Governor of the Central Bank Cleveston Haynes delivered his review of the economy for the year just gone. He was as expected optimistic about prospects for improvement. However, underpinning his optimism was his assumption the rebound of the economy will be based on TOURISM. The blogmaster does not need to expand on what this means.
Source: Nation
Source: Nation
Source: Nation
Source: Nation
The “OFFICIAL” quarterly comic strip is out, once again as expected it’s the usual optimistic unsupported Disney ALL IS WELL, patient moved from death status to recovery in ICU. I do not understand how this gentlemen can sleep at night , well maybe he prescribes to the TRUMP self believing Lies philosophy. And it’s SAD to think Barbados claims to be getting above, above what is the question.
Jamaica had larger COVID cases than Barbados
Jamaica has recorded growth figures of 14.2 percent
Always remember the Central Bank Governor is a creature of the Minister of Finance. Remember how we cussed Dr. Worrell ?
We may not choose to cuss Mr. Haynes but it’s the same old, same old , until the Minister of Finance or Prime Minister is ready to let you go.
Yep. The economy is going to get better or is actually going to get better. What else do we seriously expect any Governor of the Central Bank to say.?
At least he did say prices will not come down. We already knew that; they were supposed to come down after the NSRL was removed that’s about three plus years ago.
Oh well; how are you this morning, Dr. Worrell ?
@William
This is not a fair comment. DeLisle Worrell made controversial statements and decisions which immersed him controversy. Haynes continues to be circumspect in his pronouncements and actions.
@ angela Cox
Be careful with such comparisons. We have to take the size of the population of JA and other things into consideration. The JA dollar is Monopoly money when compared with our dollar.
The IMF has been in JA. for over forty years.
As recently as two or so years ago, primary schools in some parts of JA. were still using outdoor pit toilets.
Rural JA is not near where we are although we have issues with water and so on. Basic electricity is still unavailable in some parts of rural JA. Our housing stock and public transportation are ahead as well.
So saying JA economy grew by more than us must be put in context.
BTW, if you were to read the comments of Haynes, Howard and Grenidge carefully you would discover that our economy isn’t rosy at all.
Quite frankly, I haven’t heard any comprehensive statement on the economy from the Minister of Finance, for sometime. Her long silence is deafening to say the very least.
Peace:
Apart from Caswell and Grenville, there are VERY few ‘men’ left in Barbados. Just a bunch of wussies who have to squeeze their legs together when faced with any challenge to avoid wetting themselves. How a so-called ‘leader’ can come each and every year with such BS and read it with a straight face baffles the bushman’s mind.
Thank God we have some females who can stand in the breech,,,, Of course the price that we will pay for ’emotional leadership’ is quite another matter….
But in ANY event…. our donkey is grass.
It is his job Bush Tea, it is what economists do, project based on assumptions. Of course the quality of the assumptions if we used 2007 financial meltdown will open up that profession to attacks. We know your views about the discipline 😀.
#economicsisnotascience
@Bush Tea
Going back to your reference to Grenville and Caswell, there is a point to consider. Do you recall the view it is sometimes better to force change from within? The Trojan approach?
@ Wily Coyote January 27, 2022 6:01 AM
(Quote):
The “OFFICIAL” quarterly comic strip is out, once again as expected it’s the usual optimistic unsupported Disney ALL IS WELL, patient moved from death status to recovery in ICU. I do not understand how this gentlemen can sleep at night , well maybe he prescribes to the TRUMP self believing Lies philosophy. And it’s SAD to think Barbados claims to be getting above, above what is the question.
(Unquote).
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
That’s the best piece of comic relief for the year. It certainly outstrips MAM ‘alibi’ for calling snap general elections -right in the heart of a pandemic with the public health authorities being forced to struggle with a most infectious variant of Covid- and whose inevitable results only reinforced what was patently obvious.
Maybe the Guv is merely the pharmacist filling the prescription of sugar-coated lies to sweeten the bitter medicine to be administered anytime after April fool’s day.
@Miller
Give it time. Once the Senate is configured we will hear more.
Will Mia part ways with the IMF?
“Apart from Caswell and Grenville, there are VERY few ‘men’ left in Barbados. Just a bunch of wussies who have to squeeze their legs together when faced with any challenge to avoid wetting themselves. How a so-called ‘leader’ can come each and every year with such BS and read it with a straight face baffles the bushman’s mind.”
its not leadership that is the problem
but the level of thinking of everyone else
that is more concerning
Barbados need all 300,000ish to up their game
Positive Thinking
“It certainly outstrips MAM ‘alibi’ for calling snap general elections -right in the heart of a pandemic with the public health authorities being forced to struggle with a most infectious variant of Covid- and whose inevitable results only reinforced what was patently obvious”
Barbadsos (SOS)
when the social media echo chamber chatter had just started up banging on about 2023 elections with partisan propaganda tropes and memes…Mia shot from her hips with the starter pistol calling “ready steady go” (bang!).. and they were off.. the sprint was over quicker than Jamaican Bolt.. and the Barbados title holder remained current champion.. easy as DO-RE-MI ABC 123
Kiki
Where have you ever heard of 300,000 sheep ‘upping their game’?
Sheep are sheep.
Their ONLY hope is to find good shepherd. Leadership is everything when dealing with sheep.
Our system of political stupidity that requires the sheep to select ‘leaders’ based on their sheep-like qualities is our undoing.
THAT is why we are doomed. …brass bowls leading brass bowls…
@ David
#economicsisshiite
@ David January 27, 2022 8:04 AM
“Give it time. Once the Senate is configured we will hear more.
Will Mia part ways with the IMF?”
+++++++++++++++++++++++++
Do you mean we should wait for the President’s Speech?
Isn’t the HoA where the real action takes place when it comes to financial matters?
How can MIA part ways with the IMF at this time?
Can Hong Kong declare Independence from Beijing?
Which other international loanshark can Barbados turn to in order to keep the game of imported conspicuous consumption going?
@Miller
The IMF served its purpose to permit access to concessionary funding, see our foreign reserves. What is required is for some semblance of fiscal discipline handling government’s finances. Do we need the IMF to do what we know is the correct thing to do?
“Where have you ever heard of 300,000 sheep ‘upping their game’?
Sheep are sheep.
Their ONLY hope is to find good shepherd. Leadership is everything when dealing with sheep.”
it makes perfect sense for little lambs to follow the flock without questioning why but just doing it as it is in their best interest
human adults must think for themselves instead of being followers
human children have a growing consciousness and will automatically know what they should or should not be be doing instead of blindly following adults
“human adults must think for themselves instead of being followers”
LOL ha ha ha oh Shiite!!! Murda!! Bushie belly…..!!!
You obviously do not grasp the concept of ‘brass bowls’…..
Bushie out….
If we knew the correct thing to do and how to do it, we would be lending the IMF money.
Boss…
We DO NOT know what we must do, and we are INCAPABLE of even doing the little shiite things that we commit to doing … like a working justice system, a working sewerage system ….. steupssss or EVEN a basic way to pay drivers licenses.
Face it boss
We are talking about 300,000 clueless sheep led by a bunch of ‘politicians’ who are there because they can do no better by way of jobs but who are loved because they are so much like the sheep they lead
Bush Tea we have to believe. Life is a journey with wrong turns along the way. We have to continue to search for that light at the end of the tunnel. Yes there will be casualties along the way but we cannot give up!
“Do you recall the view it is sometimes better to force change from within? The Trojan approach?”
~~~~~
Those days are long gone.
In order to gain admission ‘within’, one has to sell one’s soul to the ‘insiders’. Once admitted, one is then so COMPROMISED that you at best become a poppet (like a central bank governor) who must stand in public and recite embarrassingly idiotic speeches. or young KK who sounds more like a preprogrammed robot than a bright enquiring young adult.
REAL leaders CANNOT and WILL NOT compromise their conscience…at ANY cost…. and so will not even pass the ‘admission’ stage.
You EVER see Caswell admitted anywhere?
His ass has be fired more times than Portville’s boiler.
LOL ha ha ha
Caswell and Grenville are outliers. Caswell is a disrupter and Grenville operates right of center.
“Yes there will be casualties along the way but we cannot give up!”
~~~~~~
…so who do you think will constitute those casualties Boss…?
Not Brass bowls who keep making the same ‘mistakes’ along the way.?
It that case they will be replaced, in the same way Bin Ladin and all the other so-called terrorists that rise up to replace and pursue what they believe to be just causes.
Caswell and Grenville are ASSETS.
However we judge them by SHEEP standards so it becomes clear why you think they are disruptive.
So we have gone with the ‘good old Sheep leadership’ that is not disruptive or out of center….GREAT!!
if you always do what you have always done…
you will always get what you have always got…
…except that ….three is no more rope.
Bush Tea the blogmaster respects what both of them do. As you know both of them have received unfettered access to the BU platform years ago. That said people will behave based on how they have been educated. It will take time to unfreeze that mendicant mindset.
@ David January 27, 2022 8:57 AM
He who pays the forex-starving piper calls the tune.
How else would the IMF recover (with interest) its shareholder funds invested in Bim unless it is present to dictate fiscal policy and direction?
Hasn’t this promise to institute fiscal discipline been in the pipeline since December 2013?
Has the level of transfers to the SOEs been significantly reduced as promised?
Just look as the still obese cabinet with a new chief of staff and entourage of consultants and advisors (merely replicating the role of permanent secretaries and technical officers) and see if that is sending a genuine signal of fiscal responsibility?
At least the sugar industry will be finally buried. Which set of investor with foreign money will be prepared to buy a rundown factory in an industry about to go under the weight of subsidies as demanded by the IMF?
@Miller
Would you expect the pandemic caused government’s finances stress because of pandemic spend? Let us be fair.
“You obviously do not grasp the concept of ‘brass bowls’…..”
Bajans are Humans not animals
{defined as beasts of burden, bred in colonies, physically disciplined how to behave}
The development of the Mind is the master key
Our third IMF programme (CS loan with IMF clause) passed smoothly into the fourth IMF programme. The fifth programme will be based in the same way after the fourth programme expires. The fifth programme is already in the drawer.In other words, we will remain under IMF custody for at least 12 years, from 2013 to at least 2025.
So we are not economically or financially viable as an island state. All we can realistically do is to unconditionally promote tourism.
I therefore advise our honourable government to finally abolish the Corona tests for fully vaccinated persons on entry. We are a stronghold of Corona variants anyway. What should happen besides? Our government should therefore take the BAMP board and all other critical doctors into protective custody.
@william skinner
Your response to Ms. Cox is on point. Without the proper context numbers don’t mean anything.
@ David January 27, 2022 9:44 AM
Ok, fair comment.
And the IMF has indeed taken that in account; hence the backing off position taken during 2020 and 2021.
But 2022 is the year of make or break with MAM calling elections to ‘empower’ her administration to make serious corrective fiscal decisions.
How then do you explain the indiscipline before the pandemic and going forward with plans to increase the politically-hired payroll?
Remember the IMF is the bank of last resort; not a welfare agency for fiscally indiscipline members.
“only about a quarter of the Treasury Notes has been taken up by individuals and financial institutions.”
https://barbadostoday.bb/2022/01/27/slow-bond-take-up-central-bank-reports/
@Hants
This was predicted in this space.
@David
“Will Mia part ways with the IMF?”
What are you doing, trying to out FUNNY the GOV. If MIA g kicks the IMF “OUT” she has to come up with some $3.5B to settle the account, well maybe, its doubtful the eastern Yellow Giant would cough up this amount of CASH or even be prepared to receive expropriated property in that amount.
MIA has herself as the de-facto DICTATOR, however she has herself in a bit of a SPOT, THAT IS BETWEEN A ROCK and HARD PLACE and the Vaseline is running LOW.
@Wily
Prime Minister Mottley was elected a week ago by the people in an election deemed to be fair.
@ David et al
One word in the Governor’s report says it all: fraught.
He said words to the effect that forecasting as he outlined in this environment is a “ fraught” exercise.
It’s a word with a whole lot of synonyms.
We did not elect : Grenidge , Haynes Howard or Robinson.
It is time for the Minister of Finance to tell the country in detail ,and not sound bites to the party faithful ,the exact state of the economy and the detailed fixes she intends to implement now that she has been given the fresh mandate she asked for. That’s what is called leadership.
Peace.
@Wily
“The “OFFICIAL” quarterly comic strip is out”
the accuracy of your humour was much appreciated.
Even without COVID, forecasting tourism revenue is going to be tricky going forward. The baby boomers are getting old and no longer willing to take the 8 hour flight, we now have to depend on Gen X. Good luck with them, they are way less predictable than their parents, looking for value for their money and they want adventure.
We could promote the NIS as the world’s only financial black hole and allow tourists to visit the singularity on Collymore Rock where they can throw money in and watch it be gobbled up.
@Redguard
Your comment would be very funny if it wasn’t serious.
@ Redguard January 27, 2022 3:30 PM
In science fiction, artificial black holes are used to generate energy, especially for engines for interstellar flight. So the NIS has enormous potential. The hole is so big, it should be enough for a hyperspace flight to the next galaxy and back within a week.
Economy emerging from the doldrums – Starcom Network
https://starcomnetwork.net/blog/2022/01/27/economy-emerging-from-the-doldrums/
Xxplosive debt
2018 Barbados went to IMF as it couldn’t maintain debt repayments for Government Bonds
2022 Barbados plans to leave IMF and restructure debt with some new Government Bonds
Move
Along
There
Is
Nothing
To
See
Here
Xxplosive (Instrumental)
Dr JR’s two +/- 45 sec soundbites need to come with lightning bolts.
What a friend calls…blinding glimpses of the obvious.
Wait Bush Tea where you now arise from? Just in time for another 30 to 0 thrashing of your dems.This talk of brassbowls coming from a man who big up Mr Thompson as a leader years ago with no evidence to back it up.It is simple brasdbowls or not the people have spoken and clearly they want nothing to do with the dems at this time.Imagine Mr Blackett talking about who should offer them senate seats when he should be grateful for the offer in my view.Tells me they need a proper leader.The grapes real sour for the dems both overseas and here.Everyyday they are on Brasstacks griping.It will not help them.Bottom line you all got your asses kicked.Deal with it.I gone.
We need to hear more.
Source: Nation News
Are to take these talking heads seriously?
Source: Nation
“Apart from Caswell and Grenville, there are VERY few ‘men’ left in Barbados”
male privilege is a bit like white privilege
♂ male politicians can go bat shit crazy + circumvent law
♀ female politicians must behave to know their place
“We need to hear more”
you like a lot of sport?
One of the older manoeuvres known. Watch all the required reports disappear, with a single audit to transfer assets and liabilities. Who knows, the liabilities maybe “bonded” as well.
The beneficiaries will be told, this is to ensure the ongoing well-being of the fund, so they will continue to receive their benefits.
Likely with an injection of cash (or loans).
Matter done.
Widespread appeal and approval…the guvment lookin’ out fah we?
@NO
Regardless we have no choice but to wait. It is what taxpayers have become good at doing.
“Barbadians must exercise personal responsibility for virus, says PM” (Barbados Today).
Like Tron, our BU commentators should practice authentic interpretation of our leader’s will. The quote states that it is now up to each individual’s responsibility to protect ourselves from the virus.Our Supreme Leader will soon abolish the nonsensical, xenophobic restrictions on entry except for proof of vaccination. This is the only way to boost tourism.
The leader’s will carries the force of law.
@David
Do you?
I have observed quite interestingly, changes which have occurred with the ‘virtual’ gatherings in so many areas.
Participants are less constrained by the immediate social constructs, and their perceived potential repercussions.
Comments like ‘you kan do dat’, which often reflects the social consequences, more than the relevance of the suggested action itself. One reason why those in control, have understandable concerns about ‘going virtual’.
@NO
Very true.
The tourists are coming!
Source: Nation
They must be coming.
Was told the GEL Chair ended the AGM saying Q1 2022 (nov-jan?) was the best in the company’s history.
Given their company mix, only tourist arrivals/ travel could do that, unless they recorded “an extraordinary gain” on the sale of something.
GEL will welcome improved travel given its interest in catering to aircraft.
Based on elsewhere, where entities have pandemic adjusted costs, labour inputs and other, any sudden revenue rebound results in higher than previously experienced profits.
Source: Nation
Source: Nation
@ DavidJanuary 29, 2022 8:02 AM
Our government’s strategy of putting all its eggs in one basket is clearly working. Contrary to what our BU commentators believe, diversification of the economy would not even be possible due to the lack of capital and the isolated location in nowhere.
I look forward to the tourism industry soon surpassing its record earnings from the winter of 2018/19 so that our natives can all go back to toiling on the hotel plantations.
I wouldn’t be surprised if new hotel towers in prime locations were soon growing into the sky. A word of advice to our honourable government: reintroduce the labour penalty. In view of the rampant crime, our government could use this new type of education to have the hotels built almost for free for our beloved international investors. This works very well in Dubai and Qatar.
Supreme Leader command, Hyatt and Four Season will follow!
Source: Nation
@ David January 31, 2022 5:28 AM
Our government should introduce compulsory exchange into USD government bonds for USD accounts of our natives on the island.
Without permanent debt accumulation and further debt cuts, we cannot maintain the illusion of prosperity for the naïve masses.
Source: Nation
Source: Nation
Source: Nation