BU Covid 19 Dash

covid19
Submitted by Lyall Small

David; attached are 2 Charts on the daily incidence of Covid-19 in Barbados from 1st August to 8th October. They try to provide a picture of how the 3rd wave of the pandemic has been progressing here. They are essentially based on the raw data. The data suggests, to me, that we are near the eye-wall of this category 5 hurricane and can go either way into an eventual stable calm or an extended chaotic nightmare of expanding cases. The majority of the population needs to concentrate on doing what we individually all know is our part to get out this, battered but not broken.

 

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246 comments

  • The vaccine doesn’t miraculously stop you from being anxious and full of fear.

    It doesn’t stop you from being a diabetic or obese.

    It doesn’t cure lung ailments

    If you had comorbidities before you took the vaccine, you will have them after.

    I would think anyone with comorbidities would not want to catch COVID, vaccinated or not.

    Like

  • Cuhdear BajanOctober 12, 2021 3:12 PM

    @GP October 12, 2021 12:41 PM “…THE VARIANTS HAVE LONG BEEN PREPARED,THEY JUST HAVE TO BE RELEASED AT THE DETERMINED TIMES IN THE DETERMINED PLACES.”

    Can you please provide the citation for this?

    Thanks.

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Looka who dey let out the asylum.

    Glad to see you back.

    Like

  • @angela cox October 12, 2021 5:15 AM “It cannot be eradicated”

    And you know this how?

    It took us about 12,000 years to eradicate smallpox, but eventually it was done.

    I think that you are being way too impatient.

    Like

  • 467 vaccinated people died in Portugal.

    So, how many deaths in Portugal after vaccinations had reached say 10%?

    Currently the rate is at 84%.

    It reached 10% in early May.

    May 1st 2021, the cumulative deaths in Portugal were 16,976.

    On October 11th 2021, the cumulative total was 18,048.

    So 1,072 deaths over the period of which 467 were vaccinated.

    So roughly 45/55 split for deaths in Portugal.

    I’d guess it is the same thing all over the world.

    I flat do not believe 1/99 being bandied about for the simple reason that the vaccinated group will have in most of the comorbidities as these will have been specifically targeted.

    Once again, the vaccination does not miraculously change/cure your comorbidities.

    Whatever you had before you will have after.

    Like

  • @🐰
    Here is a different spin.
    Prior to mass vaccination people were dropping like flies -16,976.

    After mass vaccination there were only 1,072 deaths.

    The vaccine is highly protective with only the seriously ill vaccinated or unvaccinated dying.

    Like

  • Personally, I hope that our government will move to daily “Chinese” testing at Winston Clarke after the recent announcement. He might even like that. Who knows.

    Like

  • Ah Grasshopper, you know I ain’t going to get caught like that!!!

    Look at the graph for cumulative deaths for Portugal!!

    You will find the deaths took place over a very narrow range of time, even before the advent of the Delta Variant!!

    So what you think was different in Portugal in that narrow period of time?

    One guess!!

    Like

  • November 2020 to March 2020 is when 15,000 plus died.

    So what was happening then?

    Can you figure out the puzzle?

    Like

  • JOHN
    THE QUESTION IS WAS THE AUTHOR OF THE ARTICLE HONEST AND ACCURATELY PRESENTING THE FACTS WHEN HE SAID……..

    467 fully-vaccinated people die from Covid-19 since start of Portugal’s vaccination process
    By Natasha Donn -9th October 2021

    “Since the start of the vaccination process in this country, 467 people who were totally vaccinated against the new coronavirus have died, shows a report published on Friday on ‘red lines’ by the national institute of health Dr Ricardo Jorge (INSA). In spite of this, according to the document, the risk of death through Covid infection is two to four times less in people with complete vaccination”.

    OF COURSE THERE IS MUCH MORE DAMNING INFORMATION IN THE ARTICLE ………WHICH IS TOTALLY AT VARIANCE WITH THE PARAGRAPH WITH THE RESEDENT VIROLOGIST WHOSE UNWORTHY EDUCATION IN THIS FIELD WAS OBTAINED ONLY BY CUTTING AND PASTING WITH OUT THE UNDERSTANDING

    Like

  • If you take the beginning part of the graph and the ending part of the graph you will see there is not much different.

    Similar numbers of deaths.

    It’s the piece between the 2 vertical blue lines that need explaining.

    Look at the cases.

    Three environmental events triggered the rises.

    Like

  • Those environmental events help us understand the virus better.

    Floods and sewage.

    Like

  • If you look at the cases you see three dramatic changes I have marked with a blue question mark.

    But at the very beginning, there is a fourth surge although far smaller.

    Like

  • Whoever engineered this virus is an evil genius.

    Like

  • Here is an interesting question!!

    Why are there more women than men affected?

    Could be more women go and get tested.

    Could also be that women bathe more than men!!

    Like

  • I urge our government to focus on vaccinations and test less. This will reduce the official number of infected people and attract tourists back to our island.

    We should only test enough to keep the number of new infections per day to a maximum of 10 people. Everything else is a national secret.

    Like

  • RE Could also be that women bathe more than men!!
    ARE YOU THEN SUGGESTING THAT THE VIRUS MAY BE ABSORBED THROUGH THE SKIN?
    THAT IS AN INTERESTING THOUGHT. THE SKIN IS OF COURSE THE LARGEST “ORGAN” IN THE BODY.
    WATCH THE IGNORANT MORONS SAY THIS IS NOT POSSIBLE NOW

    Like

  • We need to seriously discuss whether the supposedly honorable Barrow is actually a national hero or not perhaps quite the opposite.

    The fact is that the rate of fully vaccinated people in Bermuda today is 67.5%. In our country it is far below that, so the bodies are piling up on Broad Street. We all must now pay the terrible, deadly price for Barrow’s hubris and megalomania. What is the difference? It is very simple: Bermuda, of course, is a rich British overseas territory. As Barbados until 1966 when Barrow seized power.

    What is clear is that Independence Day is not a holiday, but a national day of mourning. How many more people have to die to satisfy the DLP’s plan for independence of an island that is not even able to print its own banknotes? For the DLP, human lives are obviously worth less than postcolonial ideology at the expense of the black masses.

    Thank you Barrow for cutting us off the AZ vaccine!

    Like

  • JOHN
    RE Could also be that women bathe more than men!!
    THIS IS A VERY INTERESTING THOUGHT WHEN YOU CONSIDER THAT THE SKIN IS THE BIGGEST ORGAN IN THE BODY AND THAT MANY THINGS CAN BE ABSORBED VIA THE SKIN

    Like

  • My heroine’s name is Mary Clarke. A simple woman, a woman of the people, but with integrity and sincerity.

    Thank you Mary! You are the heroine of our hearts!

    p.s. Where is “Elon Musk”?

    Like

  • Critical Analyzer

    @Tron
    Are you a full idiot or a double full idiot justposting here on a serious blog sent to make strife to detract from serious debate?

    Like

  • @Critical AnalyzerOctober 12, 2021 8:20 PM

    Keep your voice down! Always remember: When Tron writes, everything follows a plan.

    I just throw a few smoke grenades to fog my own battlecruisers. I’m not attacking the gentleman with the decimal problems or the other gentleman, the porno salesman in the coloured suit. They are just escort ships. No, I’m firing my broadside at the enemy’s flagship!

    Like

  • GPOctober 12, 2021 8:09 PM

    JOHN
    RE Could also be that women bathe more than men!!
    THIS IS A VERY INTERESTING THOUGHT WHEN YOU CONSIDER THAT THE SKIN IS THE BIGGEST ORGAN IN THE BODY AND THAT MANY THINGS CAN BE ABSORBED VIA THE SKIN

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++

    I was more thinking along the lines that all the experts follow to show a shower/face wash/teeth clean can also meet the experts requirements of how it is absorbed.

    That way I don’t have to step outside of my expertise.

    Two pieces of empirical evidence lending credence to skin absorption.

    Large COVID surges after floods and India’s numbers went ballistic during Kumbh Mela where millions of pilgrims bathed in the Ganges.

    Would be interesting to know how many of our cases took a sea bath!!

    Like

  • Once the fact that the virus is waterborne is acceptable all of a sudden many bits of empirical evidence become explicable.

    We have no option but to eradicate it because if it is in the sea, tourism dead as a door nail!!

    The BHTA has its priorities completely screwed up!!

    It is pointless opening up tourism with the virus in the sea.

    google corona virus seawater

    Like

  • John you said above:- “Once the fact that the virus is waterborne is acceptable all of a sudden many bits of empirical evidence become explicable.”

    Should’nt that be “If the unproven assertions that the virus is waterborne is proven other aspects of the virus’ epidemiology must be explained such as why has Barbados and many other caribbean countries not seen daily caseloads in thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths per day even by the alpha variant?”

    You are not dealing with facts in your waterborne hypothesis.

    Like

  • lyall

    If whenever there are floods in countries around the world (fact) surges in COVID follow (fact) then it must be a fact that the virus is waterborne!!

    Floods are usually comprised of water.

    If you take a match to gasoline in an open container the gasoline will not burn, but the vapour will explode.

    Fact, gasoline can be airborne (fact) although it is a liquid (fact)!!

    Try it and you will see, then you will accept the fact that gasoline can be airborne and won’t do it again.

    Looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck … It’s a duck.

    Many facts just establish themselves.

    Like

  • Water in Caribbean countries is the same as in other countries in the world.

    Likewise sewage …. or sh!t.

    Like

  • If you like numbers, these will explain what is going on behind the scenes!!

    Had the virus been released a couple of years earlier, there would not be the pandemonium in the world that there is.

    https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php

    Like

  • Spanish flu also operated in waves until it just disappeared.

    Experts tell us the deadly second wave was due to a mutation.

    To my way of thinking it too could have been waterborne and the second wave occurred when it reached the water supply.

    Hotter drier weather could have made it disappear as well.

    One simple fact, no vaccine was available at the time!!

    So its disappearance cannot have been caused by any man made vaccine.

    … and that is an irrefutable fact!!

    Like

  • China having serious floods … again.

    So how come no surges of COVID?

    Eradicated!!

    But we will have to wait and see with these floods.

    Like

  • Loop News

    Breaking Story

    PM Mottley just announced that General Elections will be held in Barbados on Tuesday December 7, 2021 between the hours of 6 a.m to 6 p.m

    She has further advised that only fully vaccinated electors would be allowed to vote.

    Reliable reports reaching Loop News is that thousands of unvaccinated adults have converged at vaccination sites for the jab….as they are determined to JAB Mia Mottley and her BLP scammers out of office.

    Like

  • @ Fractured BLP October 13, 2021 4:46 PM

    You are a bloody plagiarist!

    I, the verbose Tron, first had the idea of declaring the polling station a “safe zone” and only allowing vaccinated people to vote.

    That would indeed be a brilliant idea because the unvaccinated are largely voters of the DLP or other extremist parties supporting domestic biological terrorism.

    Like

  • I strongly advise our beloved government to increase the death rate from 3 to 10 per day in order to find enough volunteer sheep for vaccination. With a death rate of only 3, it will take years to achieve herd immunity.

    The day of the proclamation of the republic would be a fitting occasion to immunise larger parts of the population at the national stadium. Those who really wanted to be vaccinated had the opportunity to do so. The rest will have to see if their immune systems work.

    Like

  • Something went wrong.

    There was a time when I had complete confidence in how the GoB was managing Covid-19. But now, somehow, somewhere, something went wrong.

    Someone needs to tell that clown, now is time to show management skills. We are aware of the scam skills and we also know photo-ops in the US will not cut it.

    You may impress Lorenzo; you may have TW fixated on what you wear, but I want you to stay at home, turn off the blasted camera and try to fix this Covid situation.

    Like

  • @John October 13, 2021 9:46 AM “Spanish flu also operated in waves until it just disappeared.”

    But not before killing 50 to 100 million people, so many dead bodies that people lost count. Children enough orphaned. I mean we, that is the whole world, could do the same with Covid, wait for 50 to 100 million to die, wait for countless children to lose their parents, wait for countless elders to lose the love and care of their middled aged children.

    But only death monsters are cool with seeing 100 million dead bodies piled up.

    Like

  • @John October 12, 2021 7:28 PM “Why are there more women than men affected?”

    Because each infected man has a wife, woman, outside woman, staunch woman, lady friend, chossell, and partner.

    Women as we know have only one man for life. So wunna fellas spreading the virus from woman to woman by wunna constant moving around.

    Like

  • THIS CANT BE TRUE RIGHT?
    CAUSE IT GOES CONTRARY TO THE NARRATIVE RIGHT?
    New Trouble Reported for EVERYONE Who Received Pfizer Vaccine
    By Paul Duke -October 8, 2021

    For many of those who’ve chosen to remain unvaccinated, there is a simply, primary reason fro their hesitation: The speed at which these vaccines were created, tested, and deployed.This isn’t an uncommon sentiment in any facet of American society; people often abstain from buying the first of anything, knowing all too well that subsequent iterations will be more well-honed, safer, and often cheaper. This, too, is the case in the world of swiftly developed vaccines. And now that there are serious efficacy issues with one of the more popular inoculations, one has to wonder if vaccine hesitancy is here to stay.

    Two real-world studies published Wednesday confirm that the immune protection offered by two doses of Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine drops off after two months or so, although protection against severe disease, hospitalization and death remains strong.The studies, from Israel and from Qatar and published in the New England Journal of Medicine, support arguments that even fully vaccinated people need to maintain precautions against infection.

    One study from Israel covered 4,800 health care workers and showed antibody levels wane rapidly after two doses of vaccine “especially among men, among persons 65 years of age or older, and among persons with immunosuppression.”
    And, as it turns out, getting COVID produces more powerful antibodies than these vaccines any way.

    The study also indicated that immunity for people who get vaccinated after natural Covid-19 infection lasts longer. It’s especially strong for people who recovered from infection and then got vaccinated, also. “Overall, the accumulating evidence from our study and others shows that long-term humoral response and vaccine effectiveness in previously infected persons were superior to that in recipients of two doses of vaccine,” they wrote.

    These studies are sure to rouse the anti-vaccine crowd as well, as they bolster several of the key points of debate that they’ve been making for months.New Trouble Reported for EVERYONE Who Received Pfizer Vaccine

    Like

  • Cuhdear BajanOctober 14, 2021 12:03 AM

    @John October 12, 2021 7:28 PM “Why are there more women than men affected?”

    Because each infected man has a wife, woman, outside woman, staunch woman, lady friend, chossell, and partner.

    Women as we know have only one man for life. So wunna fellas spreading the virus from woman to woman by wunna constant moving around.

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Have you ever heard of lesbianism?

    Like

  • TheOGazertsOctober 13, 2021 10:10 PM

    Something went wrong.

    There was a time when I had complete confidence in how the GoB was managing Covid-19. But now, somehow, somewhere, something went wrong.

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    All that went wrong, and it went wrong all over the world is that the experts missed the fact that besides being airborne it is also waterborne.

    Each one feeds on the other and they are all fascinated by the minutiae of the virus and wrapped up in their imaginations of something they can’t see.

    They miss the big picture laid out before them.

    China did not and it is eradicated there.

    We’ll wait and see if the flooding there precedes any surges as they have done over and over again all over the world.

    Like

  • Cuhdear BajanOctober 13, 2021 11:49 PM

    @John October 13, 2021 9:46 AM “Spanish flu also operated in waves until it just disappeared.”

    But not before killing 50 to 100 million people, so many dead bodies that people lost count. Children enough orphaned. I mean we, that is the whole world, could do the same with Covid, wait for 50 to 100 million to die, wait for countless children to lose their parents, wait for countless elders to lose the love and care of their middled aged children.

    But only death monsters are cool with seeing 100 million dead bodies piled up.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    It did not end with vaccinations!!

    One day, the world woke up and it had gone away!!

    In all probability the weather changed.

    https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/10/study-offers-clues-to-how-climate-affected-1918-pandemic/

    Like

  • “The environment is a complex system. We can’t account for all variables of how climate affects the outbreak of disease, but we know for a fact that it does.”
    — Alex More

    Like

  • RE Have you ever heard of lesbianism?
    MAYBE SHE CAN ASK THE SUPREME LEADER BOUT THAT UH LIE?

    Like

  • So after predicting millions and millions of deaths for Africans via Covid even before the virus started to penetrate fullu….and claiming that 70% of all countries should be vaccinated, now Afrika is being neglected..

    http://unicef.org/doses4africa

    Like

  • Looks like the UK is in for a wetter milder winter and energy costs may be low.

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/mild-winter-could-protect-households-from-soaring-energy-bills-says-kwasi-kwarteng/ar-AAPwWJ5?ocid=msedgntp

    Possibly not good for COVID as wastewater impoundments may overflow into rivers.

    Most will be indoors so not a good prognosis for cases.

    We’ll wait and see.

    Like

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