at the level of 13 positive cases per day and thereafter showing a slowly declining trend. The individuals who would have contributed to the declining trend would have been primarily from the contact testing but should also have included other individuals referred by Health professionals or who presented themselves to Government institutions because of concern that their symptoms might point to untimely death due to the dread Covid-19.

Amit, in an earlier post on this blog, reported on his initiative of graphing Covid-19 incidence over weekly periods throughout the epidemic, in several Caribbean Islands. If David thinks it is appropriate and Amit agrees I can post a subset of graphs clipped from his data for 6 Caribbean territories which I think could illustrate some of what I have presented above.


Covid 19

There was 1 more positive case announced today as well as 1 death. A slight uptick of the daily cases line is indicated in the graph by the blue line. The total cumulative number of positive cases from the tests carried out yesterday is 76 – Llyall Small

COVID 19

Attached is the updated C-19 graph for 2020-04-23. There were no additional positive cases from yesterday’s tests and therefore cumulative positive cases remain at 76 – Lyall Small

covid10

covid12

Two new positive cases were identified from yesterday’s tests. There are now 5 cases of contacts with a previously identified individual. The 5 cases are workers from a Government Institution. Tests are ongoing today (25 April 2020)Lyall Small

Covid11

Updated graph for 26 April 2020. No new +ve cases were found. Cumulative count is still 79 – Lyall Small

covid13

There was one additional +ve case identified today (27 April 2020) from the last tranche of NAB workers moving the cumulative total cases to 80. The graph is still essentially trending downwards – Lyallsmall

Covid-Cumulative 1

Graphing Covid-19 incidence in several Caribbean Islands – Source data: caribbeansignal.com

404 comments

  • Sargeant,

    If he had played today and taken all ten wickets he would not have been “Barbados born”. He will never be truly English, accepted unconditionally, and that is why I would never sell out for any amount of money. There are some things more important. One of those things is self respect. West indies cricketers make decent money now. Gordon Greenidge ain’t suffering and they did not make much in those days.

    Like

  • @ Miller July 20, 2020 8:52 AM

    So true!

    Like

  • Antigua is looking at revising its COVID-19 protocols after visitors have been caught attempting to enter the island with fake COVID-19 certificates.

    Barbados, beware.

    Like

  • On about June 30th 2020 ” Amor Mottley, prime minister of Barbados, has declared the island destination free of Covid-19 ”

    https://www.breakingtravelnews.com/news/article/tourism-to-return-as-barbados-declares-covid-19-victory/

    Today July 21st 2020 ” There are now 106 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Barbados. “.

    Time to develop a Covid Quarantine Vacation Plan ( CQVP ).

    Beach front hotels allowed guests only areas on the beach etc.

    Like

  • Hants;

    THose are the total cases found from the time Covid was first found here. The current active cases (all under quarantine) are likely to be under 10.

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  • David; re. your query about the picture you posted yesterday at 03:31 pm;

    There appears to be several things wrong if the picture is a current one taken within the last couple of weeks. If you would provide context the areas in which the wrongs could be identified would become apparent.

    Like

  • Hants;

    The Nation News extract states the following ” There are now 106 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Barbados. Ninety-one people have recovered, eight are in isolation, and seven have died.”

    That data suggests, based on the usual format reported by GIS, that 106 individual +ve cases of Covid-19 were identified from tests carried out from the inception of tests in early March up to a couple days before the Nation report. 91 persons have recovered, 8 are currently quarantined and 7 have died. Total cases are 106. Therefore all of the 106 cases identified in Barbados have been accounted for.

    The headline and data actually suggests, as you stated, that there are now 106 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Barbados but this is a misconception. That figure should actually be 8 cases which are the ones in quarantine. These are termed as Active cases in the Worldometer and other reports. When countries claim they are covid free it actually means that there are no current positive cases in the community as far as is known. The Active cases statistic is quite dynamic and can change from day to day as people test positive, released from quarantine / treatment or placed under quarantine / treatment.

    Liked by 2 people

  • @Hants

    Loyally is correct, 106 is covid infections reported to date.

    @Lyall

    The picture is not seven days old.

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  • David;

    If the picture was taken within the last 7 days then a few things appear to be “wrong” with it. Only one person is wearing a mask despite having masks in a group in which social distancing, even at 3 feet, is not being respected. The group is however outdoors so this might mitigate the probability of possible spread re. the effects of the behaviours being demonstrated.

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  • @Lyall

    The picture conflicts with the harsh message Czar Carter is sending.

    Liked by 2 people

  • @ David,

    If I was not a coward I would say that it is totally spotters an skinners for the PM and the MOE to pose for a photo op without MASKS and not standing 6 ft apart.

    Like

  • @Hants

    Our leaders must used every opportunity to correctly message the public.

    >

    Liked by 2 people

  • David;
    I was out from home for a couple hours today. The social distancing, hand sanitising and mask wearing is, like the photo indicates, being largely observed in the breach. The leaders must send a consistent message or all the good work in containing Covid will be quickly undone. Our leaders must not ape Trump in any respect.

    Liked by 1 person

  • The Trump administration has committed to spend $1.95bn on 100m doses of a potential Covid-19 vaccine being developed by Germany’s BioNTech and US pharma group Pfizer, which will be distributed free of charge to American citizens…(Quote)

    How America uses its financial muscle to buy scientific advancement.

    Like

  • Covid discussion. Jobs vs safety.

    http://vob929.com/listen-live-3/

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  • Critical Analyzer

    The truth is finally starting to come to light.

    https://c19study.com/

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  • @Lyall

    What does this bode for the covid vaccine/therapeutic promised?

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @David July 24, 2020 7:31 AM

    I love that picture as it highlights both the benefits and a huge unknown with long term wearing of masks no one is talking about. What health challenges will be caused by the guy in the picture frequently peeing in his own pants?

    No or very few studies have ever been done on the impact of prolonged wearing of masks to our health as I am sure no one has done a study on the impact of prolonged peeing in your own pants.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @David July 24, 2020 8:00 AM

    I for one would not be getting any vaccine and I would advise our Caribbean people not to be guinea pigs for any vaccine they rush through in a few months. Their previous attempts at a coronavirus vaccine have failed and all vaccines in the past have taken many years to develop and proper testing.

    If they intend to peddle a rushed down vaccine, mandate all the doctors must take it first before anyone else.

    Like

  • Head of Humanitarian Response in the Foreign Aid Affairs Section, UAE, Khalifa Alketbi; Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, Senator Dr. Jerome Walcott; Abdul Qader Al-Hemyari; Permanent Secretary, Prime Minister’s Office, Alies Jordan; and acting Executive Director of CDEMA, Elizabeth Riley, pose for a photograph at the handover of COVID-19 supplies and equipment from the UAE at the Grantley Adams International Airport yesterday. (C.Pitt/BGIS)

    Barbados and 13 other Caribbean countries have received COVID-19 supplies and equipment from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Government.

    During a handover ceremony at the Grantley Adams International Airport (GAIA), yesterday, Minister of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, Senator Dr. Jerome Walcott, accepted the donation from the Head of Humanitarian Response in the Foreign Aid Affairs Section, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation of the UAE, Khalifa Alketbi, on behalf of Barbados and the Caribbean.

    In accepting the donation, Minister Walcott stated: “The humanitarian aid, which will be distributed by the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA), will be of critical support to the Caribbean in our fight against the COVID-19 pandemic.”

    He thanked the UAE Government for its act of philanthropy, and noted that this donation is evidence of the commitment of the UAE to its partnership with the countries of the Caribbean Community.

    He also expressed hope that the collaboration between the Caribbean and the UAE would continue to grow and strengthen.

    Mr. Alketbi thanked Minister Walcott for his warm welcome to the island and commented that the assistance received was as a result of discussion with Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley.

    He said the UAE hopes to maintain a national cooperative relationship with all countries around the world, and expressed the hope that the coronavirus would be finished soon, and “people are free to come and go” as they did prior to the advent of the pandemic.

    Also present at the handover ceremony was acting Executive Director of CDEMA, Elizabeth Riley, who highlighted that CDEMA’s Integrated Regional Logistics Hub, located at the Bridgetown Port and the GAIA, are sub-regional focal points, which “will facilitate the onward distribution of 20 tonnes of medical supplies, comprising PPE N95 masks to 13 CARICOM states over the next several days”.

    Ms. Riley noted that operations, such as the donation from the UAE, were made possible through the creation of strong partnerships, and thanked the Government of Barbados for its role in becoming a hub for the transhipment of COVID-19 supplies.

    The donation from the UAE consists of 1.5 million surgical masks; 2,000 N95 masks; 500,000 test kits; 50,000 pairs of gloves and 2,000 overalls.

    Barbados established diplomatic relations with the UAE in 1996, and the country is one of Barbados’ key partners in its new global outreach and engagement.

    sheena.forde-craigg@barbados.gov.bb

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  • Barbados should keep an eye on the Bahamas given the similarity in economic drivers.

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/bahamas/

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  • BBcovid24072020

    Screenshot 2020-07-25 at 08

    Guyana continues the small weekly upward trend re. active cases and Jamaica continues its downward trend. Barbados fluctuates at a low level. So far so good – Source: Lyall Small

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  • David; Re. your 8:00 am query yesterday. “What does this bode for the covid vaccine/therapeutic promised?”.
    As a layman re. the specifics of the science involved, I would defer to Dr. Robert Lucas, who has a Ph.D in aspects of Genetic Engineering, to go into the details that you might have expected. However here’s my two-cents worth.

    A large number of biotech firms are jockeying for position to win the extremely large prize that will follow the developers of effective and safe Covid-19 vaccines or therapeutic drugs. As such, there is heavy publicity being given to almost every development or breakthrough each firm or University comes up with. Covid-19 is a novel coronavirus, therefore much of its effect or biology is unknown but the researchers are uncovering many things almost weekly. The camouflage that the virus develops is new and interesting and probably very important re. incorporation into the complex features and knowledge that will underpin the development of an effective vaccine, but because it is just part of a very complex mix of disparate information that will attend the production of such a vaccine, it is unlikely to be the most important factor which might eventually be responsible for the success or failure of any of the potential vaccines. The top scientists in this field in the World, while working towards the Trumpian multi billion incentives and payday, to have an effective treatment before year end, have all been indicating that this is most likely to be next year or even 2022.

    Re. the bigger question of if an effective vaccine is even possible at all, it is still early days. In this regard the question of the longevity of antibodies in infected people is of great importance and there seems to be significant evidence that there might not be multiyear antibody protection at this time. However, no conclusions appear to be possible at this stage.

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  • David;

    I just saw a report which is very relevant to your question.

    https://scitechdaily.com/scientists-uncover-evidence-that-a-level-of-pre-existing-covid-19-sars-cov-2-immunity-is-present-in-the-general-population/

    The title says it all. This may have some significant ramifications re. a whole raft of possibilities, including politics.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @lyallsmall July 25, 2020 1:35 PM
    “The title says it all. This may have some significant ramifications re. a whole raft of possibilities, including politics.”

    This has been known in certain circles for quite sometime but it will be kept hidden or explained away because the medical doctors and politicians making the decisions would have to admit they made mistakes, overreacted and created unnecessary panic.

    Why you think you can see decision makers telling the public one thing and doing something else? They have all the stats and data and they know they overreacted but can’t admit it because they will incur serious wrath.

    The saddest thing is they have people so panicked they now afraid to walk down the road breathing the nice fresh air. Hopefully the truth will come to light but they have the ability to rewrite history.

    Liked by 1 person

  • Republican Support for Wearing Masks Leaps to 58% After Trump Wears One in Public for First Time

    BY JOCELYN GRZESZCZAK

    The majority of Republican voters now support wearing a face covering in public, a new poll suggests, nearly two weeks after President Donald Trump donned one in public for the first time.

    Three out of four survey respondents, including 58 percent of Republicans, said they strongly or somewhat favor requiring Americans to wear face masks in public when they’re around other people, according to the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll.

    Nearly all Democrats, or 89 percent, said they were in favor of mask requirements.

    https://www.newsweek.com/republican-support-wearing-masks-leaps-58-after-trump-wears-one-public-first-time-1520043

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  • So Republicans were waiting for Dr. Donald J Trump to tell them to wear a mask? Wasn’t Dr. Fauci preaching the same for months? They put their faith in a man who most recently was boasting that he aced a cognitive test.

    Are these some of the Republicans who are now wearing masks?

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  • Critical Analyzer re your 1:35 p.m. post

    Yes! The first inkling I had that there was some evidence of relatively high levels of antibodies to Covid-19 in the population at large was from statements Governor Cuomo made at one of his early press conferences. After that, hardly any Medical expert or Politician spoke about it. The news from the researchers today suggests that there is a lot more work needed to get the right fix on the level of antibodies in the general population and the effectiveness of those antibodies to Covid-19 since they would presumably have been produced because of the exposure of much of the world’s population to SARS and would have lasted for several years, unlike the indications of the research reported earlier.

    The whole situation seems to be getting murkier and murkier.

    The likelihood or otherwise of strong development of herd immunity and the outcomes of the current different strategies used in the US for mitigating the effects of Covid-19, as contrasted with Sweden, Czechoslovakia, Brazil and some other countries, will then become prominent features of future discussions and of course Trump policies will then be more closely scrutinized and contrasted with expert advice, and their outcomes would become grist for the mill of propaganda on either side.

    Some interesting times ahead on this front.

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  • Critical;
    I forgot to comment on your ststement “The saddest thing is they have people so panicked they now afraid to walk down the road breathing the nice fresh air. Hopefully the truth will come to light but they have the ability to rewrite history. “
    The right decision in all cases was to do the simple approriate things that were palatable to the populace of each individual country to ensure that the viral particles had as few people as possible to infect. Nothing more, nothing less.

    People are or were rightfully panicked as we all were abruptly made aware of our possible imminent mortality. The control of the virus thus devolved into an exercise of leaders in medicine and government together convincing the people of what were the best methods for keeping people apart. America has largely failed so far in doing this. The fault lies not only in Trump and his many foibles but in the Medical hierarchy and the people themselves.

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  • Given the aggressive position Barbados has taken to open our borders because of the need to breathe life into the economy have we gotten our Covid Protocols right?

    Tourists must follow protocols

    A group of workers at one of the hotels under Marriott International Inc. is questioning the COVID-19 protocols in relation to tourists.

    Workers who spoke to the Sunday Sununder the condition of anonymity said they were told by management they had to wear their masks under the new protocols. However, they said guests were not required to wear masks when moving around the property.

    “Even with social distancing, when the guests come to dinner how do they expect to be mingling and not wear masks, but we have to?” one worker queried.

    Acting Chief Medical Officer Dr Kenneth George instructed that everyone wasrequired to wear a mask when moving around.

    “If the employees of these establishments are being required to wear masks, that should also extend to the visitors once they are interacting and socialising,” he said yesterday.

    Marriott, which has a portfolio of more than 7 200 properties and 1.36 million rooms globally, acquired the five hotels and 588 rooms in the Elegant Hotel chain

    last December.

    According to the worker, eight visitors were scheduled to arrive at the hotel on Friday, but the flight from England was cancelled because of Tropical Storm Gonzalo.

    “Management said the guests would have their 72-hour test and we should treat them as normal. They have already booked tours to go out and so on, but we don’t know if they’re also exempted from wearing masks while moving around the island,” another worker said.

    “What are the travel agencies telling these people in order for them to book to come to Barbados? Because they take the 72-hour test, they are exempted from doing this or that? They cannot endanger people’s lives; we still have to go back home to our families,” another worker said.

    Public outcry

    Two weeks ago, Canadian singing rapper Aubrey Drake Graham created a stir when he was spotted moving around the island without a face mask. There was a public outcry and Minister of Health and Wellness Lieutenant Colonel Jeffrey Bostic said no one was exempt from the established protocol.

    Efforts to reach management at the Marriott Group were unsuccessful.

    However, recently appointed Minister of Tourism and International Transport Senator Lisa Cummins said she was unaware of the situation, but expected all establishments to adhere to the protocols as outlined.

    “This has not been brought to my attention, but I am happy to look into it to find a resolution. The protocols are in place for Barbados, so I would expect, whatever the protocols are overall, that they are being observed by every agency and every company,” she said.

    George said he, too, was unaware of the specific issue. However, in relation to passengers, he said they were categorised on entering the island.

    “They are categorised based on if they come from the low-risk, medium-risk or high-risk destinations. Those coming from high-risk destinations [must] come with a test or be tested here, remain in seven days’ quarantine and then be retested after that period.

    “Passengers with medium-risk either bring a test or are tested here, and are monitored for the next seven days. And passengers from low-risk jurisdictions come with a test and are not monitored while here,” he explained. (RA)

    Source: Nation Newspaper

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  • Record rise in Covid-19 cases

    NEW YORK – Almost 40 countries have reported record single-day increases in coronavirus infections over the past week, around double the number that did so the previous week, according to a Reuterstally showing a pick-up in the pandemic in every region of the world.

    The rate of cases has been increasing not only in countries like the United States, Brazil and India, which have dominated global headlines with large outbreaks, but in Australia, Japan, Hong Kong, Bolivia, Sudan, Ethiopia, Bulgaria, Belgium, Uzbekistan and Israel, among others.

    Many countries, especially those where officials eased earlier social distancinglockdowns, are experiencing

    a second peak more than a month after recording their first.

    “We will not be going back to the ‘old normal’. The pandemic has already changed the way we live our lives,” World Health Organisation (WHO) Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said. “We’re asking everyone to treat the decisions about where they go, what they do and who they meet with as life-and-death decisions – because they are.”

    The Reuters data, compiled from official reports, shows a steady rise in the number of countries reporting record daily increases in the virus that causes COVID-19 over the past month.

    At least seven countries recorded such increases three weeks ago, rising to at least 13 countries

    two weeks ago to at least 20 countries last week and to 37 countries this week.

    The United States remains at the top of the case list, this week passing more than four million cases. (Reuters)

    Source: Nation Newspaper

    Like

  • In another scenario a passenger arrives without a test and is subsequently found to be COVID 19 positive through the testing facility at the airport. Are the authorities going to track down the passengers who were seated in close proximity to this individual and subject them to further tests and quarantine even when they arrived with their clearance certificates?
    +++++++++++++++

    The above is part of a submission I made on July 15 under heading “Barbados Covid19 Free and Open for Business” unfortunately that situation is now part of the landscape and some visitors through no fault of their own have seen their vacations compromised because of the scenario as painted above since the authorities have insisted on testing and quarantining those who were in close proximity to an individual who tested positive after arriving in Barbados.

    Life is about risks and if one tries to mitigate their risks by following the Gov’t established protocol only for it to become undone through some quirk of airline seating arrangements, perhaps the Gov’t ought to amend its regulations by insisting that all visitors be subject to the COVID19 test as instructed in the Gov’t mandated procedures prior to taking their flight which should eliminate the unexpected chance of others falling victim purely through accidental encounter during the flight..

    https://barbadostoday.bb/2020/07/25/couple-says-protocol-lapse-has-marred-vacation-plans/

    Like

  • @Sargeant

    We have to assume that contact tracing will be done. The MoH has employed about 60 or 70 persons for that job specifically.

    Like

  • The Ministry of Health and Wellness said today Barbados’ tally of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) cases now stands at 110, after two people tested positive for the viral illness yesterday.

    https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/246886/virus-110

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  • Vaccination target for Caribbean

    HEALTH OFFICIALS are hopeful that by August 2021, one in five Caribbean nationals, including Barbadians, could be vaccinated against COVID-19.

    Dr Yitades Gebre, Pan-American Health Organisation (PAHO)/World Health Organisation (WHO) representative for Barbados and the Eastern Caribbean, said more than 165 candidate vaccines were at some stage of development, of which 25 vaccine candidates were in human trials. At least three or four were going into Phase 3 trial and Barbados, most of the Eastern Caribbean states and another 75 countries had submitted expressions of interest in the COVAX facility, he said.

    COVAX is the vaccines pillar of the Access to COVID-19 Tools (ACT) Accelerator. Its aim is to accelerate the development and manufacture of coronavirus vaccines, and to guarantee fair and equitable access for every country in the world. Gebre was speaking yesterday as a planeload of COVID-19 essential medical supplies to the Caribbean from WHO landed at GrantleyAdams International Airport, brought in by the Canadian Armed Forces. The donation was made possible through the newly established global COVID-19 supply portal with the delivery logistics support coming from the government of Canada, with donations from the United Nations World Food Programme and the Jack Ma Foundation.

    Among those in attendance were Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley, Chief of Staff of the Barbados Defence Force ColonelGlyne Grannum, executive director of the Caribbean Public Health Agency (CARPHA) Dr Joy St John, director of the Department of Emergency Management Kerry Hinds, executive director of

    the Regional Security System Captain Errington Shurland, and head of the World Food Programme Caribbean Regis Chapman.

    “WHO is developing a global allocation framework which you advocated for vaccine, PPE (personal protective equipment), medicine. A number of states are continuing to work and at the end of August 2021, at least one in every five Caribbean [nationals], including Barbadians, could be vaccinated with a new COVID-19 vaccine,” Gebre stated.

    Mottley praised the regional agencies during coronavirus pandemic, saying each time she reached out to WHO, PAHO and CARPHA, they responded.

    “Everything else in the conduct of commerce, in the strategic allocation of resources, has been against small states and it has appeared as though the mighty and the strongest shall . . . survive. Were it not for these agencies that would be our fate.

    “In today’s world many people repudiated multi-lateralism and cooperation, but . . . also across institutions and across sovereign states, that partnership has made the difference in our ability to respond to what would have to be regarded as the most significant disruption of global society and the global economy in probably a century,” she said.Acting director of the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency, Elizabeth Riley, who accepted the supplies for distribution, said 20 Caribbean countries will receive the supplies over the next two weeks – 14 through Barbados and six through the partnership with the World Food Programme.

    Jessica Mackie, senior

    political advisor with the Canadian High Commission, said the Canadian Armed Forces’ contribution, through its humanitarian hub in Panama, was an “excellent example” of collaboration towards moving critical supplies in a disruption chain.

    (AC)

    Source: Nation Newspaper

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  • PdP asks about large social events
    THE OPPOSITION People’s Party for Democracy and Development (PdP) wants the Mia Amor Mottley administration to explain its rationale for holding large social events amidst public concerns relating to another outbreak of COVID-19.
    Last Thursday, PdP spokesman for the creative economy, Alan Springer, told a press conference at the Opposition’s Office, Worthing Corporate Centre, Christ Church, that it appeared Government was saying one thing yet doing another when it came to establishing COVID-19 protocols.
    Recently, COVID-19 czar Richard Carter announced that the COVID-19 Monitoring
    Unit would be out looking to crack down on businesses and individuals who failed to adhere to the protocols.
    Springer said Government was sending mixed messages by relaxing restrictions on the 500-person limit to facilitate events held on the Day of National Significance
    celebrated yesterday, and
    Emancipation Day on August 1.
    “How is the general opening up of the island and disqualifying the protocols for numbers at special events helping with the global efforts to contain and manage the COVID-19 pandemic?” he asked.
    “It also begs the question,
    is the decision economically driven with respect to the negative short-term economic projections?
    “These plans are very much at odds with the utterings coming from the COVID-19 czar in calling for a pulling back from the way the entertainment sector, in particular, has been managing, or rather mismanaging, the protocols.”
    Springer said the public was confused about the hosting of other large events, especially since flights were arriving with passengers testing positive for the coronavirus.
    (SB)

    Source: Nation Newspaper

    Liked by 1 person

  • Phase III clinical trials started today in the USA.

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  • We have the uncomfortable position of Dr. Fact having to defend himself against a medical illiterate.

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  • SYDNEY/LONDON – Nations in Asia imposed new restrictions on Monday, while an abrupt British quarantine on travellers from Spain threw Europe’s summer reopening into disarray, as the world confronted the prospect of a second wave of COVID-19 infections.

    In the United States, still dealing with its first wave as infection rates have climbed since June, President Donald Trump’s national security adviser, Robert O’Brien, became the most senior official to test positive.

    Like

  • @lyall
    Very glad that you removed the log portion of the curve. Never liked it.

    The peanut gallery demands an update of your July 24 curve

    It would also be interesting if you lagged the curve by 15 days so that day 15 is plotted above day 1 and July 20 is plotted above July 6. We would then be able to look at the events you have (re-open, repat, commer) and see what happens fifteen days

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  • @lyall
    We would then be able to look at the events you have (re-open, repat, commer) and see what happens fifteen days afterwards.

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  • @lyall
    i have developed the habit of asking my colleagues a question and after some conversation has been going for some time I then say “Good morning”

    It appears this behavior has followed me here.

    Make this the first sentence of my first post.,,, “Excellent work”.

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  • TheOGazerts
    I’ve been thinking about your posts above and have now come to the conclusion that your directions would not necessarily achieve the objectives implicit in your above posts since they would rely on data emanating from community spread and such spread has not clearly been demonstrated in the Caribbean.

    I am, however, now starting to explore how to set up a new series of graphs with data starting from the date of opening up of commercial flights to each of the Islands I am following.

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  • BBCovid01082020

    carcovid01092020

    Barbados active cases are maintaining a fairly even development but there are somewhat disturbing spikes over the last week for Guyana, Jamaica and TrinidadLyall Small

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  • My goal was to show the jump at re-pat flight and commercial flight by having the fourteen day lag. Without doing too much deep thinking I think your new series of graph will show the same thing…You are making the opening ‘zero’ and then there may be a jump around day 14.

    I doubt we can separate the various types of spread. I have seen the Trinidadian government try to explain new cases, by pointing at recent arrivals to the island; I believe there were some cases that they could not explain away.

    Anyhow, Great work.

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  • ” Twelve people, including nine of the nurses who recently arrived from Ghana, returned positive results from COVID-19 tests conducted on Friday by the Best Dos-Santos Public health Laboratory.”

    https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/247006/covid

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  • What should we make of this story?

    CAUTION
    Bostic among Govt team asked to isolate after ‘low-risk’ contact PAG E 3A
    Members of the welcoming party for the 95 Ghanaian nurses at the Grantley Adams International Airport Thursday evening have been asked to self-isolate for five days.
    The advice came yesterday from Acting Chief Medical Officer Dr Kenneth George “out of an abundance of caution” after nine of the nurses tested positive for COVID-19.
    Minister of Health Jeffrey Bostic was among those who welcomed the nurses. He was accompanied by Minister of Tourism Senator Lisa Cummins and Executive Chairman of the Queen Elizabeth Hospital (QEH), Juliette Bynoe-Sutherland.
    Media personnel were also at the airport.
    They too, have been cautioned that they should be off work for the next five to six days during which time they must restrict their interaction with people.

    Like

  • Media members to self-isolate
    Minister of Health Jeffrey Bostic and other members of a Government delegation, which greeted the 95 nurses from Ghana last Thursday, have been asked to self-isolate for five days.
    Acting Chief Medical Officer (CMO) Kenneth George announced yesterday that the precautionary step was being taken after nine of the nurses tested positive for COVID-19. He said another test would be administered after the five days. But he stressed that the risk of exposure to Bostic and the other members of the welcome party, including Minister of Tourism Senator Lisa Cummins and Executive Chairman of the Queen Elizabeth Hospital (QEH), Juliette Bynoe-Sutherland, was low.
    Members of the media were also at the Grantley Adams International Airport for the arrival of the nurses.
    George said last night: “Out of an abundance of caution, these media workers should be off of work for the next five to six days and be offered a test on Wednesday or Thursday of next week. During their time off, they must restrict their interaction with all persons.”
    12 new cases
    During a press conference at the
    Caribbean Broadcasting Corporation,
    George announced 12 new COVID-19 cases, which included the nine Ghanaian nurses, who arrived with their colleagues to boost local nursing numbers.
    “I have advised the minister and the persons who have attended that function that, out of an abundance of caution, that they separate themselves from their workplaces. I would also suggest that we do this for others who were in the immediate proximity to those individuals. While [Bostic] was there at the airport, there was no physical interaction with those persons, [the delegation] tried to keep their distance and everyone wore masks. So it is only out of an abundance of caution that the CMO strongly suggests that these persons separate themselves from their workplaces and we will work with them to administer a single test in five to seven days,” said George.
    The other three cases are a Barbadian female who returned home on July 29, a male visitor, who arrived on July 30, and a Barbadian man who arrived from the United Kingdom with a negative test, but who, when required to be tested to travel again, returned a positive result.
    As to how such a high percentage of the nurses could have tested positive upon arrival, despite Barbados’ protocol stating that people must bring a negative COVID-19 test, George said many of them did not.
    “Unfortunately, many of the Ghanaians did not come with a test as was required by Barbadian authorities. However, we corrected this immediately and we were able to identify those individuals. Let me make it clear that the reason that the nurses were to come to Barbados was because our due diligence revealed that many of them were highly trained.
    “They are also here to complement our workforce within primary care, the Geriatric Hospital and QEH . . . . So it is worrisome on paper, but the good news is that these persons are here to eventually help us,” said George.
    George revealed that all of the nurses would be required to remain in 14-day quarantine, where they would undergo a second round of testing.
    “I want Barbadians to understand that these unfortunate things may happen, particularly as we seek to open up our borders. In the case of the Ghanaian nurses, this could have been a case of many nationals travelling through various countries. We have risk-stratified persons coming from various countries,” he explained.
    The CMO said that the number of cases caught at the border was proof that the measures were working, even though they might require further tightening.
    “I stand here reassured in our decision to use only the gold standard PCR COVID-19 test, as our decision in the last month to institute a second test on day seven for persons coming from highrisk countries . . . . In addition, we are increasing monitoring and surveillance at the designated facilities. This was, and is always understood to be a necessary precaution,” he stressed.
    There are now 122 confirmed cases, 66 females and 56 males. (CLM)

    Source: Nation

    Like

  • The PM a person who likes to hog the spotlight should hold a press conference with details explaining the protocols used to give clearance for these nurses to enter the country
    Incompetence at its worse

    Like

  • Why was the new minister of tourism meeting nurses as part of a reception party? Are they tourists? However, the health matters are more serious. Were they tested before flying out? What visas are they on – permanent or fixed term?

    Like

  • The meet and greet of Ghana nurses
    Ministers not wearing masks

    https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10157863715943191&id=246784233190

    Like

  • Here comes the usual suspects. The same ones who forecasted Barbados supermarkets would run out of food and overrun with covid 19 infections. Go and look in your back yards. Are your countries rated medium or high risk again?

    Go and read the statement from the Acting CMO posted here and on GIS if you are serious about answers.

    Which ministers didn’t wear masks?

    Like

  • The incompetence of this govt is the problem
    Not the messenger
    Nurses brought to a country and govt unaware of their medical history
    How can anyone know with certainty these are qualified nurses
    But then again as with this govt cutting corners mean the end justify the means

    Like

  • Why are we not surprised you would gravitate to a position that the experience Barbados panel of interviewers who visited Ghana to interview the nurses would not have inspected and also asked the Barbados Accreditation Council to perform due diligence.

    https://www.modernghana.com/news/967740/interviews-ongoing-to-recruit-nurses-to-barbados.html

    Like

  • If all said above is true and most likely
    Then there had to be a break in the chain of command wherby these nurses medical history was not accessed or just given a mere glance in order to speed up the process for arrival

    Like

  • @ David

    Your friend has returned and up is to her usual agenda.

    Why would ‘government’ that ,so far, was considered to have successfully managed COVID-19, put Barbadians lives at risk by recklessly hiring nurses from Ghana, with questionable qualifications and being “unaware of their medical history?”

    But, why bother……. after all, she “brings sophistication to BU.”

    Like

  • The CMO (ag) admitted some of the nurses failed to get the covid test required for entry into Barbados based on the declared public health protocol.

    What the blogmaster recommends is for the Barbados government to consider asking those nurses to return to Gahana if there is no good reason the entry requirement was flouted. It has become an ethical issue to consider.

    Like

  • “The CMO (ag) admitted some of the nurses failed to get the covid test required for entry into Barbados based on the declared public health protocol.”

    @ David

    Well, if that’s the case, then CRITICISMS are JUSTIFIED.

    The process for recruiting the Ghanaian nurses began 9 months ago, in November 2019. For nurses to enter Barbados without undergoing the required COVID-19 testing for entry into the island, is UNACCEPTABLE.

    Like

  • @Artax

    You will note from the blogmaster’s comment there are ethical concerns and consideration should be given to sending those nurses back home if no valid excuse is given.

    Like

  • @Mariposa
    You are right. Something went wrong and the risk is that it could lead to an outbreak of infectivity in Barbados. Remember, these are not tourists, but will be working with some of the most vulnerable people in the country.
    Someone in the ministry of health/QEH had responsibility for checking that these nurses had fulfilled the requirements. Heads should roll.
    It is this kind of forensic questioning that was missing from the blog during the period of your isolation.

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    It serves the ministers right to have to go into quarantine for being so stupid.

    The nurses still had to complete their quarantine so what were the ministers and non-essential personnel doing there for a meet and greet in the first place? If I had somebody come in on a plane and was supposed to go into quarantine for 7 days, would they have allowed me to meet and greet them too or would these same people be telling me meet and greet after they leave quarantine?

    The idiots leading this COVID response just don’t get it. YOU CANNOT PLAY POLITICS, OPTICS AND PR WITH THIS VIRUS. THE ONLY WAY TO BEAT THIS VIRUS IS TO BE FULLY HONEST WITH THE PUBLIC, SPEAK THE TRUTH AND GIVE US THE FACTS. YOUR OPINIONS AND EDICTS ARE NOT FACTS. PEOPLE ARE NOT FOOLISH. But we all know these people have problems being honest and are strangers to the truth.

    Frankly, what scares me most is the double standards, double speak and stupid mistakes from the people leading this COVID pandemic response. They have all the statistics, information and expertise in front of them but them constantly making these cardinal mistakes demonstrate to me either a lack of intelligence to understand the information they have in front of them and or an idiotic willingness to play politics and PR with this virus.

    Like

  • @Critical Analyzer

    Mistakes will be made. This is a reality. Boris made them. Trump is making them. So far the government has done a reasonable job. Let us implore them to react with good sense to recent developments. Some of us are concerned that there seem to be a relaxation by Barbadians in the country to the public health protocols. Time to wheel and come again Minister Bostic.

    Like

  • Shooting the messenger not going to change the issue whereby govt brought nurses into the country unaware of their medical history
    As usual the balance that is needed to flush out the what ..who ..why and where would not be accepted on BU
    Anyhow those questions cannot go unanswered or swept under a rug by a govt who promised accountabilty and transparency
    Anything else by the blp detractors in their effort to give govt a passing grade on this issue as well as to shoot the messenger should be punished with laughter
    The incompetence of this govt has broken all inefficient bounds
    Who will bell the cat some one must

    Like

  • Wishing the very best for Barbados today. Have a great day Barbados.
    xx—————————————–xx
    She’s rested, refreshed and bowling like she did before. It appears that she was practicing during her hiatus.
    The speed and accuracy is still there. However, we believe the opposition is technically deficient and unprepared.
    The continued use of Lorenzo and Robert as relief bowlers is expected to fail in blunting her attack.

    https://barbadostoday.bb/2020/07/29/wi-technically-deficient-and-ill-prepared/

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    I don’t have a problem with mistakes being made. My problem is with making mistakes when you know better. Did you not get licks from your teacher when you did a math test and got harder 78+123 sum right and the simple 1+2 sum wrong. They deserve to be punished harshly for making stupid mistakes because they still have not learnt from what happened in March when they delayed with the quarantine of flights for political/PR reasons.

    We have to give them all their licks now so they get it right now the flights are low because if we only have one two chances to get it right and if we get this thing right, we will have a successful winter season later this year.

    Our government has been lucky thus far. Don’t mistake luck for skill. They are still not combining their intelligence with knowledge to make proper decisions.

    Make no mistake, US lives are being sacrificed to sabotage Trump to stop him getting a second term. The hydroxychloroquine he was talking about from the start when combines with Zinc prevents the virus from taking hold when taken in the early but that would have guaranteed him a second term so they will try to deny it works till he loses.

    We have one last chance, this month of August, to get this thing right. Winter is coming.

    Like

  • The embarrassment of what has occurred is not generating licks? Is the minister of health please about the embarrassment being created? All of the COVID tests should have been submitted to the public health ministry to advise status of nurses before boarding. Was this done?No it was not.

    Who to blame?

    >

    Like

  • The list of incompetence keeps growing starting way back in 2018
    As the list gets longer BU continues its merry way with mundane articles which only serves to tickle the funny bone and cover this inept govt from the buzz of criticisms
    But that is ok day runs until night comes nigh

    Like

  • ‘It has become an ethical issue to consider.”
    The government’s management of the crisis so far can only be described by the word excellent.

    I will rephrase the statement above from my point of view.
    “Let’s hope a smart Ghanaian and a smart Barbadian did not put their heads together and put Barbados at risk.”

    Given Ghana’s ranking on the corruption perception index and the Bajan’s “smartness, Barbadian and Ghanaian politicians working together could be an explosive mix. Hold on to your seat during the ride.

    Like

  • ‘It has become an ethical issue to consider.”

    I will rephrase the statement above from my point of view.
    “Let’s hope a smart Ghanaian and a smart Barbadian did not put their heads together and put Barbados at risk.”

    Given Ghana’s ranking on the corruption perception index and the Bajan’s “smartness, Barbadian and Ghanaian politicians working together could be an explosive mix. Hold on to your seat during the ride.

    The government’s management of the crisis so far can only be described by the word excellent. Keep the focus, don’t get distracted.

    Like

  • Excellent ..as in throwing enough scratch grain towards the blp yardfowls
    But dont be fooled other social media platforms are not so silent they are performing with excellence on this issue demanding answers
    Not all social media platforms have a duty to perform diligently towards govt agendas
    With certainty govt cannot win on this issue by share avoidance
    Await the opposition response

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @David August 2, 2020 9:06 AM
    The quarantine they in now is the equivalent of detention from the teacher but tomorrow on the call-in program is when they will get the real licks like you would get from your mother then father when the teacher tell your parents.

    The wonderful thing is that it all happened now so they can realise the folly of not mandating everybody getting on a plane first have a negative test. A contagious person shedding the virus is likely to pass it to the persons next to them on an 4 – 8 hour flight mask or no mask. We can’t stop test fraud or people infected during the intervening period or false negatives but we have to do the best we can.

    The correct protocol should be
    1. All persons on long flights, i.e. international flights are to have a negative test before boarding a plane.
    2. Exceptions made for shorter flights i.e. intra-caribbean but face masks must be worn for the entire flight.
    3. If anyone in a travel party has a positive test, the party can reschedule their flight, hotel reservations and all other bookings at no penalty or costs.

    Liked by 1 person

  • Critical Analyzer

    https://c19study.com/

    @GP
    Being the medical professional you are, I suspect you along with Robert Lucas will enjoy digging into the information from this site most of all.

    Like

  • Not expecting to get much of a response anything which questions govt marathon policies are left out to hang dry
    This govt cannot be seen as doing wrong
    Reason being this govt was given a 30-0 mandate to do as they pleases
    Also most noteworthy Mia said that an airline named interCaribbean would be given landing rights to fly in and out of barbados
    No accountability or transparency shed except a few details that can any one accesed by google as to who owns the areoplane and some countries where it flies
    But then again this govt rules by stealth and media refuses to ask questions

    Like

  • Btw the reviews of that much touted airline Intercarribbean leaves much to be desired
    Sounds like a liat experience with a highfalutin name
    But who cares just throw a bone any bone the people would accept

    Like

  • The stories behind this disaster is unimaginable
    This one govt cant hide because front line workers that had to process these worker are mad as hell and not shutting mouth to protect this govt
    Fake nurses fake certification fake test the whole gammit of incompetence between two govts whose only option was political showboating that has fell flat in their faces
    God help barbados

    Like

  • For those who think that this issue is a fifteen minute talking point
    Think again

    Omar Watson and 10 others

    Our protocols worked? You’ve just exposed our customs, immigration, airport staff, media personnel, government officials, and health personnel and everyone that they’ve interacted with since the arrival and ill-advised photo op for the arrival of the Ghanaian nurses.

    You seriously want to spin that bro? Do the math. You f*cked up!

    I thought extensive screening would have been done before they even left home. They’re medical professionals that you imported though. 👀

    The COVID Scar peeping about behind ZRs and small restaurant and bar operators. I don’t see the numbers exploding in Sheraton or in by Flashzone! You should be at the borders peeping about like Stephen!

    Anyways my head hot and this post would go downhill. So let me stop right here!

    Only the other day we were supposed to be COVID-free yeh!

    As a high-risk person I don’t plan on being civil watching you guys risk the safety of the public. I hope you guys also checked for Malaria! 👀

    #thekeepingitrealnetwork #tkirn #covıd19barbados

    Liked by 1 person

  • Barbados has recorded another 12 cases of novel coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the total number of positive cases to 132.

    Minister of Health and Wellness Jeffrey Bostic, who is in self-quaarantine, made this announcment in a live broadcast via Zoom a short while ago.

    Like

  • They are all Bajans who wished to come home.

    Like

  • I would definitely send those nurses who weren’t tested back to Ghana. They should never have boarded that flight. I also do not know why such a large contingent was necessary to welcome them. A reception of some sort could have been done for them after they were cleared.

    These government officials are complaining about the people getting slack but this is the example they are setting.

    Like

  • The truth will out.

    “Barbados has 24 new COVID-19 cases in two days and authorities are expecting the numbers to climb this week as airlines fly in and out of the country.”

    https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/247030/spike-covid-19

    Like

  • @Hants

    It is unfortunate we discovered 24 infections in quick time. What is positive is that the infections were detected by screening and not a result of community spread.

    Like

  • Whose idea was it to have a welcoming party at the Airport to greet the nurses? The Gov’t after establishing strict guidelines for visitors and returning nationals dropped the ball on this issue. Some persons couldn’t resist the photo-op but a reception after the medical status of the nurses had been settled would have served the same purpose.

    The Gov’t certainly deserves the criticism it has been getting after the plaudits it has been receiving for its initial response to the virus, it just goes to show that one should certainly hold his/her applause until the fat lady has sung.

    Like

  • @Sargeant

    The MOH and MOT were there right? Who would have to give them permission as senior ministers?

    Like

  • @David
    Don’t be missing the point, it is not about giving anyone permission. The welcome didn’t happen organically, someone knew the nurses were arriving and some communications were sent out saying we need to greet the nurses that we (the Gov’t) recruited. Did anyone say “Whooa”? lets take our time cause yuh never know and as we have these protocols it is better to be safe than sorry. Instead we have the welcoming mat, the Press and the whole kit and caboodle out and later the MOH saying we “effed up” and people gotta go into self -quarantine because nine nurses that we glad-handed are infected with COVID.

    If that isn’t a screw-up I don’t know what is

    As always many hands (yuh know de rest)

    BTW nice of you to print the stats (yuh running interference for the Gov’t?)

    Like

  • @Sargeant

    It should have been the MoH to pull the plug. The point!

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @David and @Sargeant
    Let me break it down for you two as to what I think happen. I ain’t know nothing nor know flies on the wall but I know the mentality.

    We bajans was probably told them all got tested negative before they all get on the plane but being it was a charter plane and the only way to get here to start to work, half or all could not have been truly tested before leaving Ghana so them get on the plane knowing they got nothing to lose.

    The minsters with them fast self looking for a PR win in this pandemic with nuff nurses showing up rush at the chance and I am willing to be override the health officials that said they have to go through quaratine first.

    I am so glad it happen now so we can get it the protocols right during this month. A good thing them had the sense to do this dry run so we can ram this country come Flu season.

    P.S. I bet some more nurses in quarantine will test positive in a week or so.

    Like

  • ….I ain’t know nothing nor know flies on the wall but I know the mentality….(Quote)

    Is that the Bajan Condition?

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @Hall Austin
    Please explain which Bajan Condition you are referring to.

    Like

  • Truth being that Mia Mottley as PM needs to come out and speak on this incompetence
    Some where along the line a chain of command was broken or Ghana sold barbados 12 bags of lies which our govt did not have common sense to do their own interrogation of these nurses history
    This is real bad for the image of barbados especially at a time when govt is asking people from other countries to live and work from our shores
    This messed must be clean up by PM

    Like

  • @Critical

    ….I ain’t know nothing nor know flies on the wall but I know the mentality….(Quote)

    The predictive cultural psychological reaction to social phenomena. The ‘mentality’ you claim to know, when PR takes over from competence and common sense. The Bajan Condition.
    I will also bet that some of the qualifications claimed by the nurses are bogus. That is not any great insight, but the UK experience with West Africans, in particular Nigerians and Ghanaians. Caution is the watch word.

    Like

  • Hard to belive that those “nurses” which might just be house sitters were tested
    Furthermore that are stories on social media platforms stating that some of the certification cannot be verified as well that to do with COVID testing from Ghana

    Like

  • @Critical Analyzer August 2, 2020 9:02 AM “Our government has been lucky thus far…Make no mistake, US lives are being sacrificed to sabotage Trump to stop him getting a second term. We have one last chance, this month of August, to get this thing right. Winter is coming.”

    There is no winter in Barbados.

    If Barbados’ officials have been LUCKY can you please explain why U.S. officials have not been just as lucky?

    United States 47.33 deaths per 100,000 people

    Barbados: 2.44 deaths per 100,000 people.

    If Barbados had mismanaged COVID19 as badly as the United States has, we would have had 120+ deaths by now (instead of 7) and almost certainly one of those deaths would have been your neighbor, schoolmate, friend, family or you.

    The low mortality in Barbados has NOTHING to do with good luck.

    The high mortality in the United States has nothing to do with bad luck.

    Barbados took the scientific high road.

    The United States, led by their idiotic President chose to follow political and religious conspiracy theories, which is a shame, because the United States has some of the world’s best scientific brains.

    Like

  • I am sorry to hear that some of the nurses from Ghana have Covid19. I wish them much better. It was an 8 hour flight, and one asymptomatic person could have infected the others. But know that if we had got nurses form the United Kingdom or the United States the result would very likely have been the same or much worse.

    Note that the Cuban nurses were all Covid19 free, thanks to the sensible strategies taken by their Communist government. Let us big up the Communists for that. Also their flight was much shorter

    Like

  • The meet and greet should have happened after the quarantine.

    i have relatives arriving this week. They won’t see me for 14 days, except on a Whatsapp video call. I love them very much, but I am never one to confuse foolishness with love.

    The last time i had a “little” flu I was so sick I asked the Lord to take me home…but he left me here, possibly to torment the boys of BU.

    I ain’t messing with covid or potential covid.

    Like

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