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The old people have a saying, one should not place all your eggs in one basket which translates to, “one should not concentrate all efforts and resources in one area as one could lose everything“.

From the inception of Barbados Underground some members of the family have been crying for Barbados to unlink the parity of the Barbados dollar from the United States dollar (USD). On the other hand former Governor of the Central Bank DeLisle Worrell is known to be a strident advocate for Barbados adopting dollarisation. Some international financial pundits however have been forecasting that geopolitical events in recent years- mainly the emergence of BRICS and the protracted dispute between Russia and the Ukraine- will see the United States continuing to lose the confidence of large countries that have historically accepted the USD as the world’s reserve currency.

As the world becomes more and more polarised on almost every issue, it makes sense for small island developing states with ‘open economies’ like Barbados, to engage in monetary policy to efficiently manage currency volatility. The blogmaster will admit this is a complex matter with disadvantages and advantages to be debated. What cannot be refuted is that it needs to become a national conversation given global events referenced.

It the Global Finance communication last month it was reported China “offloaded close to $50 billion in US Treasuries in the first quarter and had reduced its holdings by more than $100 billion in the year through to March 2023. The revelations come as China and the US are locked in an increasingly tense stand-off involving trade and China’s intentions toward Taiwan“. The report further stated, “Belgium, which is often referenced as a proxy custodian for China’s debt holdings, reportedly disposed of more than $20 billion of Treasuries in the same period”. Countries like Barbados with our currencies coupled to the greenback cannot afford to ignore what is trending in the international currency and investment market.

What cannot be refuted is that the global financial system is currently in transition, Barbados must follow global trends and draw from its knowledge capital to make the best decisions to sustain a quality existence for Barbadians now and in times to come. The blogmaster is an unapologetic advocate of pragmatic leadership – see problem, fix problem to achieve goals set. There is no place in today’s fast pace world for vacillating on the many and complex issues confronting small countries. We must nurture a problem solving culture or suffer the result of dithering while we burn.

Prime Minister Mia Mottley has emerged as a spokesperson for the Global South on the need to overhaul the global financial system. Some continue to be critical of Mottley because she is perceived to be aligned to the Washington Consensus – a paradox – which ensures the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank play prominent roles in the stabilisation of our economies. The time has come and possibly gone for Mottley and like minded leaders in the Global South to pivot more aggressively in advocating for reform to the international financial system AND in our domestic space.

See the article which appeared in the Global Finance of May 30, 2024.


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119 responses to “Should Barbados follow China or USA?”


  1. Skinner

    Weeee found this statement by Caddle to stare into the face of every sense of reality.

    Even as weee supported this government’s approach to the IMF based on the damage their predecessors wrought and the lack of options then available, the immediate need for hard money.

    Even then it was not envisioned that the IMF, borrowing interminably and begging could be made to replace a real national development project.

    However, that the propaganda talk back then could now reemerge, from the mouth of a member of parliament, and one for whom finance is presented as center of expertise, even as a third world war could be at any moment triggered because of a determination by the Collective West that the financial architecture must be controlled by them, and them alone, represents a deep level of ignorance not before associated with Caddle.


  2. ….represents a deep level of ignorance not before associated with Caddle.
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Are you saying then Pacha, that you may not be as perceptive as Bushie has been led to believe…?!
    haha
    LOL

  3. William Skinner Avatar
    William Skinner

    @ Pacha
    The damn truth is that we had a Prime Minister in Sturat with a very slender majority , who could not stop his cabinet members from attacking his Minister of Finance. Even the late Ezra Alleyne, said that Stuart’s ability to survive the Eager Eleven and others was a tremendous political achievement.
    The NSRL was a home grown econmic effort to make the mercantile sector pay their taxes upfront. Mottley and company said that the NSRL would have increased the Cost of living. Since Mottley entered office the Cost of Living has risen in excess of 15-20 percent.
    While we have no water to carry for the BLPDLP, the truth is that Mottley was politically brillant in exploiting the failure of her TWIN to defend its record reagardless of how bad it was. It is terribly dishonest to suggest that the former administration did nothing because even Mottley has said that everything that it did was not “bad “; those are her exact words.
    The TWIN fell for the “lost Decade” nonsense but if there was not the Desantos Lab, hundreds would have died from COVID.
    In terms of how Barbados has been managed for the last half century, one cannot honestly conclude that the country was on the brink of collapse. While we cannot deny that the collection of garbage and public transportation had very serious short comings; if we honestly look at those issues today we cannot honestly conclude that they are significantly better.
    Yes, we admit that the TWIN deserved to be kicked out of office, after all there were about a thosand downgrades but the schools never closed; the same problems we have at the QEH are still prevalent; the roads have been repaired because of the World Cup and Mark Maloney is still being given all that he was given and more.
    The simple truth is that the BLPDLP has done equally well and equally badly and while we welcome the return of free university education, we conclude that sooner or later we would have to seriously review whether we can continue to offer free university eduaction forever.
    Can we honestly say that the country as a whole is better off today than it was not ten, but fifty years ago.
    The TWIN is just simply a twin and there are virtually Siamese. We stand on intellectual honesty not partisan nonsense. We appreciate Mottley’s political skills but with a thirty seat majority , we have not seen any visionary ledership. And we give her full credit for how COVID was handled.

  4. Qaasen Ricardo Sealy Avatar
    Qaasen Ricardo Sealy

    Former Governor of the Central Bank DeLisle Worrell is short sighted. and myopic in his view. When a country gives up the option to print its own money, it loses its ability to directly influence its economy, including its right to administer monetary policy and any exchange rate regime. Additionally, dollarization often leads to rampant inflation, discourages foreign investments due to increased currency risk and government often prints more money to meet its financial obligations leading to fiscal irresponsibility. QUESTION: Does his skewed view, that will lead to more fiscal irresponsibility, reflect his lack of moral and ethical responsibility?


  5. If there us dollarization how would the government print more money?


  6. Everybody knows that Biden is not in charge. He couldn’t possibly be. For the world can see Biden is not compos mentís.

    He’s been out of control of even his bodily functions for years.

    Yet as representing the most perverse case of elder abuse these criminal assholes in the White House are purporting to present this shadow of a once wicked son of a bitch to contest the presidency against Donald Trump who will be as ruthless as Mike Tyson.

    They will lose for sure when it’s recognized that along with Afghanistan, Ukraine too has been lost. Giving us the spectre of two criminal octogenarians seeking to be the figurehead of a country of 350 million.

    A sign of our times!

    Even as murmurings suggest that RFK maybe brought in from the cold to replace Biden at the last minute. We are informed that back up plans are well developed.

    No primaries, no public involvement, no demos! But fascists in smoke filled rooms directing this pantomime.

    That Sullivan and Blinken are running the administrative state as unelected officials seems not to worry America’s factotums around the world, publicly. But privately, the titular leader of the hegemon has become the butt of jokes. World leaders gather around him in fear of the stench of fecal matter and the elder care responsibilities expected.

    What a time. Real dictatorship by a creature least able.

    In the case of Iran, for instance, their Supreme Leader would have been long removed, replaced, by the Guardian Council.

    Still, most fools in the Collective West, with all this carnage, still presume that their infantile systems are more sophisticated than any other. What idiocy!

    What democracy, what!


  7. “The Afreximbank’s payment system presents several significant international economic challenges
    By Stabroek News June 15, 2024

    Dear Editor,

    I am writing to express my views on Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley’s endorsement of the Afreximbank’s payment system, which allows countries across the continent to trade using their local currencies.

    This initiative was highlighted a few days ago at the Afreximbank meeting held in Nassau, Bahamas, where eleven Caribbean Community (CARICOM) countries joined Afreximbank, and the Association of CARICOM Central Banks adopted the Pan-African Payment and Settlement System (PAPSS) as their preferred payment infrastructure for a pilot project. While this initiative aims to enhance economic independence and reduce reliance on dominant global currencies, it also presents several significant international economic challenges that warrant closer examination.

    Firstly, the adoption of local currencies for international trade could lead to increased currency volatility. Many African and CARICOM countries have relatively small and less liquid financial markets, making their currencies more susceptible to fluctuations. This volatility could complicate trade transactions, as exchange rate risks would become more pronounced, potentially leading to higher costs for businesses and consumers.

    Secondly, the lack of a widely accepted and stable reserve currency among these nations might undermine trade efficiency. The current global trade system benefits from the use of established currencies such as the US dollar, which provides stability and predictability. A shift towards multiple local currencies could create a fragmented market, increasing transaction costs and reducing the efficiency of cross-border trade.

    Moreover, the proposed currency shift might face significant resistance from international businesses and investors. Companies typically prefer to operate in stable and predictable financial environments. Introducing multiple, potentially unstable currencies could deter foreign investment, which is crucial for the economic growth of these regions. The perceived risks associated with currency instability might outweigh the potential benefits of local currency utilization.

    Another concern lies in the technical and infrastructural challenges of implementing such a system. Establishing a framework for currency conversion, payment settlement, and exchange rate management among numerous countries with varying economic conditions would be a complex and resource-intensive endeavor. The costs and logistical hurdles could be prohibitive, especially for nations with limited financial infrastructure.

    Lastly, while the initiative aims to promote economic sovereignty, it may inadvertently lead to greater economic isolation. By moving away from widely accepted international currencies, African and CARICOM countries risk reducing their integration into the global economy. This could hinder access to global markets, capital, and technologies, which are essential for sustainable economic development.

    In conclusion, while the proposal by African and CARICOM countries to use their own currencies for trade is rooted in a desire for economic autonomy, it raises several critical issues from an international economic perspective. Increased currency volatility, higher transaction costs, deterrence of foreign investment, technical implementation challenges, and potential economic isolation are significant concerns that need to be thoroughly addressed before moving forward with this initiative.

    Sincerely,

    Keith Bernard”

    Source: Stabroek News


  8. If you are referring to my comment about the former administration doing nothing, then the comment was not at all dishonest. I simply forgot the construction of the lab. Why would I choose to be dishonest in assessing a party under whom, through family connections, I personally could fare better? The lab was buried under the Cahill rubble in my mind.

    Dishonesty is not my thing here. I leave that others. It simply makes no sense to be dishonest here if you really care about Barbados.

    One of the few good things I learnt from watching American television is, “What is ….is. And what ain’t…..ain’t.”

    I wish I could remember the name of the series or the movie. All I can remember is that it was said by a hippie stoned on marijuana.


  9. It cannot make sense to have sovereign currencies totally and directly subjected to the workings of Afreximbank or any other non sovereign institution.

    And if you do, expect more and more financial manipulation. To such a level that rates will plummet viz a viz currencies external to the basket.

    A poor as the Barbados dollar might be, it is still a sovereign currency, why deliver it to the handling, transfer mechanisms, of Afreximbank

    Of course, there are other questions.

    How much gold or other real assets are Afreximbank bringing to the table?

    I’m which depositary or central bank will such assets be held?

    Or is Afreximbank to derive value from what little has been created by regional countries?

    What are the mechanisms by which Afreximbank will take possession of a pool of currencies for exchanges?

    Mia Mottley has done some shiiite in the last 7 years or so ……

    She seems destined to perform her masterpiece, in doing the kind of shiite which cannot ever be repaired!

    This represents a dangerous cocktail of largely fiat currencies, the interests of a small bank, a bank outside the top 100 in the world we imagine, a reckless abandonment of propriety and a woman overly committed to the idea that wealth could be created entirely by financial manipulation and bling bling.

  10. Terence M Blackett Avatar
    Terence M Blackett

    SAUDI ARABIA JUST THREW A MONKEY WRENCH INTO THE GLOBALIST ANTS-NEST

  11. Terence M Blackett Avatar
    Terence M Blackett

    THE RISE OF BRICS: THIS WILL LEAD 2 WAR

  12. Terence M Blackett Avatar
    Terence M Blackett

    COULD BRICS NATIONS REPLACE THE UNITED NATIONS (UN)???

  13. Terence M Blackett Avatar
    Terence M Blackett

    WATCH AS PRICE HIKES ESCALATE THIS SUMMER – A MEASURE OF WHEAT FOR A DENARIUS – A MEASURE OF MEAL FOR A DENARIUS: DO NOT HURT THE OIL OR THE WINE


  14. @TB

    In the past US has aggressively retaliated to an attack on its status as holding the world’s reserve currency. Should we be fearful?

    It is fair to ask of Barbados political leaders how should we respond in light of these tectonic shifts? Is it a case Mia would have to anticipate being tagged in some grey or black lists. How can SIDs win?

  15. Terence M Blackett Avatar
    Terence M Blackett

    #OffTopic:

    FOR THOSE LIVING IN BRITAIN & EUROPE – WITH POSSIBILITIES FOR THOSE ELSEWHERE IS THE NAGGING PROBLEM OF CLIMATE CHANGE BUT IS THIS FURTHER ANTHROPOCENTRIC MANIPULATION

    The “DIRTY BASTERDS” who believe they have a “a #god-GIVEN RIGHT” to manipulate everything around us (INCLUDING THE WEATHER) has now acknowledged (what many have been calling “CONSPIRACY THEORY”) is now “CONSPIRACY FACT”!!!

    These “SUCKERS” have been meddling, messing & micro-engineering our climate to the extent where since November 2023 it has been raining until today 15th June 2024 (with the odd breaks where we get a bit of sunshine) while having 45-degree temperatures in Greece…

    As a result, growing crops are seeing the effects; “VITAMIN D” levels have shrunk in the population – especially amongst “BLACK FOLKS”, who are more prone to this deficiency and the overall psychological effects of “SEASONAL AFFECTIVE DISORDER” (SAD) is becoming more endemic amongst differing population groups…

    FOR THOSE WHO DO NOT BELIEVE IN THE POWER OF GLOBAL MANIPULATION – MAYBE THIS HELP IN YOUR REHAB

  16. Terence M Blackett Avatar
    Terence M Blackett

    @David

    “Should we be fearful?”

    Fear is NOT* an emotion anyone can afford – although some would have you believe it is a “SURVIVAL MECHANISM & INSTINCT”…

    Whatever will be – will be!!!

    We deal with the “FALLOUT”…


  17. “In the past US has aggressively retaliated to an attack on its status as holding the world’s reserve currency. Should we be fearful? ”

    assassination
    Gadaffi got stabbed up the bum hole for wanting a United States of Africa with a Gold dinar currency

    Slave Master, Take a Dip


  18. ambitious.


  19. Friends of all, satellites of none.

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