Traditionally, for years this period between Christmas and New Year the United Kingdom normally experiences the largest level of holiday bookings than at any other time annually. Not this year of course, with our tourism policymakers and planners left to contemplate, what, if anything they can do to bridge the enormous void of visitor arrivals.

It is an unprecedented situation and for those who stand on the side and criticize, proffering what they think could be done, are only frankly second guessing a clearly almost impossible and unpredictable scenario.

What I understand the current guardians of our industry are successfully doing is maintaining the highest possible destination visibility with initiatives like the Welcome Stamp, visits by travel writers, travel agents and the incredible centenarian, Captain Sir Tom Moore, all naturally under carefully managed pandemic compliant conditions.

While, it may seem very optimistic given the current circumstances, I am still going to have a wish list for 2021.

As we emerge from the pandemic, there will be opportunities and some of these may come from those airlines that have survived, downsized and retired their larger, less fuel efficient aircraft. New aircraft like the incredible Airbus A321XLR will come into service and enable long haul routes from various European cities to operate planes which carry around 200 passengers, economically on non-stop services to the Caribbean.

Routes like Dublin or Belfast to Barbados then become less of a risk and given a massive price advantage by not having APD (Advanced Passenger Duty) imposed on the fares, saving at least UK Pounds 80 per passenger in the case of Northern Ireland.

Locally, I believe that a great more could be done with developing smart partnerships between all sectors across tourism and those companies who supply them together with our seemingly reluctant banking sector. As one of the persons deeply involved in creating the first fully functional small hotel alliance, it has been hugely disappointing not to witness more co-operation in this sub-sector, by developing joint promotional initiatives and driving cost savings through collaboration.

And as the cruise industry finally resumes sailings from the Caribbean, perhaps not until the very latter part of 2021, let us look objectively at exactly where we can truly benefit from this sector and justify the investment we have already placed in it.

As always, my thoughts go out to all the dedicated tourism workers and managers that are still employed and have sacrificed their quality family time over this festive period, to give our cherished visitors that holiday of a lifetime.

 

258 responses to “Adrian Loveridge Column – Wish List for 2021”


  1. Cruise industry rebound to come
    by SHAWN CUMBERBATCH
    shawncumberbatch@nationnews.com
    IT WAS A YEAR of rough waters for Barbados’ cruise tourism sector, but the world’s largest trade association is predicting better news in 2021.
    With the Caribbean remaining the most popular cruise destination in 2019, the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) says in its 2021 State Of The Cruise Industry Outlook Report that this is a positive for places like Barbados.
    It noted that “following a challenging year in 2020, new research shows there is resiliency and optimism heading into 2021”.
    CLIA said it was the world’s largest cruise industry trade association, representing 57 ocean, river and specialty cruise lines that account for more than 95 per cent of global cruise capacity.
    “One of the defining characteristics of the cruise industry is its resiliency. Despite a challenging year in 2020, there is reason for hope and optimism heading into 2021,” the organisation said.
    Based on the CLIA-Qualtrics Survey December 2020 of 4 000 international vacationers each from the United States, Canada, Australia, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy and Spain, there remains high interest in cruise vacations.
    The research found that 74 per cent of cruisers are likely to cruise in the next few years, two out of three are willing to cruise within a year, and 58 per cent of international vacationers who have never cruised are likely to do so in the next few years.
    CLIA added that 270 of its oceangoing member cruise ships were projected to be in operation by June 2021, 16 of them making their debut.
    The Caribbean was the world’s most popular cruise tourism destination in 2019, followed by Asia and China, Central and Western Mediterranean, Northern Europe, Eastern Mediterranean, Alaska, Australia/New Zealand/ Pacific, Panama Canal/ South America, Baltics, Africa/Middle East, Canary Islands, Transatlantic and World Cruise, Canada/ New England and Hawaii. CLIA said it was optimistic about 2021’s cruise season based on a resumption of cruises this year despite the COVID-19 pandemic’s continuing presence.
    “With strict protocols in place, and with the approval and support of local and regional authorities, cruise ships are gradually resuming operations around the world. Following the global pause in cruise operations in mid-March, cruises resumed sailing in parts of Europe, Asia and the South Pacific beginning in July 2020,” it said.
    “From early July through mid-December 2020, there were more than 200 sailings. The success of these initial sailings demonstrates that the new protocols are working as designed – to mitigate the risk of COVID-19 among passengers, crew and the destinations cruise ships visit. The industry is on a path to resumption in the United States, Canada, Mexico, the Caribbean and elsewhere in 2021.”
    Officials said a cruise sector rebound next year was vital because the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent pause in commercial cruise operations “has had devastating impacts on the cruise community”.
    Between mid-March and September 2020, it was estimated that the suspension of cruise operations resulted in a loss of more than US$77 billion in global economic activity, 518 000 jobs and US$23 billion in wages, the report stated.
    CLIA president and chief executive officer Kelly Craighead said 2020 “sits in stark contrast to the year that immediately preceded it”.
    “In 2019, the global cruise industry welcomed nearly 30 million passengers, creating jobs for 1.8 million people around the world and contributing over US$154 billion to the global economy,” she said.
    “With this growth came increased recognition of cruising as one of the best ways to experience the world, and our industry was focused on achieving previously unthinkable milestones to pave the path for a brighter and more sustainable future.
    “As with the rest of the world, our plans for 2020 were turned upside down at the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, culminating in the voluntary suspension of cruise operations worldwide in mid-March.
    “In the months that followed, our industry wasted no time engaging leading experts and government authorities to strengthen already robust public health measures and to put people and communities first.
    “With enhanced measures in place, an initial resumption of cruising began in Europe and some other parts of the world, building confidence in the industry’s new protocols and inspiring hope for the future,” Craighead added.
    CLIA chairman Adam Goldstein said: “[This] was a year unlike any other and I am proud of how our industry has united together to weather this unparalleled pandemic.
    “As we look to 2021, I know that cruisers are eager to set sail once more, just as our industry is eager to put people back to work and create unforgettable experiences for our valued guests.”
    (Taken from this week’s BARBADOS BUSINESS AUTHORITY)

  2. peterlawrencethompson Avatar
    peterlawrencethompson

    The only rational policy for cruise ship tourism in Barbados is euthanasia. After decades of heavy investment our best year in 2019 resulted in local return of less than $60 million USD.

    The Welcome Stamp program, by contrast, after a few weeks of insignificant investment has recruited almost 1,700 households who each will spend an average of $40,000 USD locally for an annual return to Barbados of almost $70 million USD.

    This does not even count the thousands of remote work visitors who come for only six months and don’t bother to get a Welcome Stamp but spend tens of millions here in Barbados.

    Remote work visitors are the future of the tourism industry, and it is a far better and more sustainable future than the old industry.


  3. Who will each spend on average US$40000 (Bds$80000)? ON what? Is there a minimum salary for those on the @PLT visas? Are these the projections you are working on, or is this cloud cuckoo land?
    And those who come for six months or less and spend tens of millions (of what?). Is this fantasy land? Let us assume these remote workers paid for their accommodation up front; then the cost of food,, a hire vehicle, utilities, dining out.
    Plse list the cost for a remote worker living for a year in Barbados at current prices. A permanent secretary in Barbados earns about Bds$150000 (Bds$75000) a year. A police constable earns Bds$36000 a year. Government lawyers earn Bds$75000 on entry level.

  4. Carson C Cadogan Avatar

    I wonder what this means for the industry?

    :https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOWAN_486n4


  5. @Hal,
    Radio 4 now. George Lamming in the castle of my skin.

  6. Critical Analyzer Avatar
    Critical Analyzer

    @Hal
    The estimate does sound high on face value but you must remember it is most likely families for he most part and not a one person that needs more conservative living arrangements.These families are not hand to mouth people who saved up for years to come for a week’s vacation, they will want to live a certain level of lifestyle because they can afford it and I am willing to bet they will get more bang for their buck here than back home when they look at everything as a whole.

    Just assuming a two person household on average. Chances are they are paying at least $1500-2000BD in rent for a proper place on the conservative side. They will most likely employ cleaning services to come in and clean. I doubt their children will be going to public school at least at the primary school level where even lots of locals are now choosing to send their children private. Then they will be driving a proper vehicle which they will probably lease and it will not be the cheapest secondhand car they can get either.

    So I can see each family spending that $40,000US on average with some spending more and some spending less.


  7. @ Critical

    You raise a number of interesting points. Who gets the visa? Are they individual visas or family visas? In any case, your assumption of the wealth of these people may be far out.
    What they do have are regular jobs and regular salaries. Nothing more. They are not super-wealthy. Most people in white collar jobs in the UK now work remotely, whether from home or Barbados.
    Do not assume these people are wealthier than they really are. They may want you to believe that. In reality they survive on credit cards and salaries.
    Those who have mortgages have rented out their properties; those who rent have handed in the tenancies; and those who were flat-sharing have given up.


  8. @TLSN

    Missed it. Will catch up later. Thanks.


  9. On the one hand you ask what is the personal means test applied then you go on to draw conclusions based on an assumption.


  10. Brexit: ‘Bumpy’ period expected as UK adjusts to new EU rules https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55463506


  11. Who laughs last, laughs best.


  12. This was sent to BU’s inbox by Adrian last week.

    Credit to Peter Thompson

    I thought you would be interested in this story I found on MSN: Barbados’ visa for remote workers could be a model for tourism after the pandemic – if it’s done right http://a.msn.com/03/en-us/BB1cbvws


  13. Just like when the spanish flew ended and the roaring 20,s began people are eager to travel ,a lot of people have tons of money from months of not having anything to spend it on. This may sound cold but it is reality, that 6000 a month payment to keep grandma in the home is gone , the inheritance that has come your way..bonus…Working from home has saved on numerous expenses ,just look at the suit companies that have gone out of business.Yes there are people who have been hit hard but lots have actually faired better and will come out of this with extra cash.The problem for barbados and other places is to figure out how to get it before the politicians do.
    So my advice is dont let your guard down on covid or crime.
    Now is the time to upgrade it gets your people working and makes it more enticing for tourists
    Go after the young tourist they will be in charge soon and will have the money
    get serious about producing your own food, real fishing fleet, etc
    PLT why cant you have both


  14. Barbados could become a Covid free sanctuary destination for remote workers and also build estate communities for elderly retirees escaping covid risk at home. In order to ensure newcomers do not bring new disease they could be quarantined in designated hotels for 2 weeks on arrival


  15. To potential welcome stamp customers reading this blog here is a relevant link for you with FAQs.

    https://barbadoswelcomestamp.bb/faqs/

    Ps. Ignore the noise on this channel.


  16. @Kiki

    The reality is that Covid 19 will be with us for the foreseeable future because it is not a mandatory requirement to be vaccinated by our key tourist markets. The opportunity is there to put flesh on the program and benefit from the first to market.


  17. Who will each spend on average US$40000 (Bds$80000)? ON what? Is there a minimum salary for those on the @PLT visas? Are these the projections you are working on, or is this cloud cuckoo land?
    And those who come for six months or less and spend tens of millions (of what?). Is this fantasy land? Let us assume these remote workers paid for their accommodation up front; then the cost of food,, a hire vehicle, utilities, dining out.
    Plse list the cost for a remote worker living for a year in Barbados at current prices. A permanent secretary in Barbados earns about Bds$150000 (Bds$75000) a year. A police constable earns Bds$36000 a year. Government lawyers earn Bds$75000 on entry level.

    xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

    MORE BS.

    THE GOVERNMENT WELCOME STAMP WAS SUPPOSED TO START WITH EARNERS US$50,00 AND UP WHO WILL STILL HAVE FINANCIAL COMMITMENTS IN THEIR HOME COUNTRIES.

    THESE ARE THE SAME TYPE OF AIRY FAIRY NUMBERS GIVEN PREVIOUSLY BY STATISTICS DEPARTMENT ON TOURISM SPEND PER VISITOR AND ARRIVALS.

    HOWEVER NOT SURPRISING FROM SOMEONE WHO PLAGIARIZE THE IDEA FROM A FEW OTHER COUNTRIES AND WANTS SO BADLY TO BE GIVEN CREDIT EVEN TO EMBELLISHING NUMBERS.


  18. Another good link/testimonials for potential welcome stamp clients taken form a government website.

    https://gisbarbados.gov.bb/blog/welcome-stamp-patrons-happy-to-be-here/


  19. How are the small tourism private workers doing since the island has opened back up?

    I know not well but are some able to make some change?

    Talking about the taxi driver and water sport operators etc


  20. Just a word of caution
    It would be good if we could see the projected spend for a person making $50,000 US
    When I see a quote of $40,000 US, then I know that health insurance, taxes, savings and many other expenses have not been taken into consideration.

    A single person may be able to get by on US $50K, but for a family this would be an incredible strain. The $50K may be too low of a limit.


  21. Instead of using the minimum income listed on the application how about factoring the feedback from realtors about the number of properties being rented in the 2k to 6k range?


  22. The caution still holds.
    The GOB needs to be wary of the income is below around this threshold. $50K could be a stated lower limit, but such applications should be processed wit care.
    Very glad if they can get rentals for $2k, 6k or even more.
    #throwinglight


  23. We should the government officers credit. If theee people come to Barbados they have to buy food, pay rent etc.


  24. @ peterlawrencethompsonDecember 28, 2020 7:43 AM
    “Remote work visitors are the future of the tourism industry, and it is a far better and more sustainable future than the old industry.”
    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Are you, PLT, implying- albeit inadvertently as words to the wise- that there is no profitable future for hotel-based tourism in Bim?

    So which investor(s) in their right capitalist mind would sink hundreds of millions in constructing and outfitting a hotel whose time horizon to realize its ROI in a sunset industry is sometime is the very far future when, as Keynes postulated, in the long run we will all be dead?

    Based on your ‘more’ attractively sounding proposal wouldn’t it be more profitable to build condominiums / townhouses close to the beach for rent or lease in order to appeal to your new brand of long-term visitor not keen on staying in any high-rise Miami passé style concrete erection but with the wider objective of gentrifying a rather battered place?


  25. Is this “stay and work” program befitting BLACK POEPLE?????

    People who lives in Grazettes, Kingsland, Oxnard’s, Coverley, Warner’s, New Orleans, Wansted, Goodland Black Rock, etc.

    Are they getting any benefits or it is Business befitting the WHITE BAJANS AND INDIANS????? Are they still being used as hewers of wood and drawers of waters??? Are they benefiting in any significate way Financially????? Or are they getting only the crumbs as usual???? How are are these “stay and work” people being recruited??? Are they told of BLACK OWN PROPERTIES???Or is the business being SOLELY directed to WHITE BAJANS AND INDIANS like it is now????

    Is there anything in the “stay and work” PROGRAM for BLACK PEPOLE?????? OTHER THAN AS cooks , gardeners, maids, watchmen, etc.????


  26. Like I said at the beginning of the pandemic, travelling is part of human nature and it will continue, hotel-based tourists included. People can’t wait to jet set, I am eager myself.


  27. Are ” stay and work” people being kept away form ordinary BLACK PEOPLE like is being done now on the island of Barbados??????


  28. @ Enuff December 28, 2020 11:19 AM

    Guess you, in your blind ignorance, are blissfully unaware of the fast changing developments in the real man-made ‘pandemic’ called Climate Change primarily due to too much carbon in the air and the many expanding ‘challenges’ posed to mass air travel.

  29. peterlawrencethompson Avatar
    peterlawrencethompson

    @Hal Austin December 28, 2020 7:54 AM
    “Is there a minimum salary for those on the @PLT visas?”
    +++++++++++
    The minimum income is $50,000. The average income is significantly more. My estimate of the average local spend is from an unscientific sample drawn from my own client base.

  30. peterlawrencethompson Avatar
    peterlawrencethompson

    TheOGazerts December 28, 2020 10:20 AM
    “The $50K may be too low of a limit.”
    ++++++++++++++
    When I suggested this idea to the Government I proposed a minimum income of $150k USD. This was primarily to stop these new arrivals from competing with Bajans in the local market for rental properties.

  31. Critical Analyzer Avatar

    @Carson C Cadogan December 28, 2020 11:14 AM

    Are you for real?

    When those same “stay and work” people buy food, shop at stores here, purchase local produce at the various markets, lease cars and eat at restaurants who do you think is going to benefit or do you think they are going to get all their groceries, utilities and catch taxis and buses from the US and not spend money here.

    That is of more benefit than our subsidized hotels that keep the bookings money offshore and send down the bare minimum money to pay staff and buy things they can’t ship in in bulk and must by locally.

    They are bring true foreign exchange that will mostly stay in Barbados instead of the usual foreign exchange shell game that is normally happenening.

  32. peterlawrencethompson Avatar
    peterlawrencethompson

    Critical Analyzer December 28, 2020 8:43 AM
    “Chances are they are paying at least $1500-2000BD in rent for a proper place on the conservative side.”
    ++++++++++++++++
    The average monthly rental price among my clients who are families is $3,000 USD + utilities. The average for couples is about $2,500 USD + utilities. The average for single people is about $1,700 USD + utilities. These are just my clients who do not constitute a statistically representative sample.

    A rental car is between $700 and $1,200 USD per month depending on the insurance coverage.

    My clients are eating at restaurants between 3 and 5 times per week so far. One couple has been on 6 catamaran trips in the 3 months that they have been here so far.

    School fees at private school, the fact that almost 30% are bringing their pets with them, and that they continue to shop at Massy despite my giving them guided tours of Cheapside market, accounts for most of the rest of their $3,333 USD average monthly spend.


  33. Milluh
    And in your verbosed, high intellect, you either ignored or are unaware that like the car industry, the aviation industry is heading towards electrification. Thanks for highlighting “my blissful ignorance about climate change”, shiiiiite I clearly wasted my time in school and continue to waste it daily. 🤣🤣🤣


  34. Here is another opportunity. Many Canadians go south for the winter. Cold weather last for more than 6 months and the USA is in the process of extending Canadian Visas from 183 days to 240 days. (6 months to 8 months). The new visa will be known as aSnowbird Visa. Summary: H.R.3241 — 116th Congress. When the snowbirds leave SW Florida after 6 months there is a marked drop in business. If Barbados had a “snowbird visa” many Canadians would look at Barbados as a retirement location. This would stimulate the economy and would be another marketing tool for the island.


  35. PLT
    Do you suspect that the majority of the Welcome Stamp visa holders are way above the US$50,000 requirement?


  36. @enuff

    The blogmaster has had to interact with a few and these are high income earning players. Like Peter not scientific but based on what the realtors have been saying these are high fliers applying for the welcome visa.


  37. David
    That’s the impression I get based on what’s happening in the property market. Bajans living overseas are also moving back home to live with family and work remotely in the short-term.

  38. peterlawrencethompson Avatar
    peterlawrencethompson

    @ Enuff December 28, 2020 12:16 PM

    There is a significant subset of Welcome Stamp visa holders who are renting villas at $6,000 to $20,000 USD per month; there is no definitive research to show what % that is, but I think it is a relatively small minority. I reach this conclusion by counting the number of properties available in this price range… a few hundred… and comparing that to the number of visas granted.


  39. @enuff

    That is also correct, actually met a family at a bar last month who got out in October. An opportunity to reposition the visa program in a post vaccination environment.


  40. CriticalAnalyser

    You are speaking about what happens to WHITE BARBADOS. I am interested in what happens to BLACK BARBADOS, the two are not the same.

    One makes MILLION OF DOLLARS WHILE the other makes CRUMBS. Ask Adrian.

    One company in Barbados the CEO made $28 million in salary last year, which BLACK PERSON of equal standing whether man or woman made that kind of salary?????

    See what I mean????

  41. peterlawrencethompson Avatar
    peterlawrencethompson

    @ Traveler December 28, 2020 12:15 PM
    “Here is another opportunity. Many Canadians go south for winter.”
    +++++++++++++
    You are correct, but I’d like to welcome this market segment under the Welcome Stamp as long as their pensions meet the minimum income requirement. This is because I want them to sell their Canadian property and spend ALL of their income in Barbados.


  42. The majority of North Americans will not slam the door on their properties up north. We have many high networth Barbadians with dual citizenship who commute two or three times annually to enjoy the best of both countries have to offer.


  43. You people are satisfied so easily.


  44. @Peter

    Well it is unlikley that Canadian would sell their Canadian properties but there are lots and lots of them who own homes in Sw Florida and Arizona who would look at selling their US properties and buying Barbados properties. The time is right to make this a reality. Housing costs in Barbados are pretty reasonable if you are a owner. Check out land tax on a average home in Florida along with internet and electrity costs and you will see what I mean. Yes food is more expensive but there are other spin offs that reduce those costs. Great opportunity.


  45. Two questions
    Have we wandered away from the discussion of the visitors’ stamp? It seems to me that we are now talking of attracting snow-birds (elderly).

    Wouldn’t the purchase of local homes begin to push affordable housing out pf the reach of locals?

    We cannot just make it up as we go along as this is a path to failure.
    #throwinglight


  46. The cost of properties in Barbados is being artificially maintained. There are many properties available. Connect the dots.

  47. Carson C Cadogan Avatar

    If a man is employed as a gardener at one of these houses and paid $200.00 per week , then we sign the hallelujah choir. Black people being employed. We don’t see the bigger picture. This is just like the Hotel industry.

    I hope if there is another shutdown that the people are paid their monies when made redundant and don’t depend on the Govt. to pay them.


  48. Steuspe

  49. Carson C Cadogan Avatar

    Encourage the “stay and work” people to stay at Black owned properties so that BLACK PEPLE may have a meaningful share of the pie. And not just WHITE BAJANS AND INDIANS.

The blogmaster invites you to join the discussion.

Trending

Discover more from Barbados Underground

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading