An interesting bit of analysis which the recent CADRES poll has produced is on the question of leadership preference by Barbadians with a drill down on the uncertain voter category. Many – including BU – are not surprised that the deputies of the two main political parties scored low, Dale Marshall and the de facto deputy of the Democratic Labour Party (DLP) Richard Sealy who has emerged after the Eager 11 fiasco. Both have a passive political personage which qualifies them for the job.
In the poll at the national level Donville Inniss scored 6.1% and David Estwick scored 1.9%, among the uncertain voters the scores dipped to 4.3% and 2.2% respectively. Given a perceived popularity around town by many politicos who believed they (Inniss/Estwick) enjoyed a greater appeal, the fact that Esther Byer-Suckoo scored 2.4% can be used as a benchmark to judge the serious of the challenge by the two at this time.
What is the significance of Sinckler’s rising popularity despite the part he played in the Eager 11 matter? It doesn’t seem to have affected adversely affected his leadership number.
If Prime Minister Stuart is adamant he will lead the party into the next general election, and the leadership scores remain consistent, what are the options opened to him to win on leadership in the minds of the electorate?
Surely Richard Sealy must be replaced if Byer-Suckoo and Commissiong made it to the leadership preference list ahead of him?
How will the temperamental David Estwick react to hard decisions which Stuart will have to make before the election bell is rung?
How will the hard talking and ambitious Inniss respond if he perceived that he is being marginalized?
So many decisions which have to be made by Prime Minister Stuart and quickly. He does not have the luxury of time and hence the option to use a phased approach is out of the question.