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Some of us continue to be very concerned about the fiscal affairs of Barbados despite feel good statements coming from those in authority. A recent media report (see below) lends credence to the concern.

Why should it require budgeted subventions if it has been well documented SOEs like the Caribbean Broadcasting Corporation (CBC), Barbados Agricultural Development Marketing Inc (BADMC), Transport Authority and a few others are in a constant state of being cash-strapped and described as insolvent?

According to the media report there is a high risk that these entities may require unbudgeted subventions during fiscal year 2024/25. Despite over 11 million dollars being allocated in supplementaries for these entities at the close of the last financial year. The cancelled plan for the House to meet on a Saturday to vote additional monies was required after all? What is the blogmaster missing?

A restructure of SOEs was promised by the previous government but it was too ‘chicken’ to implement recommendations from the Justin Robinson led committee for political reasons. Although the Mottley government has received an unprecedented mandate to govern, it too has no appetite to cutout the fat of funding SOEs. In a recent disclosure former minister in a BLP cabinet Anthony Wood validated what is widely known, SOEs are used by government to provide employment for party supporters. O what a web we weave when we practice to deceive.

The blogmaster is happy economic indicators continue to improve post the pandemic BUT is not convinced the economy is on a good footing. The debt to GDP ratio has improved BUT it has done so because of how well the volatile tourism sector is currently performing. Inflation and employment indicators continue to be a concern. We should keep an eye on the significant increase in interest cost as a result of the many loans negotiated with variable conditions attached which seems to have caught Barbadians unaware that international lenders hardly agree to fix term interest rates. And of late the creep in the price of oil given its high proportion of the domestic import bill.

The recent Estimates confirmed there is a significant deficit in the current fiscal statement that has to be funded and with continuing bailouts for some of the insolvent SOEs expected in the current financial year, it does not help to improve Barbados’ fiscal state.

Recent revelations of squandermania of public finances associated with the Chinese steel houses transaction and the financial dark hole about the little known Clearwater Bay exposes a lack of financial discipline by government despite all the feel good reports from the talking heads. The commentary contained in the Auditor General Reports post 2018 have not changed.

What does it say when government has to vote additional monies for SOEs with a tired financial record of non performance and deemed to be insolvent? Does it inspire confidence? Is this a case of the Prime Minister having to appease a favoured unionist sitting outside the Cabinet BUT operating in the inner sanctum as it relates to government’s sluggish rationalising of SOEs?


HIGH-RISK’ SOEs

Government may have to bail out cash-strapped entities

By Shawn Cumberbatch

shawncumberbatch@nationnews.com

Government may have to allocate millions of dollars to continue bailing out some cash-strapped state-owned enterprises (SOEs).

A new Fiscal Risk Statement from the Ministry of Finance says there is evidence that a number of SOEs, including the Barbados Agricultural Development Marketing Inc. (BADMC), the Caribbean Broadcasting Corporation ( CBC) and the Transport Board are likely to be short of cash and other liquid resources needed to pay their debts this year.

The authorities say this means that “given the traditional reliance on Government to settle arrears of the SOEs in times where they have been cash-strapped, there is a high risk that these entities may require unbudgeted subventions during fiscal year 2024/25”.

In recent supplementaries approved by Parliament before the last financial year ended on March 31, $4 million was allocated to settle outstanding arrears of the Transport Board, and $2.5 million was voted “to meet the expenditure for the payment of pensions and operations of CBC”.

There was also $4.6 million for the BADMC “to enhance water solutions under the [Farmers’ Empowerment and Enfranchisement Drive] programme by expanding the irrigation networks including pumphouses and distribution piping at Wakefield, Spencers, Bath and Mount Poyer”.

Weak revenue growth

In the 2024 Fiscal Risk Statement, which is a requirement of the Public Finance Management Act of 2019, the Ministry of Finance said “weak revenue growth for most commercial enterprises and a high reliance on Government subventions to meet operating expenses have meant consolidated net losses of commercial public enterprises before subventions”.

“A number of SOEs have been deemed insolvent as current assets are unable to cover liabilities. Additionally, some commercial entities’ revenues have not fully rebounded post peak pandemic,” it reported.

“This had led to an accumulation of short-term liabilities that must be settled to avoid an untenable arrears position for the public sector. The financial performance of public enterprise poses potential risk to Government as financing shortages necessitate increased transfers to these enterprises. This includes the settlement of short- and long-term liabilities.”

Consolidated net loss

The report said “the consolidated net loss of commercial public enterprises before subventions totalled $49.9 million for fiscal year 2023/24, compared to $226.4 million for fiscal year 2022/23”.

It added: “Non-commercial entities registered losses of approximately $164.7 million for fiscal year 2023/24 compared to $139.8 million for fiscal year 2022/23. Overall, liquidity ratios generated for the current financial year reflect medium and low risks for the commercial and non-commercial SOEs, respectively.”

The BADMC, CBC and Transport Board were listed among the statutory entities with negative debt-to-equity ratios, indicating they were insolvent. The challenge facing CBC, the Transport Board and other SOEs is short-, medium- and longterm in nature in several instances.

“Solvency ratios generally indicate whether the entities have sufficient cash flow to meet their long-term liabilities and thus measure the financial health of the entity,” the Fiscal Risk Statement explained.

Nation Newspaper

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55 responses to “Stop it!”


  1. Wondering, given the various definitions, if Water is a public good?


  2. Breaking news of national importance.


  3. So many issues to discuss in the country.

    Govt cautioned over SOEs

    by SHAWN CUMBERBATCH

    shawncumberbatch@nationnews.com

    INTERNATIONAL CREDIT RATING agency Fitch is cautioning that additional financial bailouts of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) could test Government’s budget balance and its ability to reduce debt faster.

    Fitch Ratings also believes that if millions of dollars in possible future claims at SOEs materialise, thereby increasing Government’s spending and leaving little room for adjustments, it “would be at odds with IMF (International Monetary Funds) programme targets”.

    The credit rating agency stated this yesterday in a report published after its analysis of the 2024 Fiscal Risk Statement from the Ministry of Finance, Economic Affairs and Investment.

    “Barbados’ Fiscal Risk Statement highlights the high, ongoing risk to central government finances from SOEs. Materialisation of contingent liabilities could require additional unbudgeted expenses, potentially weighing on the government’s fiscal position,” Fitch said.

    It noted that “support for SOEs is a long-standing challenge for Barbados”.

    “Significant efforts in recent years under the Barbados Economic Recovery and Transformation plans and IMF programmes to reform governance, oversight, financial management and operational efficiency helped reduce total net sector losses (before government support) to $214.6 million (1.7 per cent of GDP) in fiscal year 2023/24 from $529.1 million (5.3 per cent) in fiscal year 2021/22,” Fitch said.

    “Improved performance among commercial public enterprises (where net losses decreased by $353 million) more than offset the $38 million increase in net losses for non-commercial entities.

    “This improved performance has reduced direct support. Total subsidies and grants to public institutions and non-profit agencies fell to P$657.3 million in fiscal year 2022/23, having peaked at $884.9 million, or 31.3 per cent of current expenditures, in fiscal year 2018/19,” it added.

    The credit rating agency also said, however, that “the substantial support of more than a fifth of government expenditures (excluding capital expenditures) limits fiscal headroom”.

    It stated: “The Fiscal Risk Statement, published alongside the fiscal year 2024/25 Budget Proposal on 18 March, notes that short-term challenges may arise at several commercial SOEs, including the Barbados Agricultural Development Marketing Corporation (BADMC), Caribbean Broadcasting Corporation (CBC) and Transport Board (TB), which have insufficient liquidity to settle short-term liabilities in fiscal year 2024/25.

    Solvency challenges

    “The government has traditionally settled such arrears and is likely to do so again if needed. Consolidated net losses for commercial SOEs were $49.9 million last year and $226.4 million in fiscal year 2022/23.”

    Fitch continued: “Over the medium term, several SOEs also face solvency challenges, according to the statement. They include BADMC, CBC, TB, Caribbean Aircraft Handling, HOPE, Barbados Tourism Marketing Inc., and Barbados Tourism Product Authority, which could require capital infusions.

    “As of December 2023, the SOE sector had unfunded pension liabilities of $284.7 million and non-guaranteed debt of $782.4 million, although 80 per cent of the debt was from entities without solvency concerns.”

    Fitch’s assessment, therefore, was that “additional bailouts could have meaningful implications for Barbados’ budgetary balance and pace of debt reduction”.

    It also said “materialisation of additional SOE-related contingent liabilities could push up expenditures further, with little scope for offsetting adjustments – and would be at odds with IMF programme targets”.

    “Although not our baseline, a return to fiscal year 2018/19 levels of SOE support (a 5.7 per cent increase in expenditures) would nearly halve the primary budget surplus to two per cent of GDP, and double the headline deficit to 3.2 per cent in fiscal year 2024/25, all else equal,” Fitch pointed out.

    “Even a more modest 1.6 per cent increase (to FY2020/21 levels) would cause a 0.5 percentage point deterioration in the headline and primary fiscal balances.”

    Fitch also said in relation to Government’s fiscal performance that “excluding when primary balance targets were relaxed under the IMF programme due to the pandemic, Barbados has run sizeable primary surpluses for nearly a decade, reaching an estimated 3.6 per cent of GDP in fiscal year 2023/24”.

    “We expect it to edge up to four per cent by fiscal year 2025/26,” the firm said. “High surpluses have contributed to the rapid decline in the debt burden, to an estimated 113 per cent of GDP in fiscal year 2023/24 from a peak of 135 per cent in fiscal year 2021/22. We forecast a further drop to 103 per cent by fiscal year 2025/26. This strong fiscal backdrop is reflected in the Positive Outlook on Barbados’s ‘B’ rating.”

    Fitch further observed that “the rate of improvement is moderating, with primary surpluses stabilising at around four per cent of GDP and debt reduction continuing, albeit more slowly [and] given rapid recent progress, additional improvements above this baseline will be more difficult”.

    Source: Nation


  4. “So many issues to discuss in the country.”

    You could have ended your post right there. What is disheartening is that issues are discussed, something is thrown against the wall and then we move on.

    A few weeks/months later it is a new issue or an old issue coming to life as it was Lazarus. All that happens is a good kick of the can down the road; nothing really get solved.

    The BU brain trust fund behind each issue nipping at the heels, but after a few days gives up the chase and runs after a new issue. Every part of the system knows it role; every part of the system plays its role.

    Discussion is futile.

  5. NorthernObserver Avatar
    NorthernObserver

    Always a lot of potential downside factors, but ‘B positive’ is good. No credit rating headwinds to raise borrowing rates.

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