The following comment inspired the blogmaster to expand the focus on data collection and discussion about the COVID 19 pandemic. Thanks to @Lyall@Amit
David; re. your 4:41 am post;
You are correct but I have indeed considered that cohort of the population.
The reason that the US experts are beating the drum for testing, testing and more testing is to get a handle on what proportion of the general public has been compromised by the virus in any way and has left its signatures in body fluids including blood in the population. The virus is shed from the infected body as the disease is brought under control. When it is controlled it has been found that it takes around 7 days for all particles to be shed from the body. Infected persons are released back into the community when they test negative twice over a period of 2 days.
Barbados, like all of our island neighbours, did or does not have access to large numbers of tests and had to use what we had very sparingly. Thus, the only measure that we had for gauging the incidence of the virus in the population (and a very imperfect one, at that) might be by comparing the evidence of infection levels hinted at by a comparison of the graphs of the progress of the various Covid-19 outbreaks in our Islands.
Most of the world was in the same position as the Caribbean and used the data obtained by the minimal testing of infected people and their contacts and their contacts to produce the graphs we see on such sites as WHO and Worldometer etc. All these graphs give an imperfect picture and significant underestimation of infection levels in the county or country in which the tests are carried out, but, since they are carried out in the same way in each country they might provide some rationale for guesstimating the comparative levels of the infection in various groups of countries.
The data shows that, starting out at essentially the same levels, there was some divergence in relation to the rate of infection and therefore progress of the various outbreaks in various countries. The graphs for Barbados showed low and declining levels of infection from the beginning, peaking at the level of 13 positive cases per day and thereafter showing a slowly declining trend. The individuals who would have contributed to the declining trend would have been primarily from the contact testing but should also have included other individuals referred by Health professionals or who presented themselves to Government institutions because of concern that their symptoms might point to untimely death due to the dread Covid-19.
Amit, in an earlier post on this blog, reported on his initiative of graphing Covid-19 incidence over weekly periods throughout the epidemic, in several Caribbean Islands. If David thinks it is appropriate and Amit agrees I can post a subset of graphs clipped from his data for 6 Caribbean territories which I think could illustrate some of what I have presented above.
There were 543 new COVID-19 cases, 252 males and 291 females, recorded on Monday, April 11, from the 1 666 tests carried out by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 389 new COVID-19 cases,, from the 1 264 tests carried out on Tuesday, April 12.
389 from 1264
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 392 new COVID-19 cases, 159 males and 233 females, from the 1 384 tests carried out on Thursday, April 14.
Is anyone concerned that over 300 new cases a day is occurring in Barbados ?
Coronavirus Persisting in Feces Offers Clues to Long Covid Cause
RE Coronavirus Persisting in Feces Offers Clues to Long Covid Cause
JOHN KNOX THE TWO TIME BARBADOS SCHOLARSHIP WINNER SAID THAT HERE ON BU MONTHS AGO AND HE WAS
MOCKED BY THE BU BETZPAENIC BRIMBLERS.
IGNORANCE IS CERTANLY BLISS
WE ALSO HAVE AN EPEDIMIOLOGIST PONTIFICATING…ONE WONDERS HOW MANY PATIENTS HE HAS EVER TREATED FOR ANYTHING …..OR HOW MANY EPIDEMICS PR PAN DEMICS HE HAS EVER MANAGED
COME ON FELLAS
1- WASH YUH HANDS
2- WEAR YOUR MASKS
3 GET THE JAB ONCE TWICE THRICE AND THEN BOOST UP
4- JUST DO AS YOU ARE TOLD AND DEN COCK UP AND DED WID DE VIRUS ANYWAY
OH I NEARLY FORGET STUDY THE EPEDIMIOLOGISTS STATISTICS
BARE MOCK SPORT IN THE RUM SHOP
SEEMS I MUSSEE MISS SOMETING IN BOTH MY SOJOURNS IN MEDICAL SCHOOL
Enclosed are updated graphs. The daily numbers seen this week look bad on face value but they are showing some signs of beginning to peak, especially as the Ro 7-day Reproductive numbers are staying relatively static at around 1.1 this week and Deaths are fluctuating at a relatively low level while Positivity numbers are relatively high, reflecting high Covid-19 levels in the persons who are being tested. Official Isolations are also gradually increasing but at a much lower rate than was evidenced in the earlier Omicron peak which took over from the Delta variant. The new Omicron BA.2 sub variant has now been confirmed to have taken over from the earlier BA.1 as I had conjectured in an earlier post. Its official status here was reported in the Press yesterday. Perhaps the high replacement level might be a blessing in disguise as it might hopefully portend a relatively rapid peaking and subsequent plateauing reduction as Barbados’ Covid status transitions to that of a low level Endemic disease- Source: Lyall Small
COVID-19 UPDATE: 171 new cases – COVID-19 UPDATE: 171 new cases:
171 from 582 is 29 %
Positivity rate has been hovering around 30% for some time now.
Positivity rate does not matter. That can be manipulated up or down by testing.
The rate of positive people requiring true hospital care is all that matters.
You have been an advocate for the government to build and share more robust comprehensive analytics. Wouldn’t including all data sources available assist with correlation analysis etc even if it helps with procurement of supplies?
That is not what John Knox said. John Knox said that it was in the drinking water.
Some of us believe that drinking water is different from flood water, waste water or sewage. And I doubt anyone is knowingly drinking water with feces in it.
I know that you heard of the false starts. What you may not be aware of, is that some folks try to take a victory lap whisky the race is still ongoing.
I have not read anything stating that covid-19 is present in drinking water. It could happen, but it would represent a failure in the cleaning process.
Let’s try to keep the discussion honest. You may get a victory lap, but not yet.
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 302 new COVID-19 cases from the 840 tests conducted on Monday, April 18.
The number of people with COVID-19 in Ontario’s hospitals climbed to 1,486, the province said Tuesday, while overall admissions to intensive care reached 206.
It’s the highest number of patients with the illness in ICUs since mid-March, and the most in hospitals during the ongoing sixth wave of the pandemic.
@David April 17, 2022 6:57 AM
My main grouse has to do with the health authorities providing the data not giving us, especially in writing, details on their definitions of the terms they use, methodology used to gather the stats and properly explaining the source data they used to arrive at their decisions. I’ll give two glaring examples:
1) Our true COVID case numbers are the persons who passed thru primary or secondary or died at home from COVID symptoms. What is a COVID case and how does diagnosing it differ from a case for any other virus?
Never in our history have we tested people without symptoms for a virus and said they had the disease even though they had no symptoms. Anyone who gets a test and is PCR positive regardless of whether they have symptoms or not is defined as a COVID case. If we were to that for the Flu, that doctor would be in trouble for malpractise because presence of a virus dos not mean you automatically have the disease.
2) Why do we still have a mask mandate and have gone the other way now and added fines. Science, studies and statistics show cloth and surgical masks have almost no effect on airborne respiratory viruses like COVID i.e. COVID spreads primarily through the air whereas flu spreads mostly by droplets. Masks help with flu but have next to no effect on COVID spread. Only professionally fitted N95 masks work against COVID.
Health authorities will never bring forward proper statistics because it will show the measures caused all cause mortality to increase and less people would probably have died if they had done nothing and left it up to the people to decide for themselves. Not to mention the future increase in cancer rates and whatever long term effects show up from the particulates in the masks, long term re-breathing oxygen and whatever other fallout from the measure appear later
Agree public health officials have a responsibility to communicate information to the public that can withstand public scrutiny. Bear in mind there are many stakeholders who define ‘public’ wanting to use the information to inform decisions. And there is the matter of bolstering public confidence in a pandemic. It seems Barbados health officials followed global health directives on the matter of Covid 19. As you are aware several public health officials were accorded the highest national award and now wear the title honourable.
WE NEED MORE STATISTICIANS AND EPEDIMIOLOGISTS AND POLITICIANS TO SOLVE THIS COVID THING IN BIMSHIRE
WUH YOU TINK
OUR PROBLEM IS WE NOT COUNTING THE CASES PROPERLY…YOU TINK?
IF WE COUNT BETTER AND MAKE MORE GRAPHS AND PUT OUT MORE STATISTICS WEEKLY THEN THERE WOULD BE LESS CASES RIGHT? AND THIS WOULD BE STELLAR THERAPY RIGHT? I TRYING TO LEARN HERE.
I gave up on the stats ages ago.
Vaccines delivered less than expected
Number of new cases increasing, number of tests decreasing.
It is not the ball game that we started playing.
One does NOT emphasize ‘good communications’ when there are hidden agendas.
This covid situation has been a scam from the very start, when the virus and its associated ‘vaccines’ were developed in labs long before simple minded BBs were ‘alerted’ to the pandemic.
Our Local ‘authorities’ are merely saying WHAT THEY ARE TOLD TO SAY by The WHO /World Bank financiers who control our thoughts and these bodies are in turn controlled by the likes of Bill Gates and his consortium of wealthy demons.
Any idiot can see the folly of the official line, ….and YET they persists with the folly…. a CLEAR sign of puppets at work…
Most recent example is the idiot minister announcing boldly that the new position on fines for masks is actually doing citizens a favor … since the REAL penalty has been $50,000….
HELLO!!! Did he know this during the recent cricket?
What a JA!!!
…but then he also said that things were GREAT at GIS at Dodds…..
More persons – and YOUNGER persons – have been falling down dead for no apparent reason since we started vaccinations, than at any time in recent history….and CERTAINLY more than have ‘died from Covid’. The estimated increase in ALL CAUSE deaths in the USA is 40%, but based on Bushies OWN experience here with acquaintances and friends, it is more that that.
Lotta shiite … but this is only the beginning.
Coming soon to a clinic near you…. How to get UN-vaccinated…..
A total of 674 people tested positive for COVID-19 on Tuesday, April 19, from the 1 878 tests conducted by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
674 from 1878 tests
What would be good to see is an attempt to explain why there is an increase on the percentage of positive cases.
Who is being tested?
How are they identified.
Ward: Masks reduce respiratory illness
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 446 new COVID-19 cases, 185 males and 261 females, from the 1,435 tests conducted on Friday, April 22.
New COVID-19 cases numbered 355 for Saturday, April 23, from the 1 213 tests.
The doctors are finally starting to see and admit the fallout from the COVID prettycols people like myself and GP were predicting soon after they implemented them. COVID is not the only thing people die from and was never ever near the top of the list of causes of death for any country in the world.
The article states a bit more than was interpreted by you.
The article says…
1- Heart issues are the main killers:
2 – They are NOT decreasing
3 – It got worse after Covid
We need to understand why people are “engaging in unhealthy behaviors”
The ONLY real facts here are that heart disease and stroke are (and always was) the KEY killers, and that they have NOT abated like “Covid deaths” did with Omicron …
1 – What is the actual EXTENT of the increase, and what are the likely root causes?
2 – What steps are we taking to understand exactly WHY this is occurring now? …and how to best respond.
3. What are the ‘unhealthy behaviors’ inferred?
4 – How come this has ALWAYS been a bigger issue than COVID, but YET the response is DIAMETRICALLY opposite?
Every two damn days the bushman getting ’news’ of yet another (comparative youngster) who ‘up and dying just so’……
No one else cares…?
The good doctor within her heart knows why but can’t say it out loud and will hide behind no available statistics and anecdotal accounts instead of saying their prettycols terrified the people that trusted them and hang on their word. I know old people who used to be active but were forced by their family to stay home and they died.
There was absolutely no reason to tell people to stay indoors. The message should have been the opposite, go outside as much as possible and keep or start exercising as the stats from the start showed the overweight, unfit and those with NCDs were most at risk and the best way to address those are to get outside, get some sun, relax and do something.
Now the chickens are coming home to roost but doctors will not complain too much, more business for their drug pushing ways.
Barbados recorded 323 new coronavirus (COVID-19) cases from 1 092 tests conducted on Sunday, April 24.
that is about 30% of people tested.
How are these people treated .What medications are given?
Covid-19 data reporting is becoming less frequent, making trends harder to track
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 506 (COVID-19) cases from the 1 656 tests carried out on Monday, April 25.
The US is out of the Covid-19 pandemic phase, Fauci says
473 from 1434 is 33%
A total of 432 people tested positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) from the 1 387 tests conducted on Wednesday, April 27
Attached are the charts for week ending 29th April. These numbers suggest that we are in another spike which might have already started to trend back downwards. – Source: Lyall Small
I lost interest in the numbers and have
Who are they testing?
Why are they testing them/how are they identified?
Is it nationwide or just a few locations?
” The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 518 new coronavirus (COVID-19) cases, 227 males and 291 males, from the 1 555 tests conducted on Friday, April 29.”
518 from 1555 = 33%
Three more deaths related to COVID-19; toll at 395
Barbados’ COVID-19 death toll stands at 400 as of today, Tuesday, May 3.
Barbados recorded 621 new COVID-19 cases, 278 males and 343 females, from the 1,825 tests carried out on Tuesday, May 3, by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
621 new from 1825 tests
Source: Barbados Today
534 new COVID-19 cases from the 1,541 tests conducted on Wednesday, May 4.
Dr Williams should do us all a favor and shut her trap if she don’t know what the Hell she is talking about….
If neither ‘full vaccination nor natural immunity’ is capable of providing protection, how does the answer get to be more BOOSTERS?
Is this some kind of ‘trial and error’ scheme with the public’s health?
This is the same joker who was on and on about universal testing and vaccination as THE solution – based ONLY on ‘studies’ done by the same demons who created the vaccines (and the market for them via the damn virus) like Pfizer.
If you DON’T know …just say so, or at least HUSH!!….and leave the parroting to the PAHO puppets…
At least Fauci has had the common decency to go away….but then he is not clueless … just wicked….and badly bruised by the scrutiny he has had to face.
Bushie shudders to think of the price that Karma will extract from his donkey…
A total of 455 people have tested positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) from the 1 487 tests conducted by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
A 71-year-old female who was fully vaccinated and an 83-year-old male who was unvaccinated, passed away this morning, Saturday, May 7. There are now 405 deaths as a result of the virus.
Barbados Today is reporting that the “Coroner’s office confirms 24 more COVID-19 deaths”
“The COVID-19 death toll in Barbados now stands at 430. In a statement today, the Ministry of Health and Wellness said an additional 24 persons were found to have died from viral illness, following testing conducted by the Coroner’s Office on persons who passed away suddenly in the community before being tested or accessing appropriate care.”
Source: Barbados Today May 9, 2022.
A total of 598 people, 263 males and 335 females, tested positive for coronavirus (COVID-19) from the 2 083 tests carried out on Monday, May 9, by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
” COVID-19 has claimed the life of a 44-year-old woman.
The unvaccinated woman died on Friday, May 13. Her death has brought the number of COVID-19 related deaths in Barbados to 433.”
Enclosed are last week’s updates. There are no significant changes. Ro rates seem to be relatively steady around 1% indicating that there is no worrying uptick in infection rates. – Source: Lyall Small
An 82-year-old American male passed away as a result of coronavirus (COVID-19) on Sunday, May 15.
He was fully vaccinated, and his death has brought the number of casualties from the virus to 434.
Minister of Health and Wellness, Ian Gooding-Edghill, has extended condolences to his loved ones.
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 324 new COVID-19 cases, 148 males and 176 females, from the 1,080 tests conducted on Sunday, May 15.
Barbados recorded 403 new COVID-19 cases, 168 males and 235 females, from the 1,564 tests conducted on Tuesday, May 17, by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
A total of 187 new cases out of the 827 tests on Saturday, May 21.
Here’s the update to Friday May 20th. The Ro reproductive rate is still hovering just below 1.0 and the Official Isolation numbers are still in the medium but manageable range. Positivity, Deaths and disease incidence rates are still quite high. Most people seem to be generally following the protocols
130 new coronavirus (COVID-19) cases from the 565 tests conducted on Sunday, May 22.
BAMP warns ease in protocols could have negative impact on COVID fight
168 people, 65 males and 103 females, tested positive for COVID-19 from the 796 tests conducted on Friday, May 27.
BAMP warns ease in protocols could have negative impact on COVID fight
There must now be a serious fall-off in people running to their doctor in fear.
Shiite…. now it may take a WHOLE year to pay for the damn Mercedes.
Plan B … monkey pox…??!!
ALL charts are showing a small but distinct down tick in the areas being followed. The population in general seems to have accepted the official declarations that the virus is now endemic here and are by and large following the protocols on masking, sanitation, etc. Uptake of vaccinations still appears to be sluggish- Source: Lyall Small
A total of 213 people tested positive for COVID-19 on Monday, May 30, from 941 tests
Attached are the selective Covid charts for the week ending 3rd June 2022. All the charts are slowly trending downwards while the populace appears to be maintaining the required vigilance through adherence to the Covid-19 protocols. Meanwhile, I suspect the authorities are on the lookout for any incidence of the largely dissimilar monkeypox virus in any of our trading partner countries and planning strategies for if it gets here.
The number of positive COVID-19 cases recorded on Sunday, June 5, was 91, 40 males and 51 females. The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory conducted 365 tests.
A total of 104 people, 43 males and 61 females, tested positive for COVID-19 from the 393 tests carried out on Monday, June 6,
Attached are the charts for the week ending 10th June. Looks like the epidemic might be in the process of levelling out at a fairly high, but manageable, incidence as seen from the dynamics of the 3 measurements being followed. – Source: Lyall Small
Attached are the charts for the week ending 17th June. They are all trending slightly downwards indicating that the protocols are working.
– Source: Lyall Small
Wishing PMMIA a speedy recovery.
“Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley has tested positive for COVID 19.”
🙂 I am even more impressed with how farsighted this woman is… She saw this coming and had MM ordering vaccines in advance. 🙂 Mia needs to take greater care of herself. These numerous flights and meeting increased her risk of getting covid.
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 145 new COVID-19 cases, 60 males and 85 females, from the 733 tests conducted on Monday, June 20.
Well known family physician, Dr Adrian Lorde, is calling on two of Barbados’ most prominent figures, President Dame Sandra Mason and Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley, to set an example for the public to follow, regarding the COVID-19 protocols.
Lorde was speaking in a recorded video today after news broke on Monday that had Mottley tested positive for COVID 19.
The Ministry of Health and Wellness is currently managing an outbreak of COVID-19 on a construction site in St Philip as well as at the Psychiatric Hospital in Black Rock, St Michael.
Health authorities reported on Thursday that the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) claimed the life of a fully vaccinated, 89-year-old woman.
A media release from the Government Information Service (GIS) stated she died on Wednesday, bringing the number of deaths because of the viral illness to 477.
Health authorities also reported that 326 new cases of COVID-19 were detected among 79 women and 247 men from the 823 tests conducted by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory on Wednesday.
Of the positive cases, 21 were under the age of 18.
There were 141 new COVID-19 cases, 70 females and 71 males, recorded on Thursday, June 30, from the 576 tests carried out by the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory.
The attached charts continue to show a distinct trend in the wrong direction and appear to be following the English charts. The recent 2 local outbreaks reported by GIS might have contributed to this. There should at least be continued public adherence to the remaining protocols.
– Source: Lyall Small
On the rise.
Absence of information causes conspiracy theories to germinate
Testing, testing …
No indication of who or why they are testing. Seem like identification by other than contact tracing.
Have we allowed ourselves to become laboratory rats in a test tube of an island.
Crop over will be the test. Rum and big girating botsies will end social distancing. lol
Ellis no longer COVID-19 Public Advisor
Tests have identified 210 new COVID-19 cases in Barbados.
Health authorities said on Wednesday the Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 101 males and 109 females had been tested positive for the viral illness from 673 tests conducted on Tuesday.
Monkey pox reach.
Attached are the 3 charts for the week ending 8th July. The charts suggest that there has been a relative stabilization in the incidence of the disease in that the Ro numbers have now dropped below 1 for over 6 days; the official isolations have dropped over the past week; and there has been a noticeable dip in the Covid-19 raw incidence numbers. There is still a need to maintain strict observation of the protocols, especially during this Cropover period and more reports of Monkeypox incidence in the Caribbean- Source: Lyall Small
The Best-dos Santos Public Health Laboratory identified 144 new COVID-19 cases, 56 males and 88 females, from the 458 tests conducted on Sunday, July 10.
From the number of people being killed by the damn shiite vaccines, it is VERY likely that Covid 19 can be the last pandemic.
Who the donkey will be left to get infected…?
It was only a Pandemic because his WHO changed the DEFINITION of ‘Pandemic’ to make it one in the first place.
Bushie is ALREADY tired of the lotta funerals…. mainly of people who just ‘up and dead’ for no good damn reason….
Gates should really just go away…. albino-centric demon !!
Barbados recorded 297 new COVID-19 cases, 128 males and 169 females, on Monday, July 11, from the 1 108 tests
Did you post there is a SUSPECTED case of monkey pox on the island? Person is currently in iso pending results.
Mandatory random testing will resume as of July 19, 2022, for travellers who qualify as fully vaccinated, arriving in Canada by air to the four major Canadian airports, Vancouver, Calgary, Montreal and Toronto. To qualify as a fully vaccinated traveller to Canada, travellers must have been vaccinated with a primary series of a COVID-19 vaccine accepted by the Government of Canada for the purpose of travel at least 14 calendar days before entering Canada.
Raw numbers still elevated and climbing but perhaps not alarmingly so. Daily official isolations dropping. Ro reproductive rate numbers fluctuating near and sub 1. Vigilance is necessary given that the new Omicron variant is increasing rapidly in our major trading partner countries amid increasing cropover travel – Source: Lyall Small
215 is 41 % of 513.
Source: Lyall Small
Wonder how much the UK will get?
A very good conversation about COVID, vaccines and treatments worth watching.
508 new COVID19 cases from 1229 tests August 5.
No symptoms? No problem.
Vaccinated or unvaccinated? Same guidance.
Exposed? No need to even quarantine.
Students exposed? They can stay in class.
So finally the corrupt CDC has begun to admit that the approaches to CV 19 defy commonsense. The Dullard admits he was concerned initially with CV19. Until he inspected the facts for himself.
Most of the noise around cv19 protocols is just mass hysteria used to control the sheeple.
The only thing left to do now is lock up Fauci and admit publicly that the jabs are totally useless.
I wonder what the armchair experts will say now?
South Korea getting hammered with floods.
Check COVID cases!!
China getting the flooding too.
Their COVID stats show they are having problems but I suspect far larger than they report.
Problems started with flooding, no one can contain COVID once severe flooding happens.
North Korea seems to have defeated it ….. yeah right!!
North Korea doesn’t have the capacity to test.
Floods starting back in the UK.
We all know what that means by now!!