Barbados forex fell by 63 million dollars

It is unfortunate that when some of us try to engage in a constructive debate about the economy, motivated only by love of country, others trivialize the attempt because they are blinded by party colours.

BU continues to be disappointed that despite the protracted volatility of the global economy, it seems to be having a null effect on the mindset of Barbadians and the political directorate. Instead of reconciling to a position to what we can do for our country, we continue to demand, demand, demand, more, more, more. Years and years of becoming bloated as a result of borrowing has caught up with us.

The time has come to select a new path. The aged model which has served us well must be dispensed with if we are to sustain our current way of life. Yes this government is to be commended for the increased dialogue about Renewable Energy (RE), and those policy initiatives which seek to wean Barbadians from its almost total dependence on fossil fuel. BU suggests that we have not done enough.  Why can’t motor dealers be incentivised to sell Hybrid vehicles NOW? Why can’t taxpayers get a 2-3 year shelter up to 80% on tax filings when they retrofit their homes with RE devices NOW? We need to take significant decisions to kickstart desired behaviours. We give RE incentives yet facilitate the increase of vehicles which run on fossil fuel.

The recent statement by the Governor of the Central Bank and the Minister of Finance about the need to protect foreign reserves should be examined against government’s public energy policy. Did the Minister of Finance  increase the taxable value of motor cars and reduce the excise tax on motor vehicles by 25% so that sales on mid-size cars in Barbados can trend North? Minister of Finance reported that he was responding to concerns of the motor vehicle dealers in Barbados who have cried out that motor car sales have slumped by 60%.

BU understands that this forex consuming beast known as motor vehicle dealers employs a number of people. A useful discussion therefore is to weigh the pros and cons of government’s decision given its impact on forex outflow. What we know is that the handout to the motor dealers will firm up existing behaviours. Should the government be doing the opposite?

Is it possible to have a discussion about how serious we are as a country about generating and protecting forex in Barbados? Are we on the right track? The government gets some points for its RE policy but is seems to be trapped in the lethargy caused by our civil service for which its reputation is well known.

  1. old onion bags Avatar
    old onion bags

    corr abattoirs


  2. Mascoll makes himself a target saying that he is a spokesman for the opposition party and writing weekly in the newspaper and on the radio call in programmes.

    Mascoll is the one doing the attacking and for the record, he succumbed to politics of inclusion because he is basically a political wimp who because he “got out” wanted to take up his bat and go home but the game went on with out him.He does not know any more economics than anyone else in Barbados but his constant self promotion will fool the gullible yardfowl that he does. He is an intellectual impostor who has zero name and academic recognition beyond this 166 square miles.
    Two years as junior minister of finance and his legacy was 2 million dollars of our precious money thrown away down a Hardwood hole, never to be seen again.

    Regarding the unscrupulous statement by another blogger,”As soon as signs appeared on the horizon , Mascoll was taken down.”
    REPLACE the word MASCOLL with MIA and then continue.
    Hypocrite!

    The BLP will fool those who allow themselves to be fooled.


  3. @Onions

    After all the generalities the question some of us will ask is where is the measure of the output from such producing entities? We all know the BLP built out the economy of Barbados on services, period.

    Your politically washed statements will NOT go unchallenged sir.

  4. millertheanunnaki Avatar
    millertheanunnaki

    @ ! | July 13, 2012 at 6:02 AM |

    You seem to be well versed on economic matters and view Mascoll as a political lackey so any pronouncements from him should be taken with a dose of salts.
    You also seem to rate Dr. Frank Alleyne- who is a known DLP sympathizer and possibly party man- as fair and objective.
    So explain to the BU family the position taken by Alleyne on the foreign reserves. He claims that any significant additional spend in the local economy would immediately translate into severe pressures on the foreign reserves that can threaten the stability of the currency peg i.e. trigger a devaluation. The question to you is why did the MoF give income tax reductions knowing full well these would result in additional spend in the economy?
    Have the fiscal and monetary conditions that gave rise to the tax impositions changed that significantly as to grant these concessions at time when the foreign reserves are lower and under greater pressure than when the tax burdens on workers were first imposed?
    The economic reasoning coming from Dr. Alleyne befuddles me. On the one hand he supports granting the tax concessions but on the other hand he argues that any pressures on the foreign reserves from additional spend in the local economy would have serious ramifications for the country maintaining its foreign currency parity.

    Please explain to us this economic paradox and dilemma.


  5. Up to a few minutes ago , i.e my last sane recollection Barbados was a democracy. It seems that something has changed. When and why all de aggression….. clic co

  6. old onion bags Avatar
    old onion bags

    I see I have the same problem as Moses when he led the people out of Egypt…..first you ask for ‘PRODUCE’: producing example….that I provided..now you want me give….”the measure of output”….man get real do….next you will be comparing that with Timbucktoo…Stop moving the goal post David ..do….now one of your more favorite pass times.

    By the way we build Polyclinics and 4 post offices…they all produce social benefits too…..you want me “measure the output” there too ?

    Face it David..the DLP will have a problem measuring up.


  7. @Scrupie

    It is the silly season.

    @Miller

    It is an interesting discussion. It seems the government don’t want to open the gate but recognise a guarded opening is required. It is reminiscent of the BLP’s plan pre-global crisis when the plan was to liberalize our forex policy.

    How do you feel about Dr. Alleynes position that by not protecting the forex the confidence by merchants in our burgeoning distributive sector disappears generating an overnight demand on forex i.e the current practice of importers availing themselves of 90-day credit facility goes through the window.


  8. @Onions

    In the context of the discussion surely you understand what ‘produce’ means? Check Crusoe’s last comment.

  9. old onion bags Avatar
    old onion bags

    @ David
    In the context of the discussion surely you understand what ‘produce’ means? Check Crusoe’s last comment.
    *******************************
    At the DLP lampoons got to offer is criticism ….(can’t even win an argument on horses without getting hot under the collar like Amused)…..they criticize everything..like Pointless…..Do you know why ? It is because when you have NOTHING to offer…rather than wimp off like a stray dog…they try biting someone, any one (like ac)..even their own (crusoe) to spread their rabies……i.e unable to be good at anything and the plague of blunderisms…..lol


  10. @ David
    Production can’t be conducted in isolation. Infrastructure must be in place to assist whether high speed internet connectivity (wifi included), proper roads, seaports, etc, etc. Isn’t sports part of our development plan?

    Doesn’t cricket deserve a proper home? Ten twenty20 contracts for Bajans
    are worth what in FOREX? Jones needs to build the long overdue football centre so we can aim for 10 professional footballers too.

    The BLP built on what was then a competitive advantage (had the current government not fallen asleep at the wheel that advantage would still be in place), and it is silly to now come and condemn such an approach since to this day not a fella can advance an alternative. RE? Can we build PV panels to compete with the international companies that are way ahead of us?

    I asked why in those three consecutive years 2004 to 2006 when the reserves were lower than they are at present didn’t the B’dos dollar face devaluation or the economy collapsed?

  11. millertheanunnaki Avatar
    millertheanunnaki

    @ David | July 13, 2012 at 8:35 AM |
    Any lack of confidence in the state and management of our country’s foreign reserves could trigger a run by the importing business class and hasten moves by foreign owned entities to repatriate profits, management fees and other liquid assets (cash holdings).
    It’s coincidentally interesting that the 90 day credit window is approximately equivalent to the 15 working weeks cover of foreign reserves. One hopes that this situation is mere coincidental and not indicative of any type of speculative “kiting” or creative accounting.
    We have to keep a very close watch on this situation since the amount of foreign money currently flowing into the foreign reserves tank is much less than that leaving though ‘imports’ outlet. Any sudden rush to put additional pressures through ‘non-imports’ applications on the leaky tank could spell serious trouble in our monetary system.

    It is therefore absolutely essential that any announcements emanating from CBB and the political administration must be above board, geared to maintain confidence and not seen as political propaganda to keep a particular administration in power. The governor therefore has to be exceedingly wary how he comes across to intelligent people.
    I still am at a loss to synthesize or filter the meaning of that statement that the level of foreign reserves recently measured is the same as that prevailing at the end of December 2008. If in his opinion the level of foreign reserves is adequate for the country’s requirements and sufficient to protect its peg then he must not make statements that could lead to misinterpretation and giving rise to rumour mongering about hoarding of foreign currency. Poor people cannot hoard what they don’t have access to.
    The DLP mouthpiece on economic affairs must also be careful when he speaks positively on the fiscal strategies of this administration while at the same time warning us about the deleterious effects on the foreign reserves resulting from any increases in local spending.

  12. old onion bags Avatar
    old onion bags

    The DLP has shamed Barbados with what they failed to produce for its people.We were once the pride of the Caribbean. Now we are laughed at and spurned upon.THANKS DLP…..thanks ac…..we have a lot to thank you lot for.


  13. @Miller

    Agree Governor Worrell’s comparison to 2008 was not well thought out.


  14. @Miller

    Agree that Governor Worrell’s comparison to 2008 was not well thought out.


  15. A future PDC Government shall make sure that all exchange rate parities with the Barbados dollar are abolished in this country.

    All persons, businesses and other entities importing and exporting goods and services into and from Barbados respectively will have to trade in the currencies that the particular importers and exporters have so agreed to in the particular contracts.

    PDC


  16. Based on our own research, there is no more than US $200 million in foreign exchange in this country at this stage.

    Therefore, references to some belief that Barbados has BDS $ 1.4 billion in foreign reserves are totally unfounded and misdirecte

    Recent research done by us shows that at this stage in Barbados there is no more than US $ 200 million in foreign exchange in Barbados.

    References by some people to some idea that there is BDS 1.4 billion in foreign exchange reserves are therefore unfounded and misdirected.

    There is not that magnitude of foreign reserves that Barbados has now.

    What foolishness!!

    And to think that some people believe in that nonsense as well.

    PDC

  17. old onion bags Avatar

    Man PDC man
    How you know it is only $2oo Mil ?….Unless you is FLY….look the next time you fly in the vault….tekk out $1 Mil fa Onions and Bushie hear


  18. In this environment, The Minister of Finance can give income tax reductions but it is important to couple this with expenditure restraint or revenue gain.

    The MOF financed a requirement for each of the departments to have an adiitional 2% budgetary cut and incentivized areas like alternative energy and food production where foreign exchange savings can be realised.
    The BLP will obvious tell people what they want to hear- people should be intelligent enough to reason.
    The budget reply by Ms. Mottley was extremely irresponsible – promising everything – cut taxes, increase spending- in this environment?
    If the government had presented the “blatant electioneering reckless proposals” that Mottley outlined, Barbados would have been downgraded by the ratings agencies before the desk thumping was finished at the end of the speech.
    Sinckler was responsible and visionary.

  19. millertheanunnaki Avatar
    millertheanunnaki

    @ The People’s Democratic Congress | July 13, 2012 at 10:53 PM |
    “Based on our own research, there is no more than US $200 million in foreign exchange in this country at this stage.”

    You need to expand on this assertion if you don’t want to be labeled “Alarmist”.
    How is the US$200 mill made up and where is it sitting? In the local banks foreign accounts or is it invested by the CBB in short-term paper with the Federal Reserve and US Treasury?

    What other book-keeping items would account for the differential between what the governor of the CBB is reporting and your claim of US$ 200 mill?


  20. The Governor of the Central Bank of Barbados recently stated in the review of the half year performance of the Barbados political economy and else, that there was a $ 63 million decline in foreign reserves for that period over the corresponding one.

    He also went on to state that imports are paid for from out of what foreign currency comes into the country.

    Now, imports are in the region of 3 and a half billion Barbados dollars plus yearly.

    Exports are in the region of 2 and a half billion Barbados dollar plus yearly.

    What this tells so many Barbadians is that Barbados has a serious current account deficit on the Balance of Payments yearly.

    Nevertheless, what the Governor has really been suggesting is that this deficit in the current account of the Balance of Payments will still be closed out of foreign capital inflows into Barbados (this is an accounting truism).

    What is also clear from the Governor statements (represented above) is that there has also been a decline in foreign capital inflows because within the first half of the year, the government had to DIP into the foreign reserves this time around to pay for imports and other things.

    Well, as it stands right now, if the Barbados government is paying for imports and else things out of foreign currency coming into the country, it must mean that when one reconverts the values the Central Bank gives for imports from Barbados dollars to US dollars (vis-a-vis removing transaction costs and taxation costs (to income, payments, transfers) which have falsely inflated the import figure (Barbados dollars) in the first place), it must mean that by doing the necessary statistical calculations and synthesizations there must be fewer than US $ 200 million in foreign reserves in Barbados at this stage.

    What is clear too is that these insensate DLP and BLP Governments and their so-called economist supporters have over the years been terribly misleading the public on the amount in foreign reserves that Barbados really has in store.

    Both the DLP and BLP must go.

    PDC

  21. NationBLPnewspaper Avatar
    NationBLPnewspaper

    I could not beleive my eyes when the BLP mouthpiece Peter Simmons actually had the audacity to complain about CBC covering government activities and MPS while not being man enough to admit that the Nation newspaper has boycotted anyone from the DLP writing a column in the Nationnewspaper.

    The Nation newspaper has employed the tactic of using BLP spokesmen like Albert Brandford, Peter Simmons, Ezra Alleyne, Harry Russell, Clyde Mascott and Pat Hoyos to savage the DLP every week for the last 4 years while refusing to allow anyone from the DLP to write in the Nation.
    Therefore , if you are a Nation reader you get commentary that is consistently skewed to the opposition. Obviously for the BLP yardfowls like Peter Simmons, that is just fine.

  22. NationBLPnewspaper Avatar
    NationBLPnewspaper

    The Nation newspaper is so predictably the BLP public relations machine that everytime the BLP opposition leader speaks at a Sunday meeting , a call is made to the Nation newsroom and the following day his comments are placed in a prominent position in the Monday paper.

    Watch this trend carefully – either the front page, back page or page 3 (the first page you see when you open the paper).It happens everytime like clockwork.
    The BLP held a politically orchestrated event before their women’s league on Sunday, July 15 about the economy – look and see the prominent and extensive coverage which is given by the Nation newspaper of this event.
    You will clearly see how closely the BLP leadership and the Nation newspaper editors collaborate – almost as if they have the same mission.
    Journalism is Barbados has gone to the dogs and the oppostion can do or say anything for votes knowing that the biggest newspaper in the country has pledged its allegiance to a political party first and the country second.


  23. When will it end?

    Was the petrol price rigged too?
    Motorists may have been paying too much for their petrol because banks and other traders are likely to have tried to manipulate oil prices in the same way they rigged interest rates, an official report has warned.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/fuel/9401934/Was-the-petrol-price-rigged-too.html


  24. @David,

    Well, so much IS rigged. International politics and finance is NOT above Board. Recent events in finance include the Barclays fine, JP Morgan trading losses of $4Billion, which were apparently blamed on a breakdown in controls (even though their quarterly earnings have still been VERY profitable and a US brokerage house has gone bankrupt, allegedly with fraud.

    The ‘financial’ crisis in institutions has not gone away, because it is structural, made for manipulation and as long as profits generate CEO bonuses, do you really expect any change?

    The smoke and mirrors are endless, on big convoluted game. I reiterate, Libya and Iraq were casualties of the ‘game’, being the oil industry trump cards.

    Now that the trump cards were played, what have we left? The obvious answer for Barbados, keeps going back to self reliance and food independence, that which some claimed could not be done, but which can be done.

    The regeneration of backyard butchers and cottage industry is necessary, because the centralisation fo such facilities only suits the ‘big boys’ and large corporations which kill small business.

    You can have both, but the option should be there. We should not adopt regulations because it sounds like what would be done overseas, our regulations need to allow local small business to prosper, whether the backyard butcher with such a license or the agriculture co-op or the small hotel.

    What measures can be done to create a resurgence for the small man?

    As last week’s firings show, the distribution sector is fickle and reliant on the decisions of a few overseas.

    Local business, generating real local income, not just the marginal profis of imported goods, is where we start.


  25. @Crusoe

    Amen!

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