The geographical location of Barbados in the archipelago translates to the island being spared the worse of the weather during hurricane season which from June to November. However given the unpredictability of nature it is not a bad idea for the island and its citizens to prepare for the possibility of being ‘hit’ by a weather system.
Barbados on storm watch.
http://www.loopnewsbarbados.com/content/depression-upgraded-tropical-storm-barbados-storm-watch
David, if I may add to this, persons can also check out https://caribbeanweather.org
I’ve compiled various satellite-based images (weather and Sahara Dust), forecasts, et cetera, from several sources.
Hoping the BU family will find it useful.
@ Amit , most BU bloogers appreciate what you are doing.
@Amit
Ditto to Hants. Be safe!
https://www.nationnews.com/nationnews/news/246806/dem-urges-residents-prepare-gonzalo
the system could intensify and become a category one hurricane within the next 12 to 24 hours.
[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xte8iSguhk&w=1280&h=720%5D
Any of you bloggers going to be lining up to buy Hurricane rations?
Barbados may not dodge the Gonzalo missile so be prepared.
It looks like a small system at this stage Hants.
>
Yeah, but is low (south), the path fits.
https://www.facebook.com/BarbadosMeteorologicalService/videos/295061988398635/
https://www.facebook.com/BarbadosMeteorologicalService/videos/599619847303282/
3pm look what is following Gonzalo
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
I hope there will be enough rain to replentish some of the aquifers.
https://www.facebook.com/BarbadosLabourParty/videos/713254259509903
Hurricane/Storm Warning discontinued for Barbados.
https://youtu.be/dDR8_9sw6t4
Another could be coming in 5 days
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
449
WTNT32 KNHC 250532
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072020
200 AM AST Sat Jul 25 2020
…AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE FINDS TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS…
…GONZALO FORECAST TO BRING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN TO
A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS BEGINNING TODAY…
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
LOCATION…10.0N 57.8W
ABOUT 240 MI…390 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY…
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
* Tobago
* Grenada and its dependencies
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case
within the next 24 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands should monitor the
progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 57.8 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h). A general westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected for the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern
Windward Islands this afternoon or evening and over the eastern
Caribbean Sea on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Gonzalo reaches
the southern Windward Islands. Weakening is expected after Gonzalo
moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea, and the system is forecast to
dissipate by Sunday night or Monday.
Data from the Hurricane Hunter plane indicate that the
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web a http://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of
the Tropical Storm Warning area today.
RAINFALL: Gonzalo is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches in
Barbados, the Windward Islands and Trinidad and Tobago through
Sunday night. Gonzalo is also expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches in northeastern Venezuela. Rainfall
in Barbados, the Windward Islands and Trinidad and Tobago could lead
to areas of flash flooding.
NEXT ADVISORY
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
Let s see if this next storm misses Barbados.
A tropical wave is producing a broad area of cloudiness and
disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles
southwest of Cabo Verde Islands. The wave is expected to move
westward at about 15 mph during the next several days, and a
tropical depression is likely form early next week when the system
reaches the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent. ********
Here comes Isaias
8 pm
Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
2 am
Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.
Barbados will get needed rain today.
Good rain already this foreday and also since sunrise. Glad for it. Was planning to do some gardening starting at 7 this morning, but that is off for the time being. Working onn a volunteer roject which can be done from indoors so will begin “work” soon.
Barbados is currently receiving needed rain.
It is not a storm but…
//www.instagram.com/embed.js
It’s Hurricane season 2021. Be prepared.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
https://caribbeanweather.org/hurricane-season/
Source: Barbados Today
David et al,
NHC has this at 20% formation probability. In 5 days time, it looks like it will be right on our doorstep (based on latest NHC forecast graphic).
A few links:
Latest satellite images by region: https://caribbeanweather.org/satellite-images/
Latest surface analysis charts by region: https://caribbeanweather.org/surface-analysis-charts/
Latest wind shear charts: https://caribbeanweather.org/north-atlantic-wind-shear/
Latest sea surface temperature analysis: https://caribbeanweather.org/sea-surface-temperature/
Latest wind and wave: https://caribbeanweather.org/wind-and-wave/
Latest NHC: https://caribbeanweather.org/hurricane-season/
Keep safe all, don’t wait ’til the last minute to prep.
Amit.
It’s Hurricane season 2021
Tropical wave to bring rain, thunderstorms
https://www.nationnews.com/2021/06/22/tropical-wave-bring-rain-thunderstorms/