If we go the number of comments on the St. Andrew thread, that is going to be one very hard fought battle!
Even with a swing against DLP, I wouldn’t dismiss the Senator’s chances.

@David
I think they will do that in the next poll. Don’t forget the election hasn’t been called yet! Not all candidates are in place, and a lot, a lot can change in a relatively short time. Individual match ups especially can change dramatically: rumours, dirt, real skeletons etc. etc.

@david
Because the deep pocket isn’t interested in individual contests. Just confirming the overall mood and likely play. The candidates know exactly what they have (not) done and what they need to do now. The parties would have conducted their own internal polling already.

@true to form

There will be updates when there is a sense from feedback and moving around the constituency the mood.

It is unfortunate the CADRES poll SO FAR does not address the swing % at this time neither is there a constituency match-up.

@David

Durant Callender doesn’t look strong enough in CCWC
Best’s slip is showing in SME
Still think Bradshaw will reach the line first in SMSE

I’m coming around to your view on SMSC and SMC.

Observing

@ David

Every single rival to Sinckler either loses or is undecided in BU picks/projections. give my regards to hartley and peter.

@Numbers please

Maybe this link is useful:

http://www.caribbeanelections.com/barbados/default.asp

The BLP infighting and disunity is real.
As long as Owen Arthur has any influence in the Barbados Labour Party, he will do his utmost to undermine any fantasy Mottley has of leadership.
Arthur’s popularity has fallen dramatically since the late 1990’s and he has allowed Mottley to take the spotlight to try to fool her supporters that she has been elevated.

Arthur will allow Mottley to take the spotlight when and only when it suits his political purposes. The infighting in the BLP is still very much alive. Ask George Payne.

This is a lame duck. or rather an AIDS duck Government. No hope of a cure.

A reminder that we put the BU Election Picks under the microscope next blog.

@ David
St. Andrew – (Payne/Sandiford-Garner) – Undecided
*********************************************
It is confirmed now……you are a sick man !…stupeeess

I predict 19 – 4 ….Jones, Mona,Lashley and Estwick will keep company……not another fella…..watch.

@Onions

Do you have a constituency poll?

In the absence of a district poll we have to go with anecdotal which means we will have differences of opinion.

Given the margin Best won by and the work he is said to have done on the ground it explains the fence sitting.

In the case of Donville and Irene the two have built strong national profiles which some believe to counter the inevitable swing against the government.

You should not however that undecided mean undecided.

One can also believe that the policies they instituted at the various institutions will bring their downfall david. donville might survive better and truly be undecided but irene . I don’t think they want her to win there.

@ balance
Is time you change the name to off balance……

Is cool for David to do wishful thinking especially when ….I see an ax in the back yard ole n rusty……but everybody duz see Onions running the route like a minivan amongst the people…..and I will tell you David ..nuff heads go roll so all the promulgating is but chafe in the wind….a BIG wind may I add…….Why don’t you visit the meeting at Black Rock this evening…come see for yourselves…..David talking chafe…….Kenny Bovell…Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ……a good one ! Gimme a break !

onions ask OSA what plans he has as PM “IF:” he wins in paying back the money he borrowed and where is the money going to come from.

@ onions

I take that comments as “OSA doesn’t know !

@david

Among them he is the best. We may disagree on his economic ideas but among all the candidate he still has the best change to lead the dlp to victory. Does this inspire his own constituents to vote for him is separate question as he need to be win his seat before he can become pm. on whole the dlp population would select him as their leader but they don’t decide that the actual executives does. His standing to winning his seat I would say is undecided.

The poll your speaking off never measured his on consistency popularity. it measure who best they would like to lead the country. To relate the two is folly as people in st john and rest of island other the his consistency can’t vote him in.

@Anthony

From where you are perched can you review BU election picks? Where do you agree disagree.

I had a good laugh this morning.

Peter Wickham and George Belle predicting a one DLP G’ovt.

Somebody remind me, is this the same George Belle who conduct a poll for the Barbados Labour Party just before the last elections and predicted a massive win at the polls for the Barbados Labour Party?

Is this the same Peter Wickham who predicted a massive win for the Stevenson King G’ovt in the recent St. Lucian elections?

These would have to be two different people!

@ Enuff | July 22, 2012 at 11:40 AM |
“Yea the same one that predicted a 20-10 win for the DLP in the 2008 elections.”

In Carson’s books that poll does not count. But the recent one by the same pollster is being engineered in his (CCC’s) mind by no other than Owen ‘Seethru” Arthur. That is the kind of disingenuity to be expected from the completely confused and contemptible CCC.

The only way Sinckler can win the seat he holds now is if he has deep pocket backers to buy the youngsters like the last election otherwise they aint voting. They have been fooled so unless they get some big change this time around Sinckler can kiss that seat good bye.
The same goes for Hammie Lah

@ac u does kill me dead u feel if de bees have ah solution that they would reveal it to de DLP so they could tief it, u dont fell de ppl keeping da plans to them self u always asking wha Owen would do, u feel if he did know he wha tell fundy and sinkler them always pun de man case

@David
cool picks. Some questions/comments

1. How comes you have Paul still holding on over Edghill? His margin was unbelievable and history doesn’t give him an advantage.
2. I still think Stuart has the advantage over Lynch. It’s not clear cut but at this stage Lynch hasn’t made enough inroads.
3. How comes Sealy goes but Best stays? Best is less than inspiring.
4. Do you have that much faith in Arthur Holder?

Based on current conditions I believe the marginal 2008 seats are all but gone. Couple that with the MPs who did less than they should have on the ground and it’ll get rougher. There’s very little if anything that the DLP can do, no matter how sweet to change national perspective.

I’m mildly curious as to how Sinckler’s running of Finance will affect him locally on the ground.

@Anthony
you said among them he’s the best. Best at what exactly?

The die is pretty much cast, let’s see how “bad” it is.

Observing