Never Prod A Sleeping Bear
Submitted by Yardbroom
Georgia made a mistake, some might say encouraged by the West to prod a sleeping giant…Russia. Sweet words and the prospect of joining NATO encouraged President Mikheil Saakashvili to invade South Ossetia. If he felt that NATO would come to his aid when Russia engaged them with maximum force, he was sadly mistaken. There is a world of difference between giving tactit support in an internal dispute over territory, and committing troops in combat against Russia.
In the recent past Russia has had its problems, but buoyed up with its gas and oil reserves, particularly with the West’s thirst for them. Russia is again a force to be reckoned with. Georgia gave Russia the opportunity to demonstrate its power…and demonstrate it they did. From a position of having a toehold in South Ossetti, even if the majority Russian population were in defiance. Georgia after a misguided attempt to stamp their authority on South Ossettia have nothing. They have been forced out and humiliated, it does not matter what kind of spin is put on their retreat to Tbilisi, it was a rout.
Of course French President Nicolas Sarkozy and his delegation will come up with a form of words, but make no mistake the Russian President Dmitri Medvedev has dictated terms…with Putin in the background.
As Saakashvili hunkers down in Tbilisi he has time to contemplate on what he has lost, the provinces of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, not to mention his chances of Georgia becoming a member of NATO. Did he really believe that NATO would confront Russia in its own back yard? If he did, he was sadly mistaken.
There is a crisis afoot in the Caucasus, the peace will not bring peace.