
President Barack Obama has set tongues wagging by ordering federal agencies to zero in on export promotion, expanding trade-finance opportunities for small- and medium-sized businesses, and moving to overhaul an outdated export-control system. The US economy remains the world’s largest but the global recession which was engineered by the stupidity on Wall Street continues to be an albatross. The initiative by the Obama Administration to double exports in five years will require a reformatting of the relationship with China. Obama has called for China to move to a more market-based currency as part of the Group of 20’s drive to rebalance the world economy.
During his confirmation hearing last year Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner signalled a more confrontational approach toward China, bluntly stating that the new administration thinks Beijing is “manipulating” its currency and it will act “aggressively” using “all the diplomatic avenues” to change China’s currency practices. It will be interesting to watch the response of China to the pressure from Washington to label it a currency manipulator. According to a report in the Financial Times the USA will announce its position on this matter April 15.
President Obama seems to be serious in his dream to rebalance the US economy. The US Department of Energy granted a US$1.37 billion loan guarantee to Brightsource Energy last week which could help clear the way for over 15 gigawatts of solar thermal power projects in California. It seems Obama’s failure to introduce the healthcare reform he envisioned on the political campaign has spurred him to focus on some other more relatively achievable objectives. Whether Obama succeeds to rebalance the US economy it is interesting to note he sees the need to do so.
Last week the government of Barbados hosted yet another public private sector meeting. The objective to bring the key players together who are responsible for driving the Barbados economy to brainstorm and build a cohesive approach required to lead Barbados out of the current economic recession. There is also the hope that Barbados can reposition the economy to recognize that its traditional productive sectors i.e. tourism and services maybe challenged in a post recession period. It was therefore a little disappointing to scan the Draft Medium-Term Development Strategy 2010-2014 document and to note the lack of creativity to encourage initiatives to generate foreign exchange. The continued reliance to increase foreign exchange revenues by directing significant resources at the traditional productive sectors at the expense of other strategies is disappointing. What the draft strategy signals to BU is a business as usual approach. Of course tourism and services will continue to play a significant role under the hood of our economy but the relationship between increasing foreign exchange outflow and our two main productive sectors is scary.
BU appreciate the degree of difficulty required to manage the tiny open economy of Barbados in the current global economy. To quote BU family member Bush Tea, “any idiot can sail a ship on calm waters” It is regrettable the Arthur government did not pursue an initiative like renewable energy in a serious way which would have acted to decrease the import energy bill and serve to mitigate our vulnerability to external shocks. Chief Marketing Manager Stephen Worme has been convincing in his argument that it is still cheaper to buy energy from the BL&P than to pursue alternatives. BU understand your position Mr. Worme. It maybe cheaper if we do a product comparison BUT we have to examine the big picture of opportunity cost, hint hint. We will revisit this point on another blog.
Making a strategy document operational is always a big challenge and we hope the Medium Term Fiscal Strategy 2010-2014 and the Draft Medium-Term Development Strategy 2010-2014 will make for an exception. A comment posted to BU may have placed the challenge to implementing the documents in perspective.





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