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It is done!

It is up to Barbadians to continue to demand wage hikes, wallow in consumption behaviour and engage in the petty politics of the day. It seems the pragmatic approach is to embrace the government’s mantra read many hands make light work. Mia 100 day government has made some questionable decisions – the size of Cabinet as one example, although some  understand the political motive behind the decision.

It is crunch time people.

David, blogmaster

 

IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement with Barbados on an Economic Program under the Extended Fund Facility

September 7, 2018

End-of-Mission press releases include statements of IMF staff teams that convey preliminary findings after a visit to a country. The views expressed in this statement are those of the IMF staff and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF’s Executive Board. Based on the preliminary findings of this mission, staff will prepare a report that, subject to management approval, will be presented to the IMF’s Executive Board for discussion and decision.
  • Staff envisages that the IMF’s Executive Board would consider the proposed arrangement under the EFF by early October.
  • The Barbados’s Economic Recovery and Transformation Plan aims to restore macroeconomic stability and put the economy on a path of strong, sustainable and inclusive growth, while safeguarding the resilience of the financial sector.
  • The cornerstone of the program is a strong front-loaded fiscal adjustment focused on curbing current expenditure, while maintaining space for bolstering social safety nets and infrastructure spending.

At the request of the Government of Barbados, an International Monetary Fund (IMF) team led by Bert van Selm visited Bridgetown from August 30 to September 7, for discussions on possible IMF financial support for the Government of Barbados’s Economic Recovery and Transformation plan. At the end of the visit, Mr. van Selm made the following statement:

“I am pleased to announce that, in support of the Barbadian authorities’ economic reform program, the IMF team and the government of Barbados have reached staff-level agreement on a 48-months Extended Fund Facility, with access of SDR 208 million (equivalent to 220 percent of quota, or about US$290 million). If approved by the IMF Executive Board, SDR 35 million (about US$49 million) would be immediately available. Staff envisages that the IMF’s Executive Board would consider the proposed arrangement under the EFF by early October.

“In the last decade, the Barbadian economy has been caught in a cycle of low growth, widening fiscal deficits and increasing debt. International reserves have dwindled to US$240 million, well below reserve adequacy levels, while central government debt has become unsustainable.

“The new government that took office in May 2018 is rapidly developing plans to address the current vulnerabilities, in close consultation with its social partners. The Barbados’s Economic Recovery and Transformation Plan aims to restore macroeconomic stability and put the economy on a path of strong, sustainable and inclusive growth, while safeguarding the resilience of the financial sector. The authorities’ fiscal consolidation program, in conjunction with the announced debt restructuring, would place debt on a clear downward trajectory. The strategy of accelerating growth focuses on attracting new investment in areas such as renewable energy, creative and artistic industries, education and health services, agro-industries, research, the international business sector, and tourism.

“The authorities’ reform program, and the important commitment of IMF resources that it entails, is a vote of confidence in Barbados’ Economic Recovery and Transformation Plan. The cornerstone of the program is a strong front-loaded fiscal adjustment focused on curbing current expenditure, while maintaining space for bolstering social safety nets and infrastructure spending. In this context, the measures to reduce government expenditures announced in late August are a critical and important first step. These measures aim to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of public services and reduce government transfers to state-owned enterprises by reviewing user fees; exploring options for mergers; and strengthening oversight. The measures should help reach a primary surplus target of 6 percent of GDP in 2019/20.

“The fiscal adjustment will be complemented by a comprehensive debt restructuring, aimed at securing meaningful debt reduction, reducing financing needs, and restoring debt sustainability. Barbados’ central government debt will be put on a clear downward path towards a target of 60 percent of GDP by 2033, from an estimated 157 percent of GDP at present. Progress being made by the authorities in furthering good-faith discussions with domestic and external creditors is welcome. Continuing open dialogue and sharing information will remain important in concluding an orderly debt restructuring process.

“The success of Barbados’ program will require an extraordinary effort and resolve on the part of the authorities and other segments of society, as well as broad international support. While the initial implementation period will be challenging, Barbados will emerge stronger and more dynamic from the program, and it will be better poised to generate growth and job creation for the people of Barbados.

“The team would like to take this opportunity to thank Barbados’ authorities and the technical team for their openness and candid discussions.”

IMF Communications Department
MEDIA RELATIONS
PRESS OFFICER: Randa Elnagar
Phone: +1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

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227 responses to “IMF and Barbados Reaches Staff-Level Agreement”


  1. @ David BU

    Staff level agreement? There is no staff level agreement. No numbers game.

    A plan to reform the Public sector was agreed. A rationalization of SOEs and other GoB departments will be implemented. Functions no longer relevant or duplicated else where will be cut or made redundant. Early retirement packages will be offered in some cases. There will also be retooling and retraining packages to hone a public service fit for 21st century.


  2. @Vincent

    The wording was extracted from the IMF press release.


  3. Breaking news.

    “Reports reaching THE NATION are that Barbados Today Inc. and Editor-In-Chief Kaymar Jordan have parted ways.”


  4. So barbados reserves were at a low 240million
    The IMF proposes to shell out a mere 49million in the first round of distribution ( well of course ) including interest.
    Under the past govt. A planned to sell Hilton and barbados oil terminal would have brought in more than the 49 million proposed by the IMF and would have provided enough financial space to improve the sliding reserves …also added to the fact no draconian measures for the people to bear and no intensive interest rates applied which would have become burdensome to taxpayers
    Also one can include the proposed Hyatt would have been helpful in helping to boost the barbados economy
    Be that as it may Barbadians can prepare themselves to suck salt for a long time as the reality lends itself to a motto / mantra “money borrowed must be paid back”


  5. @Vincent Codrington I think you are confusing the headline. The term “staff level” refers to the technical staff of the IMF as opposed to the board, not public sector layoffs. There will be some cutting of jobs in the programme however.


  6. This not news, it was expected.


  7. @ David,

    Reports reaching THE NATION are that Barbados Today Inc. and Editor-In-Chief Kaymar Jordan have parted ways.


  8. Do you read what you write?

    Did you listen to the IMF head at the press conference this morning?

    What does entering the IMF program mean for Barbados? Answer for 5 marks.


  9. “while maintaining space for … infrastructure spending”: What will be Baloney´s share? More doghouses for 400,000 BBD?

    “48-months Extended Fund Facility” = 4 years under the supervision of the IMF at the very least. BERT is just the beginning. If BERT does not work, more austerity will come step by step – as long as the required numbers are reached to pay back the IMF loan.

    “Barbadian economy has been caught in a cycle of low growth, widening fiscal deficits and increasing debt”: What an euphemism. In fact, Big Sinck, the least gifted man in Barbadian history, ruined the island like ten hurricanes CAT 5 together.

    “in conjunction with the announced debt restructuring”, “comprehensive debt restructuring, aimed at securing meaningful debt reduction, reducing financing needs, and restoring debt sustainability” = all depends on the creditor´s good or bad will. In any case, Barbadians will pay higher banking fees, higher interests on mortgages and have less access to new mortgages since the international banks in Barbados must iron out the losses from the default.

    “new investment in areas such as renewable energy, creative and artistic industries, education and health services, agro-industries, research, the international business sector, and tourism” = won´t work given the population´s resistance against any kind of reform or modernization; in any way, the proposition is too cloudy to convince foreign investors.

    “These measures aim to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of public services and reduce government transfers to state-owned enterprises by reviewing user fees; exploring options for mergers” = political talk without chance of full implementation. Productivity won´t grow since the civil servants are highly demotivated (especially those with DLP-background) and the socialist unions will fight any true reform.

    “Barbados’ central government debt will be put on a clear downward path towards a target of 60 percent of GDP by 2033”: 2033! = It will never happen.

    What is missing:

    Reform of the weak and highly inefficient legal system,

    reform of the political system (transparency etc),

    a clear answer how and why Barbados should be able to rebuild its offshore financial sector against all global odds,

    a clear answer for foreign investors WHY they should invest in Barbados and not in any other Caribbean territories and

    any precise idea how to generate more forex for the population´s lavish American lifestyle.

    Summary: Given the population´s low productivity and lack of willingness for SUBSTANTIAL reforms, the programme won´t bring Barbados back on the path of success. The island will remain a low-developing territory and will go through more IMF programmes during the next decades.


  10. @ David,

    I hope this is not a sign that government is involved in the removal of one of its critics.

    Would really like to know why she was fired.


  11. @Hants

    No, Kaymar was a bad peoples manager and the paper is losing money.


  12. Addendum:

    The IMF programme also lacks

    any answer how to synchronise wage hikes in the public sector and productivity and/or revenue. The last IMF programme in the 1990s failed in the long perspective, since OSA opted for political wage hikes which were based on the population´s feelings of entitlement and not on economic facts.

    And the programme does not address the problem of devaluation. Barbados suffers internal devaluation since the last 20 years since the peg is too strong for the local quality and quantity of services.


  13. Mariposa,

    Can you plse mention to the prime minister next time you speak to her that a very good idea, when it comes to foreign reserves, is to form a CARICOM-wide foreign reserves contingency fund, thereby pooling the foreign debt problems if all CARICOM members. At the same time she should abandon the notion of a nation-state focused financial regulator and go for a CARICOM-wide one.


  14. @ Mariposa September 7, 2018 7:20 PM

    Your Big Sinck should have defaulted and entered an IMF agreement in 2013. It was crystal clear from the beginning on that the CS loan won´t work.

    PM MAM must now try to iron out five years of a DLP-game called “pick-a-stick” and “higher taxes instead reforms”.


  15. Not sure if the government achieving a staff level agreement to an IMF program in 3 months is worthy of congratulations but one has to admit is was done in quick time and must have required a lot of preparatory work.


  16. What can a mere 49million achieve in helping govt to cut expenditure.while struggling to pay off local and international debt
    The IMf is sending a message to govt that the bulk of the work in restructing barbados economy and bringing it on a path of growth and economic stability is entirely up to govt..which therefore means more joblosses and proposed sale of govt entities


  17. Bajans will have to learn to live within their means.

    Time to plant kitchen gardens and reduce visits to fast food restaurants.


  18. I am pleased to announce that, in support of the Barbadian authorities’ economic reform program, the IMF team and the government of Barbados have reached staff-level agreement on a 48-months Extended Fund Facility, with access of SDR 208 million (equivalent to 220 percent of quota, or about US$290 million). If approved by the IMF Executive Board, SDR 35 million (about US$49 million) would be immediately available. Staff envisages that the IMF’s Executive Board would consider the proposed arrangement under the EFF by early October.


  19. @Mariposa are you Ok? IMF loans are the cheapest loans you can get at 1% interest. As opposed to the Credit Suisse loan which the last administration borrowed in 2013 at 9% interest to be repaid in 3.5 years (essentially a bullet loan). See this reuters article from 2013:

    https://www.reuters.com/article/barbados-loan/barbados-seeks-loan-option-after-failing-to-tap-bond-markets-idUSL1N0JP17Q20131210

    The interest on this loan rose after subsequent down grades between 2013 and 2017.

    That loan was borrowed at a time when interest rates in the US were still at historic lows but due to our poor credit rating which deteriorated between 2007 and 2013. To make matters worse, The loan as not used to carry out capital infrastructure projects which would lay the platform for future growth but it was used to prop up the foreign reserves to allow the government to run moor fiscal deficits. Those deficits cause the Central Bank to print money which in turn cause the same foreign reserves to fall again.
    The deficit actually widened in 2014 :
    http://jamaica-gleaner.com/power/53386

    also SEE this reuters article from 2014 (nothing had changed)

    https://www.reuters.com/article/barbados-bonds/barbados-seen-turning-to-imf-after-three-notch-downgrade-idUSL6N0OM5UO20140605?feedType=RSS


  20. The PM mentioned today that 68 cents of every dollar goes to debt payment. The DLP had 10 years to get things moving and failed.


  21. Except that Mia and her band of obstructionist stood in every step of past govt way
    But today intervention of the IMF measly 49million might not be sufficient to comfort the manipulating heart of the present govt who like beggars with cup in hand receive only a pittance
    The people of barbados wanted change of a different nature
    A measly 49 million draw (down) also sends a message that this govt cannot be trusted and most likely it all goes back to default and the bad internationalstional press of some of Mia ministers


  22. Here is a lesson in an economy that has defaulted on its sovereign and domestic debt. Argentina has recently obtained a US$50bn loan from the IMF and the peso has been devalued by 50 per cent; Turkey, is in serious trouble but not yet defaulted, yet it has had its currency devalued by 40 per cent.
    As part of its austerity programme, Argentina’s president cut his Cabinet from 19 to ten (Argentina has a population of over 44m, while Barbados has one of 280000); and reduced subsidies to transport and utilities. The Barbados government has raised public transport fares, this is a hidden tax on the very poorest (the people who use public transport) and a subsidy to those in company subsidised or owned motor vehicles.
    Argentina has one of the biggest agricultural economies in South America, especially its cattle economy. In Barbados we have historically bought most of our corned beef from Argentina.
    Trade is 54 per cent of Turkey’s economy, and is 25 per cent of Argentina’s; `despite all this, the region is projected to grow by 1.6 percent this year and by 2.6 per cent in 2019 – up from 1.3 per cent in 2017. Global growth is projected to grow by 3.9 per cent in 2018 and again in 2019. On average, emerging and developing economies are projected to grow by 4.9 per cent in 2018, and 5.1 per cent in 2019.
    There is nothing exceptional about this, since Barbados has been under-performing the regional and global economies since 1966. One thing that is missing from BERT – in fact, from any political or economic conversation in Barbados – is economic equity and wealth redistribution. So, BERT does not talk about an inheritance tax.. There is nothing about infrastructural development and waffle about digitisation of the public sector. Remember, you cannot make online payments to the BRA.
    The new BLP administration is out to sea without a compass, it has nothing new to say about how best to rescue the Barbados economy, or even improve living standards in the island. By the way, both the ministers of finance in Argentina and Turkey have degrees in financial economics. If the answer to the global financial troubles could have been easily sorted out by PhD, we would not be where we are.
    I say again, Barbados is a failed state.


  23. @ Backooful Jack at 7 :21 PM

    Thanks for pointing out the error. I am still in the habit of expecting the headline of an article to summarise the contents.

    The Staff reports and recommendations of the technical team are seldom rejected by the Board reviews. They are the experts.
    You may be right about staff size reduction but it should be interpreted within a structural adjustment process which institutions undergo when technology and output change.


  24. RE I am still in the habit of expecting the headline of an article to summarise the contents.

    THAT IS DEFINITELY NOT THE NORM ON BU SIR
    THERE IS A CERTAIN AMOUNT OF DYSLEXIA ON BU SIR………….ALONG WITH DELUSIONS OF GRANDEUR


  25. Mariposa,

    Stop sounding like the unsound Big Sinck.

    This is not like the CS loan where the clueless DLP-ministers received the whole sum upfront to pay Massa Baloney and to buy more Mercedes and more villas and to have fun in Disneyland.

    Welcome to reality!


  26. @Vincent

    Au contraire, the headline does indicate what the report is all about read a staff-level agreement. The IMF is clear to point out that the staff level agreement has to be presented to the Board for approval.


  27. This govt has sold barbados out to international financial bandits in return for pennies
    But who is watching..Nobody
    A measly 49 millions tonjump start an economy billion dollars in debt added job losses taxes to the left and right and when all is said and done govt has no clue or alternatives to creating growth.


  28. Your head is hard but here goes.


  29. @Hal Austin Argentina’s problem is not merely economic, it is political. The president has been trying to do the right reforms for three years now, but the congress don’t want to do pass them. You cant compare Argentina to Barbados. Barbados is Westminister. There is no one to block the PM or Minister of Finance or Commerce Minister from doing reforms. Under Westminister, most of the legislature is also the executive. This is one of the unintended benefits of Westminister, during time of economic crisis Westminister allows you to do quick reforms. Argentina’s president would love to be a Westminister PM right now. Mia has more flexibility than him.


  30. @ Hal Austin at 8 :11 PM

    Generally I agree with most points in your submission.
    As you stated not many details were given in the briefings. I guess that these are being ironed out as preliminary feedback comes to light. I view BERT as a work in progress. It is too early to make a judgement call.

    @ Mariposa at 8 :02 PM

    The IMF is giving Balance of Payment support. It is like a credit line which a bank gives to its customer for emergencies. It is indicative to other creditors – e,g IADB and CDB. And catalytic to foreign private investors and creditors.

    In 1991 /92 they lent only $35 Million with less foreign reserves.


  31. What was gleaned from this press conference that would be helpful in assisting us to gauge the future? Nothing really

    What are the conditions of the IMF loan – did Mia inform us – No

    Didn’t I read here on articles from the government re Bert and other similar articles – and this information was also repeated by BLP Sympathisers – that the debt to GDP was 175%

    Now the IMF tells us its really 157%

    Should we or can we accept or trust that the information coming from this government would not be coated with spin and sometimes lies to make this govt look like innocent victim and the DEMS like the villain in every situation.

    Like that chart above posted by BU – what is the source of that information and who prepared it?


  32. Backooful Jack,

    Can we compare Barbados to any other nation in tis world. That is an easy escape route for Bajans when you point out the extent of their folly. By the way, nothing about our governance is based on the Westminster model. It is Westminster-lite. As to Presidential vs prime ministerial forms of government, our PM is behaving rather presidential. She has forgotten that as prime minister she is first among equals.


  33. @Mariposa Your head is really hard. The 49m would be for balance of payment support. That would not be for governments budget, That would go straight to the Central Bank. The IMF agreement, however would allow you to unlock millions in funding from the IADB and the CDB.


  34. @T.Inniss

    You are always sure to try to
    Obfuscate. If it is a staff level agreement and requires board approval what do you expect?

    The country has ten years of you lot and you fell flat and the party punished at the polls.

    Clearly you do not read the central bank economic reviews or you would have recognized the graph.


  35. @T.Inniss

    You are always sure to try to
    Obfuscate. If it is a staff level agreement and requires board approval what do you expect?

    The country has ten years of you lot and you fell flat and the party punished at the polls.

    Clearly you do not read the central bank economic reviews or you would have recognized the graph.


  36. David/bu

    It was so nice you had to do it twice right.lol

    No worries.


  37. 49 million is 49million more in debt to be paid
    The question who wil be paying the 49million
    Barbados had an advantage to sell nonperforming entities which are burdensome to taxpayers but present govt objected but now has willfully chosen to by hook or crook to accept a measly 49 million which will be a burden to taxpayers in the form of repaying the loan


  38. Oh my dear………..so sorry to hear of Kaymar’s non renewal of contract………..this brings to an end her constant attacks on our Prime Minister……….so sorry for her though!


  39. Check page 24 of the Arthur document. It seems like yesterday the political class was preaching foreign exchange liberalization of the market.

    https://www.barbadosparliament.com/uploads/document/7142eda9edc5ee5bbaf055988914f917.pdf


  40. Kaymar Jordan

    If you are reading this ,please know many,many right thinking barbadians looked to your leadership of Bdos Today to shine a bright light on those evils that this BLP govt wants to keep hidden.

    Walk Good.You have nothing to be ashamed of.


  41. You continue with your lies or ignorance. How are the BNTCL and Hilton loss making entities?


  42. You can now recommend her to Anthony Bryan.


  43. David

    All of you BLPites are rejoicing by this termination of Kaymar – but I saw a person who was very harsh on both parties.However unfortunately Mia is just like Trump – she only want lackeys.


  44. The fear in the 80s was that going to the IMF would have resulted in a devaluation of the dollar.
    Sceptics used the facts that Guyana and Jamaica had multiple devaluations and a strong, bigger and petro economy of Trinidad had devalued once.
    Yet Tom Adam when to the IMF and little Barbados did not have to devalue its dollar.
    Some people like Hal would like to see Barbados fail to make them seems like a genius.


  45. @ mariposa.
    Are you saying the Hilton and oil terminal are non performing?


  46. Anybody that dismiss your nonsense is labeled BLP. Kaymar played a dangerous and unprofessional game during the last general election. She is an OSA acolyte.


  47. *skeptics


  48. @David I think this Mariposa person is dense. She doesn’t know that the Hiltion and BNTCL are the only two SOEs which are not making huge losses. She just wants them sold in order to temporarily prop up the reserves, while ignoring structural problems in government’s finances, just like the misguided Credit Suisse loan. David, no wonder we are here, a political party is just as good or bad as its core supporters. If your core supporters believe in nonsense you will govern in a nonsensical way.


  49. Very true, David!


  50. Additional, she is unable to comprehend that an IMF program unlocks cheap funds from the other agencies as Vincent explained.

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