Voter turnout by constituency extracted from caribbeansignal.com compliments of blogmaster Amit. In the euphoria of a BLP victory the government should be concerned at the diminishing interest by Barbadians to vote in elections since the 70s when the turnout hovered at mid-70s.
Voter turnout by constituency extracted from caribbeansignal.com compliments of blogmaster Amit. In the euphoria of a BLP victory the government should be concerned at the diminishing interest by Barbadians to vote in elections since the 70s when the turnout hovered at mid-70s.
Are these table and graph complete?
@Vincent
If you click through to Amit’s site caribbeansignal.com he posted an explanation.
Low turnout was 100% predictable
O Election announcement after X’mas
O Uninspiring poor campaigning
O People were not interested
Winner was also predictable
O Second term winners usually win
O 30-0 result against DLP 2018
Now I am reading voter turn out could have been lower
So much for the beating over the head of the democratic process
As PM Sandiford once asked
How did we get here
I also asked whose heads are being buried in the sand
Have a nation of two hundred and seventy five thousand relinquished their power into the hands of a few
Sad but true after Wednesday results showing that the majority has closed the door on democracy
Where is the country heading only God knows
Nothing here to celebrate when a country national interest which relies on good governance has been sent a winner takes all postcard by 40.percent of the populace
Sad
I had the same question as Vincent.
It may be too late for Santa but I am hoping that Amit or someone can grant my wish
Constituency, eligible voters, voted DLP. Voted BLP, and voted others.
Alerting DLPTV to be on standby. I am coming again .
Also concerned about ‘number of electors’… Is that eligible voters,???
Waiting to comment.
“Nothing here to celebrate when a country national interest which relies on good governance has been sent a winner takes all postcard by 40.percent of the populace”
Political campaigns either attract voters or are a waste of time
the incumbent champion won again and the long shot outsider lost
DLP are banished from the House
@David
Wouldn’t have been wiser to allow Amit to complete his table before publishing it? As it stands people are commenting on incomplete data
The issue here is not low voter turnout in 2022. It is how the voter turnout number has been trending in recent elections.
@Sargeant
The blogmaster shared what Amit posted to his website. There is enough to chew on.
” Canada election saw 62% voter turnout amid COVID-19 challenges
By Staff The Canadian Press
Posted September 27, 2021
@Hants
Elections held during the pandemic in the Caribbean have been hovering in low 50’s.
@Hants
Voters can vote electronically and mail in Canada?
@ David who wrote ” Caribbean have been hovering in low 50’s.”
Barbados 39%.. That tells me the majority of Bajans don’t think voting is a right and a responsibility.
This Bajan-Canadian aka HANTS has always voted because I was taught that it was important to do so.
The Virus and the Votes: How is COVID-19 changing voter turnout in LAC?
If you talk to enough random people as I do any time I am waiting in line or congregated ANYWHERE you will hear the same answer.
The answer is that voting is a waste of time because politicians are all the same – UNTRUSTWORTHY AND ALL ABOUT THEMSELVES.
I make a point of chatting with people I do not know. Did it just yesterday for over an hour. That was the opinion
He is 38 and HAS NEVER VOTED.
Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley captured the St Michael North East riding without much effort – polling 3 216 to her nearest opponent’s 476.
it was less than her winning 4 553 performance in the 2018.
https://www.nationnews.com/2022/01/21/election-results-2022-st-michael-1/
Advantages and Disadvantages of The Post Voting System
Barbadian Elections may be boring with low turnouts but at least they are peaceful with no acid throwing or shootings
People have to be waiting and anticipating voting
they did not have that emotion 3.5 years in a term
too much elections and politics is a massive turn off
It doesn’t matter who rules over you
they will always fall short anyway
A low voter turn out was expected; and so it was. No change in composition of HoA ; and there was none. Business as usual after that unnecessary interruption. But should there be less trivial analyses.? Yes. There are issues that require deeper understanding and meaningful solutions. Issues that generate lots of discussion but no meaningful or useful solutions should be discouraged.
@ David, re your query.
” There are several ways to vote:
Vote on election day
Vote on advance polling days
Vote at any Elections Canada office
Vote by mail
https://electionsanddemocracy.ca/canadas-elections/canadas-election-process/elections-step-step
@Vincent
The one difference is the red bishop. The wait is on.
Donna I chasing 60 and never voted here or there.
Came to that conclusion long ago
@Donna
Always chatting up the younger fellas?
(just b4 Lawson arrives)
In numbers I like consistency. However the causal factors are attributed, they appear to be consistent.
@Hants
AND…in bank to back elections, the GoC was formed by a party with 33% of the vote, and Losing the popular vote.
The anomalies of the system are interesting.
Wusser when you see the coalitions of Europe et al
Looking at the data shown so far, the percentage of ‘eligible voters’ who voted may be above 39%. Possibly 40nuff.
Waiting anxiously.
Trevor P should go for opp- leader he know how to crossover, plus his age
@watchman
The piece a change would come in handy too.
How about President Mason reappointing Caswell to the Senate?
@ David Bu at ! :29 PM
” A piece of change”? Is that who we are? Shame on you for thinking thus. Thoughts have wings.
It would be a very brave man or woman who will sacrifice his future political career to do what Rev Atherly did last time. Nobody thank him then. They even vilified him. The constitution says nothing about the necessity for a leader of the opposition in the lower House. Let it be this time around. The Electorate has spoken more emphatically for the secound time.
@David Bu
You right Bro , he will have everything to win, and make a name while leaving the political game. He can invite the young political aspirants and create a party, 4-5 years.
@ David Bu at 1 :35 PM.
He expected it last time and it did not come forth . Why should it come “fifth” now? Lol !! Who of those she chose last time do you wish her to eliminate? Is there a constitutional problem in having an Upper House with two members short?
@David, good sir u created your own problem. I agree that there is more than enough to chew on above as three missing constituencies will NOT change the trend but why present only 2022 and yet opine “The issue here is not low voter turnout in 2022. It is how the voter turnout number has been trending in recent elections.”🤦🏽♂️… There is extensive historical election data on caribbeanelections.com as well as the statistician Amit’s excellent site.
But to your point of continued low turnout…this has been discussed at length often here. It’s an everlasting topic and I am not aware of any compelling evidence that says a high turnout (in the European countries historically) has developed any superior elected corps than in most of the Americas (where turnout is generally low). If anyone can show that evidence please do.
We can slice and dice this topic 30 or 130 different ways but right here right now in Bim in the last 4 years our system worked PERFECTLY !… An inept, clueless government was dismissed comprehensively in 2018 with a decent turnout… the SYSTEM worked. Then the imperious almost autocratic but industrious and seemingly competent govt was comprehensively re-elected…. with a much lower turnout… in THE MIDDLE OF A CONTAGIOUS PANDEMIC!
Yes turnout is a pertinent point but really not much beyond the normal political scientific spiel…Bajans effectively and essentially acted the same way in 2022 @ 40% as they did in 2018 @ a 60% turn out… it seems we are NOW seeing a REALLY BIGGER problem ! Why???
But are we concerned for the right reasons… it’s not turnout (amidst a contagion) … it’s HOW this admin will use their unprecedented mandate and can they be curtailed if they go off the rails!
@Dee Word
Created what problem?
You are analyzing the issue ‘ass backwards’. We elect members of parliament from a pool of individuals in society who feel inclined to offer themselves for public service. If a large chunk of citizens are apathetic and have disengaged from the system, to what extent has it affected the talent pool to assure a good quality MP?
@VC
“A piece of change”? Is that who we are?”
Recall the Charity Donville donated those $US to?
@NO
How about the 75k cheque gifted to the late OSA?
Are these table and graph complete?
@Vincent Codrington
No, 3 constituencies are missing data. At the time I made the post (Jan 21 around 2 PM), numbers were sourced from The Nation (which did not have data for St. Joseph, St Thomas and Ch. Ch. West Central). I checked The Nation website today and there is still no data for the 3 constituencies. Hoping they will publish it soon.
Kind regards,
Amit.
Also concerned about ‘number of electors’… Is that eligible voters,???
Waiting to comment.
@TheOGazerts
Yes, number of electors are those persons that are eligible to vote, but as we know, being eligible to vote does not mean someone will vote.
Based on the numbers for 2022 and 2018, it would be interesting if some type of independent research/survey of a significant portion of the electorate be undertaken re: if they didn’t vote recently, and why.
Kind regards,
Amit.
The same crooks who have funded the BUY VOTES election campaign for years , also funded this one, watch out for less and less people voting and more and more intimidation and vote buying..no one is keeping quiet anymore..
@David
Wouldn’t have been wiser to allow Amit to complete his table before publishing it? As it stands people are commenting on incomplete data
@Sargeant
Yes, ideally it would have been best to have info on 30/30 as opposed to 27/30 constituencies.
At the time I made my blog post (Jan 21, around 2 PM), my data source (The Nation website) did not have info on the 3 constituencies (which I made sure to mention in my post).
As David said, I felt that there was enough to chew on. I checked The Nation website today (around 2 PM) and there is still no info on the 3 constituencies. Will continue to check The Nation, and also Barbados Today.
Kind regards,
Amit.
Re TheOGazerts January 22, 2022 11:54 AM
Come as much as you want. I wasnt talking off the cuff…I checked the vote tallies in most constituencies in the 2022 elections especially those i thought the DLP had the greatest chance of wining. I also check the 2018 Election data
The CURRENT numbers in isolation would not have affected the seat result. Peter Wickham on Brass tacks last Friday stated that the voter turnout was 45%. I expected ~50% or less. There was a 60% voter turnout in 2018. In short it think was an unnecessary election in terms of timing. the BLP had a strong enough mandate in 2018 that they could have easily won a post May 2022 election even if it lost a few seats. The fact that voter turnout was reduced by 15% and the DLP was heavily beaten is an indictment of the DLP poor 2022 strategy and general lack of preparation.
LOL @David… ‘ass backwards’ you say.
Most nations (other than European democracies and places like Japan) embrace a 60% turnout rate with joy. And that has been our average for the last 5 election cycles … So in the middle of a very contagious pandemic when Bajans stayed away from polling booths BUT effected the SAME result as four years ago when they turned out reasonably strongly you accuse me of ‘back-asswards’ analysis!
Alright bro…not following your logic but if the other bloggers accept your moot that we are in a bad place because “a large chunk of citizens are apathetic and have disengaged from the system’ and despite a very BLP similar crew from 2018 we have a poor “talent pool to assure a good quality MP” then I am the odd man out.
I gotta be careful wid my positioning …fah sure.😂
@Dee Wors
Would you opine in your country references the citizenry is generally inclined to greater advocacy compared to their counterpart in Barbados?
In other words what are the causal factors behind voter turnout in those countries and to what extent are there compensating avenues for citizens to hold governments accountable.
Even thought Amits’ table is incomplete and the 39% total turnout is wrong…you just have to look at the voter turnout per constituency and there is a very consistent pattern of below 50% turnout. In short this election was one the electorate was least interested in in the history of Barbados. I personally was surprised Ms Mottley announced a general election on Dec 27 to happen 3 weeks later.
I am tending towards the idea of having fixed election dates as Dr Kristina Hinds was proposing or having a minimum length parliamentary term.
There is a red flag between Caswell and the supreme leader for a long time, so if the President elect Caswell to the Senate, the supreme leader will find a way to get rid of the upper house along with this president. Remember how EWB got rid of a Mottley from the City
You need to look down to the box level by electoral district.
The lowest will tell you where the show is headed.
The highest may engender a flicker of hope.
That’s the closest you will get to the individual.
30 – 0 is a loss for every single politician and with the turnout as low as it is and heading lower, it is more than a loss, it is an abysmal loss.
DavidJanuary 22, 2022 1:35 PM
How about President Mason reappointing Caswell to the Senate?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
If there was a constitution that senate post would be called independent.
Caswell Franklin is not indepndent.
His is BLP tending to the party his sidekick the other BLPite formed.
2018 was a disaster for Barbados.
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