BU has not had the opportunity to thoroughly review the delayed release by government of the 15th Actuarial Review of the National Insurance Scheme. It is a very important fund- a safety net and lifeline- hence the reason BU has been uncompromising in our calls for transparency in the management of the fund.

The inability of the fund to publish audited financial statements in recent years highlights a level of incompetence that is informed by a separate blog. To be fair to the NIS management the unacceptable situation has straddled both political administrations and mirrors the wider state of public sector poor financial management. See a decade of Auditor General Reports.

In response to the findings recorded in the actuarial review the Chairman of the National Insurance Board Justin Robinson felt duty bound to release a statement to the traditional media. Unfortunately our resident actuary Walter Blackman appears to have been silenced after receiving a ‘pick’ with the government owned and controlled Caribbean Broadcasting Corporation (CBC). It seems BU will have to forego his analysis of the actuarial review in this forum. We hope not!

BU’s comment on the Chairman’s response is anchored in commonsense. Chairman Justin Robinson admits what we know, the government is unable to earn adequate foreign dollars to effectively and efficiently manage the issue of portfolio diversification i.e. accept the recommendation to reduce local holdings from 75% to 50%.  What his explanation confirms is that the NIS Fund is under threat from the risk of heavy local concentration in the domestic market, especially government paper, an anemic economic performance and concomitant low yield on investment.

The public relations tactic of the Chairman will satisfy the political partisans, however, independent minded Bajans AND vested actors remain unappeased.

 

Statement from Chairman of the NIS Justin Robinson

99 responses to “Not So Fast Justin Robinson!”


  1. After the whole discussion it became clear for me that the NIS won´t be a good source of income for retired Barbadians in the future.

    So what about the big fat pensions of cabinet ministers, judges and civil servants? Why not reducing them by 50% if the rest of the country is in misery? Why do these people not pay for the clubhouse on Apes Hill Plantation? Why must the masses pay for the white tourists and the local aristocrats lean back?

  2. millertheanunnaki Avatar
    millertheanunnaki

    @ Bernard Codrington. September 7, 2017 at 9:03 PM #
    “I an sure that the officers at NIS will answer all these queries. The external auditors express an opinion on the fairness of the accounts NOT the validity of them.”

    OMG! Just can’t believe you have taken pride in authoring that ‘quoted’ statement.

    Fair: “In accordance with the rules or standards; legitimate”.
    Validity: “the quality of being logically or factually sound; soundness or cogency; the state of being legally or officially binding or acceptable”.

    How can the accounts be assessed as ‘Fair’ and not being ‘Valid’?
    Externally-audited accounts are used to inform stakeholders about the performance of an organization to assist potential investors or lenders in their decision-making processes.

    So why would owners of business enterprises, those with ‘vested’ interests or potential investors in a business enterprise involving the undertaking of legal contractual relations not be insisting that the audited accounts of that entity ought to be relied upon as being “fair and valid” in order that the information contained therein is the ‘best’ that their money can pay for?


  3. Simpleton

    The stock market tanked for ONE YEAR. After that, recovery. Capitalism is still plagued by economic downturns, but downturns are followed by upturns.


  4. When a financial auditor reports that financial statements are “fairly stated”, he means that in his opinion there is REASONABLE (but not ABSOLUTE) ASSURANCE that the account balances reported are VALID (i.e., they are not fictitious or overstated) and COMPLETE (there are no material omissions).


  5. @ Chad
    ….he means that in his opinion there is REASONABLE (but not ABSOLUTE) ASSURANCE that the account balances reported are VALID…
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Perhaps it SHOULD mean that….but…

    What it really means is that “this is what the directors told him” and he is clearing himself and his firm with the following LONG list of legal exemptions…..

    Most auditors have VERY CLEAR indications of fraud and misuse of funds by directors and administrators, but make the decision to ‘keep the auditing pick’ and leave it to shareholders to fend for themselves.

    ANYONE who tells us that the CLICO auditors were unaware of the lotta shiite being done by LP and his cohorts will be found to be either an idiot or a politician …. or both.


  6. Does the NIS still has a positive net flow? And if yes, how long before it turns negative?

    The lack of a credible public financial accountability law with strict enforcement and heavy punishment is the reason why public bodies operate with the impunity they do. The auditor general’s report is seen as a nuisance to these government boards.


  7. @fortyacresandamule

    There is enough local knowledge tacit and otherwise that the ebb and flow of cash is contributing to delays in the payment of benefits.

  8. NorthernObserver Avatar

    Let’s try another short of reports….BNOCL

    bnocl.com…..account suspended? Or is it my connection?


  9. A case where for whatever reason the domain name has not been paid. Could be accidental or not…

  10. NorthernObserver Avatar

    What does BC call it….administrative bottleneck.


  11. If auditors are professionally negligent they can be sued for damages.


  12. @ Chad
    Who will sue them…?

    Have you seen the latest audit letters…?
    shiite man… there are so many legal loopholes that anyone who can afford to sue an auditor is rich enough not to need to bother…

    …or was THAT the plan all along?


  13. @David. Are you saying delay in payments are a result of a negative cash flow of NIS operation? The last actuarial report I saw predicted that payment benefits would outstrip contribution in the late 2020s.


  14. Chad,
    Never thought I will say this, but I agree. If an auditor is found professionally negligent the regulator can fine them, ban them permanently fore for a set period. Just look at the number of listed companies forced to re-state their accounts.


  15. @Chad. That might be in theory. Rarely does the accounting profession been held to account for their failure in the many finacial collapse and scandals. They always seemed to pass the buck.


  16. What about Arthur Anderson, accountants for Enron?


  17. Just watching CNN. We do not need Irma. We have Chris, like a hurricane category 5. When he comes he is hot und wet and when he leaves he takes your house and car with you.


  18. @Fortyacresandamule

    If the government continues to pay its day to financial obligations in paper and not cash what do you think will result?


  19. @ David,

    Thinking of our Bajans in Florida. Hope Dr. Georgie Porgie and his family will be ok.


  20. @Hants

    Yes, we have a few located there who frequent the corridors of BU.


  21. @Hal. The BIG FOUR accounting firms have gotten away with murder during the last finacial crisis. While most people raged and heaped scorn on bankers and the credit rating agencies, the accounting profession was overlooked at best or given a pass at worst.

    They collected millions/ billions in fees over the years, signing off on worthless balance sheet assets and divided payouts. KPMG was Madoff’s auditor for years. This example alone tells me that KPMG was in collusion with the Madoff’s ponzi scheme or they were grossly incompetent.


  22. In the Madoff case KPMG was apparently fooled by fake records prepared by Madoff’s accountants.

    In most audits, the auditee pays the auditor’s fee. Conflict of interest. Paves the way to corruption. But not all auditors are corrupt and the penalties for getting caught can be severe.


  23. Incidentally, Madoff’s auditor was Friehling & Horowitz . Not KPMG. KPMG audited organizations that did business with Madoff.


  24. @ Chad
    But not all auditors are corrupt and the penalties for getting caught can be severe.
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Steupsss…
    …and not all BU regulars are naive either.

    The same can be said for politicians, lawyers, …even drug dealers and murderers.
    Not all are corrupt, …and the penalties for getting caught are severe…

    BUT WE ALL KNOW that the NON-corrupt level among these scamps is less than 10%.
    It is even less for auditors….. because they do it, not by commission, but mostly by omission.

    It looks like you have clothes hung out to dry and looking for rain…


  25. 40acres,
    Agree.


  26. Below is a statement from Deloitte’s Fairness Opinion on the $2.86 offer for Cable & Wireless Barbados shares. Some of those shares are owned by the NIS. Did the NIS accept the offer?

    “Deloitte has relied upon the completeness, accuracy and fair presentation of all the financial and other information, data, advice, opinions or representations obtained by it from management of CWB and through materials obtained in the public domain (collectively, the “Information”). The Fairness Opinion is conditional upon the completeness, accuracy, and fair presentation of such information. Deloitte has not attempted to verify independently the completeness, accuracy or fair presentation of the information;”


  27. @Alien

    Besides the issue of probing the low offer by CW and the negative impact on pension and other funds in Barbados if the transaction is consumated are you also questioning the fact Deloitte’s

    relied upon the completeness, accuracy and fair presentation of all the financial and other information, data, advice, opinions or representations obtained by it from management of CWB and through materials obtained in the public domain (collectively, the “Information”).


  28. I am questioning the value of an opinion where “… Deloitte has not attempted to verify independently the completeness, accuracy or fair presentation of the information;”. For the basic annual audit, independent testing is conducted – why not for such a significant transaction?


  29. It is good to know all these details about the history of NIS, indeed. These details are very important for future investigations about criminal and civil liability.

    However, two figures are politically responsible for the whole mess:

    Sinckler as MoF and Blackett as Minister of Social Care.


  30. @Alien
    “Deloitte has relied upon the completeness, accuracy and fair presentation of all the financial and other information, data, advice, opinions or representations obtained by it from management of CWB and through materials obtained in the public domain (collectively, the “Information”). The Fairness Opinion is conditional upon the completeness, accuracy, and fair presentation of such information. Deloitte has not attempted to verify independently the completeness, accuracy or fair presentation of the information;

    You have forced me to expose my ignorance in these matters… So what did this company do “just add up and subtract numbers provided to them”. Just a rubber stamp?

  31. millertheanunnaki Avatar

    @ Bush Tea September 9, 2017 at 6:44 AM
    “It is even less for auditors….. because they do it, not by commission, but mostly by omission.”

    Maybe that explains why the Bajan NIS is unable to publish audited accounts and annual reports for so long a period.

    There maybe more in the ‘payouts’ mortar than the ‘contributions’ pestle of possible fraud and financial infelicities to which the auditors might not wish to cover up as in the case of CLICO and lessons learnt by their international parents.

    After what has been highlighted by the Auditor General’s reports over the years you should not put past you the high probability of the pervasiveness of such financial improprieties existing where large sums of money are flowing in and out of a government organization saddled with incompetent and weak managers and supervised by a board of cowards loyal only to their political masters and the monthly stipends as their spending money to feed their conspicuous consumption style of living.

    It boggles the mind how a country so ‘superfluously’ endowed with technocrats in the field of finance and accounting could allow such a state of pure incompetence to exist for so long with a national financial institution on which so many honest and hardworking people depend for support in time of sickness, unemployment and old age.


  32. When estimates are made, the end result is usually a set of possible outcomes with varying likelihoods. An expected value, along with higher and lower possible outcomes, is determined. I assume that Deloitte used the data provided to calculate the possible outcomes, which are only as good and the data used. If the range is from say $2.85 to $10.00, as $2.86 is within the range, it is considered fair.


  33. This was also the case for Light & Power, where the indicated value was from about $25.00 to about $33.00 and the fairness opinion concluded that the offer of about $25.00 was fair. Fair to whom?


  34. An alternative approach to measurement that seeks to capture changes in asset and liability values over time. The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) defines fair value as "… an amount at which an asset could be exchanged between knowledgeable and willing parties in an arms length transaction".

    Fair Value Accounting Definition from Financial Times Lexicon

  35. C&WWI is offering $2.86, which it represents as fair, for the remaining shares of C&WB. Would C&WWI accept $3.00 for its C&WB shares from another equally knowledgeable party, such as Digicel? By C&WWI own analysis, $3.00 would be above the fair value and represent a more valuable asset than the C&WB shares.


  36. Maybe Mr. Robinson should approach other potential major investors to join the NIS and make a bid for all C&WB shares?


  37. It is time for the NIS to act like a $5 billion lion in the market and stop taking leftovers like a scavenger.


  38. @fortyacresandamule September 8, 2017 at 11:23 AM #
    Does the NIS still has a positive net flow? And if yes, how long before it turns negative?

    I am catching up on my reading. According to the IMF report, expenditures exceeded contributions in 2013. The prior Actuarial report has estimated 2024.


  39. What is the news on the “debt re-profiling” mentioned by the MOF in the budget? This means lowering the interest rate paid by the GoB, and since 75% of the NIS Investments are in GoB instruments, this would lower the revenue to the NIS (which takes some of the air out of BC’s argument of higher returns).

    The MoF also referenced something to the effect, this interest reduction would reduce the “outstanding arrears” amount owed to the NIS. Another prime reason we need an Annual Report, for he admits the GoB has been tardy in paying the NIS (something suspected all along).


  40. @ Alien
    Maybe Mr. Robinson should approach other potential major investors to join the NIS and make a bid for all C&WB shares?
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Which Mr Robinson Boss….?

    Name ANY single attribute that he has EVER demonstrated …that would suggest that he is capable of initiating such a common sense move….


  41. The challenge for Justin Robinson is that in his role at the UWI, Cave Hill he has to approach some of the same entities to try an secure sponsorship and donations. -aconflict of interest perhaps?


  42. “Unfortunately our resident actuary Walter Blackman appears to have been silenced after receiving a ‘pick’ with the government owned and controlled Caribbean Broadcasting Corporation (CBC). It seems BU will have to forego his analysis of the actuarial review in this forum. We hope not!”

    David,
    I am not in Barbados at the moment. Do you have access to a copy of the 15th actuarial review of the NIS? I searched the NIS website – in vain.


  43. @Walter

    No, we asked but a few copies we understand were shared with a select few in the traditional media.


  44. David,
    Thanks. I will reserve comment until I have seen and read the report.


  45. @Walter

    The plan by government to do a debt swap by reissuing government paper at a lower interest rate merits your input until we get our hands on the actuarial report? Come on Walter we need your expertise here. Wouldn’t reducing interest rate as proposed adversely impact fund yield AND cash flow? Let us hope the recent actuarial report factored the latest Sinckler plan. If you should want to write on it send an email for next rotation.


  46. “Wouldn’t Reducing interest rate as proposed adversely impact fund yield AND cash flow?”

    Sorry, what is this? Are we talking about the NIS?


  47. @Blogmaster
    the MoF didn’t say ‘debt swap’, he said “debt re-profiling”, which without specifics has been taken to mean a haircut to existing debt holders, which would include the NIS. The MoF also made some mention of (my words from memory) ‘this re-profiling decreasing the current owing to the NIS’; thereby hinting there was some tardiness/arrears in payments to NIS.


  48. @NO

    Thanks for the correction, the mind automatically attached debt to swap based on the MoH’s mouthing as quoted below taken from his budget delivery:

    “possible swap programme where they and government can reissue some existing securities in their portfolios at lower interest rates agreed by the parties,” this would save the government a whole lot of interest.”


  49. […] Justin Robinson weeks after issuing a vacuous statement about the state of the NIS Fund is at it again. This time with an even more muddled and muddied […]

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