COVID 19 UPDATES

The following comment inspired the blogmaster to expand the focus on data collection and discussion about the COVID 19 pandemic. Thanks to @Lyall@Amit

Blogmaster


David; re. your 4:41 am post;

You are correct but I have indeed considered that cohort of the population.

The reason that the US experts are beating the drum for testing, testing and more testing is to get a handle on what proportion of the general public has been compromised by the virus in any way and has left its signatures in body fluids including blood in the population. The virus is shed from the infected body as the disease is brought under control. When it is controlled it has been found that it takes around 7 days for all particles to be shed from the body. Infected persons are released back into the community when they test negative twice over a period of 2 days.

Barbados, like all of our island neighbours, did or does not have access to large numbers of tests and had to use what we had very sparingly. Thus, the only measure that we had for gauging the incidence of the virus in the population (and a very imperfect one, at that) might be by comparing the evidence of infection levels hinted at by a comparison of the graphs of the progress of the various Covid-19 outbreaks in our Islands.

Most of the world was in the same position as the Caribbean and used the data obtained by the minimal testing of infected people and their contacts and their contacts to produce the graphs we see on such sites as WHO and Worldometer etc. All these graphs give an imperfect picture and significant underestimation of infection levels in the county or country in which the tests are carried out, but, since they are carried out in the same way in each country they might provide some rationale for guesstimating the comparative levels of the infection in various groups of countries.

The data shows that, starting out at essentially the same levels, there was some divergence in relation to the rate of infection and therefore progress of the various outbreaks in various countries. The graphs for Barbados showed low and declining levels of infection from the beginning, peaking at the level of 13 positive cases per day and thereafter showing a slowly declining trend. The individuals who would have contributed to the declining trend would have been primarily from the contact testing but should also have included other individuals referred by Health professionals or who presented themselves to Government institutions because of concern that their symptoms might point to untimely death due to the dread Covid-19.

Amit, in an earlier post on this blog, reported on his initiative of graphing Covid-19 incidence over weekly periods throughout the epidemic, in several Caribbean Islands. If David thinks it is appropriate and Amit agrees I can post a subset of graphs clipped from his data for 6 Caribbean territories which I think could illustrate some of what I have presented above.


Covid 19

There was 1 more positive case announced today as well as 1 death. A slight uptick of the daily cases line is indicated in the graph by the blue line. The total cumulative number of positive cases from the tests carried out yesterday is 76 – Llyall Small

COVID 19

Attached is the updated C-19 graph for 2020-04-23. There were no additional positive cases from yesterday’s tests and therefore cumulative positive cases remain at 76 – Lyall Small

covid10

covid12

Two new positive cases were identified from yesterday’s tests. There are now 5 cases of contacts with a previously identified individual. The 5 cases are workers from a Government Institution. Tests are ongoing today (25 April 2020)Lyall Small

Covid11

Updated graph for 26 April 2020. No new +ve cases were found. Cumulative count is still 79 – Lyall Small

covid13

There was one additional +ve case identified today (27 April 2020) from the last tranche of NAB workers moving the cumulative total cases to 80. The graph is still essentially trending downwards – Lyallsmall

Covid-Cumulative 1

Graphing Covid-19 incidence in several Caribbean Islands – Source data: caribbeansignal.com

2,033 comments

  • @CA
    I asked for a reputable source to support what you wrote and you provided a website, now I like my information in small digestible bites and if you managed to slog through all the info I say good for you but the first thing I looked at was the “Disclaimer page” and I saw the following;
    +++
    Quote
    COVID-19 is a serious disease whose outcome depends on numerous factors including pre-existing conditions and timing of treatment. No guarantees can be made that users who choose with their physicians to employ recommendations on this site will experience benefit or not suffer adverse effects. The science of this illness is constantly changing and the coronavirus is mutating with unknown effects on treatment recommendations. Patients can have unique comorbidities, sensitivities or individual reactions to treatments. Patients assume the risks of treatment choices. Unquote
    +++
    There are a few more similar to the above but that told me all I need to know

    Next you posted a video about the helpful affects of vitamin D, note I never disputed the positive affects of vitamin D, however you wrote the following:

    “‘Follow the Science’. The beach is the safest place to be. They should be encouraging people to go to beach, get sun and play games. Between the wind, clean air, uv rays, high humidity and extremely high salt content in the air, the beach is an extremely hostile environment for the virus, much more so than locked up in your house”
    +++++
    Did you mean to say Vitamin D is beneficial? If so, why does one need to go to the beach to absorb vitamin D or the other elements? Can’t I get the same working in my garden; washing my car or sitting in my backyard? Aren’t there inherent risks in mingling with people playing games on the beach?

    Looka, I was watching an Attenborough offering and interrupted it to write this response, yuh lucky that I can recall it later.

    Like

  • The COVID-19 Update and Press Conference which was rescheduled for 8 p.m. has been postponed until 11 a.m. tomorrow. Government has apologised for the delay

    A nine-year-old is among three people who passed away as a result of coronavirus (COVID-19), bringing the number of deaths to 28, the Ministry of Health and Wellness said a short while ago.

    https://www.nationnews.com/2021/02/16/nine-year-old-among-three-new-covid-related-deaths/

    Like

  • Cuhdear BajanFebruary 16, 2021 8:34 PM A number of my friends and relatives in Barbados, Canada, England and the United States have taken a Covid vaccine, None of them have grown 3 heads yet.

    But Cuhdear,. It is AstraZeneca, the Viagra people.

    With all the negative crap out there, you could at least have started a positive rumour, by inferring that another problem AROSE and takes time to recede.

    Then, there would be a mad rush for the vaccines.

    Like

  • @Crusoe
    But Cuhdear,. It is AstraZeneca, the Viagra people.
    ++++++++
    Seems like you had some extremely potent liquers or was inhaling some funny tabacky, the world knows ( maybe with one exception) that PFIZER is to be blamed for Viagra.

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  • @Sargeant

    Should the blogmaster be impressed you appear very familiar with Pfizer and one of its most sought after products by men in your age group?

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  • I hear from some on the blog Waru etc, about systemic racism ,white privilege and so on, in Canada we have put racialized communities ahead of 75 yr olds in the que for the covid vaccine, in some cases a reward for bad behavior . I didnt see any body mentioning it but that hardly seems like what racists do. Is there any sense that barbados will put in a similar policy for its minorities, what if there was a massive outbreak in the white community…who would make the sun come up.?

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  • Such a silly comment.

    Like

  • @David

    Here I am trying to correct the record and you dissing me with a remark about men of my age and our familiarity and proclivity in the usage of a certain bedroom enhancer. Wunnah young pups can’t fool me, we don’t have to impress anyone, however if the purchasers of that product can be categorized by age group guess who would make up the largest number of purchasers?

    BTW how old was Methuselah when he fathered his last child?

    I rest my case 😊

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  • Not silly I have heard total vile comments on whites all month but you guys never see the forest for the trees, I think you finally cracked old Adrian trying nothing more than being helpful never a harsh word on race, I think he finally got sick of hearing what bad people we are.

    Like

  • @Sargeant We think you doth protest too much LOL.

    Like

  • @ Lawson February 17, 2021 9:43 AM
    “…… what if there was a massive outbreak in the white community…who would make the sun come up.?”
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Wow, and wow, again!!

    That has to be the ‘darkest’ of the best of your undercover ‘coloured’ jokes to date.

    In the light of ‘black’ ignorance you have placed your chosen people even above the supremacy God.

    And you might just be a bit taken aback to find out that black people themselves especially those living in their brain-damaged cocoon of congenital ignorance called Barbados actually see you guys as the embodiment of Yahweh through his only begotten white son called Jesus.

    But just remember the same way did the same SUN set on many empires including the British one, so too will IT set on the same melanin-deprived or bleached or white-washed ‘out’ race for their ‘costly’ technological acts committed for their own anthropological survival and which are, inadvertently, fast contributing to the acceleration of global warming and hence to their own demise as a sub-species of homo sapiens.

    It’s simply a matter for Father Time which will surely outlived even your god Yahweh as HE has done to the likes of Zeus, Baal, Jupiter and many of their ilk.

    Like

  • LOL Miller so I will put you down as you agree, in the near term , but you are right when the hispanics take over the world the ones in Texas will surely get rid of Al Gore for his green house effect ,

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  • SargeantFebruary 17, 2021 9:21 AM Crusoe But Cuhdear,. It is AstraZeneca, the Viagra people. +++++++
    Seems like you had some extremely potent liquers or was inhaling some funny tabacky, the world knows ( maybe with one exception) that PFIZER is to be blamed for Viagra.

    Sargeant, my error, of course. Mixed the two up. But you said ‘blamed for Viagra’. Surely that should be praised?

    Surely any company that can raise the dead, can assist the living?

    Like

  • https://www.nationnews.com/2021/02/17/live-updates-covid-management-february-17-2021/

    There are 40 minors in Barbados’ COVID isolation facilities: 17 males and 23 females

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  • Critical Analyzer

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  • Viral test backlog declared over – Bostic – Viral test backlog declared over – Bostic: https://barbadostoday.bb/2021/02/18/viral-test-backlog-declared-over-bostic/

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  • Critical Analyzer

    Minister Bostic should not have to be declaring this.

    The number of tests outstanding as well as the number of serious cases should be on the Daily dashboard.

    They are still doing too much PR.

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  • “Only” 39 new cases of Covid19 discovered yesterday. The test results are from Febuary 9 to 17.

    54 people recovered and have gone home to their families.

    9115 people have been vaccinated, including 2432 who were vaccinated today.

    https://barbadostoday.bb/2021/02/18/covid-19-update-39-new-cases-54-recoveries/

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  • COVID vaccines the talk of CARICOM’s mid-term summit – COVID vaccines the talk of CARICOM’s mid-term summit: https://barbadostoday.bb/2021/02/19/covid-vaccines-the-talk-of-caricoms-mid-term-summit/

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  • Attached are charts for the week ending today Friday 19th. I added a new chart on percent positivity for the data from 23rd January because of a post by Cuhdear bajan. The last 5 or six weeks have been quite traumatic for Barbados re. deaths and almost every other parameter. Rapidly escalating cases and deaths as well as lack of an essential reagent for tests led to some problems including some inaccurate / late reporting of some test results. It appears that most of those problems have now been overcome and it is hoped that the trajectory of the positivity percentages and some other data will become evident over the next few weeks. In the meantime, Barbados’ active cases are currently trending upwards, an unwonted characteristic it shares only with Jamaica amongst the 6 countries being monitored – Lyall Small

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  • Don’t ‘just walk in’
    DON’T SHOW UP at vaccination centres without an appointment.
    National coordinator of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign, Minister of Health Jeffrey Bostic and Major David Clarke both made that plea yesterday following the overwhelming number of people who appeared at some of the centres in recent days.
    During an address to the country, Bostic said that as of midday yesterday, 16 111 vaccines had been administered and that he was confident they would exceed 20 000 before the week ended.
    He said while Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley was working towards getting more vaccines for every citizen and long-stay visitors, Bostic warned the public not to bombard the facilities unannounced.
    “While I appreciate there is a new and aggressive interest in and desire to become vaccinated, I would like to appeal to you not to rush the centres. The vaccination programme is being rolled out in a very structured and deliberate manner. . . there is no need for you to show up at centres without appointment and wait in the sun for hours.
    “Those of you with appointments will be given priority at the centres, so if you do not have an appointment and you still want to pop by a centre and ‘try a thing’, I caution you to know and understand that during this week those with appointments and the elderly and those with known vulnerabilities will be tended to first,” Bostic said.
    The minister made these comments after Clarke spoke to the DAILY NATION about some of the concerning number of ‘walk-ins’ noticed recently.
    “We have been doing the vaccination by different categories, and the categories we are doing at present are the over 70 and people who were listed as front-line workers in the essential services.
    “However, what has been happening sometimes is that only three out of every ten people have an appointment and the other seven people are walkins. We scheduled for example 80 people for an appointment at West Terrace School [on Thursday] and about 400 showed up.
    “And when I went to West Terrace myself, I asked how many people had appointments in the line and there were only three people out of 100 people, so that is the situation we are in,” Clarke said stressing that those without appointments risked wasting their time.
    “One of the reasons we won’t publish the schedule for centres is that people will show up. We had people show up at West Terrace today but West Terrace is not a vaccine centre and we could not have given anyone an appointment for today,” he said.
    In addition to completing the remaining front-line workers, Clarke said they were about to start immunising a new category from this week, that included those between 18 and 69 years with chronic non-communicable diseases (NCDs).
    “From tomorrow we will be doing people from 18 to 69 who have chronic NCDs and who were approved by a medical committee. So my staff are presently telephoning those people to set their appointments. However, we also have several front-line workers; gas station attendants and supermarket workers we are trying to get through and there were some people from the military and the police who were awaiting COVID-19 test results, but we could not give them the vaccine until they got back their results.
    “So people should not come for their vaccines
    until they have received a call, because if they do, it overwhelms the system,” he stressed.
    Yesterday scores of people were at the Alexandra School in St Peter, the Branford Taitt Polyclinic in Black Rock, St Michael and the St Philip Polyclinic in Six Roads waiting to be vaccinated. (TG)

    Source: Nation

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  • Covid vaccines have had a significant impact on the risk of serious illness in Scotland, an analysis shows.
    The work led by Public Health Scotland found by the fourth week after the first dose hospitalisations were reduced by 85% and 94% for the Pfizer and AstraZeneca jabs respectively.
    It is the first sign of the real world impact of the Covid vaccination programme in the UK.
    Figures for England are expected to be released later.
    Among the over 80s, the combined figure was an 81% reduction.
    The preliminary data from the EAVE II project covers 1.14 million vaccinations given between 8 December and 15 February.
    Lead researcher Prof Aziz Sheikh said: “These results are very encouraging and have given us great reasons to be optimistic for the future.”….(Quote)

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  • Covid vaccines – ‘spectacular’ impact on serious illness
    The first results of the UK vaccination programme suggests it is having a “spectacular” impact on preventing serious illness. Research led by Public Health Scotland found at four weeks after the first dose, hospital admissions were reduced by 85% and 94% for the Pfizer and AstraZeneca jabs respectively. It is the first sign of the real world impact of vaccination in the UK. Figures for England are expected to be released later. Among the over 80s, there was an overall 81% reduction in the numbers admitted to hospital.
    More here: https://www.bbc.com/news/health-56153600

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  • @Hal Austin February 22, 2021 5:53 AM….(Quote)”

    If you wish to inform and educate others just writing (quote) is not good enough. You need to add your exact source, name of book, magazine or journal, name of author, date of publication, name of publisher, so that other people can check and verify what you have quoted. With items published online it is typically enough to just add the link which includes the information which I have indicated.

    You get a D- this time. Please follow the correct form next time.

    Like

  • Covid19 deaths per million in CARICOM states, associated states, and their major trading partners, and the neighboring French territories Martinique and Guadaloupe:

    UK 1770
    USA 1538
    Belize 781
    Canada 571
    Bahamas 452
    Guadaloupe 395
    Turks & Caicos 358 [an associated state]
    Suriname 285
    Guyana 240
    Montserrat 200 [a single person died, but Montserrat has a tiny population of 5,000 people]
    Bermuda 193 [an associated state]
    St. Luciam168
    Jamaica 133
    Antigua 132
    Martinique 120
    Barbados 108
    Trinidad 99
    St. Vincent 54
    British Virgin Islands 33 [an associated state]
    Cayman Islands 30 [an associated state]
    Haiti 21
    Grenada 9
    Anguilla 0 [an associated state]
    Dominica 0
    St. Kitts 0

    But we can still catch up with the mother country and the countries of the great white north if we play the @ss and refuse to mask up properly, hand wash, keep 6 feet away from other people, and if we refuse to be vaccinated.

    So what do we do?

    Like

  • solation delay
    Worry over holdup in process after positive Covid tests
    SOME COVID-19 POSITIVE Barbadians say they are waiting and waiting at home to be picked up and taken into isolation.
    They are concerned that after receiving the bad news, their ordeal was further compounded by not receiving immediate attention.
    The shocking news that a 97-year-old woman was caring for her son for the last ten days after authorities failed to collect him to take him to an isolation facility led to a flood of other similar revelations on social media and in traditional media.
    Friends of the elderly woman had alerted the Nation newspaper after attempts to get health officials to respond to the old woman’s plight and up to last night she was still caring for her son at home.
    Another woman who spoke to the MIDWEEK NATION said her mother was tested during the first week of February when manual testing was taking place because of the lack of reagent. The results came back positive ten days later but the woman was only collected on Sunday, four days later.
    Three cases
    In the meantime, three others in her household ended up with the virus and they too were taken away on Sunday after much back and forth. They remain in isolation while the elderly mother was assessed and discharged soon after being taken to the facility.
    The family was concerned there was no swift action to treat their mother, knowing she was in her 80s, and, therefore vulnerable.
    “She intensified her use of things like lemon grass. The doctor told her to drink water and eat oranges,” one of her children said, adding that her mother followed the instruction.
    The family was further upset when the collection call eventually came but the soldier had no idea about whom he was picking up and after several checks the entire COVID-19 positive household was taken away.
    Barbadians have been expressing concern that the longer it takes to collect an infected person, the greater the chance of COVID-19 being spread to others. They suggested that it would be a challenge for those who are infected to stay put within their homes and that could spell disaster.
    In response to the questions about the lack of collection, Minister of Health Jeffrey Bostic said yesterday the process was complex.
    “I cannot provide the many answers at this time. It is a complex process which does not only involve transport,” he said.
    On Sunday he touched on the issue in part during an address to the country stating that he was aware of some of the inconveniences.
    Higher numbers
    He said then: “The numbers we have been dealing with in recent days and weeks are unprecedented. Not overwhelming, but much higher than what we were dealing with before and the transport of COVID-19 positive persons requires special sterile vehicles
    and protocols if the transport teams are to be kept safe.
    “We are continuously working to reduce the wait time and have augmented the transportation system. There will be more buses pressed into action so that we can improve on the times that people are waiting before collection. I also want to reiterate that after conversations with the Prime Minister this weekend, we have agreed that the Government of Barbados is prepared to put persons whose living conditions may be over crowded into a quarantine hotel while they are waiting for their results.”
    In addition, he said the ministry was working on a programme from Monday to put in place arrangements for persons whose home accommodation did not allow for easy separation and quarantining. (AC)

    Source: Nation

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  • Attached are updated charts for the last week ending yesterday. The positivity charts are based on the official data reported to Worldometer. It should be recognized that test data up to about 1 week ago suffered from problems caused primarily by lack of a reagent for automatic testing. The positivity data seems to be now trending downwards. If this can be maintained for 2 weeks the Government can declare that the pause and stop actions have worked. Jamaica’s active cases have shown a consistent increase over the last several weeks and are now at their highest levels – Source: Lyall Small

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  • another 44 people testing positive for the viral illness on Friday, February 26

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  • Critical Analyzer

    A must-watch interview, presentation and Q&A, especially for doctors and journalists pertaining to COVID treatment at all stages including Long COVID experienced by the long haulers.

    Like

  • ‘Don’t blame soldiers’ for delays
    By Maria Bradshaw mariabradshaw@
    nationnews.com
    Do not blame the Barbados Defence Force (BDF) soldiers for the lengthy delay in collecting COVID-19-positive people and the non-delivery of care packages to some areas.
    While several Barbadians have been publicly venting about the time it has been taking soldiers to pick them up from their homes to transport them to quarantine facilities, the army men who have been tasked by Government to lead the COVID-19 fight from the frontline said some Barbadians were indisciplined.
    “Almost every day we have a work sheet containing 30 names of individuals to pick up all over Barbados and most of the time we are only picking up half of those people,” a soldier explained.
    He said some people were giving wrong telephone numbers, but most of all they were “tardy and unprofessional”, particularly when it came to the arranged times for collection.
    “We have gone to people’s homes and have to wait sometimes half an hour to an hour for people to come out and board the bus. Sometimes when we get to the homes we are hearing that the person is not there – that they went to the supermarket or they went to pay a bill.
    “Then we have people who are boarding the bus with sometimes four and six suitcases and we have to wait until they pack all of their belongings on the bus because we are not supposed to touch the bags,” said a soldier who transports people to isolation and quarantine facilities.
    Inaccessible
    He said because Transport Board buses were being used for collection, there were some areas which were inaccessible to the buses.
    “So we would arrange with people to meet us on the front road and we would be parked sometimes waiting for hours for them to get there,” he lamented.
    In terms of the care packages, he said the soldiers had done a valiant job so far in delivering more than 40 000 packages.
    “So when people complain that we have not delivered to their area, it is just a case where we have not gotten to that place as yet or we are replenishing.”
    A senior BDF officer said they were proud of how the army had operated during the COVID-19 pandemic last year and this year, pointing out that the more than 400 members of every unit had been involved in the process.
    “This is one of the biggest battles which we have fought in recent times,” he said, pointing out that the soldiers had been deployed to almost every aspect of the fight against COVID-19.
    “We are responsible for transporting people to quarantine and isolation facilities; we have been tasked with sorting, packing and delivering the care packages; we are working with the [University] students in the Seek And Save Operation, and we are also doing various operations with the police,” he said, pointing out that one of the highlights so far was how the BDF dealt with the widespread infection of the virus at Her Majesty’s Prison Dodds, which resulted in the army managing the jail for a few weeks.
    “The army has called out all of its troops – the Coast Guard, the reserves, the cadets and the sports programme – to help in this fight. It is all hands on deck. We have soldiers working beyond the call of duty and working extremely long hours to get the job done,” he added.
    On Thursday during her national address to the country, Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley, said the care package distribution programme had been affected by COVID-19, but she reiterated her trust and confidence in the army to get the job done.
    Asked to comment on how the army was coping with the multiple tasks it was undertaking during this time, Lieutenant Shímar Gollop, Staff Officer Civil Military Affairs said: “The Barbados Defence Force is committed to achieving all its assigned tasks as part of the joint inter-agency framework, engaged in the national fight against COVID-19.”

    Source: Nation

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  • COVAX vaccines for region
    Barbados and the Eastern Caribbean countries are set to receive vaccines to cover a proportion of 16 per cent to 20 per cent of their populations.
    In a press release yesterday from the Pan American Health Organisation (PAHO), it was stated that on Friday, the COVAX Facility announced its final allocation of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine to Barbados, 100 800 doses; St Lucia, 74 400 doses; 40 800 doses to Antigua and Barbuda; 21 600 doses to St Kitts and Nevis; 45 600 doses to Grenada; 28 800 doses to Dominica; and 45 600 doses to St Vincent and the Grenadines.
    The release stated the PAHO Revolving Fund for Vaccines (RFV) would procure and deliver the COVAX vaccines which the countries would start receiving in March, if all the conditions are met.
    The PAHO/WHO Representative for Barbados and Eastern Caribbean countries, Dr Yitades Gebre, said “the priority of the first phase of vaccination is to save lives. We will achieve this by vaccinating the most exposed groups – like the health professionals and the most vulnerable groups to developing severe COVID-19 illness”.
    Gebre said to achieve herd immunity, at least 70 per cent of the population would have to be vaccinated. “While we are vaccinating the most vulnerable and reducing the mortality, we need to keep all public health measures that can reduce the transmission: the use of masks, physical distancing, avoiding closed and crowded spaces.”
    (PR)

    Nation

    Like

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