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The Governor of the Central Bank Kevin Greenidge is scheduled to deliver the Quarterly Review of Barbados’ Economy today at 11AM. One suspects his delivery will follow the usual script – the economy is continuing to do well on the back of tourism. He will applaud a recent decision of the IMF to ease surcharges on borrowings. If we are lucky Greenidge will apprise Barbadians of the millions in savings on current and future borrowings.

The IMF’s Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva made the time at a press conference in Washington recently to identify Barbados and Jamaica as performing above the global average for economic growth.

In related news the following video highlights the challenge faced by some Americans unable to pay utility bills. Importantly, the inability of the government to effectively regulate affordable rates is the cry. Sounds familiar?

It seems rate increases in Arizona are being approve based on complicated calculations and politics – nothing to do with if citizens can afford to pay high rates. Consumer advocates are being marginalised from the process. Sounds familar?

The consensus (supported in the video above) is that rate agencies like the Fair Trading Commission (FTC) are focused on supporting profit margins of utility companies at the expense of rate policy in the interest of consumers as mandated in the consumer protection legislation. Sounds familiar?

Regrettably the average Barbadian is fast asleep at the wheel while the shadow players continue to laugh all the way to the bank. It probably explains why the plan for Barbados to aggressively penetrate with renewable energy has been derailed because our capacity to store energy was not in the plan.

Thanks to BU family members for sending the two videos.


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46 responses to “IMF ‘pats’ Barbados on the back”


  1. Fitch’s caution

    by SHAWN CUMBERBATCH shawncumberbatch@nationnews.com

    CREDIT RATING AGENCY Fitch is casting doubt on Barbados’ ability to achieve Government’s “ambitious” growth target for the economy.

    Fitch analysts have also concluded that the significant size of the informal economy means the country’s unemployment numbers are likely not being fully captured in official statistics.

    The United States-based entity states this in a credit analysis report published on Monday to elaborate on its decision to upgrade Barbados’ credit rating on October 15.

    With the Central Bank of Barbados due to release its third quarter economic review today, Fitch analysts Joshua Grundleger and Richard Francis said the agency’s forecast was that the Barbados economy would grow by 3.9 per cent this year, 2.8 per cent next year and 2.3 per cent in 2026.

    This prediction of an economic slowdown follows a similar outlook last week by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which expects the economy to grow by 3.9 per cent this year, and three per cent next year before reaching two per cent in 2029.

    The Fitch report says that although Barbados’ economy has fully recovered from the pandemic, despite a slower initial recovery than regional peers, analysts believe gross domestic product (GDP) here will be reduced as the economy “trends toward its potential of around two per cent”.

    “The authorities aim to increase potential growth to between three per cent and five per cent. However, this is ambitious and will require the successful implementation of substantial reforms, including greater digitisation, economic diversification, improvements in the business environment and increases in investment,” it said.

    “Difficulties in increasing storage capacity have hindered progress in switching to renewable energy, a key component of the Government’s domestic Barbados Economic Recovery and Transformation (BERT 2.0) economic reform programme.”

    Fitch officials also indicated that the size of Barbados’ informal economy is a blind spot when measuring unemployment.

    “The economy has been somewhat hampered by demographics. Unemployment was historically low at 6.9 per cent in first quarter 2024. However, this likely does not capture the full scope of the challenge given the significant informal economy – likely about a third of GDP,” they said.

    “The labour force participation rate has shrunk to 60.9 per cent and many skilled workers are emigrating, particularly to the United States and Canada.”

    They added: “There has been growing interest in improving immigration to entice both skilled and unskilled workers – particularly given stagnating population growth of just a few thousand people (two per cent) over the past decade – although a plan is yet to be implemented.”

    Fitch also noted that Government, with the assistance of the Barbados-based Caribbean Regional Technical Assistance Centre, an IMF body, “finalised its rebased GDP series this year and is working with the IMF on producing GDP by expenditure statistics” for Barbados.

    Source: Nation


  2. Don’t we all pat our little pets on the back ..to encourage them, and to gain their unquestioned love and admiration?
    Barbados and Jamaica are two of the best examples of “IMF mendicancy” currently available. After DECADES of IMF, Jamaica is STILL a pet…
    Jamaica’s former finance minister was just rewarded for his pet-like loyalty to the IMF, and Barbados’ finance minister is thought to be lobbying for a similar pat on the back.

    The fact that the vast majority in both of those societies has fallen through the cracks, has been completely ignored by the IMF, the politicians, and the warped Press.

    Measuring National performance by GDP should be a crime against humanity.
    Just by getting a few wealthy persons interested in a place can boost the GDP significantly.
    HOWEVER we all know that such persons (such as Parkland, SAGICOR, MASSY, C&W, DIGICEL etc) actually EXTRACT resources from the society – leaving the destitute EVEN POORER… and not even able to buy good food.

    To compensate, they often provide lucrative BRIBES to the local facilitators of such traitorship… some even provided with annual PENSIONS of $6 Million, and with every possible national honor….

    A blind brass bowl on a lazy donkey can see what is ACTUALLY happening to the average citizen, YET we let these traitors get away with talking shiite about ‘economic growth’.

    What a place
    What a farce…


  3. Yes indeed @Bush Tea. It puts me in mind of how the Bishop of London praised the enslaved people of Barbados as they converted to Christianity to develop “… a race of young Christian negroes… ”exemplary for their “… humility, submission, and obedience to their masters;”
    — Beilby Porteous, Bishop of London, “A Letter to the Governors, Legislatures, and Proprietors of Plantations in the British West India Islands.” (London, 1808)


  4. Sweet talk from de guvnah.


  5. Did the Governor just say there is a heavy focus on renewable energy?


  6. Jamaica population of around 3 million and around 70 percent currently living in poverty.

    Statistics provided by the current Jamaica Government with over 8 years in office.

    What the Finance Minister is being awarded for is keeping his people in slavery and IMF hand around their throat ongoing for over 40 years.

    Yet some idiots has praised him as a great Finance Minister. Him and Chris Sinclair must have studied at the same schools.


  7. @David “Regretabbly the average Barbadian is fast asleep at the wheel”

    David how can we be sleeping, when studying how we will pay our bill have us not being able to sleep at night?


  8. “Britain’s former colonies should be thankful for the legacy of empire, not demanding reparations, according to the Conservative leadership candidate Robert Jenrick. In comments that were described by a Labour MP as “deeply offensive”, the former minister said countries that were part of the empire “owe us a debt of gratitude for the inheritance we left them” in the form of legal and democratic institutions.
    Source: The Guardian of October 29, 2024

    No need to go back to Beilby Porteous, Bishop of London, “A Letter to the Governors, Legislatures, and Proprietors of Plantations in the British West India Islands.” (London, 1808)

    As of October 29, 2024 the British are still lying to themselves and the rest of the world; either that or they are completely deluded.


  9. [Kemi] “Badenoch has also spoken out against reparations, claiming that British politicians are “too embarrassed” to be visibly against the idea. “I would not put my name to any document that mentioned reparations,” she told the Telegraph.”

    Badenoch could really sit down and shut up, since she will never be British PM, nor Chancellor of the Excheqer


  10. @Simple Simon

    Which makes us what then?


  11. What copium!


  12. I am listening to Down to Brasstacks and the discussions are heated.

    Hostility is intense. BLPDLP as usual.


  13. Wisdom
    A pat on the back is better than a kick in the gonads which hurts a lot

    Some motivational shorts:

    Everything will unfold in its timing and I accept that ✨
    Repeat after me
    I will not stress about things
    I cannot control
    I will not rush things
    that are taking longer
    than I expect
    Everything will unfold in it’s timing
    and I accept that

    Which one are you?
    Sometimes I need power
    Sometimes I need peace
    Sometimes I need to rest completely

    Everything will falls into place and you are on the right path 🌟
    If you only hear one thing today
    let it be this:
    you’re on the right path
    you are right on time
    don’t stress over things
    you don’t have control over
    everything will fall into place
    better doors will open
    and you will not need to force it

    Stop Missing Life: How to Be Present in Every Moment
    Stop rushing so much
    Stop stressing and worrying
    about the past
    and the future.
    Stop wasting your precious
    seconds on this earth
    by making everything about
    things you cannot change
    or control

    I read a quote that said
    “Time is going to pass anyway,
    whether you spend it how you want,
    or let it slip by”
    The question is…
    Will you look back,
    and wonder where it went?
    People will always have
    something to say
    about your choices.

    Worth it
    is reliant on an outcome
    We don’t make these things
    for an outcome
    it’s not the mindset
    to make something great.
    The outcome happens
    You’re making the best thing
    you can make
    it’s a devotional practice

    (Our father who art in Zion
    Hallowes be Thy name)
    So Much to be greatful for …
    Oh father I love thee more than words can say
    Oh Yahwey I need you each and everyday eh ehhh
    Look into my life you see what God has done
    And count my blessings one by one.
    Oh Jah is been good to me
    In the midst of my enemies
    Preparing a table for me eee yeeh
    My life
    My love .I shall be given
    Oh my life will never be better
    Only if man could see
    They are the only voice
    They try to impede me
    Oh you bless my heart so abundantly
    Jehovah Jireh I give You the glory
    My life is so worldwidely veiled
    And my though I give all the giving
    Ooo ohh
    Cause my life is …
    (Chorus till fade)


  14. Whatever happened to that 50 acres the Government was to acquire from Drax by compulsory acquisition?

  15. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    It is November 1, and still no report from the Auditor General. The last report in September 2023 set a new record for tardiness. Another record awaits (we hope)
    We are now 14 months past August 2023 when the PM told the Nation NIS Reports from ’10-16 had been completed? Not one has been issued publicly.
    Not a single Annual Report from any public entity has been presented to the House in 2024 (that I can find)
    Meanwhile ‘we borrowing’ from every bi-multi lateral group we can find, but haven’t a clue exactly how those borrowed funds are being used. Truss-muh?
    Elsewhere, I had commented on the likelihood of BRA sites, like visitor driving permit (who else has that in 2024?) were down, only to receive an email two days ago, confirming the hack and warning that sensitive information may have been compromised.
    How many Ministers do we have?


  16. Has a communication been put out by the AG’s office? Has traditional media sought to clarify why the late disclosure?


  17. Do you know that in a randomized, double-blind clinical trial, some patients show improvement though they are on placebo?

    The placebo is usually some inert/inactive substance but some patients would swear about it miraculous properties and demand more.

    Thank God for the placebo effect.

    Old wine, old wineskins. When is the AG report coming out?


  18. Economic boost.

    “The Barmy Army will be back in Bridgetown over the next week, with hotels and guest houses likely to be at full capacity as the West Indies prepare to face England on three occasions throughout the white-ball series here in Barbados at Kensington Oval.”


  19. “The Sanitation Service Authority (SSA) is battling an acute shortage of collection vehicles, an SSA spokesman acknowledged on Thursday.”

    https://barbadostoday.bb/2024/11/01/ssa-faces-vehicle-shortage/

  20. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    David your questions should never require an answer.
    This is how the island got into the NIS mess. The Act says very clearly, the Board shall report annually on its activities covering the preceding year. It also says it shall report on the monies invested, and furnish accounts to the Auditor General. And do so by June 30th.
    It does NOT say, if your accounts are not ready, you are NOT to report on activities or investments?
    But the political class used the switch in accounting methods to NOT report on anything.
    In a similar fashion the Auditor General should be reporting by a date, and sharing whatever is complete at that time.


  21. @ Cuhdear Bajan,

    I’m sorry to disappoint you that the Conservatives have just voted for an African coconut to become their next leader. Her views are compatible with a number of “relatively recent” African immigrants to the UK who have piggy-banked on the endeavours of those who came before them.

    Her views are more hard cored than traditional right-wing conservatives. Don’t get me wrong, I am in favour of the Caribbean reconnecting with mother Africa. However, we need to be alert to that continent’s intentions and mindset. Particularly West Africans.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2024/nov/02/tory-leadership-election-results-live-kemi-badenoch-robert-jenrick-new-conservative-leader?filterKeyEvents=false&page=with:block-6725c4308f0869c6d52e49ea#block-6725c4308f0869c6d52e49ea


  22. ◄ Psalm 68:2 ►
    As smoke is driven away, so you shall drive them away; as wax melts before fire, so the wicked shall perish before God!

    “The evil that men do lives after them;
    The good is oft interred with their bones.”
    ― William Shakespeare, Julius Caesar
    tags: acts, death, deeds, evil, good, legacy, remembrance, reputation

    The Curse of the Evil Slavers
    You could say that when Cameron rejected Jamaica’s call for Reparations in 2015 he brought bad luck onto himself, Tories and anal Racist Brits who had+ a Brexit shit.

    https://taxjustice.net/2020/06/09/slavery-compensation-uk-questions/

    Vampire Slayers must Smoke them away + Pray them away

    The Scientist Rids The World Of Intergalactic Vampires Killers…..


  23. What clarification do you seek Boss..?

    Perhaps it is clearer now, why the persistent call by Grenville for the adoption of ISO9000 codes of practice CANNOT be entertained in Brassbados.

    These codes make it VERY DIFFICULT to hide fraud, incompetence and non-performance.
    Codes are therefore extremely bothersome to incompetents, who over promise and under perform.
    Also, codes and standards are BUILT on transparency, which itself is something that is like a poison to those bent on dishonesty, fraud and political mischief.

    Unfortunately, this aversion to transparency and standards of performance pervades the WHOLE society, not just the clowns currently running things. So if there is any surprise – it is that the Auditor General was allowed to be an outlier for such a long period before falling (or being pulled back) into the barrel with the other pathetic BBs.

    The only likely end – is complete chaos – as all our systems suffer the same fate of incompetence and poor quality. When BBs are unable to eat, access clean water or affordable energy, it will finally dawn on us that we reap exactly what we sow….


  24. doom and gloom.


  25. badong bam.


  26. Cringeworthy photograph! Yes, a pat received as by a “good dog” is how it struck me.

    Pathetic!

    Garbage truck shortage? Where is the monthy fee going? Last time it went ILLEGALLY to pay for water infrastructure. My garbage truck was back on the road for about three weeks. Like um brek down again.

    Square One is more than a Bajan band. It is our starting point and ending point!

    Brace for shortages and higher produce prices as our Minister of Agriculture long talks about embracing new technologies!

    We have not learnt one damn thing from covid.

    Firing back up my garden!


  27. Things are improving.

    Another credit rating upgrade

    BARBADOS HAS RECEIVED a second credit rating upgrade in less than a month and Minister in the Ministry of Finance Ryan Straughn says this is good news for the financing of projects.

    With Fitch Ratings having upgraded Barbados’ credit rating from ‘B’ to ‘B+’ with a stable outlook on October 15, Standard & Poor’s (S& P) announced on Tuesday that it upgraded Barbados’ credit rating from ‘B-’ to ‘B’ and assigned a positive outlook.

    S& P attributed the upgrade to Barbados’ successful fiscal reforms, pointing to “considerable progress in strengthening public sector finances, generating fiscal primary surpluses and lowering the sovereign’s debt burden”.

    “The Government has also undertaken pension reforms, mitigating age-related spending pressures. The positive outlook reflects the likelihood of another upgrade if the Government continues to implement policies that support balanced economic growth and stronger public finances which would create a policy track record that would indicate a more favourable institutional assessment,” the credit rating agency said.

    Straughn reacted to the announcement yesterday when he and Michael Perks, The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) staff mission chief for Barbados, spoke at a press conference at Government Headquarters after the financial institution’s review of its arrangements with Barbados.

    The minister said in relation to the upgrades from Fitch and S& P that “for a number of the projects that are contemplated for execution in the country – both on public side as well as on the private side – it means that it will be the lowering of financing costs directly related to those private entities as well as Government moving forward”.

    Even after the latest upgrades, Barbados still does not have an investment grade rating, but Straughn said Government had not yet determined when it would return to the international capital market for financing.

    “We have been monitoring very carefully what’s been happening in the global market. Interest rates rose sharply over the course of the last two years or so in an attempt to address global inflation and, therefore, we continue to monitor what’s happening within the international space to determine whether we need to seek international financing in the way that we did in the past,” he explained.

    “We have relied significantly on the IMF as well as other [multilateral development banks] in support of financing our programme to date and therefore with each upgrade, it makes the prospects for Barbados much better in relation to not just what happens in the international market, but, certainly, within the domestic space, as we have restarted the local capital market.”

    Straughn added: “So I think, in short, the news for Barbadians is that certainly the Government is on the right track in relation to that independent monitoring. Barbadians can feel more confident that if they purchase treasury bills or any of the bonds that they have, that there’s genuine backing to support any rate that is put up there in relation to Government paper.

    “But we will continue to focus on

    Source: Nation


  28. It was Sinckler who implemented this 2% fee of foreign transactions? It was Sinckler who moved VAT rate to 17.5% in the bad times? Mottley has decided to maintain the fee and Vat rate.

    No plan to lift 2% exchange fee

    GOVERNMENT HAS NO immediate plans to end the two per cent foreign exchange fee Barbadians pay whenever they conduct foreign exchange transactions.

    This is despite a continued recommendation from the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Barbados staff mission team to do so.

    Central Bank data shows that the fee, which was first introduced in 2017, has earned Government $493.3 million in revenue over the past six financial years. It added a further $52.9 million to the public purse between April and September.

    In the IMF’s most recent Barbados country report published in June, the IMF staff advised: “With long-standing capital controls continuing to provide protection against capital outflows and a substantial improvement in macroeconomic conditions in recent years, the authorities should consider removing the foreign exchange fee introduced in 2017.”

    At a press conference yesterday, mission chief for Barbados Michael Perks said the staff was still recommending the two per cent fee be ended.

    “I think that’s the position, it’s been in successive [IMF Barbados country] reports. Is it at this stage an absolutely macro-critical measure to push through? I don’t think so,” he added.

    Minister in the Ministry of Finance Ryan Straughn said Government wanted to monitor the performance of the corporation tax reform measures before determining what it would do with the foreign exchange fee. This included not just the performance of the initial corporate tax change which took effect in January, but “into next year” in relation to the Qualified Domestic Minimum Top-up Tax that is linked to the global minimum tax regime.

    “Now to be quite honest and fair, we have had . . . almost every year, some shock that causes us to have to spend more money and notwithstanding that, we’ve had access to financing, that [foreign exchange fee] has been a reliable revenue stream,” he said.

    “Until we see the corporation tax and how that performs, I can’t tell you that we will revisit that anytime particularly soon, unless we are very comfortable that we have come out of this [challenging period].” (SC)

    Source: Nation


  29. @ David,

    Is this the right way to spend a country’s sovereign wealth fund? It appears that this is a bold faced cash for votes bribe.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/06/guyana-cash-payouts-oil-wealth


  30. @TLSN

    Political parties and politicians are in the business of shoring up their popularity.


  31. help for QEH.


  32. “Political parties and politicians are in the business of shoring up their popularity.”
    ~~~~~~~
    It is therefore OK…?

    Do you realize that such an attitude (to such gross mismanagement of national resources) represents complicity on BU’s part?

    You are doubtless aware of similar politics in Brassbados. That of mass bribery, usually politically motivated.
    It is not only wasteful, but it creates a national culture of mendicancy, which is the antithesis to true human development.

    What a place and time!
    Wrong is OK and righteousness is taboo.


  33. @Bush Tea

    The statement is a truism. It allows us to set expectations. This is the wart on what some will critique about our form of democracy.


  34. ““Political parties and politicians are in the business of shoring up their popularity*””

    (*) that should be power*

    To improve your credit rating you go on a borrowing spree and charge it to the game.

    If long talk and spin was a resource Barbados would be wealthier.

    My personal perspective about politics is it boils down to the choice between bad and worse.

    Capitalism Colonialism in full effect:
    Barbados has a lot of wealth inequality where onus should be on lifting up standard of life for the bottom end in the poor side of town, but Politics is run by and for the people at the top end the bread heads.

    A shake up turnaround will be achieved when things get worse and students start to protest and talk about socialism and marxism and then get involved in politics and run and win power.

    La La La, Alton Ellis, Lourenço Marques, Dub Specialist


  35. @TLSN November 2, 2024 at 7:32 am “Cuhdear Bajan, I’m sorry to disappoint you that the Conservatives have just voted for an African coconut to become their next leader.”

    A place holder. She will NEVER be British PM.

    As soon as the Conservative party is within sniffing distance of an election victory, out she goes, and in come a “public school boy”


  36. A tiny footnote in history, that’s all.


  37. Tax holiday up to 25 years.

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