BU Covid Dash – Back to School II

The blogmaster is pleased to hear more urgent discussions taking place about agreeing to protocols and logistics to have face to face classes resume between stakeholders. From anecdotal chatter the majority of parents seem supportive of the effort to restart. The one group offering some resistance seems to be the teacher’s unions.

A word to the teachers. This is a risk reward kind of situation. This is a cost benefit kind of situation. There will be a price to pay if the current way of teaching our children continues. There will be a social cost. If the class size is to large, split is and teach each group on alternate days BUT do some rh thing. The virus from all accounts will be with us for the foreseeable future, let us agree (without the long talk) how the physical plant will be changed to mitigate the risks at play.

Time to get on with it!

127 comments

  • https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid
    Excess mortality during the Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19)
    by Charlie Giattino, Hannah Ritchie, Max Roser, Esteban Ortiz-Ospina and Joe Hasell

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  • And David what private you talking ’bout? Nothing is so private that a well constructed academic project cannot be created to determine the excess deaths. And notice I say “excess deaths” not cause of death. To simplify if 100 people ever the age of 80 died in May 2020 compared to 60 in May 2019, and 63 in May 2018 and 59 in May 2017absent a hurricane or other major catastrophic event, then excess deaths were likely caused by Covid.

    .

    Liked by 1 person

  • David; I posted the Covid-19 updates for this week earlier tonight.

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  • @Bush Tea February 18, 2022 9:05 PM “Those who went along with the scam were well rewarded…Those who resisted were badly victimized…”

    Can you share the documents which verify your statements with us. Thanks

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  • Who has access to your birth certificate David?

    You
    Mother
    Father
    All your siblings
    All your children
    The staff at the registry
    So is it private?

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  • So here are the XS deaths for Barbados.

    Looks like only March 2021 was a problem.

    However, March 2021 was no big deal for COVID in Barbados so the spike must have been some other cause of death.

    So if we were to average the graph for XS deaths, we would see we have not had any XS deaths in Barbados.

    The conclusion is that of the 303 “Covid Deaths” recorded, 300+ were people who died WITH COVID and not of it.

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  • Our COVID problem was thus a figment of our imagination, possibly brought on by mass hypnosis.

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  • I don’t know if I would go for the mass hypnosis explanation.

    Maybe it is some form of radiation.

    Could be that if you live close the the TV tower in St. Thomas it may be possible to get your brain fried by the Electro magnetic radiation.

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  • JOHN KNOX
    THE COVID PLANNED-DEMIC HAS NOTING TO DO WITH MEDICINE
    IT HAS ALL TO DO WITH THE WORD MENT, DERIVED FROM MENS-MENTIS=MIND
    IT HAS TO DO WITH CONTROL OF MINDS BY GOVERNMENTS

    NOTE WHAT IS HAPPENING IN NZ AUSTRALIA USA AND CANADA, EVEN AS WE SPEAK

    STUDY DANIEL 8 AND REVELATION
    AND SEE THE CORRELATION OF THE CHARACTERS OF ANTIOCHUS EPIPHANES WHO IS A PROTOTYPE OF THE COMING ONE WORLD RULER, REFERRED TO AS THE ANTICHRIST.

    IN 1 JOHN THE APOSTLE TELLS US THAT EVEN IN HIS DAY THERE WERE MANY ANTICHRISTS AROUND, JUST AS THERE HAVE BEEN FOR AGES, AND ARE EVEN AROUND TO DAY.

    COVID IS UNDER THE CONTROL OF THE DEVIL AS HE CONTINUES TO PREPARE THE MINDS OF THE PEOPLE OF THE WORLD FOR THE RISE OF ANTICHRIST, AS CLEARLY PRESENTED IN 2 THESSALONIANS 2:4-5.
    SOUND DOCTRINE THAT CAN NOT BE REFUTED FOR THE WORD OF GOD SAYS SO.

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  • @Simple Simon

    If we were to graph 2 years of ‘excess deaths’ would it be a robust enough data sample to support the conclusions you seek?

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  • Here is what we look like when compared with Brazil which has had dreadful floods in the first half of last year and now again in the first half of this year.

    The impact of floods is obvious on the excess deaths in Brazil.

    Floods screw up the infrastructure of a country particularly the water supply as it allows sewage to mix with the potable water source.

    Any esoteric virus which may not have been in existence before can spread.

    If it were cholera or polio or some other known waterborne disease that was a problem in Brazil we would accept it.

    Some wicked body has developed COVID with a survivability way beyond normal as well as being lethal under some circumstances.

    They have done so at a time when weather cycles promote its spread.

    Barbados does not have a problem with excess deaths in the period for which data is available.

    We will have to wait to see what happens for the last few months.

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  • The recent floods at Petropolis in Brazil were deadly.

    But take a look at the terrain and the density of housing and you will see why disease is bound to spread in the wake of the disaster.

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  • Critical Analyzer

    Excess deaths must also be broken down by age groups and for such a small country as ours, we also need to look at it on both a percentage and numbers basis since numbers in some categories will be so small that an increase by 1 can cause a 100% increase and end up being misleading.

    Individual medical history is and should remain private information as how you choose to treat your ailments has nothing to do with me and how I choose to treat mine. However, there are ways and means of anonymizing, accumulating and presenting that private information to benefit the public.

    I have a huge problem when public health officials start using private information to make medical decisions on my behalf affecting my family’s livelihoods and medical health and we are to take their word they correctly interpreted said private data. When anyone seeks to make decisions that will impact my life especially medical health, I expect a proper explanation, access to the data, studies and articles used to form your recommendation.

    Our country has the most complete, comprehensive and robust COVID datasets in the entire world at our finger tips because of the unique centralized COVID management strategy we adopted from the start. We should have done much better with that data and still can.

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  • @David
    Your question as to “how a situation such as we have seen over the past two years could has been projected worldwide” has been answered by Simple Simon’s many posts.
    Most people ‘know not, and they know not that they know not’. So they go with the ‘information’ coming from the authorities.
    When these ‘authorities’ are FUNDED by nefarious cliques of evil multi-billionaires, even well-meaning governments (like Barbados) are CONSTRAINED to follow the narrative. (Have a PRIVATE chat with any intelligent local scientist and you will get a much more practical perspective than is their PUBLIC utterances).

    @ John
    Good move to compare ‘covid’ deaths with ‘normal’ deaths to come up with EXCESS deaths.
    But ,..A BETTER move is to compare ‘current’ deaths with ‘STATISTICALLY NORMAL’ deaths, (which can be EASILY calculated given the KNOWN average life-span and the current population.)
    Bushie challenges you or Lyallsmall to put your graphical skills to use to illustrate this CRITICAL metric.
    This would throw a whole new light on the REAL problem that we face….. and the REAL CAUSE of that problem.

    @ Simple
    If you are unaware of the $$BILLIONS in REWARDS that have been dished out to countries, researchers, hospitals, doctors and government officials who supported the narrative….
    …and of the victimization, rejection, threats, and insults that have been the lot of those who DARED to challenge that narrative….
    Then you should change your name to ‘Clueless Bajan”…. But Bushie is NOT going to argue with you. even if you don’t.

    @GP
    Are you sure about your timelines…?
    Is it not MUCH later that this schedule seem to suggest? Bushie wonders….!!!
    The REAL challenge of the Covid fiasco is now about to unravel (it started already, but most of us are like Cuhdear Bajan)….and if John or Lyallsmall can come up with that graph that Bushie requested, we will see why…..

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  • “NOTE WHAT IS HAPPENING IN NZ AUSTRALIA USA AND CANADA, EVEN AS WE SPEAK

    STUDY DANIEL 8 AND REVELATION
    AND SEE THE CORRELATION OF THE CHARACTERS OF ANTIOCHUS EPIPHANES WHO IS A PROTOTYPE OF THE COMING ONE WORLD RULER, REFERRED TO AS THE ANTICHRIST.

    IN 1 JOHN THE APOSTLE TELLS US THAT EVEN IN HIS DAY THERE WERE MANY ANTICHRISTS AROUND, JUST AS THERE HAVE BEEN FOR AGES, AND ARE EVEN AROUND TO DAY.”

    Are you a superhero or a villain in the Marvel Dr.Strange Multiverse of Madness movie

    Lets go back through the heroes and most importantly who preceded them as influencers

    Jesus circa 2,000 years ago was preceded by Buddha circa 2,400 years ago who was preceded by Shiva

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/religion/religions/hinduism/deities/shiva.shtml

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  • Each country has its specific problems.

    Clearly Brazil is different with its flooding and dense urban populations.

    Geography and weather are against them.

    Here’s what Martinique and Guadeloupe look like when compared with Brazil.

    Except for the spike during their floods they have not done badly and their excess death % fluctuates around zero..

    You may remember when France sent medical teams to their departments in the Caribbean to help.

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  • Australia and New Zealand are quite interesting too.

    Flooding occurred there and cases rose but compared with Brazil, they have been relatively lucky where excess deaths are concerned.

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  • Denmark when compared with Brazil is even more interesting.

    Here’s what the deaths due to COVID looks like.

    Two spikes in 2020 and currently on the way up which would appear to be bad.

    Now, here is the excess deaths of the two countries.

    You will see that the current excess deaths are not rising as the deaths due to COVID rises.

    They are falling like a rock.

    And those spikes in COVID deaths in 202, are not apparent in the excess deaths graphs.

    This anomaly may or may not be found in other countries.

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  • The other thing to look at is the excess deaths in Denmark are above zero during 2021, the year of the vaccines!!

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  • Your measure of ‘Excess deaths’ is a relative concept that assumes that the pre-covid situation as a baseline.
    In case we forget, PRE-Covid, our world was a MESS, racing towards the same chaotic end…. just at a slower pace.

    A more meaningful BASE POINT Of REFERENCE would be the STATISTICALLY NORMAL DEATH RATE, so that ‘excess deaths’ could be gauged versus what should be statistically NORMAL.
    …and even simple Simon can calculate the statistically normal rate – given the universally accepted average life span and the number of BBs awaiting our turns…

    The TRUTH always sets us free….

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  • @Bush Tea

    Seems that we need several baselines to satisfy an audience that will never be satisfied. This is the world we live.

    Like

  • Just putting up what’s available.

    Check Simple Simon’s site in comment 101 to see how the calculations are done.

    Here is Sweden when compared again with Brazil.

    Covid deaths per million

    XS deaths from all causes.

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  • @ John
    So how are you explaining the relatively common spikes in 2021 across a variety of countries?
    Floods…?”
    or vaccine rollouts..?

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  • GP EX SCHOLAR REPORTING FROM MY GROUND

    @GP
    Are you sure about your timelines…?
    Is it not MUCH later that this schedule seem to suggest? Bushie wonders….!!!

    INDEED I AM.SIR VERY SURE
    I BELIEVE THAT WE ARE ON THE TRESHOLD OF THE RAPTURE OF THE CHURCH, WHICH WILL PRECEDE THE RISE OF ANTICHRIST AS CLEARLY TAUGHT IN 2 THESSALONIANS 2; 4FF

    DANIEL 2,7 IS THE SAME INFO BASICALLY
    CHAPTER 2 GIVES MAN’S PERSPECTIVE
    CHAPTER 7 GIVES GOD’S PERSPECTIVE

    IN BOTH THERE ARE 4 KINGDOMS, WHICH HAVE ALL COME AND GONE, AND THERE IS ALSO A FIFTH KINGDOM YET TO COME, AND THERE IS A COUNTERFEIT KING TO COME TOO- THE ANTICHRIST

    IN CHAP 2 THIS FIFTH KINGDOM IS THAT OF THE STONE WITH OUT HANDS THAT BRINGS THE IMAGE DOWN. BY READING SEVERAL OTHER SCRIPTURES E.G ZECHARIAH 3 ETC THE STONE IS EASILY IDENTIFIED AS CHRIST, CALLED THE SON OF MAN IN CHAPTER 7 V13

    IN BOTH CHAPTERS THERE IS ALSO A SINISTER PERSON, IDENTIFIED BY ALL SERIOUS SINCERE SOUND SCHOLARS AS ANTICHRIST.

    IN LUKE 24 JESUS HIMSELF TELLS US THAT THE TIME PERIOD THAT BEGAN WITH THE BABYLONIAN CAPTIVITY IS THE TIMES OF THE GENTILES, AND IT RECOUNTS THE TIME LINE FROM THEN TO HIS GLORIOUS APPEARING AT HIS EPIPHANEA. I.E THE SECOND PHASE OF HIS SECOND COMING.

    IN CHAP 8 THE DISCUSSION REVOLVES FIRST AROUND A KING WHO WILL ARISE OUT OF THE GREEK KINGDOM AFTER THE DEATH OF ALEXANDER THE GREAT.. THIS KING HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED AS ANTIOCHUS EPIPHANES IV.

    IN THE SECOND PART OF CHAPTER 8, THE ACCOUNT OF THE CHARACTERISTICS OF THIS MAN IS GIVEN IN SUCH A WAY AS TO INDICATE THAT SOME ELSE OF SIMILAR SINISTER BEHAVIOUR IS BEING DESCRIBED. THIS IS OF COURSE THE ANTICHRIST.

    THE FINAL PART OF THIS CHAPTER REVEALS WHAT ANTICHRIST WILL BE LIKE.
    IN I JOHN, THE APOSTLE WAS BOLD TO SAY THAT EVEN NOW THERE ARE MANY ANTICHRISTS. DO YOU DOUBT HIM WHEN YOU SEE BIDEN AND TRUDEAUX AND MUGABE ETC IN ACTION. I DONT.

    IF YOU UNDERSTAND DANIEL 2,7, 8 ET SECQ YOU CAN FIT THIS ALL INTO REVELATION 13-18.
    THEY EVEN SET UP AN IMAGE OF THE BEAST OF REVELATION BEFORE THE UN HEADUARTERS IN NY. THERE IS ANOTHER ONE IN BRUSSELS I THINK

    REVELATION CAN NOT BE UNDERSTOOD IF OLD TESTAMENT PROPHETIC SCRIPTURES ARE NOT WELL UNDERSTOOD. JUST AS IF YOU ONLY PICK UP THE MISSISSIPI AS IT POURS INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO IN LOUISIANNA, YOU HAVE MISSED THE MISSISSIPPI. JUST AS SEVERAL STREAMS AND RIVULETS AND RIVERS ENTER THE MISSISSIPPI, SO DOES THE STREAMS AND RIVULETS AND RIVERS OF BIBLE PROPHECY ENTER REVELATION.

    E.G THE RAPTURE OF THE CHURCH COMES IN AT CHAPTER 4-5 FOLLOWING A PREDICTION OF THE COURSE OF THE CHURCH AGE IN CHAPTERS 2-3.

    IN CHAPTER 20, SIX TIMES IT IS MENTIONED ABOUT 100O YEARS, BUT NOTHING IS SAID ABOUT THE MILENNIAL REIGN THERE. THE MILLENNIUM HAS BEEN DISCUSSED HERE AND THERE ALL OVER THE BIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE PSALMS. IF YOU HAVE MISSED THE STREAMS OF THOUGHT THEREOF THROUGHOUT HOLY WRIT, YOU WONT GET IT IN CHAPTER 20, WHICH ONLY REALLY SAYS THIS IS WHERE ALL YOU HAVE PREVIOUSLY READ ABOUT THE MILLENNIAM FITS IN.
    THE FIASCO OF THE SHIPPING SCREW UP IN CALIFORNIATELLS US NOT THAT THE PREDICTION IN REVELATION 18 IS NOW OCCURING, OR EVEN THAT IT WILL HAPPEN THIS WAY, BUT IT JUST DEMONSTRATES THAT IT CAN HAPPEN IN A WAY SIMILAR TO WHAT IS BEING SEEN. A STUDY OF JUDGES EACHES THAT GOD CAN ATTAIN THE SAME RESULT BY VARIATIONS ON THE SAME R SIMILAR THEME OR MOTIF

    RE The REAL challenge of the Covid fiasco is now about to unravel (it started already)
    THIS PLANNED-DEMIC HAS BENEFIITED THOSE WHO HAVE SET IT UP AND PROMOTED IT THROUGH FEAR TO APPEASE THEIR GREED AND LUST FOR POWER AND CONTROL. THIS IS NOTHING NEW. IT IS THE BASIS OF SIN FROM ITS INCEPTION AS IS CLEARLY DESCRIBED IN I JOHN 2:15-16. ONLY ONE MAN HAS REALLY OVERCOME THIS AS IS SEEN BY STUDYING THE TEMPTATIONS OF CHRIST IN MATTHEW 4 AND LUKE 4, AND ABOUT WHICH HEBREWS REPORTS THAT HE WAS IN ALL POINTS TEMPTED AS WE ARE, YET WITHOUT SIN.

    The REAL BOTHER of the Covid fiasco is THAT EVEN THE EVANGELICAL CHURCH HAS NOT SEEN WHAT GOD WANTS THE CHURCH TO SEE.

    IT IS AS JOHN TEACHES IN I JOHN, THE SPIRIT OF ANTICHRIST IS DEFINITELLY RAMPANT AS NEVER BEFORE………AND AS WE SEE IN DANIEL 5, THE WRITING IS MOST SURELY ON THE WALL.

    THE CHURCH AND TRUE BELIEVERS SEEM NOT TO BE SEEING THAT “THEIR SALVATION IS NEARER THAN WHEN THEY FIRST BELIEVED.

    I DONT PLAN TO DIVERT THE BLOG JUST TRYING TO ANSWER YOUR QUESTION AS TO WHAT I BELIEVE

    PERHAPS THIS COULD BE DISCUSSED AS A SUNDAY SERMON, BUT BY WHOM ON BU?
    WE DONT SEEM TO HAVE FOLK HERE ON BU WITH EITHER THE INTELLECT OR INFORMATION OR INCLINATION TO DISCUSS ANY SUBJECT PROPERLY, AND MOST CERTAINLY NOT OF A BIBLICAL MATTER

    BUT THE ABOVE IS SOUND DOCTRINE THAT CAN NOT BE REFUTED

    Like

  • RE @GP
    Are you sure about your timelines…?
    Is it not MUCH later that this schedule seem to suggest? Bushie wonders….!!!
    PLEASE KINDLY NOTE THAT I VERY POLITELY GAVE A SCHOLARLY AND BIBLICAL ANSWER TO YOUR QUESTION, BUT AS HAS RECENTLY BEEN THE CASE MY POST GET TEK DOWN

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  • Here are Japan and Brazil compared with Barbados thrown in for our perspective.

    Japan you can see is practically a flat line at or about 0% for excess deaths.

    Barbados has wilder fluctuations.

    Japan goes positive in 2021, coincidentally the year of the vaccinations but also the year of floods.

    From the graphs it looks like there are times when COVID deaths increasing has no impact on excess deaths and they can actually fall as they are doing across some countries.

    My current thinking is floods trump vaccinations and young people’s and children’s robust immunities.

    Now, here are the actual reported COVID deaths per million.

    You can see the surge Barbados Experienced after the floods in the 2021 wet season translate to excess deaths falling below 0%!!

    I would suggest that the reason is that people who died in this period were classified as dying of COVID when the really died with it.

    Sure there was a surge in cases, but COVID was not as lethal as reported in Barbados.

    Barbados has small numbers unlike Japan and Brazil so the fluctuations will be greater.

    Like

  • @GP February 18, 2022 11:54 PM “NOTE WHAT IS HAPPENING IN… CANADA, EVEN AS WE SPEAK>”

    I see the Ottawa police, the OPP and the RCMP kicking butt…as they are well paid by decent Canadian taxpayers to do.

    I hope that you don’t have a problem wid dat?

    Like

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