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The February 22, 2024 edition of Business Insider (BI) featured an article American are facing a credit card debit crisis which piqued the author’s interest. Barbadians are heavily influenced by consumer habits of the North American consumer. Our TV feeds are mainly North American, it is the preferred destination for leisure, study and work opportunities. Also many local households have at least one family that migrated to North America in the 60s and 70s. It is fair to say- whether we like it or not- what is trending in the USA will influence what happens in Barbados.

When there’s an elephant in the room, you can’t pretend it isn’t there and just discuss the ants.”

Ellen Wittenlinger


The main point of the BI article is that credit card debt and delinquency reached record levels and with interest rate rising in the US market, it adds fuel to the fire. Based on the most recent Financial Stability Report credit card and other debt in Barbados has also been steadily increasing, interest rates on credit cards, although high, have been stable in the range of about 18% to 24%. It is noteworthy the emergence of many non traditional financial institutions not captured in official reporting.

The blogmaster’s perspective: household debt is increasing because of our insatiable appetite to engage in conspicuous consumption. For some, it is a method used to keep pace with the cost of living. Anecdotal research suggests unsecured debt is widely used to supplement salary income. In a nutshell, too many are living above their means and are in the grip of the debt trap.


Following years of casual observation by the blogmaster, it is obvious there is a careless approach to taking on debt at a personal level by Barbadians. Some will say it is because we are following the example of successive governments whose focus is on borrowing to solve problems instead of being a catalyst to encourage citizens and businesses to earn. It is too late to disrupt this pervasive consumption behaviour in Barbadians? It will possibly take a catastrophic intervention to force required change, unfortunately.

On a related matter, former Governor of the Central Bank of Barbados DeLisle Worrell recently reintroduced the benefits of Barbados pursuing dollarisation. Economists will happily share the financial benefits of dollarisation and neglect to talk about the struggle for small island states like Barbados to maintain our ‘identity’? Why give up control of our monetary system to be replaced by a Washington Consensus agenda. What does being a sovereign nation mean? Some will say under Prime Minister Mottley’s stewardship we are already marching to the beat of neoliberalists. It would be tantamount to selling our souls for a few pieces of silver. What would be the point of calling ourselves Barbadians? Where would the sense of national pride and patriotism come? That there has been nagging speculation for the last twenty four months about the US lurching into a recession – spiked by high unemployment – is another story to be told.


These kinds of matters are outside the pay grade of a lowly blogmaster, however, our system of government encourages citizens to value the right of participation. Hopefully others more intelligent will share perspectives about how Barbados needs to strategically bridge the gap between current and future state.


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117 responses to “Debt, our ‘frenemy’”


  1. I have experienced the ” up selling “.


  2. In the end, Barbados will have to return to its roots in order to cope with the debt burden. The only resource we have in abundance is population. So it seems obvious that our government will negotiate debt relief in the next IMF program in exchange for leasing residents as cleaners and plantation workers to Saudi Arabia.

    Tron


  3. Banks all set ‘Eager’ to invest but red tape ‘a drag’

    by SHAWN CUMBERBATCH shawncumberbatch@nationnews.com

    COMMERCIAL BANKS IN BARBADOS are ready to finance millions of dollars in private sector investments.

    However, while being upbeat about the prospects for economic growth this year, the Barbados Bankers Association wants the red tape now negatively impacting the use of this funding in housing, commercial deals and more than $500 million in projects in the renewable energy sector, removed.

    The association’s position was outlined by one its members, Donna Wellington, who is CIBC Caribbean’s managing director for Barbados and the Eastern Caribbean.

    She said commercial banks were heartened by the improvements they saw in the economy in housing, commercial deals and renewable energy – three areas they were ready and able to finance.

    In each of the three areas, however, the bureaucratic processes needed to improve, the senior banker noted.

    “We see confidence in the economy by virtue of the pent-up demand for low-end to high-end residential mortgages, which we have been approving and funding,” Wellington said.

    “Regarding our partners, who are all of the stakeholders in the closure process – legal, registry, et cetera – what we hope for is to collaborate in shortening this process as compared to our peers around the region and as close as the Eastern Caribbean. We see mortgages closing in a week to a month, where here in Barbados we are typically between four to six months.”

    Wellington said commercial banks were also “seeing very large pipelines in the commercial space in a range of industries – hospitality, construction, manufacturing, distribution . . .”.

    Once again, she highlighted regulatory challenges, explaining that “we approve these loans and stand ready to fund, but there always seems to be some issue delaying funding which we are all eager to do.

    “The issues are wide and varied but all of the stakeholders need to collaborate in shortening this process both in the public and private sector,” she said.

    Concerning renewable energy, Wellington said there were $500 million in projects in this sector but the bottlenecks, including those related to storage, was a challenge.

    “There is real and licence-approved demand for solar projects, which we are eager to fund. All of it is currently stalled due to the battery storage, which we also will fund. Once fixed, this will unlock the solar energy revolution in Barbados,” she said.

    “The bottlenecks for us are the regulatory process with the issuing of tariffs to support battery storage for smaller systems, which currently is unbankable. We also need clarity on the competitive procurement process, which is quite complex and isn’t getting us there in the short term.”

    Commercial banks want the Government “to help the private sector to find an immediate solution so our clients can get moving on investing in storage”.

    “The sooner these bottlenecks which are delaying deployment of capital in this area are fixed, is the sooner the banks will happily fund them,” Wellington said.


    Source: Nation


  4. Living in today’s world

    RECENTLY, I HAVE HAD the opportunity to spend some time in another country where people were kind to me. Coming back, I had to adjust to living in my beloved country.

    One of the comparisons that I have been forced to observe is the cost of being able to feed myself. It seems that things that I used to find when shopping especially for food were that much more expensive or were absent from the shelves. Transportation of goods is also seriously handicapped by the wars.

    Specifically I was disappointed with the quality of sweet potatoes as some of them were decorated with small holes made by white worms. Perhaps these potatoes came from the few fields that are struggling to exist.

    In as much as I had spent a considerable amount of money in purchasing the potatoes, I figure that by making a deep cut in them I would eliminate the wormholes, but the deeper I cut the more worms I met. I decided to take a look at the bill, and was even more surprised to see how much the potatoes had cost me. I made a decision. Those white worms were going to feel the heat; I would get fat with my potatoes.

    Examination of the bill revealed that almost every item involved a VAT charge. Is Government penalising us for necessary food or are we living by importation over our means? I say so because the items purchased were simple everyday items used by the poorest in the community. I would think that in our present condition – hardly able to make ends meet and borrowing to protect the value of our currency; pleading for reparations and having to spend foreign exchange to attend meetings with sizable delegations; having to employ advisory tsars in order to be relevant.

    There is a lesson to be learnt from our present situation. We are kicking the problems down the road to be financed by the prospects of building foreign exchange earning hotels. We propose building these hotels to rim the city of Bridgetown, but has not Bridgetown lost its charm even as we seek to improve. The letters of disappointment seen in the newspapers recently are genuine evidence of disappointment for any tourist caring to spend time in The City –please don’t let them need to use bathroom facilities in a hurry.

    But we seem to be falling to pieces. Our roads are in need of urgent repair on a big scale. Further borrowing is off the cards. When I came in after a harried time at the vaunted airport, I could scarcely recognise where I was going in the taxi so dark was the lighted highway. Veteran leaders are calling for change of duties in the VAT formula where the Government has no elbow room. We are hamstrung by the “foreign exchange protection borrowing” that is linked to overall performance of the economy that in turn restricts the manoeuvrability of Government in dealing with the International Monetary Fund.

    Problems are also evident in our school system. Poor results are being returned in English and Mathematics. I recall that when my children were young they were forbidden to speak Bajan or Jamaican in the house. They grew up bilingual. Even when I was growing up at elementary school the teacher gave lessons in English and dialect. How can we address the world when we cannot present ourselves?

    Somehow we have to solve the problem of those who are entrusted with teaching our children. From age four until I was age 18 I never had a female teacher or headmaster. Now our system is replete with females, some of whom regard the profession as a small subsidy to the household income. At times this is where discipline breaks down although the home is a huge contributor to this factor. Vaccination against current diseases was a must when I was growing up and it was imperative that evidence was shown to the school to effect admission.

    Those who are privileged to escape many of the mentioned factors take the best of what there is and on leaving school bid goodbye to Barbados, leaving both a skills and a population void.

    The funny thing is, that those who are responsible for making the decisions now, soon will be in the same boat as those complaining.

    Do you think that I am carping? A fellow met me in the supermarket and said, “we soon gone”.

    Harry Russell is a banker. Email quijote70@gmail. com

    Source: Nation


  5. An interesting view from one of the credit rating agencies.

    Improvement needed for credit rating upgrade

    by SHAWN CUMBERBATCH

    shawncumberbatch@nationnews.com

    ACREDIT RATING UPGRADE is not beyond Barbados.

    However, the chances it gets one from Fitch Ratings hinge heavily on further improvement in Government’s finances, reduced reliance on foreign borrowing from multilateral institutions, and reforms kicking in to improve the outlook for investment and economic growth.

    Fitch’s associate director Christopher Dychala, who is the rating agency’s primary rating analyst for Barbados, gave that opinion, while sharing that since the outlook on Barbados’ rating is now positive, a downgrade “is less likely”.

    He added, however, that Fitch’s forecast is that the country’s real gross domestic product growth will “slow to three per cent in 2024, down from an estimated 4.4 per cent in 2023, as the impact of the postpandemic rebound in the tourism sector fades”.

    Dychala reminded that Fitch revised the rating outlook on Barbados’ ‘B’ rating to Positive from stable in October 2023.

    Strengthening recovery

    He said this reflected “the ongoing improvement in public finances (a return to large primary surpluses), a declining public debt trajectory (although still at high levels), a strengthening economic recovery, and structural reform efforts, including to state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and the pension system”.

    The rating analyst said there were a number of areas that would determine if Barbados would get a credit rating upgrade. At the moment, the credit rating is below investment grade.

    “Factors that could resolve the outlook and lead to a rating upgrade include further improvement in the public finances (sustained reduction in the government debt-to-GDP ratio), improved access to financing sources beyond multilaterals ( that is, through a reopening of the domestic debt market), and progress on economic reforms that improve the outlook for investment and economic growth,” he explained.

    On the prospects of a credit rating downgrade, he said: “A credit rating downgrade is less likely given our positive outlook on the rating, but factors that could lead to stabilisation of the outlook or revision of the outlook to negative include a deterioration in the public finances that reverses progress on fiscal consolidation and debt reduction, the emergence of financing constraints, or a sharp reduction in external liquidity.

    “For example, due to a deterioration in the current account deficit stemming from an external shock,” he said.

    His analysis of Barbados’ economic growth prospects this year was that “new hotel investments and implementation of a pipeline of renewable energy projects could reflect potential upside”.

    “Significant new hotel capacity is expected to come online in the coming years, which could support growth,” he said.

    “Threats to the economic recovery could come from external shocks that have a significant impact on the ongoing recovery of the tourism sector, such as a sharp slowdown or recession in the core tourism markets – United States, Canada, [and] United Kingdom.”

    Dychala, who is based in New York, was asked how Barbados’ economic performance and credit rating compared with other Fitch-rated sovereigns in the region.

    “Fitch also rates Aruba (BB+), Jamaica (BB-), and Dominican Republic (BB-) in the Caribbean, which all are on a positive outlook like Barbados. Barbados’ rating is lower than these peers given the recent default episode on domestic and external debt (2018-19) and debt levels still much higher than peers (remaining above 100 per cent of GDP in our forecast horizon),” he said.

    Positive trajectory

    “A sustained period of large primary surpluses and debt reduction could put Barbados on a similar positive rating trajectory as Jamaica.”

    “Jamaica is, in some regards, a half decade ahead of Barbados, having defaulted (distressed debt exchange) in 2013. Jamaica’s rating trajectory has, in large part, been driven by a strong government commitment for fiscal consolidation, which has led to a significant decline in the debt burden,” he stated.

    Dychala also observed that “recovery of Barbados’ tourism sector has been slower than some of these peers, such as Aruba and Dominican Republic, which recovered pre-pandemic levels of tourist arrivals more quickly”.

    However, he added: “Barbados, however, has much stronger governance metrics than Jamaica and Dominican Republic (more in line with Aruba). Aruba and Barbados are similarly dependent on one key single pillar of the economy (tourism), which is a key vulnerability, while Jamaica and the Dominican Republic are more diversified but are more highly exposed to natural disasters.”

    Source: Nation


  6. BREAKING:

    SALUTATIONS TO RUSSIAN PREZ VLADIMIR PUTIN FOR HIS RELEASE OF HISTORICAL ICONOGRAPHY!!!

  7. William Skinner Avatar

    With all the pretty talk; the trips back and forth to the I.M.F and fancy talk about neoliberalism, the simple truth is that we are still operating as a Plantation Economy. Even the more thought provoking economists among us are still refusing to state that we are debt ridden and just spinning top in mud .
    Falling for statements such as “ punching above our weight “ is comfort for people who are asleep ; ignoring the rise in poverty and the unfairness toward the Black working class throughout the Caribbean.
    The Plantation Economy remains in tact and nothing is being done to address our regional socio economic needs .


  8. Barbados in good shape milling and paving it’s way out of debt


  9. The video included in this blog by Fortress Investment people confirm almost all of our foreign reserves is borrowed money.


  10. The plandemic was the perfect situation to reset the economy but the problem was all the energy leading up to the pandemic was directed towards tourism, branding and frivolous pursuits such as We Gatherin.
    What lessons did we learn?
    NOTHING!!
    We are currently hoping investors want to build hotels on Bay Street. They made us vacate everthing, knock down nearly everything and still not one cent they have invested. What are they waiting on, who knows, we are already desperate and willing to sell even the BDF site.
    We Gatherin 25 is a go. A call to all Barbadiains to come home and party.
    Rebranding efforts continue with nothing to show. The BIDC now called Export Barbados has done nothing to justify its rebranding
    And let’s not forget my personal favourite the BMCLA, receiving transfers of 3 million a year. The marijuana industry is the equivalent of what the tech industry calls vaporware. The difference is vaporare is funded by venture capital not the government.

  11. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    David
    Every 6 months you seem to get the conspicuous consumption bug, and the accompanying debt issues.
    To use the term you told me I should use, the debt has been transformed from 90%+ local, to a mix of Fx bilateral debt and local. That foreign reserves are almost entirely borrowed funds is no great surprise?
    At least debt forgiveness in future will not be 95% on the backs of local lenders. The local debt increased more than expected, not because Bonds were sold, but the settlement of several outstanding payables using Bonds.
    As noted by Fortress, the downside is we are more exposed to interest rate variability, for even the lowest rate with concessions will rise.
    Barbados effectively has a dual currency, hard Fx + BDD. As my friends say, a B-island feature, only the Bahamian and Bermuda peg is 1-1. DrW’s point, is supporting the dollar uses a large amount of Fx and borrowing capacity. The elephant, is most desire Fx? Hence there could be other benefits to dollarization.


  12. @NO

    Some will say the elephant in the room is a citizen mindset that demands for their government to satisfy the conspicuous consumption itch.


  13. Can someone tell me why women get the blame for things falling apart? It is true that we now have a set of jokers running things, but we were off track well before 2018.


  14. The PM opened the batting with a flash outside the offstump. Debt to GDP is 114 compared to 171 when her government took over the government. She neglected that this is largely because of a debt restructure and not organic growth. She mentioned that international reserves good but again she neglected to mention it is mainly borrowing. She mentioned confidence is returning to the country yet central bank is advertising BOSS bonds like Courts advertising TVs.

  15. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    TheOG
    Our biases tend to be more pronounced as we age.
    Sure you heard Sen Dornick refer to a female pilot as a stewardess? He couldn’t explain how he made that error!!!
    I recall at least 10 female teachers in my time at HC. Interestingly far fewer female profs at University.
    The wild coot seems to get ‘wilder’ every week.


  16. @ David March 18, 2024 at 11:04 am

    Told you so years ago!

    Tron


  17. Tron
    March 18, 2024 at 5:53 pm

    Basically, we have been going round in circles economically since 2008: debt, debt, debt …

    Do I blame our honourable government for this? Of course not. After all, the other former British pepper islands in the neighbourhood are plagued by the same problem. Diversification is impossible in the tropics with the adverse environmental conditions and in view of our scarcity of resources.

    One day, our honourable government will hopefully come back to my most important proposal: A devaluation of the BBD at a ratio of 1:4 to 1:10.

    We must finally be honest with ourselves: The prices of food and everyday items on our island are higher than in Tokyo or Zurich. As a globalist, I know this first hand. We can’t go on forever holding on to the irrational 1:2 exchange rate out of false national pride.

    “A horrible end is better than endless horror.”

    Tron
    (now the right blog …)


  18. THE HIGHLIGHTS

    THE FOLLOWING ARE some of the highlights in yesterday’s Financial Statement and Budgetary Proposals presented by Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Mia Amor Mottley in the House of Assembly:

    No new taxes for Barbadians.

    National debt under control, 11 straight quarters of economic growth and reserves at 33 weeks of import cover.

    • VAT ease on electricity bills to continue until September 30, but an increase in natural gas rates

    on the cards.

    • Creation of Business Barbados and a National Data Centre.

    Government to revise all concessions granted.

    Minimum wage to be reviewed.

    A 50 per cent refundable tax credit for purchase of local art, up to $1 million, to outfit investment projects.

    • A 50 per cent tax credit for those constructing elderly care facilities and hospices.

    • Barbados Water Authority getting $1.5 million to provide water-saving devices.

    • Uniform allowance for nurses, as well as a sabbatical after 15 years of service.

    Teachers’ Service Commission coming this year.

    Perks for the police.

    Queen Elizabeth Hospital staff to increase by 250 over the next three years, and a $130 million loan to replace ageing equipment.

    • Government bidding to boost renewable energy storage.

    Semi-professional football league, called the Prime Minister’s Challenge, with a grand prize of $100 000; while two more athletic tracks to be laid.

    Source: Nation


  19. Debt not out of hand, says Mia

    BARBADOS’ DEBT is not galloping out of control, declared Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley.

    This was the context on which she set the tone for the Financial Statement and Budgetary Proposals delivered in the House of Assembly yesterday.

    Mottley said despite what was being purported by opposition voices, the country’s debt was still lower than when her administration first came to office in 2018.

    “The debt to GDP (gross domestic product) ratio is not precarious and this Barbados Labour Party Government has not increased the national debt to unmanageable levels. In fact, the national debt is now lower than it was when we came to office in 2018,” she said, evoking table-thumping from the Government’s bench.

    “When we came to office, the debt was 178.9 per cent of our GDP and at the end of February 2024 it was 114.6 per cent of GDP. In 2018, when we came to power, debt cost this country 68 cents of every dollar of revenue. Today we are now paying 30 cents of every dollar to service debt.”

    Exceptional

    The Prime Minister said this accomplishment was nothing short of exceptional, given the spate of natural disasters and exogenous shocks which impacted Barbados over the last six years. Among those mentioned were the COVID-19 pandemic, the La Soufriere eruption in St Vincent and the war in Ukraine, which continues to cause supply chain disruptions.

    “The reduction in our national debt has been despite the fact that we went through the worst pandemic in 100 years; despite the extreme weather events, including the worst hurricane in 65 years. It also was despite the worst ash fall since 1902. Despite all the things that required citizens’ support, and against high expenditure, against shrinking Government revenues, our debt has been lower,” Mottley said.

    Comparing the management of the country’s debt to that of the previous Democratic Labour Party (DLP) administration, she charged that after the 2019 debt restructuring, her Government had only increased the national debt by $2 billion, a far cry from the more than $10 billion increase under the DLP.

    “Let me put it into further context. In 1994 when the Barbados Labour Party became the Government, debt stood in this country at $2.5 billion. Fourteen years later when we left office, debt stood at $7.2 billion.

    “Under the Democratic Labour Party Government, not only did our debt mushroom under those ten years, not only did we record 23 downgrades, but we became the third-highest indebted country in the world. Therefore, this talk now about debt really amuses me,” she said.

    Inherited

    “When the Dems left the office in 2018, the national debt, inclusive of arrears, stood at a whopping $18.1 billion from $7.2 billion where they inherited it. That is what they did; they took an economy from us in 2008 that was a $9.6 billion economy and gave us back an economy at $10 billion ten years later. So, when we say that the economy stagnated, these are the facts.

    “Given all the talk about debt, Barbados’ debt today stands in absolute numbers at $14.9 billion after we had carried it down $12.59 billion. In almost six years, we have only increased the debt of this country by $2 billion despite all the challenges,” she stressed. (CLM)

    Source: Nation


  20. According to the PM all is well with the NISS.


  21. You could be listening to Brasstacks. Business Barbados launches April 1st.


  22. @David
    I think the PM is correct mostly correct on the issue of Debt. As I said in this forum several times before, on debt and deficits I can have no quarrel with this government on fiscal policy. Their fiscal management has been superior to that of the last government. Run sizable primary surpluses, borrow to finance Capital projects ONLY, use lower interest rates and longer maturity and pursue pro-growth policies instead of austerity to make future interest payments easier as the economy grows. That is the strategy in a nutshell David.

    Pro-growth policies announced yesterday include:
    Tax Credits for investments in AI, Robotics and Coding.
    Tax credits for existing companies who digitize their processes.
    The creation of a nation data center to aid government and start-up.

    Using the data center to aid the launch of Barbados Gov-Tech and using this a a one stop shop for all government digital services. (this will tie in t=with the digital ID).

    Making Barbados a hub for Argo-Processing. The international Food Science Center in Newton is already in Operation, the Food Terminal at Lears is set to begin construction in the coming weeks.

    Connecting Barbados to Northern Brazil.


  23. @Backooful Jack

    Barbados has been able to make some progress with fiscal policy under the watchful direction of the IMF. Some of us in this space remain concerned about our dependence on tourism which makes Barbados less resilient to exogenous shocks. So far too few projects identified in government’s project pipeline are tourism related.

  24. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    @Backooful
    Help me with something that bothers me.
    The Budget address began with reference to FACTS. Recall the D’s went down a similar path.

    Words. Yet seemingly whenever the opportunity to provide third party verified facts arises, read Annual Reports, there is a huge gaping hole? This is how Ponzi schemes are run?

    As the PM referenced w.r.t gray/black lists, important because investors can just say ‘lets look elsewhere’. Why should investors consider Barbados, when they are expected to comply with rules and laws, which the GoB and it’s entities do not?


  25. @Hants

    What is Yearwood saying as the alternative IF we didn’t enter an IMF arrangement given the state our economy was in? We had junk rating status, little to non existent foreign exchange, physical infrastructure was crumbling, government was printing money at a high rate. Let us have serious rh discussions please.


  26. It would be worth the time and effort to research Ralph Thorne’s contributions in Parliament when he sat as a BLP member, to determine whether or not he expressed dissatisfaction with White Oaks and the debt restructuring exercise. It would also be interesting to hear Ronnie Yearwood’s alternative policies to the IMF. Perhaps there is a ‘good reason why’ Thorne did not choose Yearwood as an Opposition Senator.


  27. @Artax

    Politicians have been known to change their vote based on expediency, nothing new.


  28. @Enuff

    Is it true the PM has unfettered access to Bernie Weatherhead’s private jet? Bernie of Hayman fame?


  29. Charge It 2 Da Game
    In 2018 Barbados Government had to borrow to improve their credit rating and for the restructuring of sovereign debt after announcing the unavoidable defaulting of their bonds. In 2022 they also swapped sovereign bonds for cheaper debt to clear their debt burden and pursue some green initiatives for climate financing.


  30. Thorne tears into Govt’s Budget and operations

    THE FOLLOWING ARE highlights of Opposition Leader Ralph Thorne’s Reply to the Financial Statement and Budgetary Proposals in the House of Assembly yesterday:

    • Economy not as wholesome as Government wants Bajans to believe.

    • Current administration out of touch

    with reality of poor people and middle class.

    • Nine weaknesses in the economy;

    15 disincentives to investment.

    • Agricultural sector struggling.

    • It’s now power by one; Cabinet the kingdom of Heaven.

    • Excessive travel by the Prime Minister and others.

    • Government accused of squandering public funds on high-paid consultants.

    • White Oak paid US$85 000 a month retainer to restructure debt.

    • Why is $188 million allocated to the Prime Minister’s Office?

    •HOPE Inc. undermining the National Housing Corporation and threatening jobs there.

    Source: Nation


  31. A Budget of highs and lows

    The following is an assessment on the Budget by Professor C. Justin Robinson, professor of corporate finance and principal of the University of the West Indies Five Islands’ Campus.

    IN MY PRE-BUDGET comments I highlighted the need for a focus on strategies and initiatives targeted at boosting economic growth and development in Barbados, as it is critical to continue the post COVID-19 pandemic economic recovery, achieve the projected real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of three to four per cent for 2024 and put the country on a sustained growth path.

    In the past I have also highlighted a need to seek out “new growth catalysts” for Barbados.

    It is widely accepted that investment is a key driver of economic growth and given Barbados’ debt challenges, private sector investment is especially critical to a sustained growth path. The 2024 Financial Statement and Budgetary Proposals are heavily focused on facilitating and incentivising private sector investment in a variety of traditional and emerging areas. I am of the view that such a focus is entirely appropriate and I applaud the Government for such.

    While I support and applaud the focus in the Budget, I am not yet persuaded as to the efficacy of a number of the proposed measures in achieving the desired ends and the cohesion of the new investment and corporation tax regime.

    For example, it is not clear to me that the creation of a new entity, Business Barbados, which has to become operational and navigate a path around the existing entities, is a surefire way to enhance the ease of doing business in Barbados, but only time will tell and I wish the new entity well.

    One also fully expects further clarity on the details of a number of the initiatives (especially those around unblocking investments in renewable energy) which were presented in a very general way in the Budget presentation and supporting documentation.

    The 2024 Budget saw proposals for a major shift in the corporation tax and investment environment in Barbados with a new regime around concessions or socalled tax expenditures and the introduction of probably the largest number of investment related tax credits presented in a Budget in Barbados.

    I am open to persuasion but I harbour serious doubts about the effectiveness of corporation tax credits in stimulating investment in a context where the corporation tax rate is already at such a low level.

    In light of the fact that the corporation tax rate for the vast majority of businesses in Barbados is between five and nine per cent, which is already among the lowest rates in the Caribbean and the world, it is unclear to me that the dollar value of many of the new tax credits will be sufficient to shift investment decisions one way or the other, while if these investments would have been undertaken without the tax credits then there is a reduced corporation tax take.

    On the other hand, given the VAT rate and the levels of import duties in Barbados, the removal or a significant reduction in tax concessions in these areas can have a significant impact on the cost structure of and financing required for projects in Barbados, expected rates of return and possibly the investment decision.

    If the intention is to incentivise investment, I am having some difficulty squaring the efficacy of the new incentives and concessions regime, which in many ways are the centrepiece of the 2024 Budget, with our low corporation tax rate.

    In my pre-Budget comments I also indicated that a major contextual factor for the 2024 Budget is that Barbados’ public finance strategy is anchored by the target of achieving a debt-to-GDP ratio of 60 per cent by 2035. The 2024 Budget includes a number of fiscal measures which are important, well-intentioned and may well boost growth in the economy, which is a key element in achieving the debt to GDP target. However, I find the absence of any “fiscal arithmetic” in the Budget presentation or supporting documentation somewhat disappointing as one is unable to assess the fiscal impact of the Budget and in particular its impact on the achievement of the debt-to-GDP target and the financing needs of the Government for the 20242025 financial year.

    In summary, the administration made a special effort to find fiscal space to provide some eases and incentives to residents of Barbados and this is to be applauded. The Budget rightly focused on facilitating and incentivising private sector investment but there is scope for debate among reasonable people as to the efficacy and clarity of the proposed measures.

    I am not yet persuaded as to the efficacy of the combination of a low and highly competitive corporation tax rate, incentives targeted at reducing that already low and highly competitive effective corporation rate and the restriction of concessions on the high VAT and import duties. Only time will tell the effect on the ability of Barbados to attract and retain private investments. As a citizen I am thankful for the eases at the personal level.


    Source: Nation


  32. An interesting perspective on anti Senator Tricia Watson moves.

    https://videopress.com/v/nufQABdU


  33. We hear this accusation every time?

    https://www.instagram.com/reel/C4tyst4tWs2/


  34. A stub for thinkers, empty thinkers and talkers

    BLP versus DLP Punch and Judy Pantomime Show

    Working the Angles
    1,2,3 DLP in Parliament is attempting to Shadow BLP Government
    opposition is opposite
    negative(-) versus positive(+)
    blockages
    reactionary

    Riding DLP political bandwagons
    Political Soundbites rhetoric
    helping poor
    christianity

    Local politics
    debt management
    credit access
    austerity
    inequality

    Business Issues
    Private Sector
    Public Sector
    Promoting Investment

    geopolitics
    same old same axis of bias and prejudice
    north versus south
    west versus east
    whites versus blacks, browns, yellows, reds

    Crises
    wars
    covid
    spies spying against spies

    in coin toss decisions Mia’s instinct bold and on point i.e. is spot on
    Open to China
    Link up with Africa
    Against Israel
    Supports black lives matter
    Advocate for Reparations

    Read the B-line Bottom Line
    Words of Wisdom
    If you face the Sun your shadow will always be behind you
    A good soldier never looks back


  35. Art of War
    Wars are about allies and spycraft dark arts
    ~Yanks ~Israel ~UK are liars and murderers with no skill or finesse
    They talk about peace but they never stop fighting

    Never Stop Fighting
    If Israel stopped fighting there world be peace
    If Palestine stopped fighting they would be wiped out

    Lyrics
    I’m just a passer by just singing and rejoicing
    If you listening carefully you can hear angels voices
    they are always singing
    The children are always singing early in the morning
    Tell me what you are going to do for the nowadays youths sir
    GAME OVER


  36. It’s probally ironical and coincidental that the DEMS’ introduced a similar housing initiative they called, ‘Housing Every Last Person (HELP),’ which also ‘undermined the NHC.’ The DLP/Maloney partnership gave us ‘Villages at Coverley,’ while the BLP/Maloney partnership, ‘Atlantic Breeze.’ Home owners at both housing projects experienced structural defects of their houses. Both administrations failed to implement progressive housing policies. There aren’t any significant political, philosophical or ideological differences between both political parties, despite Ralph Thorne’s attempts NOW, to convince us otherwise.


  37. The budget debate has once again demonstrated that the opposition contributes nothing to the common good and progress. It is particularly laughable when the opposition presents itself as the advocate of the lower and middle classes. The same people who brought about the impoverishment of the black masses from 2008 to 2018.

    Democracy is obviously not working in Barbados. Time to try something new. Time to ban the opposition! We need a strong leader, not weak speeches.

    We must finally become as successful as the Chinese. So we need a Supreme Leader and obedience to state and party.


  38. “We must finally become as successful as the Chinese.”

    Size matters*

    (*) .


  39. Perhaps Barbados could become Chinese.

    This may go against the grain of western clap trap, but I do have an affinity for the culture, food, philosophies of the East such as the various modalities of TCM Traditional Chinese Medicine exercise practice for mind, body, spirit cultivation.

  40. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    I thought the Budget address was as expected. The PM is clearly not pleased with the level of investment “IN Barbados” by local persons and businesses. So now, they are being incentivised to invest.
    As DrJR pointed out, given the currently lower tax rates, even what are large sounding incentives, due to their method of implementation (reducing taxable income) may not produce total numbers which excite. Yet, given the fiscal outlook, removing larger amounts of revenue would likely have had a backlash too.
    As stated before, I think deeper examination of WHY Barbadians are not investing is needed. To conclude it is solely due to the financial restructuring and a risk averse culture may carry weight, but I think it is much more than that. And for the record, Barbadians are investing, just not “in Barbados”.
    Some have said the strategic plan is too fanciful, yet if you don’t dream big, you get nowhere. And a frequent complaint is the tourism dependency. These do move beyond tourism?


  41. @NO

    Bajans have always been labeled risk averse but it never prevented government paper from being oversubscribed. Risk averse was targeted at investing as opposed to saving.

    Post 2018 we have seen a lower appetite for government paper. Until that study you want materializes, we will have to go with the obvious.


  42. A Budget A Fudge It!

    Economics are usually about keeping your head above water.. but since 2018 Barbadians are learning the art of free dive swimming holding their breath under water counting for 6 years to date and are not even halfway there yet. They probably got about 10 more years to go.


  43. “Debt our Frenemy”

    Debt is a very bad habit but is also very addictive and is difficult to manage
    it’s like carrying a monkey on the back

    It Reminds me of a Chinese Rock*

    (*) “Chinese Rock” is a song written in 1975 by New York punk rock musician Dee Dee Ramone. Inspired by Lou Reed’s “Heroin”, the song openly details the day-to-day struggles of a heroin addict, and is based on Dee Dee’s real-life experiences.

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