The just concluded 2022 General Election is feared by many to be a ‘super spreader’. The country is on watch for COVID 19 cases to spike given the frolicking witnessed on last campaign night, especially at Bay Street.

Enclosed are Charts for the week ending 21st January 2022.  The daily cases are rising but with a relatively low reproductive number of 1.08.  Daily official isolations have flattened out.  Total isolations (Official + Home) are however increasing quite steeply fueled by the increasing home isolations indicating that Omicron, at this stage, is milder than the Delta variant.  So far so good.  The effects on daily cases by Election activities is not yet evident – Source: Lyall Small
See BU Covid Updates Page

129 responses to “BU COVID Dash – General Election Watch”


  1. I can do this blindfolded now.

    https://imgur.com/HTlFRPN

  2. de pedantic Dribbler Avatar
    de pedantic Dribbler

    @Doc, it’s truly distressing that your ego so consumes you that you would ACTUALLY opine that one needs to be a medical expert to discuss medical FACTS reviewed from other experts; a lawyer to debate legal issues or a trained economic guru to have a valid opinion on the latest economic data…. Clearly with your reasoning one also has to be a JACKASS in order to bray expertly.

    Enough!

  3. GP TRAINED MEDICAL DOCTOR Avatar
    GP TRAINED MEDICAL DOCTOR

    re @Doc, it’s truly distressing that your ego so consumes you that you would ACTUALLY opine that one needs to be a medical expert to discuss medical FACTS reviewed from other experts; a lawyer to debate legal issues or a trained economic guru to have a valid opinion on the latest economic data…. Clearly with your reasoning one also has to be a JACKASS in order to bray expertly.
    Enough!

    THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH EGO
    THIS HAS TO DO WITH TRAINING, KNOWLEDGE AND COMMON SENSE……WHICH IS NOT VERY COMMON HERE
    YOU WILL NOT LEARN THAT YOU DO NOT HAVE THE MEDICAL TRAINING,OR KNOWLEDGE TO CONTRADICT ANYTHING I SAY IN THIS RUM SHOP ON MEDICAL MATTERS

    THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH EGO THIS IS ABOUT TEACHING WITH AUTHORITY, AND NOT LIKE THE SCRIBES. LOL

    WHEREAS ONE DOES NOT HAVE TO BE A MEDICAL EXPERT TO DISCUSS MEDICAL FACTS IT HELPS TO KNOW THE BASIC MEDICAL SCIENCES IF ONE WOULD TALK ANY SENSE ABOUT MEDICAL MATTERS UH LIE?

    I FIND THAT MEDICAL ILLITERATES ARE WOEFUL WHEN THEY SEEK TO “discuss medical FACTS reviewed from other experts” AS PERSONS OF YOUR ILK DO. IF FOLK WERE TO TAKE YOU SERIOUSLY, WE WOULD NEED TO REALLY PERFORM MANY EMERGENCY POST MORTEMS TO REGISTER THE STATISTICS WHICH HAVE NO PRACTICAL VALUE WHEN IT COMES TO REALLY TREATING PATIENTS SUCEESFULLY. UH LIE?

    VERY BRIGHT MEDICAL STUDENTS ……..YOUTH WHO ARE MUCH BRIGHTER THAN YOU WILL EVER BE LISTEN AND ASK SENSIBLE QUESTIONS WHEN THEY DONT REALLY KNOW OR UNDERSTAND, THEY DONT TALK RUBBISH AS YOU DO

    IT DOES TAKE A LOT OF INFLATED EGO ON YOUR PART, TO IN YOUR ABSOLUTE IGNORANCE OF MEDICAL MATTERS TO SEEK TO CONTRADICT ME. YOU THEREBY PROVE YOUR CASE THAT ” one has to be a JACKASS in order to bray expertly.”

    NOW WATCH THAT MY FIRM REBUTTAL OF YOUR FURTIVE FURIOUS FUTILE FALLACIOUS FOLLY IN SEEKING TO INSULT ME GETS TAKEN DOWN, BECAUSE I AM NOT ALLOWED TO SPEAK THE TRUTH IN THE RUM SHOP OR DEFEND MYSELF ANY MORE

    I ONCE TOOK A UNIVERSITY COURSE IN ECONOMICS, BUT I DONT ARGUE WITH ECONOMISTS
    I ONCE TOOK A UNIVERSITY COURSE IN PHYSICS BUT I DONT ARGUE WITH THOSE WHO REALLY KNOW PHYSICS

    YOU OBVIOUSLY KNOW NO MEDICINE OR MUCH ABOUT THE BASIC MEDICAL SCIENCES, YOU SHOULD THEREFORE SIT DOWN SHUT UP AND LISTEN AND LEARN FROM THOSE WHO DO. INSTEAD OF CONTINUING TO MAKE FOOL OF YOURSELF


  4. 🐇/🐰
    Stop right there.

    Brazil is much larger than 14×21 miles and not much smaller than the USA.

    There we can have flood in some areas and drought in others; heavy snow on some areas and no snow on others.

    We have seen different patterns to covid infections as we move from state to state.

    Suggesting you take off the blindfold and provide relevant data


  5. 😃
    I have found that sound subject knowledge can be a drawback to a rum shop argument. Allow me to illustrate by giving you two arguments that I won convincingly

    The first was with a geographer/geologist/astrophysicist who was arguing the world was round. My ‘take your cell phone, run in one direction and call me when you are about to fall off’ silenced him.

    My next was with a astrophysicist/ astronomer on the “big bang” theory. Naturally, I pressed him for his recording of the big bang. Unable to provide even evidence of a whimper to support his outrageous claim, he cussed me and walk out.

    The more qualified they are, the easier to win the debate. Don’t get caught up with having facts or knowledge just be deeply qualified in BS. 😃


  6. I just took a good look at my calendar
    -18/1 pre-election coverage
    -19/1-23/1 in-depth election coverage
    -24/1 routine programming: covid, pumping up AC, 🐇/🐰, RA, EA and MiA coverage

    Or I could cycle back to my May 2018 comments.


  7. Discovering I have nothing to add.

    One of those days where I can’t put two good ideas together. The nonsense is there; the good sense is absent

    Perhaps later. Bye. Have a great day.


  8. TheOGazerts;
    You are the resident statistician. Tell me and the BU family where my suggestions re. vaccinations are wrong.


  9. Most of Brazil is covered by rain forest!

    Abnormal rainfall affects the whole country through its many rivers.

    The reason Australia is different from Brazil is because the “Outback” divides the continent in half and people live mostly on the East and West Coasts.

    If you go to North America, you will see that the states with the worst death rats due to COVID are not surprisingly at the mouths of the rivers.

    Mississipi, Hudson River, St. Lawrence, Fraser River.

    That’s why I can do this blindfolded, I know my geography!!!


  10. A total of 415 people tested positive for COVID-19 on Friday, January 21, from the 1 542 tests

    https://www.nationnews.com/2022/01/22/415-covid-cases-january-21/


  11. This may help in understanding why one half of Australia is so different from the other.


  12. TheOGazertsJanuary 23, 2022 12:28 PM

    🐇/🐰
    Stop right there.

    Brazil is much larger than 14×21 miles and not much smaller than the USA.

    There we can have flood in some areas and drought in others; heavy snow on some areas and no snow on others.

    We have seen different patterns to covid infections as we move from state to state.

    Suggesting you take off the blindfold and provide relevant data

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Much of Brazil is the Amazon.

    It is actually larger than the USA!!

    Most of the population is on the coast, where the rivers exit … you knew that, right?


  13. So when I see the floods earlier in January that have left Sao Paulo in ruins, I automatically know what is happening and will be happening there for the foreseeable future.

    I can do this blindfoleded and with half my brain tied behind my back as Rush Limbaugh used to say!!


  14. Weather and geography are the principal factors in the spread of COVID.

    That’s just how it is.

  15. GP EX SCHOLAR REPORTING FROM MY GROUND Avatar
    GP EX SCHOLAR REPORTING FROM MY GROUND

    WHEREAS ONE DOES NOT HAVE TO BE A MEDICAL EXPERT TO DISCUSS MEDICAL FACTS IT HELPS TO KNOW THE BASIC MEDICAL SCIENCES IF ONE WOULD TALK ANY SENSE ABOUT MEDICAL MATTERS

    THIS IS SOMETHING I ASCERTAINED VERY EARLY IN MY JOURNEY LONG AGO IN 1974

    VERY BRIGHT MEDICAL STUDENTS ……..YOUTH WHO ARE MUCH BRIGHTER THAN YOU WILL EVER BE LISTEN AND ASK SENSIBLE QUESTIONS WHEN THEY DONT REALLY KNOW OR UNDERSTAND, THEY DONT TALK RUBBISH AS YOU DO

    EXAMPLE I WAS TEACHING CARBOHYRDATE METABOLISM IN BIOCHEM,ISTRY CLASS IN MED SCHOOL WHEN A STUDENT WHO WAS A TRAINED EXPERIENCED NURSE SHARED AN EXPERIENCE SHE HAD WHEN ONE OF HER ALCOHOLIC PATIENTS WAS ABRUPTLY SEPARATED FROM HIS “SPIRITS” AND CRASHED IN HASTE. WHY WAS THIS SHE ASKED.

    WELL THAT CONCEPT IS NOT IN THE TEXT OR IN THE USMLE OBJECTIVES, I.E THE SYLABUS.
    I RESEARCHED IT AND FOUND THAT ALCOHOL, LIKE CARBOHYDRATES, FATS AND PROTEINS, IS METABOLIZED TO ACETYLCOA,,,,WHICH IS THE PRECURSOR FOR MAKING ATP, THE BIDY’S ENERGY CURRENCY, S WELL AS CHOLESTEROL FROM WHICH VIT D, CO Q, THE SEX, SALT AND OTHER STEROID HORMONES ARE DERIVED.

    IT ALSO EXPLAINS WHY SOME ALCOHOLICS HAVE A “BEER BELLY” AS ACETYL COA IS ALSO THE PRECURSOR OF STORED FATTY ACIDS

    I LISTENED TO MY STUDENT, AND SAT DOWN AND WENT AND LEARNED SO I WOULD NOT CONTINUE TO BE A FOOL IN THIS REGARD

    I EVEN PUT THE INFO HERE ON BU BEFORE IT WAS THOUGHT THAT I SHOULD BE SOME MOCK STICK TO A SO CALLED PROVACATEUR.


  16. John; You said above:
    Weather and geography are the principal factors in the spread of COVID. That’s just how it is.
    I think you are getting a little closer to the current truth.


  17. Barbados recorded 626 cases of coronavirus (COVID-19) from the 2 194 tests conducted on Saturday, January 22.

    https://www.nationnews.com/2022/01/23/626-new-virus-cases/


  18. What difference does it make at this point
    There is no stopping the virus
    So would live and the most vulnerable would die
    The numbers stating death of those died are from the virus are associated to those at the health facilities
    What about those who have died while in home isolation are those numbers handed to govt by the coroner’s office


  19. 626, a rise, I would have said it should fall.

    Can still explain it as the testing regimen for returning visitors.

    May mean that there are many more visitors and Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays are their preferred days of travel back home.

    Should fall tomorrow to the 400+ region and then rise on Monday to the 500/600 region.


  20. Oops, tomorrow should be Sunday!!

    626 Saturday, fall on Sunday, today and rise on Monday


  21. I reckon the silence from the Hoteliers must mean they have their hands full with arrivals.

    The doctors been told to hush their mouth.


  22. @Hants

    A booster for the economy.


  23. HantsJanuary 23, 2022 7:10 PM

    Nuff likka an beer gine sell

    https://barbadostoday.bb/2022/01/22/thousands-from-barmy-army-to-flock-to-barbados/

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    There you go!!!

    COVID cases increase as will the GDP!!

    No reason to close the borders if the local and imported cases remain as they are.

    Minimal mixing, how many Bajans want to watch West Indies play these days.


  24. Our COVID numbers are determined by the weather in the UK!!


  25. People today can’t add 1 to 1 and get 2.

    It is obvious what the numbers are saying and how they are linked to real physical events.

    The ohmigod variant is no more contagious than the delta variant and the delta variant was no more contagious than the alpha variant.

    All need air and/or water to spread.

    Their contagiousness in a given country is a function the control its government exercises over its public water supply.

    Weather and geography just show up any flaws in control.


  26. A 17-year-old girl is the most recent person to die as a result of coronavirus (COVID-19).

    She was fully vaccinated and passed away on Sunday, January 23, at the Harrison’s Point Isolation Facility. Her death brings the number of casualties from the virus to 276.


  27. Would be interesting to know if the 17 year old suffered from underlying conditions which comprised her situation.

  28. Critical Analyzer Avatar
    Critical Analyzer

    @David
    I also wonder if it could be vaccine injury related as well. An explanation is required.

    What will the vaccine pushers on the young say in defense?


  29. @CA

    A pity with the appointment of David Ellis we seem to be having less press briefings to facilitate questioning. Hopefully this will be addressed.

  30. Critical Analyzer Avatar
    Critical Analyzer

    We need better reporting of the conditions surrounding these COVID deaths. A COVID death should only be recorded as such when it was the primary cause.

    Just because someone tests positive for COVID does not mean COVID killed them. Out of the three COVID deaths I personally am aware of, only one I would consider COVID as the primary cause, the other two persons were older than 80 and had been on the decline for years.


  31. DavidJanuary 24, 2022 6:29 PM

    @CA

    A pity with the appointment of David Ellis we seem to be having less press briefings to facilitate questioning. Hopefully this will be addressed.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    We no longer have a COVID problem in our local population.

    David Ellis is superfluous, the ground has dried out.

    Besides, more press briefings would give some smart alec more opportunities to ask him how many of the COVID cases are imported?

    What do you think he will answer?

    Better let him go!!


  32. HantsJanuary 24, 2022 4:23 PM

    497 COVID cases and 1 death on January 23

    https://www.nationnews.com/2022/01/24/497-covid-cases-1-death-january-23/

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    A fall for Sunday as predicted, should go up tomorrow and fall on Tuesday.

  33. Critical Analyzer Avatar
    Critical Analyzer

    @David January 24, 2022 6:29 PM

    He was brought in to do a masterful fair and balanced PR spin job to hide the real statistics behind our COVID cases, deaths and the true underlying causes because the government, BAMP and the MOH all now realise they were hoodwinked by the WHO and Dr Fauci types into overreacting with lockdowns, isolations and vaccines to do the impossible task of stopping a worldwide virus after it escaped initial containment measures. The conspiracy theorists were mostly correct.

    The government with their isolate every single person who tests positive policy has all the most robust statistics on transmission methods and underlying conditions as well as who are possible vaccine deaths and seriously injured.


  34. @John

    Take careful note of this comment, the blogmaster consider comments from you about water management, nothing else.


  35. @CA

    The blogmaster is not prepared to go there with you just yet.


  36. DavidJanuary 24, 2022 6:54 PM

    @John

    Take careful note of this comment, the blogmaster consider comments from you about water management, nothing else.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    De ground dry out. Ax de Ground Keeper.


  37. To close borders, to open borders. That is the question.

    —————-

    Tonga: Zero-Covid island nation fears aid could bring in virus – BBC News

    https://www.bbc.com/news/60066470


  38. This is the bigger issue for Tonga.

    https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/new-zealand-sends-navy-ship-to-help-tonga-produce-drinking-water/13727114

    Right now Tonga has no COVID so there should be none in the seawater which the ship will desalinate.

    However, if people come with it and it ends up in runoff there is the possibility of it spreading like wildfire.

    The answer would be to go as far out to sea as feasible and use the sea water from there … common sense.


  39. Pointed out that already.


  40. 923 new Covid-19 cases today; Nation News.


  41. @Lyall

    Would you say the spike in numbers can be timelined to general election activity?


  42. DavidJanuary 25, 2022 11:08 PM

    @Lyall

    Would you say the spike in numbers can be timelined to general election activity?

    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Two things.

    Elections and Cricket.

    More likely cricket.

    Two T20’s with sizeable crowds and lots of Brits who have to be tested before returning home.

    Means todays spike could be over 1000.

    Tomorrow, Thursday we will see if it has settled.

    Could be as low as 6/700 but we got to wait and see.

    The second T20 was 23rd so we could be seeing the effect up to the end of the month.


  43. Look at the crowd at the first T20, mostly Brits and from a home population where COVID is rampant.

    May have tested negative to come two days before they left the UK but just needs a sip of the water up that side or a bath to catch it. Shedding on the plane trip down and others catch it and show up when they are tested to return to the UK.

    We really need to see the imported cases to determine what’s going on.

    I am hearing there are lots of young locals with it, the youth will mix alot more than the old fogeys.


  44. The young locals I doubt wasted much time at political meetings.


  45. … probably didn’t vote either.


  46. David; You asked above: Would you say the spike in numbers can be timelined to general election activity?
    The short answer is: Perhaps, perhaps not! Timelining can graphically show what might be some possible connections between activity levels and possible sources but are unlikely to be ironclad. The current available suite of data from official sources can provide some indications only and therefore much more data will be needed to demonstrate an arguable link.

    The best tool, at present available to the general public, is the R0 Reproductive number. The chart shows 1.13 for yesterday. That number should be followed closely for the next 5 to 7 days and needs to be buttressed with more data on possible indicators such as cricket spikes, increased or decreased isolations, etc. The UWI model might give some indicators also.

    The near doubling of the previous day’s cases is worrying but it might be just a temporary blip.


  47. Thanks Lyall, the good news seems to be negligible covid related deaths and hospitalizations.

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