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Submitted by Looking Glass

dark_futureSo Candles Under The Bed attracted only two comments. I am almost disappointed.

Where have the phoenix and associates gone? Slavery, race and immigration induce a multitude of comments but the national debt remains sacrosanct, entombed in a conspiracy of silence. Is reality a luxury we cannot afford?

Mr. Blackett opines that had the forensic investigation suggested had been done within the “honeymoon period of the first 100 days in office along with the implementation of FOI and ITAL legislative policy…he would have healed a major rift in local politics…” Legislation and policy cannot solve intractable problems, especially those of the human mind. Are you blaming the PM for failure to expose the sins of the phoenix? Had he done so you would be singing a different song. Why was there no call for transparency etc before 2006-7? Be careful what you wish for. Someone in London opined that “Lylli lagrani must be shaking.….”

Can you name an incumbent Prime Minister or President who, having inherited an empty trough and humongous debt, fulfilled pre-election promises in the first 100 or 200 days? Not even President Obama with all available resources was able to do it.

Though politically and otherwise unencumbered (the word should ring a certain bell), I have no problem with one’s political leaning. In fact I expect the opposition to ‘censure’ the government and be the ‘watchdog.’ But feeding the public spurious information is detrimental to the country perched on the edge of the socio-economic cliff. The use of convenient diagnoses and half truths in defense of the phoenix beclouds the problem and is self-defeating to party and country. The infinity of half truths is bigger than the infinity of truth. Fallacious diagnoses beget fallacious remedies. Doubt me ask the economist.

As to the rift in local politics are you talking about the BLP? No Prime Minister can heal the rift between the local parties. Political democracy demands conflict and rift between competing parties. Politics is a process in which two or more parties (and individuals) enter into ‘conflict’ (competition if you prefer) with each other to gain power and to realise the policies they favour, which may or may not be in the best interest of the country.

You (unintentionally I believe) admitted the PM inherited a “bloated government bureaucracy,” but cried shame when the PM sought to terminate some high salary irrelevant positions. The phoenix had already taken and ‘distributed’ much of the “fat from the HOG.” Some big homes and cars will change hands and bank accounts frozen or emptied (foreign banks are no longer safe havens), but most of the fat will not be recovered. Streamlining government comes at a price. Removing the rest will have a negative impact.

Yes the “mediocre” PM has no choice but to comply with IMF recommendations. He inherited and empty trough and was left to manipulate turbulent waters with a spaghetti paddle. It would be folly to expect him to water the garden from behind the black ball (snooker) with an empty bucket. The good Lord needed barley loaves and fishes to feed the 5000.

Mr. Blackett echoed some interesting thoughts on banking that address some of the basic issues. I am not sure if our government/central bank can dictate the interest rate and other charges a private bank should charge the public. Perhaps it should apply to banks taken over or stimulated by the government. Banks are in business to make money for their investors not to provide jobs or support the “public good.” First responsibility is to the investor not the country. Much of the problem would have been avoided had the National Bank not been sold. The lowering of interest rates and other charges would have forced the other banks to follow suit, enlarged client base and enhance profitability. Instead at least one other bank was allowed to enter the market.

Am I to understand you have the right to borrow to facilitate a lascivious sedentary life- style and to decide the price you will pay? Borrowed time comes with a price. If we were to live within our means and reduce dependence on loans and credit the banks would be forced to lower interest rates and other charges.

Elsewhere it was said that the last regime narrowed debt to 6% of GDP in 2006-2007. If that were the case sustainability would not have been a problem. The IMF (2006) would not have projected debt at 75% of GDP by 2011, the 2008 report would not have noted the “75% likelihood the debt ratio will exceed current levels,” and the 2009 recommendations would have been quite different. Substantial ongoing GDP decline and borrowing mega billions would be required in order to increase the debt ratio from 6% to 75% in four years. As was noted (Indebtedness: No End In Sight) “there is no way the current debt (which will increase) can be retired in say twenty years…We may be looking at a large black mass sitting on the edge of serfdom.”

Devaluation occurs in many ways. Rising consumer prices is a form of devaluation, especially for those on fixed income. More buys less. The Geneva based UN conference on Trade and Development concluded that the current system of currencies and capital is not working and proposed a complete overhaul of the monetary system. Under consideration is (I believe a single world currency) an organization to create and manage real exchange rates between countries and to adjust to inflation differentials and development levels. Whatever the outcome it is unlikely we can or will escape currency and other forms of devaluation

The maiden voyage of the world’s largest cruise liner, the 6,296 capacity Oasis of the Seas and its six captains is scheduled for December. Amenities this “neighbourhood and destination better than most islands,” include a park with 2,000 bushes and trees, Central Park, Boardwalk, Royal Promenade, Pool and Sports Zone, Fitness Centre, Entertainment Place and Youth Centre. Rates start at less that $800.00 for a seven night cruise. Are we included in the itinerary? Check with Royal Caribbean.

The Bank of England warned against thrift. In the UK where consumer spending is 2/3 of total spending “any attempt to reduce consumption is likely to pull down on output and hence household income… making it harder for households to increase their savings.” (Telegraph 21/09/09) Given tightening credit conditions one wonders how much saving can occur in a country with increasingly high levels of unemployment, meager export /revenue generating possibility, and dependant on fickle tourism where the vast majority of total consumer spending is on imports. The future doesn’t look bright


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63 responses to “Walking On Thin Air”


  1. @LIB
    “decipher ‘Global economic restructuring…”

    Unfortunately, the Sabbath is upon me and time does not permit long winded dialogue – you are free to have a look at Sociologist and theorist Immanuel Wallerstein’s “World Systems Analysis” – it makes good bedtime reading…

    Blessings ALL*…


  2. Dennis, I find your intellectual credibility to be questionable. Really.

    I don’t mean your paper qualifications because I don’t get into that. But on your blog you highlighted Barbados position on the HDI index, commented on it and almost smugly sneered when you thought a decline in our standing was substantial.

    Your comments were established by a blogger as wrong you mumbled incoherently in reply and yet – despite your constant grumbling about being slandered on blogs and standards, accountability etc., you have continued to carry your erroneous story/musings/ramblings – erroneous though your comments are – on your blog.

    You have an agenda. I don’t know what it is but if it is to put uppity, smug Bajans in their place, just get the facts first. Don’t manufacture them. We can know our place if we have to.

    It does your much self-vaunted reputation no good.


  3. All of this ‘globalisation’ and tax resturcturing internationally is more about controlling the status quo, monetary wealth, than ensuring tax evasion is identified and taxes repatriated.

    Who controls the purse strings, controls the status quo.

    Interestingly, what do those ‘controlling’ countries have that other nations do not?

    Certainly not the most valuable resources i.e. oil and gold (although USA does actually have oil, which it is stockpiling).

    Thus, now we go into an interesting sphere of understanding.

    Remember that infamous phrase ‘if you are not with us, you are against us’?

    While those of us who, although abhorring violence in any form, back individual freedoms and country sovereignty, found that statement appalling, at best, surely taken in the context of economic control and the current situation, is now given meaning?!

    Does the world at large really have moral authority to determine how Iraq, Iran etc spend their resources?

    Is the question really one of moral authority, or is it one of colonial conquest, knowing that the western civilisations, as we have come to know it, depend so much on the resouces of these nations, that conquest is ‘vital’ for the status quo to be maintained?!

    These are points and questions that are of utmost importance.

    A further point that has not been emphasised enough, is that by ignoring the UN in the Iraq situation, the former administration compromised the ‘established’ world political structures, in favour of maintaining established economic structures.

    From that perspective, how then can anyone of these western countries speak from a position of moral authority, as they have effectively eliminated the voice of the global community, in ignoring the UN, at that time?

    Next question, is whether that action was an aside, or deliberate, knowing the implications and result?

    We are at a keen spot in political and economic history, not least because the economic survival of the current status quo is on the brink.

    The current talk of ‘recovery’ is merely smokescreen to deflect the real truth from the public media i.e. that things are much worse, than they seemed.

    I strongly believe, with the above in mind, that a major Middle East war is on the cards and will certainly come to pass with 5-10 years, at the latest.

    I cannot impress upon readers enough, the importance of highlighting UN as the major global voice, and impressing upon our political representatives, the importance of ensuring that the UN is seen to be the ONLY authority for major economic and military sanctions being brought upon any nation.

    Our survival depends upon it.

  4. Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados) Avatar
    Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados)

    @Veritas, for good order I would prefer that issues on my blog be taken up there, rather than in ‘someone else’s space. But as you raised the point, I will respond here. My claim was based on looking at two UNHDR reports, which I cited. The fact that the latest report puts forward a different picture is not something I can address. I do know that data change, but I went back to my sources and the data were consistent with my point. That’s an issue for UNHDR. In the same way that institutions like the IMF or WB get their analysis wrong internally and it comes out with a publication, so it may be with UNHDR but I have not gone to that issue. (You can look back at various instances of such on the IMF’s website to get an idea. In one case it led to a scandal and some staff being sanctioned publicly by the IMF’s management).

    So, for me, there is no agenda in making the claim. Please check again (as a 3rd eye) that my claims were consistent with what I cited. If you find that I’m wrong please flag it for me and I will gladly correct the original post. I think that’s a fair offer. If you find that I was not erroneous then also please flag for me.

    Just a point on language, ‘constant grumbling’ would suggest a process that does not stop. I made a point once and it was not about being slandered. So, let’s keep the story straight. Again, we have the record to go to to see if your claim fits.

    Thanks for the feedback. But as I requested, can we please take the discussion over to my blog unless you feel it has to be had here (and I demur to David).

  5. Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados) Avatar
    Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados)

    @Terence M Blackett, I’d hoped that the deciphering would not have needed to be long winded.

    I would suggest equally Stuart Holland’s “Capital versus the regions” as bedtime reading. Enjoy your Sabbath.


  6. @ Terence, Bro’ are you a ‘Sabbatarian’ and if so, do you hold to the SDA doctrinal position re the Sabbath?

    Blessings!


  7. DJ, my point is simple. Your glee was evident, if we had slipped. Pity. We didn’t so you were silent after your error was reveald. Simple.


  8. @Veritas, what I dislike about certain exchanges is a simple thing: cherry picking. I cited two reports by the UN which showed clearly that Barbados’ position has changed (I did not make up the numbers as you suggested; I gave the references. Did you look at them?). I give the references. You make no note of that (as if they do not exist). I did not produce the reports. A note in the latest UN report makes a point inconsistent with their own published works and you focus on that as fact to contradict. That’s not how one establishes a fact.

    The fact that most of the piece does not even discuss Barbados is not of interest to you. I call that a bit blinkered. But, there you go.

    If you have looked at the UN reports could you write a sentence that squares their internal contradictions?


  9. Anonymous // October 18, 2009 at 3:54 PM is Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados)…


  10. DJ, you are jesting I am sure. Selective? Did you carry out the same analysis for Jamaica to see if there were contradictions? Or Bahamas? Or the United States? Was your analysis broad-based or are you just a publicity seeker?

    Use your knowledge wisely, please.


  11. @Veritas, for me there was no contradiction as I was using the raw statistics of two reports, not relying on what one report told me had been the historical development. I did raise the question of the apparent inconsisteny with UNHDR via their website but as is common with large bureaucracies I am still awaiting a reply.

    I don’t see the readership that my blog gets as giving much real publicity. As the piece had not generated more than my average 1-2 comments, I did not think it hit anybody especially more than other things I write.

  12. Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados) Avatar
    Dennis Jones (aka Living in Barbados)

    @Veritas. What a quick check shows is a series of inconsistencies. I compared the raw 2009 report data against the raw 2007/8 report (first figure; and the bases for my commentary) and then what the 2009 report indicates was the change with the 2007/8 report (in a summary table that I did not use): US (-1/-1); Bahamas (-3/0); Antigua (+10/+1); Jamaica (-1/-8); Barbados (-6/+2).

    Don’t ask me why the figures differ, but I will let you know if UNHDR reply.

    That’s me done.


  13. zoe

    countries fall because of greed and not because of a hateful or revengeful God. The economic melt down goes back to those who are in control of the wealth of the nation .look at the high interest rate and all kinds of fees the financial instuition charges to poor people who can’t afford to make them they are outrageous.yet people would takeout those kind of loans. man by nature is selfdestructive and only has themselves to blame for this economic mess that we are in .May God Help Us All

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