Submitted by Yardbroom

Mia Mottley, former leader of the Opposition

In making a political decision you “must” factor in what is the likely outcome and how you will respond to it, obviously to your advantage…..that is real politics.  We are where we are, therefore the present situation has got to be dealt with.  The euphoria – for some – in the recent successful change of leader in The Barbados Labour Party is almost a distant memory but the heat of the next general election has already started to warm the hands of a few; others can feel the chill of defeat.  In balancing the risk factors resulting from that change of leadership and how to turn them into a positive result, it will take the acumen of a keen actuarial brain coupled with tactical awareness; but so it should be for the prize is to be the next Prime Minister of Barbados.

Like him or loath him, Owen Arthur was able to persuade his parliamentary colleagues to support his bid for re-election as leader of the Party.  I will not concern myself here with the minutiae of that challenge germane as it is.  I am looking forward.

A section of the electorate – even here on BU – who are dedicated DLP supporters seek to praise Mia Mottley with a view to sow discord in the BLP ranks; not to be outdone a few BLP supporters are praising Chris Sinckler and even asking why he is not leader of the DLP, such activists – not always – seek to be mischievous and appeal to ego.

My track record in these things is fairly solid; so I will be up front once again.  The outcome of the next Barbados General Election will depend on decisions made in the BLP,  having made such a bold statement I must explain the reasoning which underpins it.

Owen Arthur has a difficult decision to make, the BLP will not win an outright victory – with a governing majority – unless Mia Mottley is on board.  Arthur has to decide how that feat will can be accomplished, politics is about practicalities and outcomes.  The best brains and ideas are useless unless you are in Government and in a position to implement policy…all politicians know that.

Mia Mottley has more power now to influence events than she did before, to compound that she is rock solid in her constituency, the bell is not tolling for Mia Motley.  Others might wish that were the case but it is not so.  In examining a political situation one must stand back from a stance based on personal likes or dislikes, a failure to do so ensures flawed thinking.

A political construct based on what has happened or is happening to a particular party in America, Canada, UK or other Caribbean islands does not take account of the peculiarities of Barbados politics, where positions are fashioned on a myriad of issues beguiling to an outsider.
The Barbados General Election campaign started some time ago, it is now the fine tuning which has to take place, for if the BLP fails to act – whatever the economy – the DLP will gallop away with a resounding victory.

You might have noticed there is no mention here of Prime Minister Freundel Stuart, neither have I sought to highlight the abilities or otherwise of Chris Sincker, my reasoning is that to do so at this juncture and in this submission would be to take my eye off the ball.  I have focused on where the “real action” is and the factor which will determine the outcome of the next general election in Barbados.  I have no wish list of any kind, just naked pragmatism.

Others might take  different views, those I will respect but they are theirs to give.

Can Owen Arthur offer anything to Mia Mottley and if he did would she accept his offer, or perhaps more pertinent should she accept, or are the wounds too fresh.  The clock is ticking and only they can decide but the words exchanged between them and the body language presented and perceived by the Barbados electorate will determine the future of Barbados for a decade or more.  Other issues are significant and will to some degree impact on the next Barbados general election, my omission of them does not mean they are trivial but I contend that the Mia Mottley Owen Arthur factor will determine the real prize…the next Prime Minister of Barbados.


  1. @true to form.

    Your form, like Owen’s, is clearly only temporary.

    Pray tell us how he retooled the sugar industry. Three years after he was dumped, the sugar industry is on the verge of collapse. I know the BLP had plans, most of which the Dems are finally bringing on stream, (perhaps too late) but Owen dilly dallied on sugar agriculture for far too long.

    Same thing with International Business. Much more could have been done to keep Barbados on the cutting edge and cut out some of the bureaucratic red tape. Again we have fallen behind the curve here and the Dems have not helped the situation. Did you hear Connie Smith’s comments?

    Tourism was only slightly better off, but still not in a position to withstand the current recession and several properties have in fact closed. Or are you talking about GEMS?

    Restructured manufacturing? You got to be living someplace else.

    I agree that he reformed the personal tax system and I give him full marks for this.

    Restructuring means diversification and new economic activity. New and more efficient ways of doing old things. Where are the examples of this? In may ways we are worse off than we were in the 70’s and 80’s. I agree that the BLP encouraged micro business through grant funding, but how many of these people are still in business today?

    Honest, impartial economists will tell you that his last five years in office were unimaginative and regressive as far as economic progress is concerned.

    The man did a good job for almost two terms before arrogance, greed and sloth took over. You have not convinced me that he still has the energy or the interest to take us beyond where he ended and without Mia Mottley as a back up he will continue to be nothing more than a good memory – a piece of nostalgia.

    And before you decry my judgement of Mottley as his back up, I heard a former BLP Senator publicly recall that for the final term she chaired not only most of the Cabinet Meetings, but the Parliamentary Party meetings as well. We ordinary folk would not have known this, but we do know that his attendance at Parliament was spotty to put the best complexion on it.

    SImply put I do not want an old man with questionable health looking after my future, no matter how much experience he has. How is his experience going to help me when he can’t even make it into the office.

    The problem with the present administration is that they have taken far too long to get up to speed. So we Bajans are really between a rock and a hard place. Who will be the lesser of two evils? That is one of the reasons why people who can think for themselves feel betrayed by Payne and Arthur’s ouster of Miss Mottley. She proved, and continues to do so, that she had her finger on the pulse with the deficit and CLICO. Her speech to the Chamber of Commerce is the only example to date of fresh ideas and new ways of doing old things better.

    You may be able to fool some of the people with your talk of experience, but I been in town too long to believe that you can teach an old dog new tricks. All of Arthur’s recent pronouncements have been down the same old line, when we live in a very different world from 1994.

    I pray every night that my children will be alright, but the future of our country does not look rosy given either of our present choices of Prime Minister.


  2. @jfor jerome
    It is clear that there are somethings on which we can agree. But i wish to go back to the question of restructuring annd re-tooling the economy. A government can only do so much . A government is not an investor ,it is simply there to provide the enabling environment for the investors and then for these investors should run with the ideas . Let me state up front it is impossible to expect that in an economy the size of Barbados,and with a tootal value of only about 10 billion dollars to radically change our export base . We are in competition with a host of countries which can do every thing we do at a greater comparative advantage so we have to be selective in our re-structuring. I think that the word re structuring is to strong a word. We have to tinker, change , modify in small bits to make any real change We simply do not have the finances to make a full restructing work. The Arthur government in its limited way tried to make some changes and you MUIST give him credit for it.
    One of tthe biggest contoversial decisions was the decision on Gems. The state of the hotel plants on the South Coast was run down , room stock was depressed while tourism on the West Coast was moving up, .The government took a decision to refurbish hotels and guest houses by governmnet injecting new investment on the South Coast. This did not work wiell but I want you to understand it caused many hotel owmners to retool and bring their properties up to date, That is the work of government, to facilitate and bring to parties to a place where more investment is coming,. the govbernment knocked down the old Hiliton as a means of ensuring that it remains current and attratctive to the type of visitor. That move paid dividends. so that small changes have been made. We had begun to attract brand name hotel chains but it seems that the recession has put a hold on that .

    I think that if George Hutson has any decency ,he would have tendered his resignation already. The international Business Sector was the fast area of international growth in this economy. The last govbernment negotiatiated the European Partnership Agreement EPA and with it come some important strictures. This governemnt had a great advantage over the rest of the Caribbean but the advantage was going to be short lived so we had to move quickly. The minister has been able to do nothing so far. This is horendous and the blame has to laid fully at the feet of the minister .This was building out the exconomy when the last government was so aggressive on this front Credit must be given here and we must not pooh pooh this . I accept that in Agriculture and in the Cultural Iindusties Barbados was only iin the crawling steps of the change and some would say we did not even get tthat far .you will have to say that these would have been controversial areas given the capital to be expanded and the possble returns on these investments bearing iin mind we we going to a one factory option. It will take a brave man to give a Governmnent over 200 million dollars to sustain moves in a cane industry when it is not even breaking even. In the present economic climate many of these plan must be put on hold. even in good times some of the plans would have been risky. .

    On the question of leadership I repeat you cannot lead yourself and when callled upon by your colleagues you have a duty to answer the call. .Mr Arthur is competent capable and has a record second to none in the area of economic policy and success , You cannot bring ihealth into this. PM Stuart fel ill in St John in the Byelection. You may feel concern but if you are a not a doctor then it is a non point. Wish them well in ther endeavpours I will return to the other points in another post. Think on these things


  3. @jfor jerome
    It is clear that there are somethings on which we can agree. But i wish to go back to the question of restructuring and re-tooling the economy. A government can only do so much . A government is not an investor ,it is simply there to provide the enabling environment for the investors and then for these investors should run with the ideas . Let me state up front it is impossible to expect that in an economy the size of Barbados,and with a tootal value of only about 10 billion dollars to radically change our export base . We are in competition with a host of countries which can do every thing we do at a greater comparative advantage so we have to be selective in our re-structuring. I think that the word re structuring is to strong a word. We have to tinker, change , modify in small bits to make any real change We simply do not have the finances to make a full restructing work. The Arthur government in its limited way tried to make some changes and you MUIST give him credit for it.
    One of tthe biggest contoversial decisions was the decision on Gems. The state of the hotel plants on the South Coast was run down , room stock was depressed while tourism on the West Coast was moving up, .The government took a decision to refurbish hotels and guest houses by governmnet injecting new investment on the South Coast. This did not work wiell but I want you to understand it caused many hotel owmners to retool and bring their properties up to date, That is the work of government, to facilitate and bring to parties to a place where more investment is coming,. the govbernment knocked down the old Hiliton as a means of ensuring that it remains current and attratctive to the type of visitor. That move paid dividends. so that small changes have been made. We had begun to attract brand name hotel chains but it seems that the recession has put a hold on that .

    I think that if George Hutson has any decency ,he would have tendered his resignation already. The international Business Sector was the fast area of international growth in this economy. The last govbernment negotiatiated the European Partnership Agreement EPA and with it come some important strictures. This governemnt had a great advantage over the rest of the Caribbean but the advantage was going to be short lived so we had to move quickly. The minister has been able to do nothing so far. This is horendous and the blame has to laid fully at the feet of the minister .This was building out the exconomy when the last government was so aggressive on this front Credit must be given here and we must not pooh pooh this . I accept that in Agriculture and in the Cultural Iindusties Barbados was only iin the crawling steps of the change and some would say we did not even get tthat far .you will have to say that these would have been controversial areas given the capital to be expanded and the possble returns on these investments bearing iin mind we we going to a one factory option. It will take a brave man to give a Governmnent over 200 million dollars to sustain moves in a cane industry when it is not even breaking even. In the present economic climate many of these plan must be put on hold. even in good times some of the plans would have been risky. .

    On the question of leadership I repeat you cannot lead yourself and when callled upon by your colleagues you have a duty to answer the call. .Mr Arthur is competent capable and has a record second to none in the area of economic policy and success , You cannot bring ihealth into this. PM Stuart fel ill in St John in the Byelection. You may feel concern but if you are a not a doctor then it is a non point. Wish them well in ther endeavpours I will return to the other points in another post. Think on these things


  4. David, I promised not to enter this Owen/Mia merry go round, and with good reason too.On the one hand we have an old washed up esx or practicising egomaniac and a woman clearly very poor as a street fighter who did not see what was about to hit her; they are fighting over the inheritance as to who should have the lion share. While I have always been a secret admirer of Mia; she has always been poor as a tactician and it pains me to see her once again on the outside looking in. I predict that she will one day become PM of this little rock before long. Besides her lifestyle is her own and what the hell it has to do with anybody what she does when her bedroom door is closed. So long as she can lead the country effectively , what is the problem?
    Owen’s ego is such that he will not go away and quite frankly wanting to supplant Mia with grasshopper Mascoll as his successor will not wash . As I keep telling Mia, when the time is right , just before Owen lead the fools over the cliff, they will come and ask Mia to lead them to the promised land on her terms.
    HD

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